Google Continued Trend and Next Opportunity Expected! Welcome to Profitlio Trading!
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The continued trend is expected to show up a possible breakout on the key level sitting above. And will wait for the confirmation and entering in a perfect retest and reversal towards the market resistance on TOP! Sketch up your own trade setup and make sure you meet with the required confirmations first before you make your move!
Profitlio Trading ( Since 2014 in Financial Markets )
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GOOGL
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Despite taking a hit on the ad side of the business, Google (GOOG / GOOGL) has had a textbook "V" shaped recovery (Or in this case, an upside down "A" recovery we could say). Can the bulls make the final push back to all time highs? One could argue the new stimulus package will have a positive effect on the markets and give this tech giant room to finish running. So let's map out a potential pathway for the bulls.
Resource: www.cnn.com + www.marketwatch.com
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1. Fractal Trend is showing an uptrend (Aqua bar color) on the 1 hour timeframe giving us a clear trend to look for a long setup within.
2. With this strategy, we are looking for long setups in an uptrend and as such want to enter long on retests of bullish order blocks plotted by Orderblock Mapping (Aqua) and/or bullish S/R levels plotted by Directional Bias (Aqua).
3. As you can see we had a great long setup entry at S1, sadly this was missed so we can only plan for what may happen now and not worry about the past.
4. The target for this move is up though the "COVID gap" and all the way to the range created by previous highs at R4. This is good news for anyone already long.
5. If we don't see bullish continuation off this move, then there is another potential long at S2 assuming Fractal Trend gives the green light.
6. If Fractal Trend signals a downtrend (Maroon bar color), then any long positions should exit as this is seen as indecision/weakness, otherwise the bet is on GOOGL continuing its recovery.
Elliott Wave View: Google (GOOGL) Ending 5 waves ImpulseIn the aftermath of COVID-19 selloff, Alphabet (GOOGL) formed a low on March 23, 2020 at 1008.87. From there, the stock is rallying as a 5 waves impulsive Elliott Wave structure. Up from 3.23.2020 low, wave (1) ended at 1173.4 and wave (2) pullback ended at 1075.08. The stock then resumed higher in wave (3) towards 1297. The 45 minutes chart below shows the wave (3) rally. It then pullback in wave (4) to 1205. Subdivision of wave (4) unfolded as a zigzag where wave A ended at 1256.44, wave B ended at 1276.82, and wave C ended at 1204.68.
Wave (5) is currently in progress and unfolding as a 5 waves impulse in lesser degree. Up from wave (4) at 1205, wave 1 ended at 1288.15 and pullback in wave 2 ended at 1230. The stock then resumes higher again in wave 3. Near term, while dips stay above 1204.68, expect a few more highs to end wave (5). This should also complete wave ((1)) in higher degree and end cycle from March 23 low. Stock should then pullback in wave ((2)) to correct cycle from March 23 low in 3, 7, or 11 swing before turning higher again.
Daily Review: GOOG, AMD, and MSFTU.S. markets began the week on a strong note, led by small caps. The Russell 2000 Index finished the day up nearly 4% while the Nasdaq 100 lagged behind notching 0.5% at the end of the session.
This week represents a pivotal point of the rally as earnings season hits full swing with big cap tech reporting this week. Some names on deck later this week are TSLA, FB, AAPL and SHOP of which I will be reviewing on later posts this week. Today, we search for some market clues with GOOG, AMD and MSFT.
Tech Flexing
It's tough to bet against tech these days. Despite a global economic shutdown, large cap tech stocks have been resilient…on the charts. It will be interesting to see how they look on the balance sheet! We begin today with Alphabet, Inc (GOOG) on a weekly view.
GOOG has staged an impressive rally off the March 23 low making up nearly half its losses from its all-time high, $1532.11. At first glance, GOOG appeared to have broken through critical long term trendline support, but after review, GOOG has found support on a trendline drawn from the 2015 lows.
GOOG is heading into 2020 earnings after delivering strong 18% increase of revenue year over year. However, there are questions on whether the internet advertising giant will be able to impress this time around. The COVID-19 pandemic has definitely had an impact on whether businesses invest in online advertising, a large share of GOOG's revenue. Whether the magnitude of the impact shows up in Q1 earnings is yet to be seen.
Overall, GOOG bulls have enjoyed the past months worth of gains. However, there is reason to be cautious going into earnings as market strength and price begin to divert while overhead weekly resistance remains. Bias: Bearish .
Technically, Beautiful
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) has been the semiconductor darling for over a year ever since breaking out from a year long cup and handle pattern on October 2019. AMD is now up 100% since that breakout and COULD be poised for more upside. I emphasized could on purpose, because on the weekly chart AMD is knocking into resistance at $59.27. Any break higher may also be met with RSI divergence. AMD in my opinion is a tough buy at these levels as the risk reward is not favorable going into earnings.
On the plus side, AMD is a beneficiary of being partnered with Sony and Microsoft who are both scheduled to be releasing brand new gaming consoles later this year. How these schedules are impacted by COVID-19 is yet to be seen. Nevertheless, I would not be surprised if AMD pulled back a bit before heading higher. Overall, I like the stock long term from a technical and fundamental perspective, but on the short term I'll be waiting on a dip. Bias: Bearish .
Trillion Dollar Baby
Above is the daily view of Microsoft Corporation (MSFT). Trading 8% below its all-time high, MSFT is going into earnings in potentially in a make or break position for the broad market. MSFT makes up the largest percentage weight of the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) and today the index was lagging behind throughout the trading session. Either, MSFT and big tech have run out of gas or this is a healthy pause before marching back into all-time highs.
If MSFT does pull back, there is not much support. The rally has been a straight shot up from the lows. MSFT is a tough buy here especially after the discouraging performance of the NDX at the start of the week. Bias: Bearish .
Pivotal Week Ahead
With MSFT, AAPL, GOOG, AMZN and FB all reporting fiscal year Q1 2020 earnings this week, we should get a better grasp of how the market will trade in the months ahead. We must also assume that companies will be doing their best to lay down the framework to ease in the harsh reality of Q2 earnings, which undoubtedly will more accurately reflect the impact of the global economic shutdown. Tomorrow we have Tesla, Facebook and Apple. Have a great evening!
GOOGL technicaly based forecast
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I am full time trader - analyst * High accuracy of ideas * Technicaly and Fudnamentaly side in analysis * Comment if have any questions or want to send support * Price action - FIBO - Candl pattern * FX - STOCK - CRYPTO * Simple ideas
💡 GOOGL technicaly indicators showing we can expect higher bulish market recoveryng phase, FIBO 0.382 which is in some cases strong supp is breaked, good bulish candels foramtion, expecting to see push in price till FIBO 0.6 on same place i and supp trend line .
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GOOGLE long trade - (do not) rush into itHello traders,
another good opportunity in the stock market - and that is GOOGLE. ( NASDAQ:GOOG , NASDAQ:GOOGL )
We see strong patterns and support levels there. But do not rush into it! Why?
Because we have to w8 for the confirmation! The market spent too much time below the VERY strong trend-line, which means we don't know if it is valid Support or not.
Have good trading.
FINEIGHT team
GOOGLE (Alphabet Inc) Was It Fake Breakout?
after a bearish breakout of a major trendline, the market recovered.
it is back above it and buyers show their willingness to buy!
it looks like this breakout was fake, and yesterday's violation of a horizontal range on 4H confirms that!
now I believe that google may continue growing in value.
key levels:
1275
1380
good luck!
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