Google (Alphabet)
WHY BUY TWITTER???TWTR , a big name in social media. But who wants to buy Twitter and why? Well what ever the reason is I am not buying it as it doesn't make sense to me how a general everyday service product should have such high valuation? I would but TWTR if it's under $10. Actually let me take it back. My valuation is around $1-$3 at best. Because Twitter didn't add value other then just like news media but more like in a personal level. But it didn't change significantly either. Also think it has more opportunities to work in collaboration with GOOGLE GOOG rather just buying out or selling out the whole industry. It can work out in conjunction to Google Hangout out. But better future of TWTR is with FB. It would be a great tool if FaceBook can buy it as FB already has so many user which functions almost like twitter. You should also see CRM SALESFORCE too, as a short candidate. I will publish a chart on Google too soon.
Ok guys, other then random thoughts let you know that when it reaches the upper read resistance line around $30-$28 or below, then it will be a good are to go short again with TWTR
I hope when I am going to twit this post, Twitter is not going to take it off from my post :)
Who wants to sell Salesforce???CRM Salesforce is gone. Even though it is trying to buy Twitter but don't think it will be successful as Goggle and other hungry birds are out there. Even if CRM buys twitter still there stock are sale because it's a falling knife. And if there is a bounce that means more to upload with short side. There are 2 green support lines from 2009. One has around $60 as a temporary support but think it may well go down to $30 zone which is a second green support line. But if it breaks that line then it may go well below under $5 if CRM cant fix revenue streams and profits.
Trouble in paradise Google is headed back down after getting close to the all time high. After thing past the 15 min. Looks good for a short. You can see with the arrows that this is over priced and headed back down to the 798 level. This is a multi-day trade set up. I don't see this catching on and becoming the floor so get in while you can.
FANGs - Wow. A lot goin on here.Busy chart, so bare with me. Bold call, but the more I look at the FANGs on a combined chart, the more I see an (incomplete) bump and run reversal (BARR) in blue.
A head and shoulders is present within a broadening formation in white, that gives room for the H&S to complete. Support in green, resistance in red.
Down.
TIME TO SEARCH in GOOGLEGOOGLE IS VERY STRONG, SO ANYBODY WANTS TO SHORT EVEN WITH OPTIONS MIGHT NEED TO HAVE IRON HEART AND GOD GIVEN TIME TO SEE THE DECAY OF THIS STOCK. BUT WHEN IT WILL FALL; IT MAY FALL HARDER BUT YOU NEED TO BE ABLE TO SEE THAT IT IS COMING AND IT MAY NOT HAPPEN ANYTIME SOON, SO HAVE patience. If it touches red line then probably good time to go short but it's monthly chart so you need to look in daily chart or weekly chart to pinpoint those zones as this stock is very volatile so you need to have iron fest. Green lines r historical support line so safe to buy but for short term unless it touches the green degree 1 line in relation to FIBONACCI.
Bulls getting bitten by the FANG tradeAn average of the FANG stocks tells an interesting story and serves nicely as a bellwether of market sentiment and investor's appetite for speculation. These stocks on average are trading very high price relative to forward earnings. Recent selling action suggest the market is beginning to doubt that these high flying stocks can live up to the expectations for future growth.
Technically it failed this month to reach the previous highs of last year. It's broken the lower trend line and rapidly approaching the 200 day average.
From here another 5% dropto the lower trend line seems likely
Exit from the short google call given today morning.
Dear Viewers,
The google movement to the downside happened as expected. But the price moved too quickly and I was unable to ask my viewers to exit at the 688.57 level. That is the level we were supposed to close the trade at. I apologize for the delay in posting the exit call chart.
Nevertheless, the price is still at 694.68 which is below the 697.50 at which we took the short. Exit the call.
I will make it a point to be more quick to post updates.
Thank you.
BUY GOOGLE @$711 - LOWER VOLS, VOLU & LOWS; HIGHER CORRS & HIGHSGoogle C-Class shares i am bullish over the 6-12m, hence I am buying any 5-10% pull backs from highs.
Goog has been moving sideways but i think it has just started a cycle higher, in which it is about to make a higher low at 710-15 before moving up again to 750+
715-750 is a 5% move hence i am interested in buying at this price with reward skewed something 1.5:1 with risk.
Coming into earnings, Goog has to make at least one bull run to highs at 770 and i believe this will be the set up for the run for several reasons:
1. since april earnings lows at 687 goog has moved in an upward trend of 688-722-700-736, the next cycle i approximate to be down to 710-3 (volume traded price) then up to 750+ (previous support turned resistance).
Also the Linear regression for the on graph prices is $723, so prices below this are below this cycles average - encouraging mean reversion upwards.
2. Goog volatility correlation is in its negative cycle - the last bull cycle to 768 began with a turn from positive to negative price-volatility correlation change.
- Plus goog's volatility is at yearly lows with VXGO at 17.. Low vols is something that imo is vital for any sustained bull run, as logically, more people want to own a stock that has a greater "normalised" return and risk profile.
3. Average Volume divergence - google volume is trading below its 6 month average, lower volume characterises goog's bull runs typically, as shown in the previous bull run. Since it signifies there are fewer structural sellers that are prepared to sell the stock, thus volume drops and the price is bid up until sell side liquidity is increased sufficiently to meet a new, higher, equilibrium price.
4. *please see last 3 price bars* - these bars have been highlighted as having a "topside range skew". What is inferred by this is that the candle has more activity at the higher prices e.g. the candle traded at its highs and open more than its close and low - thus this is a bullish signal as the open high and close data stayed in the upper percentiles of the candle.
- Even the first candle in question (the first bear candle), opened and closed at apprx the median price.. this is unusual. the first bear candle after a strong bullish run, usually shows heavy open-close downside skew e.g. the price opens and then closes close to the lows (rather than in the middle of prices traded) - indicating that time period closed with the price being driven/held at the lowest possibility.
If we were to see the opposite e.g. the candles closing on the lows, this would be bearish and indicate the price is wanting to push lower, since there was no difference between the low and close.
Fundamentally i am also long google, hence why i like buying any decent pull backs - especially when they have a strong set up.
LOWER VOL, VOLU AND LOWS. HIGHER CORRS AND HIGHS (GOOG BUY @711)Google C-Class shares i am bullish over the 6-12m, hence I am buying any 5-10% pull backs from highs.
Goog has been moving sideways but i think it has just started a cycle higher, in which it is about to make a higher low at 715 before moving up again to 750+
715-750 is a 5% move hence i am interesting in buying at this price with reward skewed something 1.5:1 with risk.
Coming into earnings, Goog has to make at least one bull run to highs at 770 and i believe this will be the set up for the run for several reasons:
1. since april earnings lows at 687 goog has moved in an upward trend of 688-722-700-736, the next cycle i approximate to be down to 710-3 (volume traded price) then up to 750+ (previous support turned resistance).
Also the Linear regression for the on graph prices is $723, so prices below this are below this cycles average - encouraging mean reversion upwards.
2. Goog volatility correlation is in its negative cycle - the last bull cycle to 768 began with a turn from positive to negative price-volatility correlation change.
- Plus goog's volatility is at yearly lows. Low vols is something that imo is vital for any sustained bull run, as logically, more people want to own a stock that has a greater "normalised" return and risk profile.
3. Volume average divergence - google volume is trading below its 6 month average, lower volume characterises goog's bull runs typically. Since it signifies there are fewer structural sellers that are prepared to sell the stock, thus volume drops and the price is bid up until sell side liquidity is increased sufficiently to meet an equilibrium price.
4. *please see last 3 price bars* - these bars have been highlighted as having a "topside range skew". What is inferred by this is that the candle has more activity at the higher prices e.g. the candle traded at its highs and open more than its close and low - thus this is a bullish signal as the open high and close data stayed in the upper percentiles of the candle.
- Even the first candle in question (the first bear candle), opened and closed at apprx the median price.. this is unusual. the first bear candle after a strong bullish run, usually shows heavy open-close downside skew e.g. the price opens and then closes close to the lows (rather than in the middle of prices traded) - indicating that time period closed with the price being driven/held at the lowest possibility.
If we were to see the opposite e.g. the candles closing on the lows, this would be bearish and indicate the price is wanting to push lower, since there was no difference between the low and close.
Fundamentally i am also long google anyway, hence why i liike buying 5-10% pull backs.
(D) Large trading range of 100 handles since mid October.Recently the trading range has narrowed between (700,750) with some resistance from 750 (or P pivot). Since then EMA50 has been nearly flat slope; hence sideways. Also, the difference of EMA50 and EMA200 has been decreasing with EMA50's slope marginally bearish.
If bearish momentum continues, a support retest of 700 is in range. Should 700 fail and OBV fails to hold it's EMA50(OBV), then 680 and 650 are not far below. Obey your rules.