S & P: Macro Bull Flag Consolidation?If you zoom out on the S & P 500, the measured moves and fibs line up fairly perfectly and in my opinion
paints a more realistic picture as far as expectations for the market moving forward. It is hard for me to see
this market going market going all that much higher at all. With blow off top type price action in names like NVDA
and the recent price action in AAPL, this type of price action makes the most sense to me.
GOOGL
NVDA TSLA MSFT GOOGL AAPL AMZN | Support & Resistance Guide- Support & Resistance guide for all 6 big tech stocks NVDA TSLA MSFT GOOGL AAPL AMZN
- psychological 1 trillion dollar level for NVDA 405
- TSLA wedge pattern still in play
- zero red flags on the chart for MSFT and AMZN need hourly downtrends to confirm for any signs of bears
Google - nice short setup is cookingI count GOOGL as start of wave circle C of iv where wave (1) is done and a pb in wave (2) is in action. Wave (2) is shortable from the 100 zone. A=C rule gives us a target of 60 for the whole wave iv correction. Would be a great long opportunity sometime in 2024-25. Longer-term count will be posted separately.
AI strategy drives NVDA MSFT GOOG METAAs we navigate through the ever-evolving world of technology, it is becoming increasingly evident that artificial intelligence (AI) is the driving force behind some of the biggest players in the market. Companies such as NVIDIA (NVDA), Microsoft (MSFT), Google (GOOG), and Meta Platforms (META) have all implemented AI strategies that have propelled them to the forefront of their respective industries. In this email, we will explore how these companies are utilizing AI to gain a competitive edge and what it means for their future growth potential. So, buckle up and let's dive into the world of AI and its impact on the stock market.
Additionally, it's crucial to have a long-term investment strategy and to not make emotional decisions based on short-term market fluctuations. It's also wise to diversify your portfolio across different industries and sectors to minimize risk. Seeking the advice of a financial advisor can also be helpful in making informed investment decisions.
Additionally, it's important to have a long-term investment strategy and not make emotional decisions based on short-term market fluctuations. It's also wise to consider factors such as the company's financial health, industry trends, and management team before investing in individual stocks. Diversification is key to managing risk, so it's advisable to have a mix of individual stocks and diversified portfolios in your investment portfolio. Finally, seeking the advice of a financial advisor can help you make informed investment decisions and manage your risk effectively.
AMZN TSLA NVDA MSFT GOOGL AAPL Technical Analysis Guide- Most tech stocks are still in a healthy daily uptrend but most are testing its support area.
- the size of the pull back will be key for me to determine if we have more fuel for these stocks on the upside
- larger pullback size will allow bears to make moves on the next bounce
The Alpha in Alphabet Google
MACD Cross Historic Performance
July 2009 – 6 months – 48%
Sept 2010 – 5 months – 43%
Nov 2011 – 2 months – 19%
Jul 2012 – 3 months – 37%
Sept 2015 – 5 months - 31%
Mar 2017 – 3 months – 21%
Oct 2019 – 4 months – 25%
Apr 2020 – 5 months – 59%
Min return = c.19% over 3 months (least risky)
Max return = c.50% over 5 months
Average Overall = c.35% over 5 months.
Average return of the 8 past MACD crosses above is 35%. We have projected a modest 20% increase 2 to 3 months post MACD cross (Likely July/August bid). That’s IF we get the cross in then. Worth noting we are about 20% away from the ATH of $151. Keep in mind that a MACD cross is a lagging indicator so we try and anticipate the cross scenario.
Given the history of price in this long term parallel channel since Nov 2008, an incredibly idyllic scenario would be a revisit of the bottom of the channel or a revisit of the 50 month smooth moving average(SMA) in purple. If we ever revisited the 50 Month SMA or 200 week SMA I believe this would be a major opportunity, given this has only occurred 4 times in almost 15 years.
Overvalued Tech: Time for Tangible Assets & Fair ValuationsThe tech sector, specifically the 'Big Tech' companies have seen massive gains since the massive accumulation in 2010-2014. However, these increases seem disconnected from the companies' actual value or tangible contributions to the real-world economy. Their high price-to-earnings ratios suggest overvaluation and potential for a market correction.
Invest in sectors with real-world utility and reasonable valuations - Allocate capital to sectors like industrials, materials, consumer staples, or healthcare. These sectors provide tangible products and services and often have more reasonable valuations.
1. High Valuations: Tech stocks, in particular, often trade at high multiples of their earnings or revenues. These high valuations can make them more vulnerable to market downturns, as they can fall more dramatically if investors reassess their growth prospects or risk tolerance.
2. (GOOGL, APPL, AMZN, MSFT, META, NVDA, ADBE, and TSLA) all represent a significant portion of the SNP-500 index due to their large market capitalizations.
3. So, in a S&P-500 meltdown , these tech companies could potentially see significant declines in their stock prices due to these factors. However, it's important to remember that the specifics would depend on a wide range of factors, including the reasons for the market downturn, the companies' financial health and growth prospects, and overall investor sentiment.
4. I would choose Tesla as the only pick out of all 8 as this company has shown lots of potential compared to our tech giants of the now. Even with the upbringing of AI it is not enough to save google or meta, but Apple and Microsoft might hold up strong as they are largest caps.
5.
Google (Alphabet) : ~$1.5 trillion
Apple Inc. (AAPL): ~$2.5 trillion
Amazon (AMZN): ~$1.7 trillion
Microsoft (MSFT): ~$2.2 trillion
Meta Platforms : ~$1 trillion
NVIDIA (NVDA): ~$500 billion
Adobe (ADBE): ~$300 billion
Tesla (TSLA): ~$800 billion
TOTAL = 10 Trillion roughly
Google: Reversal Incoming?Here we are looking at GOOGL on the Daily TF...
Currently, there is a lot of factors aligning on the GOOGL chart, which is the type of confluence I look for when evaluating trade opportunities. The first factor that I'm looking at is the horizontal resistance line as shown on the chart. This resistance stretches from it another local high made months prior. This should act as strong resistance. The second factor I'm looking at is that there is a time count of 7 consecutive green daily candles, which is something I look to pair with a strong resistance zone (as previously mentioned). The third and final factor that aligns on this chart is a potential topping tail being put it. This hasn't confirmed yet, but there is a strong chance that it will.
I will continue to monitor this chart, and provide timely updates as I see fit!
Cheers
Relational Technical Analysis of GOOGLProfessional traders controlled this sideways pattern that held higher lows before the break to the upside and gap up above the W bottom completion resistance, which is now strong support. Short-term profit-taking at the resistance overhead is something to prepare for now.
will Google head higher?Has Googles pullback from 150 finished and will it move higher from 108?
Looks like it made a double bottom ish pattern from Sept 22 to Mar 23.
Some good volume buying to back up the breakout/reversal, and any good news e.g. AI, digital revenues etc. will help. Negartive news e.g. Regulation, privacy laws etc. will act as headwinds.
Price is now above the 50 EMA so this could act as support.
Google (GOOGL) Elliott Wave Impulsive Structure IncompleteShort Term Elliott Wave View on Google ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ) suggests it ended wave 2 pullback at 103.68. Wave 3 higher is currently in progress with internal subdivision as a 5 waves impulse with extension. This is often called nesting impulse. Up from wave 2, wave ((i)) ended at 107.49 and pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 103.97. The stock resumes higher in wave ((iii)) with internal subdivision as another impulse in lesser degree. Up from wave ((ii)), wave i ended at 105.56 and wave ii ended at 104.11 Wave iii ended at 109.7, pullback in wave iv ended at 107.72, and wave v higher ended at 110.15 which completed wave (i). Stock then pullback in wave (ii) which ended at 106.70.
Google has resumed higher in wave (iii) again. Up from wave (ii), wave i ended at 113.83 and dips in wave ii ended at 111.75. Stock resumes higher in wave iii towards 117.92, and pullback in wave iv ended at 115.85. Final leg wave v ended at 118.48 which completed wave (iii). Expect wave (iv) pullback to find support in 3, 7, 11 swing for further upside. Potential target for wave (iv) is 23.6 – 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of wave (iii) which comes at 113.9 – 115.7. Near term, as far as pivot at 103.7 low stays intact, expect the stock to extend higher.
QQQ & Nvidia Stock Rising Wedge Resistance | CPI | GOOGL Event - NASDAQ:QQQ rising wedge pattern hitting resistance top this morning,
- NASDAQ:GOOGL 's AI event helped market bounced off todays intra-day low
- GOOGL talked about NVDA a little in its event making NVDA pop a little bit
- NASDAQ:NVDA also close to its top of the rising wedge
- CPI came in 4.9% estimate was 5% so came in slightly cooler
- PPI and jobs data tomorrow 8:30am EST
Google-> BreakoutHello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis .
On the weekly timeframe you can see that Google stock is finally breaking above a major previous weekly support/resistance level exactly at the $105 area.
You can also see that weekly market structure and moving averages are bullish, the next major resistance is sitting at the $120 level and it overall seems like the bottom is in for Google so I just do expect more continuation towards the upside.
On the daily timeframe you can see that with today's candle Google stock is up almost 5%, creating a massively bullish breakout and breaking all resistance towards the upside so I am now just waiting for a retest of the $105 level and then I do expect more continuation towards the upside.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
NVDA AAPL AMZN GOOGL MSFT VIX QQQ Support & Resistance Guide- NVDA MSFT AAPL all near its key resistance levels
- VIX likely setting a daily higher low and may bounce from here due to it being in historic lows
- VIX is inverse of the market
- CPI Data Wednesday May 10th 5:30am PST
- PPI Data May 11th 5:30am PST
Alphabet (Google) Ready to break up above the brim to $124.00Cup and Handle formed on Alphabet Inc.
The price action before that played to the Letter (no pun intended).
And now we are seeing a gradual increase in demand (buying) with the price ready to break above the brim level.
7=21
Price>200 - bullish
Target $124.00
SMC:
Sell Side Liquidity Order block has formed below the handle of the Cup, showing Smart Money coming in sweeping the selling side and buying into it, hence the upside over the last few days.
ABOUT
Alphabet Inc. is an American multinational conglomerate that was created in 2015 as a holding company for Google and several other subsidiaries.
The company's primary subsidiary is Google, the world's most popular search engine.
Alphabet is headquartered in Mountain View, California, USA.
The company's founders are Larry Page and Sergey Brin, who are also the co-founders of Google.
Alphabet has a market capitalization of over $1.5 trillion (as of April 2023).
Google is responsible for developing some of the most widely-used software products in the world, including the Android operating system, Google Maps, and Google Drive.
The company generates most of its revenue through advertising, with over 80% of its revenue coming from Google ads.
Alphabet has over 200,000 employees worldwide and is known for its unique company culture, which emphasizes innovation and collaboration.
The company is committed to sustainability and has set several ambitious goals, including a goal to operate on 100% renewable energy by 2030.
Alphabet is one of the largest technology companies in the world and is a member of the prestigious FAANG group of companies (Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix, and Google).
The company is also a major player in the cloud computing industry, with Google Cloud Platform being one of the leading cloud computing services in the market.
Alphabet is known for its extensive research and development activities, with the company investing heavily in areas such as artificial intelligence, machine learning, and quantum computing.
The company is also active in the self-driving car industry through its subsidiary Waymo.
GOOGL Alphabet Options Ahead of EarningsI you haven`t sold GOOGL here, to buy it cheaper later:
Then analyzing the options chain of GOOGL Alphabet prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the $106.5usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-6-16
for a premium of approximately $2.17.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
I am interested to hear your thoughts on this strategy.
GOOGLE Ahead of a 1D Golden CrossAlphabet Inc (GOOGL) is about to form a Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame, which is when the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) crosses above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). This is a very bullish pattern, that can be enough to break above the Channel up pattern that the stock has been trading in since the November 03 2022 market bottom. In that case we will target Resistance 1 at 122.50.
If however we get a candle close below the 1D MA200, we will sell towards the bottom of the Channel Up and then buy for a 115.00 Higher High target.
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