GOOGL
Googl about to make a big moveNASDAQ:GOOGL
Googl is at the top of a descending channel. If it breaks through to the upside, TP 1 is 1535 and TP 2 is 1580. If if it falls through support, TP 1 is 1440 and TP 2 is 1400. Since Googl has now crossed over to the underbelly of an ascending channel, I'm favoring the downside.
GOOGLE IS GOING DOWN [Don't forget to follow me] GOOGLE IS GOING DOWN this is the end of the UPtrendI suggest to get rid of all your position in GOOGLE you can check my ideas I'm 99% right about the stocks.If you need any help about any stock please contact me i will be glad to help. If you are a stock investor and you want advice please contact i will be glad to help.
$GOOGL - Head & ShouldersAs I'm publishing this, $GOOGL bulls and bears are currently fighting it out as the bulls try to retest and regain the trendline support and H&S's base.
Volume and CMF behaved as expected with a H&S. OBV still abiding by trendline support.
Green channels are where I would consider taking bits of profit based on multiple fib levels (regular and trend-based), a fixed volume profile of the most recent range below, and the H&S objective of 1384.84 (purple line).
GOOGL - resting on long term trendline.Shares of Alphabet Inc. Cl A GOOGL, -0.63% sank 0.64% to $1,473.30 Tuesday, on what proved to be an all-around positive trading session for the stock market, with the S&P 500 Index SPX, +0.36% rising 0.36% to 3,306.51 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA, +0.61% rising 0.62% to 26,828.47. This was the stock's third consecutive day of losses. Alphabet Inc. Cl A closed $113.75 below its 52-week high ($1,587.05), which the company reached on July 21st.
The stock demonstrated a mixed performance when compared to some of its competitors Tuesday, as Apple Inc. AAPL, +0.66% rose 0.67% to $438.66, Microsoft Corp. MSFT, -1.50% fell 1.50% to $213.29, and Facebook Inc. Cl A FB, -0.84% fell 0.85% to $249.83. Trading volume (1.8 M) eclipsed its 50-day average volume of 1.8 M.
Long $AAPL PT $460 #stocks #trading #NQ_F $NQ_F $SPX $SPY $NDX see full chart at www.tradingview.com
AAPL
Entry $407
Target 1 $460
stoploss $376
Why?
$AAPL Just Announced 1 to 4 split!
Last time they Announced a Split was 4/23/14 for 06/09/14
Look at this chart ( they had almost a 20% run!)
Aside from that, they have amazing ER result.
Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) reported quarterly earnings of $2.58 per share which beat the analyst consensus estimate of $2.04 by 26.47 percent. This is a 18.35 percent increase over earnings of $2.18 per share from the same period last year. The company reported quarterly sales of $59.70 billion which beat the analyst consensus estimate of $52.25 billion by 14.26 percent. This is a 10.95 percent increase over sales of $53.81 billion the same period last year.
Apple Q3 Mac Sales $7.079B, Up 22% YoY,
Apple Q3 iPad Sales $6.582B, Up 31% YoY
Apple Q3 Wearables, Home, Accessories Sales $6.45B, Up 16.7% YoY
Apple Q3 Cash, Cash Equivalents $33.383B vs $48.844B In Same Qtr. Last Year
Apple Q3 Services $13.156B, Up 14.8% YoY
Apple Reports Q3 Americas Sales $27.018B, Up From $25.06B YoY, Europe Sales $14.173B Up From $11.925B YoY, Greater China Sales $9.329B, Up From $9.157B YoY
How can we not be bullish right?
In addition to that, we have seen a lot of bullish momo from big cap split rumors. early July BABA had split rumor and it ran from $215- $265, Tsla also had runs from split rumors in the past.
What is this company about?
Apple Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets smartphones, personal computers, tablets, wearables, and accessories worldwide. It also sells various related services. The company offers iPhone, a line of smartphones; Mac, a line of personal computers; iPad, a line of multi-purpose tablets; and wearables, home, and accessories comprising AirPods, Apple TV, Apple Watch, Beats products, HomePod, iPod touch, and other Apple-branded and third-party accessories. It also provides digital content stores and streaming services; AppleCare support services; and iCloud, a cloud service, which stores music, photos, contacts, calendars, mail, documents, and others. In addition, the company offers various service, such as Apple Arcade, a game subscription service; Apple Card, a co-branded credit card; Apple News+, a subscription news and magazine service; and Apple Pay, a cashless payment service, as well as licenses its intellectual property, and provides other related services. The company serves consumers, and small and mid-sized businesses; and the education, enterprise, and government markets. It sells and delivers third-party applications for its products through the App Store, Mac App Store, and Watch App Store. The company also sells its products through its retail and online stores, and direct sales force; and third-party cellular network carriers, wholesalers, retailers, and resellers. Apple Inc. has a collaboration with Google to develop COVID-19 tracking system for Android and iOS devices. Apple Inc. was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Cupertino, California.
FBFB IS CURRENTLY UP 15 POINTS AH. IF FB CAN BREAK THROUGH THE 250 LEVEL IT CAN MOVE HIGHER TO 254, 259.
IF FB GAPS UP HIGHER OVER THE 250 LEVEL, I WOULD WAIT FOR A SMALL PULLBACK BEFORE ENTERING A LONG POSITION.
IF FB SELLS OFF AT OPEN, YOU CAN WAIT FOR A POSSIBLE BACKTEST OFF THE 247 LEVEL.
TRADE IDEA: 252.5C 7/31
**SAME DAY EXPIRATION ARE HIGH RISK PLAYS. SO BE AWARE OF THE RISK. YOU CAN PLAY NEXT WEEK EXPIRATION TO AVOID PREMIUM DEPRECATION .
i will update premarket
Amazon, Facebook, and Google Earnings - Who Won?This chart shows the immediate reactions of Amazon, Facebook, and Google earnings. Who won? Facebook is at all-time highs during this writing. It's also trading higher by more than 6%. The initial Amazon reaction is +4% and Google is +1%.
Here's a breakdown of each report. These earnings report snapshots com courtesy of LiveSquawk:
Amazon Q2 20 Earnings:
- Net Sales: $88.9B (exp $81.24B)
- EPS: $10.30 (exp $1.46)
- Sees Q3 Net Sales $87.0B To $93.0B (exp $86.51B)
- Created Over 175,000 New Jobs Since March
Alphabet Q2 20 Earnings:
- Revenue Ex-TAC: $31.60B (exp $30.45B)
- EPS: $10.13 (exp $8.21)
- YouTube Ads Revenue: $3.81B (exp $3.76B)
- Google Properties Revenue: $25.1B (exp $24.55B)
- Quarterly Decrease In Revenues 2% Y/Y
Facebook Q2 20 Earnings:
- Revenue: $18.69B (exp $17.31B)
- EPS: $1.80 (exp $1.39)
- Monthly Active Users: 2.70B (exp 2.63B)
- Daily Active Users: 1.79B (exp 1.74B)
The Facebook reaction says a lot to me and I have long been impressed with their sneaky entry way into online sales with Facebook Marketplace. I think next they will try to create a search engine that rivals Google. Of these three tech companies, it would seem Facebook has the most potential.
That's just my opinion.
What are your thoughts?
Implied Volatiliy a Risk Pre and Post Earnings AMZN AAPL GOOGLI want to point out two things in this post:
1. The elevated implied volatility before earnings on blue chips stocks is per se a risk factor due to high call open interest and the following reduction in implied volatility post earnings.
2. The SKEW index is signaling increasing tail risk.
The first point:
As I’ve pointed out in recent posts, high open interest has been a tailwind for stocks as market makers are short calls and forced to buy the underlying without any other purpose but to hedge.
Before earnings, implied volatility (IV) on stocks rises significantly.
For out-of-the-money options, the delta rises with higher IV (this makes intuitively sense because higher volatility means a higher probability for the option to get in-the-money).
As IV rises before earnings, the sum of the delta dollars rises. This is forcing market makers to increase their notional hedges, i.e. they need to buy more of the underlying when their net short calls (status quo) in order to stay delta neutral.
Post earnings IV falls .
This is a risk when market makers are long the underlying stocks, and traders long the options.
When IV falls (all else equal) the market makers may sell the underlying stock no matter how good the earnings reports are.
The second point:
The SKEW Index is derived from S&P500 options, and measures tail risk, which is the risk for outlier returns.
When the SKEW is 100, the option market is discounting negligible tail risk.
As the SKEW rises above 100, the tail risk is increasing.
The SKEW is not a timing instrument, but worth watching as it reaches extreme levels (now >140).
In summary:
The large cap stocks have had an amazing outperformance as I’ve highlighted in recent posts. Even though they may beat earnings expectations, the structure of the options market may be a headwind post earnings.
The SKEW is signaling higher tail risk.