GOOGL
Don't Be A MoMo $FB $AAPL $AMZN $NFLX $GOOGLWhen I was younger, there was a saying "don't be a momo." It was essentially slang pejorative for don't be silly, dumb, stupid etc.
Over the recent sell-off, you've definitely not wanted to be a mo-mentum bag holder. Whether it's FB, AAPL, GOOGL, NFLX, it's all got smashed, and it's been a cause of concern. Q3-18 earnings from such household names have been good, but that's literally old news. The forward guidance, though, has been disappointing. And, when you trade 84x EBITDA you're getting smashed.
The volatility complex has been uber active, and hedging costs following AMZN earnings are soaring. Traders are now paying twice that of upside calls for protection.
There has also a huge VIX of volatility (SKEW) blowout as the momentum index has cascaded 21 percent lower, rivaling most emerging markets.
The SKEW (orange; lower plane inverted scale) did reprice as much as the vol blowup in early February (which I warned of on Jan. 29). But, it's enough to give you heartburn.
As growth and inflation (via D-R-I-P) continue to get repriced going forward, there may not be much love left.
GOOGL: VERY WEAKHey everybody, today I would like to talk about Google after 8 days of Earning Report has been published.
Now, I've already mentioned in my last Idea that I wrote about Google that " the 20MA cross under the 80MA and for sure my "personal thoughts" saying this is not a good sign because the price now will have many challenges to achieve".
I also mentioned a set of obstacles that will face price moves as: "
a) trying to not fall back to "Oversold area"
b) break $1105 level
c) Cross and close above 20MA
d) break $1166 level
e) break $1190 level
f) Cross and close above 80MA
"
And if you take a look at the chart you can see that when Google price gets into one of these challenges the price get tired and weak so it fall down again and on and on..
So, Why Google price is so weak right now?
In fact, at the moment there are many factors affecting the price of Google, including the quality of the bad news, since after Google revealed the latest phones (Pixel 3 and Pixel 3XL), the reactions were bad about these devices because of the external design Of the phone and of course, the price of the company stock will be affected in the current period any news, whether positive or negative.
This is also directly related to the liquidity flowing into the stock.
I have already mentioned that Google is one of the largest technology companies in the world, but as far as the stock market is concerned, Google shares suffer significantly from the weakness of liquidity flowing to it, where the average volume of folium in the last 10 days To 2.425M. These figures are very small compared to the rest of the leading companies.
The second factor that affected the movement of the stock is the inability of traders to trust the big movement of the share, I mean that most traders on Google shares are seeking to close their balconies on a daily basis for this reason we see sharp fluctuations in the value of the stock, so those wishing to do long trades hope or open deals up To six months or more, they will decline due to weak returns for this type of deals.
Future expectations:-
In addition to the challenges that will face the price in the next phase, which I wrote in my previous idea, which is called "GOOGL: 'ER' EXPECTATIONS", I can see that the price movement is promising as the stock is now "Oversold" in the weekly chart. the price tried to break 80MA but was refused to penetrate by the bulls and this indicates the desire of the bulls to perform a correction Masari during the coming period.
So yeah, this is "my thought" about Google for the Next period, To the Next Sunday, have fun.
GOOGL earnings buyGOOGL appears to be in a good position coming into earnings. It's seen a significant pullback over the last month largely due to the broader market. GOOGL earnings are expected to be solid as well which will calm investors after a rough month. I gave some simple technical reasons on the chart, as well as GOOGL being a fundamentally sound company.
Thoughts?
-Kristian
Tech is kill. AAPL, AMZN, GOOGLBeautiful exponential rise for years. Blows off over the upper trendline.
Very similar to MSFT, CSCO, GE in the 90's.
Tech bubble 2.0 about to pop.
AAPL will be strongest thanks to its cash flow and cash level.
After the crash (over 50% for AMZN and GOOGL) the prices will likely recover similar to how CSCO and MSFT did but in 20 years AAPL, AMZN and GOOGL will still be at or sub 1 trillion in market cap.
Google inc target $991/$1000 by NovemberDAILY CHART: (LEFT CHART): Currently shows a daily bullish divergence It will do a short-term pull-back to the $1150 zone (important resistance and top of the downtrend channel) But it will be reject it, next target will be $991/$1000 by November.
Monthly chart: (RIGHT CHART): Is negative, it has a Bearish divergence confirmed and shows a spinning top reversal candle on August at all-time highs followed by a bearish hanging man on September, the candle we see for October is bearish too and it will probably close as a long wick hanging man, confirming that Google will hit $991/$1000 level on November.
Google triangle, up or downLooks like a very clear triangle, like every triangle it can always break out both ways. When looking at the bigger picture i would say we will break upwards to retest that red resistance zone, which would form a bigger bear flag if the gets rejected there. I will wait for a clear breakout before taking a position on this one.
GOOGL: 'ER' EXPECTATIONSHello everybody, hope you all doing great, today I would love to share with you guys "my personal perspective" about Google and talk letter bit about the future price movement.
Now, you can see the price in the chart up is moving downward, basically Google has a really annoying Chart than ever, is this will effect on her price actions? Yes. because before traders make any kind of decision whatever if they wanna buy or sell they will take a look at the chart and see the price movement of the company or the asset, and I know Googles chart will make a lot of traders confuse because of the random movement "Note: I don't like this word (random) in trading, because I believe there's a reason for every move." but anyway;
Before we get into the "ER" and how it will make a big move to the price let me first take about the current price situation:
alright so we can see in the chat that the 20MA cross under the 80MA and for sure my "personal thoughts" saying this is not a good sign because the price now will have many challenges to achieve, like:
a) trying to not fall back to "Oversold area"
b) break $1105 level
c) Cross and close above 20MA
d) break $1166 level
e) break $1190 level
f) Cross and close above 80MA
And after all of this, we'll be able to see the price stars correction movements while the price moving in Stochastic from "Oversold are" into "Overbought"
Why "ER" will make a huge difference:
Okay so on 25 Oct "18 the ER will release and there are 4 days left for that. the release date will be on "Thursday" so 1 day before market close and this is good because we know how the stock market moving in "Friday" so I think bulls will pump a big amount of volume in Pre-market price so they can hand the 6 challenges that I've been mentioned. and Next month we can see a correction in progress.
So yeah, this is "my thought" about Google for the Next week, To the Next Sunday, have fun.
AMZN & GOOGL: DIFFERENT TWINSHello everybody, hope y'all had an amazing weekend, today I would love to talk about AMZN and GOOGLE and talk about happens for the last week as usual.
First I want to talk about those two stock in one post together for a reason, because I saw that those two stocks moving side by side 70% of the time last week also they are now about to face the same problem or "challenge" in another word.
alright so let's start with Amazon, we can see the candlestick in Daily timeframe at 11 Oct "18 ended as a Doji and in the same Date the same Candle in Google was ended up as a Doji, But the main difference Is that Google candle ended up as a "Bullish" candle but with Amazon the Doji was Red "Bearish".
And we all know that when Doji made after a gap down happened that's mean we could see signs of a revers. of course this is not a 100% sign of a revers that's why we need more information and other values to confirm if revers going to happen or not.
Amazon and Google in Daily timeframe they're both in Oversold area if we check on the Stochastic, So this gives us a better idea where the next move going to be, So now the price is Oversold and we have a Doji (Morning Star) But, we still not have a great sign of a revers, and the reason for that is:
Amazon is far away about 4% from the 80MA and 5% from the first resistance level ($1878.57)
&
Google is far away about 7% from the 80MA and 4% from the first resistance level ($1165.92)
And my 'personal perspective' I wouldn't see my confirmation sign if the price still moving oversold, NOTE: when the price come down to oversold zone it's important to know it may stay moving in the same area for a long time without showing any sign of revers, like Facebook for example.
and for me, No confirmation, No position, it's easy.
So, what's the next move could be:
I said that Amazon and Google moving side by said last week but of course the next week the results will be different because every stock have a different kind of challenges,
Depending on the current situation, the first thing Amazon & Google need to have next week is big amounts of liquidity, and I guess this going to happen because the market now represents a good opportunity for buyers what's gonna move the market up.
Amazon to win in the first challenge when it came to volume but for Google, we need to wait and see how the traders "bullish specifically" will respond.
After breaking the 80MA it will be easy for Amazon to break the Resistance level of($1878.57) when the 80MA will act as a support because of the small space between the level and the MA. then, of course, the price will be outside of Oversold zone which start show great signs of a revers. and Correction in progress.
But the case is litter bit different with Google because the next challenge after "having a big amount of volume next week" is to break the resistance level at ($1165.92) which gonna make the price have enough power to break 20MA and then we can see sign of a revers and NOT correction, because with Google the Correction won't happen before the price break 80MA.
* also we shouldn't forget the new phone of Google "Pixle 3" which going to effect nigative on the stock price because of the bad news.
alright so, this month there's a lot of Drama happened but yeah, Nothing random I mean every move was for a reason. this is "my thought" about Amazon & Google for the Next week, To the Next Sunday, have fun.
GOOGL: NOT OPTIMISTICHello guys, hope y'all doing well. today I'll talk about Google and what happened with the stock last week.
Now if you check out on my chart up, you'll see that the price since (27 Jul "18) going down and this moves give us a clear idea about what movement of the price.
I said it before and I'll say it again, the major problem of Google is the Average Volume, I mean we talk about the 3rd biggest company in the world when it comes to the MKT-Cap size. and having about $1.760M of the Average Volume this is not right, anyway;
Now we can read from the last price movement that the $1165.92 is going to be powerful support level, and it's not hard to tell why when you look at the period between 6 and 24 of Sep "18. you can see how the price stick between $1165.92 and $1190.04 levels. so when the price get rejected from one of those levels shouldn't be a surprise. a specially when price come from an Overbought zone, you check out to the Stochastic.
Alright, so what the next move could be?:
Now look at the bands of the Bollinger and you'll see the Upper-line and Lower-line is a staring to expand and this is generally good to give the price bigger space to move BUT,.
But we have a problem, this expansion will be invalid for a reason, if noted at first I said that Google hasn't the good value of Liquidity (Volume) in the market, So even if the expand happened, the price need volume to push him up and down right?. So this is why I think that the price gonna act as the same as the last time he been in this situation.
in fact, The price has a lot of challenges like:
1) break $1190.04 levels
2) close above 20MA
2) keep moving up and try to close above 80MA
3) then try to make a correction path to...
4) break the last highest high.
So yeah, this is "my thought" about Google for the Next week, To the Next Sunday, have fun.
GOOGL: BORING TO BRILLIANThi everyone, really excited today to have a talk about Google after a "boring" month.
as we all know google last month "Spet" been moving so slowly and this happened for many reasons like:
a) no good news comes up.
b) low volume.
&
c) what makes me hate "penny stocks" is Low liquidity.
yes, one of those important reasons that make Google moving slowly is it doesn't have enough liquidity to give the price big moves.
and this also effect on the average of the price as we see on the chart the price stuck between $1160 & $1195 level's for an entire month! I mean it's serious problem for the 3rd company in the world when it comes to MKT-Cap size. if we do a quick compare against Facebook which's 8th Company in the world:
MKT-Cap:
Google = Over $840B
Facebook = Under $500B
Avg-Volume:
Google = Under $3M
Facebook = Over 30M
May you found this not a problem for you but for a lot of traders who deal with options and breakout trading this is will effect.
Anyway, after the price breakout over $1190 level's I believe that it's will back again to retest this level's if it will be strong resistance the price in Oct will make a "correction path up" to the $1289 levels, and think if there's not enough liquid/volume it will get rejected from there. but if it retests the $1190 level's and breaks it the 1st target will be again $1160 and the 2nd target ll be $1110 levels.
why I think the price will back to retest the $1190 level's?:
my reason is if you take a look in the stochastic we can see the price is overbought in 1D timeframe also in timeframe 4h timeframe. and to be oversold we need to move down around 1% which make sense to me.
So yeah, this is "my thought" about Google for the Next first week of Oct, To the Next Sunday, have fun.
GOOGLE: SUFFERING AT 1190Hi guys, I'm gonna talk quickly about Google because no new mentions, okay so as I mentioned in my previous idea of Google that if the price wants to break out the $1190.04 levels it needs to things:
A) More Liquidity come to the market
B) Good News comes up
the price as we see is starting suffering when is get into the $1180/$1190 levels zone.
There's a strong resistance line out there and that's good because every stong resistance ll be strong support line in future so what it needs now is to break out of these levels and start to make correction path to the upward so we can get into next month as a Correction of ascending path.
GOOGLE: WHAT IT NEEDAlright, So we have on the left the D timeframe and on the right the 1h TF of Google.
The Last 5 days (L-week) we've been watching a fight between the Bulls and Bears at Resistance line of 1189 levels.
if we zoom out to D time frame we see the price back down after making highs hight of all time, and it's normal movement for any stock after making highs hight. Now, on the same time frame the price moving up and down in a flat way (sideways). for sure the Stochastic indicator will give a Buy sign because the price moving oversold after he breaks down the support line of his channel.
So, what it need?:
I expect the price will break the $1189 levels in 2 conditions,
1) More Liquidity come to the market
2) Good News comes up
Because if we Zoom In to 1h timeframe we can see how many time the price tried to break this level and failed.
GOOGLE: WAITIt's not hard to understand why Google price reverse backward, last Jul the price breaks out of the Upper-line of the channel and made a higher high and in the same point, we got a strong resistance line after the price gets into the channel one more time but this time it moves in sideways (flat). "so why the price keeps moving down after he gets into the channel?" the reason is if you take a look at stochastic you'll see the price in 'Overbought' and so it has to back down and break the Lower-line of the channel. Now if we wanna identify if the price gonna back upward we should wait and see if it gonna break the $1188.29 levels or not yet.
GOOGLE ($GOOGL) - Divs, divs and more divs. Which side will win?A quick glance at the Google chart shows clear, long term bear divs on both the weekly and daily time frames. This "correction" was long due, and is resulting in clear hidden bullish divergence (yet to be confirmed) on both the weekly and daily charts. Price touched a major demand zone, making this ripe for a bounce if the market behaves, and tech stocks do not continue their dip.