Google - This Can Be A Major Opportunity!Google ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ) is rejecting the resistance:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Over the past couple of years, Google has actually always been rejecting the upper channel resistance trendline with the only exception being the 2021 breakout. Following this previous behaviour, another bearish rejection is probable although bulls remain overall in control.
Levels to watch: $200, $150
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
GOOGLE I Potential growth within the ascending channelWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** GOOGLE Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
GOOGLE: Clear pattern of behavior begins to give warnings!!!On February 4th, Alphabet (Google) presented its results. The figures were positive, and show that the company's business continues to grow at a good pace (+13%). However, the slight disappointment of the cloud storage business caused the market to react with significant falls on the day of its publication (-7%) (February 4th). Since then it has not stopped falling, reaching a cumulative fall of almost -12% from its highs.
---> What does it look like technically?
If we look at the graph, there is a clear PATTERN of BEHAVIOR that has been repeated on the last 2 occasions in which Google experienced a correction phase.
---> What PATTERN are we talking about?
What is clearly observed in the graph is that the following 4 warnings occur (one after the other), before starting a new bullish impulse to attack highs:
1) Oscillator warns of overselling (blue diamond that can be seen in the oscillator at the bottom. I have painted a vertical blue line).
2) Once the oversold signal appears, the price is supported by its bullish trend line, which also always coincides with a Fibonacci retracement of between 50% and 61.8%.
3) The bullish (Bull) signal of MOMENTUM appears.
4) The FORCE also turns bullish (Bull) (the candles turn blue).
--> What happened today?
The oversold signal has appeared again in the oscillator (point 1), and it has also been supported by its bullish trend line which coincides with a Fibonacci retracement of almost 61.8% (point 2).
---> What do we need now to be sure that it will go for new highs?
That both the MOMENTUM and the STRENGTH turn bullish (Bull). At the moment they are still bearish and therefore we have to wait.
--- What strategy can we follow?
1) Aggressive profile: Enter long when the MOMENTUM turns bullish (Bull). (at point 3).
2) Conservative profile: Enter long when the MOMENTUM and the STRENGTH turn bullish (Bull). (enter long when point 4 occurs).
If everything goes as normal, tomorrow it is VERY LIKELY that we will see the bullish (Bull) MOMENTUM signal and therefore, we will be able to think about whether or not to go long depending on our investor profile.
Greetings and good trading!
$GOOGL .... LETS GET LOUD!!!Within the last month, we have watched NASDAQ:GOOGL get absolutely crushed, most of which has to do with a generally weak earnings report in early February. However, skepticism of this price action and investor sentiment is the only thing that should be on anyone's mind right now. One thing we know for a fact is that Google isn't going anywhere especially considering all the data they collect on their users. So why not apply this reasoning into buying the dip? To answer that, we should Look First/Then Leap ...
Here is the 4 Hour chart refencing back into September of 2024.
Let's start with the circle. The reason I have the area marked is because of the key factors in play that indicate we may possibly be bottoming out on this timeframe. Firstly, there are two lines to keep an eye on, a diagonal trendline and a horizontal price-level line. NASDAQ:GOOGL 's price action seems to obey these two levels (for whatever reason), which are coincidentally in the same area at the same time. Secondly, NASDAQ:GOOGL has just shown a rebound from the 400 EMA which also falls within this area giving a sort of "stars aligning" situation here. But the price action doesn't have to be the only thing we examine to analyze $GOOGL.
This is the MACD indicator on the 4 Hour timeframe referencing back to September of 2024.
This MACD chart shows the comparison between the last regional low for the MACD compared to the recent regional lows. Between these lows there is an interval of 76 to 78 calendar days (just over 2 and a half months) if I am not mistaken, which should strike some traders as very odd considering their similarity in distance. Amazingly, that's not even the weirdest part...
This is the combination of both charts.
How about that? Not only are the lengths between regional MACD lows similar, but NASDAQ:GOOGL 's returns between these periods are only roughly 2/3% in difference to each other. This just shows that there is more that what meets the eye when it comes to charting. Always look where others don't because that's where some keys are found.
In conclusion, I will be taking a long position on NASDAQ:GOOGL for the reasons stated above. When stars align like this, we are given no option but to act upon our rationality instead of our emotions...
Ever seen a more beautiful uptrend than this? $BBAIEver seen a more beautiful uptrend than this 15 min gem? 💎📈
And yes I alerted to buy it
And yes still holding and riding it for as long as uptrend continues to support 🤑
Simply doesn't get any better than being in fat profit already and continuing to stay PAYtience for as long as it wants to give more into uptrend
NYSE:BBAI
Alphabet (GOOGL) Stock Drops 10% – What's Behind the Decline?Alphabet (GOOGL) Stock Drops 10% – What's Behind the Decline?
As the stock chart for Alphabet (GOOGL) shows, on 4 February, the share price reached a historic high above $205. However, despite surpassing analysts’ expectations, GOOGL shares dropped sharply after the earnings report was released:
→ Earnings per share: actual = $2.15, forecast = $2.12
→ Gross revenue: actual = $187.8 billion, forecast = $187.3 billion
As a result, GOOGL's current price is approximately 10% below its all-time high. Market sentiment may have turned negative due to several factors:
→ Cloud revenue fell short of expectations, raising concerns about Alphabet’s ability to compete in the rapidly evolving AI sector.
→ Weaker-than-expected advertising revenue from Google, Alphabet’s core business. While advertising revenue grew by 10.6% to $72.46 billion in Q4 2024, analysts had anticipated a 12% increase.
→ Alphabet announced plans to significantly increase capital expenditures next year to around $75 billion, prompting questions about the impact on depreciation and profitability.
Additionally, news that China has launched an antitrust investigation into Alphabet—potentially in response to tariffs imposed on Chinese goods by the Trump administration—may have weighed on the stock price.
Technical Analysis of Alphabet (GOOGL)
GOOGL remains within an upward trend channel (marked in blue on the chart), with the price having pulled back to key support levels, including:
→ The lower boundary of this trend channel
→ The $180.90 level, marking the top of the bullish gap from 10 December
→ The psychological level of $180, which acted as resistance in late 2024 (indicated by arrows)
This suggests that the downward momentum caused by the earnings report could slow down or even reverse, meaning the current price action may be a pullback within the prevailing uptrend.
Should You Buy GOOGL Stock Now?
According to a report from The Smart Investor via Yahoo, investors should not be overly concerned, as:
→ Alphabet's strong cash flow will allow it to fund its planned $75 billion in capital investments without issue.
→ The company’s leadership stated that demand for its AI-driven products currently exceeds supply.
Meanwhile, analysts surveyed by TipRanks believe Alphabet can overcome its challenges:
→ 27 out of 37 analysts recommend buying GOOGL, with none advising to sell.
→ The 12-month average price target for GOOGL is $215.85.
Overall, while short-term volatility remains, long-term prospects for Alphabet appear solid. Investors with a longer time horizon may see this dip as a buying opportunity.
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Alphabet (Google) Stock Approaches Critical SupportIn recent sessions, Google's stock has recorded a decline of over 8% in just a couple of trading days, as market confidence weakens following the company's latest earnings report (February 4). Google Cloud services revenue grew by 30% , falling short of the expected 35% , signaling that competition in the cloud sector is becoming increasingly aggressive for Alphabet. This has dampened growth prospects for the company, leading to sustained selling pressure on the stock.
Uptrend at Risk
Google has maintained a solid uptrend since September 2024, with bullish momentum pushing the stock above the $200 per share level. However, the recent short-term bearish bias has cast doubts on the stock’s strength, as the price now approaches the trendline support level, where sellers must prove whether this movement is just a correction or a sign of a stronger bearish shift in the short term.
MACD Indicator
Currently, both the signal line and the MACD line have adopted a downward slope, while the histogram remains oscillating near the neutral 0 level. This indicates that the previous bullish dominance has faded, and if the histogram continues moving further away from the neutral zone, it could reinforce a stronger selling bias in the coming sessions.
Key Levels:
$200: The most important resistance level, aligning with previous highs in Google’s stock. A rebound to this level could revive the long-term uptrend.
$187: A critical new support zone, aligning with previous lows and the uptrend line support. Sustained movements below this level could reinforce the current bearish bias and threaten the long-term uptrend.
$173: A major support level, corresponding to previous neutral price zones. A breakdown to this level could signal the beginning of a much more extended downtrend.
By Julian Pineda, CFA - Market Analyst
GOOGLE: Historic profits!! What is the reason for the fall?GOOGLE has been falling on the stock market since late yesterday, after presenting its results with the market already closed. Google's parent company achieved a historic profit of more than 100 billion dollars and revenues for the entire year of 350 billion. However, its shares are dyed red in the pre-opening.
--> What is the reason for the fall?
One possible cause would be that the fourth quarter revenues did not reach what was expected, which see in these numbers a sign that Google's parent company was being affected by the increase in competition in the digital advertising market and the slowdown of its cloud computing business.
A second reason is that Google surpassed historic highs days ago and it could be a MANIPULATION and PROFIT-TAKING movement by some FUNDS taking advantage of the volatility of the value to present results. In any case, the results ARE GOOD and the TECHNICAL ASPECT is good, so if nothing strange happens, the trend in Google will continue to be bullish.
--> What technical aspect does it have now after the -7% fall?
If we look at the graph, the technical aspect is still clearly bullish (Bull). In addition, it did not lose any of its main supports, so we will continue to think about long positions.
--> When could we enter?
The table shown in the graph indicates that the MOMENTUM in H1, H4 and DAILY time frames is bearish (Bear) and also the STRENGTH in H1 is bearish (Bear). Therefore, to ensure that the pullback has ended, we have to wait for at least in H4 the MOMENTUM to turn bullish (Bull) again. And when could this happen? When the price exceeds the 198 zone, it is very likely that the IVO indicator will already show us bullish MOMENTUM ( Bull ).
(If it happens before, I will update the analysis to anticipate the entry).
--> What important support does Google have?
The 184 zone is a very important support zone that, if not respected, we could see a much deeper retracement phase.
-------------------------------------
Strategy to follow:
ENTRY: We will open 2 long positions if the H4 candle closes above 198.
POSITION 1 ( TP1 ): We close the first position in the 208 zone ( +4.8%)
--> Stop Loss at 188.9 ( -4.8%).
--> Ratio 1:1
POSITION 2 ( TP2 ): We open a Trailing Stop type position.
--> Initial dynamic Stop Loss at (-4.8%) (coinciding with the 188.9 of position 1).
---We modify the dynamic Stop Loss to (-1%) when the price reaches TP1 (208).
-------------------------------------------
SET UP EXPLANATIONS
*** How do we know which 2 long positions to open? Let's take an example: If we want to invest 2,000 euros in the stock, what we do is divide that amount by 2, and instead of opening 1 position of 2,000, we will open 2 positions of 1,000 each.
*** What is a Trailing Stop? A Trailing Stop allows a trade to continue gaining value when the market price moves in a favorable direction, but automatically closes the trade if the market price suddenly moves in an unfavorable direction by a certain distance. That certain distance is the dynamic Stop Loss.
-->Example: If the dynamic Stop Loss is at -1%, it means that if the price drops by -1%, the position will be closed. If the price rises, the Stop Loss also rises to maintain that -1% in the rises, therefore, the risk is increasingly lower until the position becomes profitable. In this way, very solid and stable price trends can be taken advantage of, maximizing profits.
Decent pullback Google looks opportunistic hereGoogle traded higher into earnings only to have a decent pullback afterhours. Its trading into support which in my opinion is a decent buying opportunity. AMD also sold off below 110 and has finally reached a measured move from the start of its sell off last summer.
Breaking: Alphabet ($GOOG) Shares Drop 7% in PremarketAlphabet Inc. (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:GOOG ) witnessed a significant 7% drop in premarket trading on Wednesday, driven by investor concerns over slowing cloud growth and the tech giant’s hefty $75 billion investment into artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure. This figure far exceeded Wall Street’s projected $58 billion, raising doubts about the necessity and efficiency of such high spending.
AI Investment and Competitive Pressure
Alphabet has been aggressively investing in AI research and its integration across Google Search, Cloud services, and other platforms. However, the emergence of China’s low-cost DeepSeek AI model—which reportedly rivals leading U.S. AI models—has triggered discussions about whether Big Tech companies need to allocate billions toward AI advancements.
Cloud Growth Concerns
Alphabet's cloud division reported a 30% revenue increase to $11.96 billion in Q4, but this marked a slowdown compared to the 35% growth in Q3. In contrast, Microsoft Azure saw a 31% increase, while Amazon Web Services (AMZN) is projected to post only a 19% rise. Despite the slowdown, analysts believe the surging demand for AI-powered cloud computing will keep the long-term outlook positive for Alphabet’s cloud business.
Advertising Challenges
Beyond AI and cloud investments, Alphabet is grappling with fierce competition in the digital advertising space. With marketers increasingly shifting to social media-driven ad platforms like Meta’s Facebook and Instagram, and ByteDance’s TikTok, Google’s traditional ad model faces mounting pressure.
Technical Analysis
At the time of writing, NASDAQ:GOOG shares are down 6.75%, signaling a potential bearish continuation pattern. The stock appears poised to form a gap-down pattern, a bearish technical indicator that may lead to further downside pressure.
- Support Levels:* The first minor support lies at $197, aligning with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. A breakdown below this level could result in gap-filling towards $185-$190.
- Major Structural Support: The BOS (Break of Structure) level is set at $155. A dip to this level could trigger further bearish sentiment and result in deeper losses.
- Moving Averages: Despite the premarket decline, NASDAQ:GOOG remains above key moving averages, suggesting that the broader trend remains bullish unless further downside momentum builds.
- RSI Positioning: Prior to this drop, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) was at 64, indicating that the stock was not overbought. This means the decline is not necessarily a reaction to overvaluation but rather a response to external market forces and investor sentiment.
Market Sentiment and Analyst Outlook
While some brokerage firms have cut their price targets on Alphabet, the median price target now stands at $220—still above its current premarket trading price of $191.20. Alphabet’s stock had gained 9% in 2024 before this drop, outperforming Amazon’s 10.3% gain and Microsoft’s -2.2% decline.
Conclusion
Despite the current dip, Alphabet’s long-term prospects in AI and cloud computing remain strong. The significant AI investment could prove to be a long-term advantage if it strengthens Alphabet’s competitive positioning. However, traders should closely monitor key support levels ($197 and $155) and whether the stock can hold above key moving averages.
For long-term investors, the recent drop could present a buying opportunity, but in the short term, further downside volatility is possible as market sentiment adjusts to Alphabet’s spending strategy. The coming days will be crucial in determining whether NASDAQ:GOOG can recover swiftly or continue its downward trajectory.
GOOGLE Buy the earnings dip and Target $215.Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) has been trading within a Channel Up since the September 09 2024 Low. Just last Friday it formed a Bullish Cross on its 1D MACD and is rising, which inside this Channel Up pattern, has been a strong buy signal.
Given that the company's Earnings miss will force the stock to open near or at the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), take this excellent dip opportunity to buy the technical pattern and target $215, which is the standard +15% Higher Lows rebound the Channel had on each Bullish Leg.
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Alphabet (GOOGL) Analysis – Potential Downside RisksAlphabet is currently trading at $205. While it could still move higher, several factors might drive the price lower soon:
Extended Distance from 55 EMA:
The stock hasn’t touched the 55-day EMA for 147 days. While this doesn’t mean a pullback will happen immediately, a sharper downside move is possible.
Bearish Divergence:
The RSI has formed a lower high, while the price has made a higher high, signaling a potential bearish divergence.
Fundamental Risks – AI & Earnings:
Earnings Report on Tuesday:
Alphabet will report its earnings, and investors will focus on its high AI-related expenditures.
Revenue Growth Concerns:
The company may have experienced slower revenue growth in Q4 due to weakness in advertising and cloud services.
Competitive Pressure in AI:
Chinese startup DeepSeek recently launched low-cost AI models, raising concerns over a potential AI price war, which could impact Alphabet’s profitability.
While Alphabet remains strong, combining technical weakness and fundamental risks (earnings pressure, AI spending, and increased competition) could lead to a correction. If a pullback occurs, the 55 EMA could act as a key support level.
92% of positions are long. We all know the old saying—most people lose in trading. So if 92% of the market is long, we should at least be short for the moment.
This extreme bullish positioning suggests a potential contrarian opportunity, as overly crowded trades often lead to sharp reversals.
Google: Room to Head HigherFor the past two months, GOOGL has been stuck in a sluggish sideways phase, with even its latest breakout attempt quickly sold off. During the magenta wave , we still expect a new high, though a direct transition into the subsequent wave remains technically possible. In our 33% likely alternative scenario, we would have to reckon with a significantly delayed continuation of the overarching upward cycle. In this case, GOOGL would still be working through the (intermediate) correction of the green wave alt. , which would bottom below the support at $147.22.
GOOG - google alphabet - tonight AMC earningsGOOG
tonight AMC is the earnings report
I would stay cautios and i don't hold for those earnings, on the contrary, I may buy some puts.
There is a bearish divergence in the hourly and 1D chart.
And there is an open gap between 177-183$
So cautios is needed in here.
NFA
GOOGLE $GOOG | AD DOLLARS & AI POWER, GOOGLE'S EARNINGS Feb4'25GOOGLE NASDAQ:GOOG | AD DOLLARS & AI POWER, GOOGLE'S EARNINGS ALPHABET'S EARNINGS Feb4'25
Google Zones:
Google BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $199.00 - $215.00
Google DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $193.50 - $199.00
Google SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $180.00 - $193.50
Google Trends:
Google Weekly Trend: Bullish
Google Daily Trend: Bullish
Google 4H Trend: Bullish
Google 1H Trend: Bullish
NASDAQ:GOOG earnings are set for Tuesday, Feb 4 (post-market), will the earnings report fuel further upside, or is a pullback on the horizon? All of my timeframes on my indicator show bullish trends. NASDAQ:GOOG has been in a strong uptrend since early December, gaining ~15% since Dec 9. Leading up to earnings, price formed an ascending pattern, breaking out past resistance on Jan 30. My bullish zone projects a ~6% upside, while the bearish zone mirrors this range.
I am linking my previous NASDAQ:GOOG analysis, from nearly a year ago.
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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AAPL 1.22.2025 IdeaMy assessment is a fair price on the stock of $230 per share. AAPL now sitting at $222.5, I believe there is a high probability for a 5% up move within a few months.
Entry would be favorable if AAPL =< $220. I would enter direct shares here.
AAPL is of those companies that will be affected by tariffs. However, AAPL has benefitted from expanding its services economy. In other words, AAPL is not reliant on iPhone sales to drive their FCF. This opportunity is one for those looking for a discount on a MAG 7. Just be patient! But be flexible and anticipate further disruptions.
GOOGLE INC. (NASDAQ: GOOG) ANALYSIS AND TRADING PLANWelcome to a detailed analysis of Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG). Using advanced analytical tools, including the proprietary TheWaved™ platform, this report dissects recent market behavior and provides actionable insights for traders and investors. Let’s explore the technical and fundamental dynamics of the stock and forecast future price movements with key support and resistance zones.
Overview of Current Market Position
Ticker: NASDAQ-GOOG
Current Price: $193.52
52-Week High: $202.88 (28 days ago)
52-Week Low: $83.45 (803 days ago)
Key Indicators:
RSI (14): 54.92 (neutral)
MFI (60): 41.67 (indicating low buying pressure)
Moving Averages (Daily):
MA50: $183.31
MA100: $173.39
MA200: $172.54
Technical Analysis
Support Levels:
187.16 | 185.08 | 181.41 | 176.09 | 173.53
Resistance Levels:
202.88 | 197.62 | 194.55
Moving Averages Insight:
The stock trades slightly below the MA50 and MA100 on the daily chart, indicating a potential bearish short-term outlook. However, the long-term trend remains intact as the price remains above MA200.
VSA Patterns:
Recent trading sessions highlighted critical Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) patterns:
Sell Volumes Max (2025-01-13 14:00 UTC): Increased sell volumes pushed prices down by 4.42%.
VSA Buy Pattern 3 (2025-01-13 10:00 UTC): Signals potential for a rebound after testing lower supports.
Trendline and Channel Analysis:
GOOG’s price action is constrained within an ascending channel since October 2024. The lower boundary aligns with the $188.00 support zone, while the upper resistance lies near $202.00.
Price Action Insight:
The recent lower highs and consistent rejection at $194.71 suggest a strong overhead supply zone. A break and close above $195.00 will be a decisive bullish trigger.
Key Oscillators:
RSI indicates no overbought/oversold condition, leaving room for directional moves.
Stochastic cross above 50 strengthens the probability of an upward trajectory.
Fundamental Analysis
Google continues to show robust performance driven by its advertising and cloud businesses. Recent developments include:
Q4 Earnings are expected to show a revenue growth of 11% YOY, boosted by robust ad demand and cloud service expansion.
Strong financial metrics: Cash reserves of $130 billion with minimal debt.
AI innovations: Google’s advancements in AI-based ad targeting offer a competitive edge over rivals.
Market sentiment: Increasing institutional accumulation as hedge funds position for long-term growth.
Forecast and Trading Plan
Short-Term Projection:
Price action indicates consolidation within $188.00-$195.00. Traders should monitor the $195.00 breakout level closely.
Medium-Term Projection:
Given the strength in fundamentals and supportive technicals, we anticipate an upward breakout, testing $202.88.
Long-Term Projection:
Once the stock decisively clears $202.88, a rally towards $215.00-$220.00 could unfold, aligning with the next Fibonacci extensions.
Trade Levels:
Entry: Buy at $188.00-$189.50 after confirmation of support.
Stop-Loss: Place at $185.00.
Take-Profit Targets:
Target 1: $195.00
Target 2: $202.88
Target 3: $215.00
Bearish Scenario:
A breakdown below $185.00 could accelerate selling pressure towards $176.00. In this scenario, adopt a defensive approach or short-term bearish bias.
Risk Management:
Maintain a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:3. Leverage smaller position sizes when trading near key support or resistance levels.
Conclusion
The technical and fundamental landscape for GOOG appears balanced, with bullish potential outweighing downside risks. Short-term traders can capitalize on the current consolidation phase, while long-term investors may find value in accumulating positions near support zones. Using TheWaved™’s advanced analytics, we’ll provide real-time updates as price action unfolds.
Concept of Rays
Explanation of the "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" Concept
Core Idea
My proprietary analysis method is based on using rays constructed on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles. These rays create a system of dynamic levels that help predict precise asset movements and identify key zones where price interactions occur. Price interaction with these rays signals probable scenarios: either a reversal or a continuation of movement, but only after interaction and the appearance of dynamic factors and patterns.
Why Predicting Specific Levels is Not Possible
Financial markets are nonlinear systems, where price movement is determined by numerous variables, including market volumes, liquidity, macroeconomic factors, and participant psychology. Instead of attempting to predict specific levels, I propose analyzing probabilities of price reaction at pre-calculated key zones. Price interaction with rays provides additional insights into the direction and strength of movement.
How Rays Work
Fibonacci Rays: Each ray corresponds to a specific angle of inclination, which is mathematically significant and correlates with natural proportions and the start of movement.
Primary Advantage: Rays are constructed from the beginning of a movement pattern, rather than traditional extremum points commonly used in classical technical analysis. This allows for the rapid and accurate accounting of new trend or corrective movement phases.
Adaptability: When a new pattern emerges, rays are automatically adjusted to show the potential movement range. Price may exit this range and enter another, interacting similarly with a different ray.
Rays are Ascending and Descending: They define the boundary of the movement channel.
If you have questions or need personalized analysis for other stocks, feel free to reach out in direct messages. All indicators and tools mentioned are available via our profile link.
Thank you for reading, and as always, trade safely and strategically!
Denis Mikheev - TheWaved™
TSM 246 BY 2025 High Demand for Advanced Chips: TSMC is at the forefront of producing chips for AI, 5G, and IoT applications. The increasing demand for these technologies, especially AI chips which power both consumer and enterprise solutions, could drive revenue growth. Posts on X and web results show TSMC's Q3 2024 earnings were significantly up year-over-year due to AI demand, suggesting a strong trajectory for chip sales.
Technological Leadership: TSMC's ability to manufacture chips at smaller process nodes (like 3nm and the upcoming 2nm) gives it a competitive edge over rivals. The company's advancements in semiconductor technology are critical for producing high-performance, energy-efficient chips. Web results discuss the introduction of 2nm chips in 2025, which could further solidify TSMC's market position and justify a higher stock valuation.
Customer Base and Market Share: TSMC services major tech companies like Apple, Nvidia, and AMD, giving it a stable and growing customer base. Its dominance in the foundry market (over 50% market share) means it's integral to the success of many tech products. The company's partnerships, particularly with Nvidia for AI chips, as noted in posts on X, could significantly boost its revenue.
Geopolitical Strategy: While there are risks associated with Taiwan's geopolitical situation, TSMC's strategy of diversifying its manufacturing base (e.g., expanding in the U.S., Japan, and Europe) mitigates some of these risks. This expansion could tap into new markets and reduce dependency on its facilities in Taiwan, potentially stabilizing or even increasing investor confidence.
Financial Performance: TSMC has demonstrated strong financial health with consistent revenue growth, impressive profit margins, and substantial free cash flow. According to web results, TSMC's revenue growth rate could reach 20%-25% in 2025, with a gross margin potentially peaking at 50%, which could positively impact its stock price.
Investment in R&D and Capacity Expansion: TSMC's commitment to R&D ensures it remains at the cutting edge of semiconductor technology. The company's plans for capacity expansion, particularly in advanced processes, are designed to meet the growing demand. The increased capacity for CoWoS packaging, as mentioned in posts on X, is expected to address the robust demand driven by AI.
Analyst Forecasts and Market Sentiment: Analysts have been bullish on TSMC, with some predicting that the stock could hit high targets due to its pivotal role in tech supply chains. Web results from financial analysts and stock forecast sites suggest positive sentiment, with some projecting the stock to reach or exceed $246 by 2025 based on current trends and forecasts.
Long-term Growth Prospects: The semiconductor industry is expected to grow due to the proliferation of connected devices, data centers, and the automotive sector moving towards more electrification and automation. TSMC's position in this landscape suggests long-term growth, which could drive its stock price higher.
$LAES to the MOON!!As quantum computers begin to enter the market such as Google with Willow, I am already in favor of the next generation of digital processors.
Think about NASDAQ:NVDA and their $3 trillion dollar market cap. Loving this stock at $2 when I first heard about it and saw prices surge quickly over $9.
Currently adding positions and keeping a close eye on previous ATH for this stock. Knowing with momentum and development prices will be over $100 within the next couple years.
First target is $30.00, followed by $65, then $150...
Happy Trading. May 2025 be a phenomenal year for us all.
Clear 61.80 retracement touch with momentum and continuation for the next push.