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The End of an Era: Is Google's Reign Over?I believe that right now is an incredible time to short googles stock, The challenges facing it over the next few years could topple its position as an industry leader. Current price: 105.35 Target 1: 90.55 (-14%) Target 2: 74.50 (-29%) The regulatory scrutiny that Google is facing is a significant threat to the company's future. If the company is found guilty of antitrust violations, it could face substantial fines and restrictions on its business practices, which could lead to a loss of market share and revenue. Moreover, the negative publicity generated by these investigations could harm Google's brand image and reputation. In addition to regulatory scrutiny, Google is also facing increased competition from Microsoft's backed venture OpenAI. OpenAI is a major player in the artificial intelligence (AI) space, and is rapidly expanding its capabilities in natural language processing, computer vision, and other areas. As Google relies heavily on AI for many of its products and services, such as search and Google Assistant, increased competition in this area could pose a significant threat to the company's market position. These challenges have already had an impact on Google's stock price, which has fallen from its all-time high of $150.70 in November 2021 to its current level of $105.30. This decline is likely due in part to concerns about regulatory scrutiny and competition from OpenAI. Looking ahead, it is difficult to predict with certainty what the future holds for Google. However, it is clear that the company will need to address the regulatory concerns and navigate the increasingly competitive landscape if it hopes to maintain its market position and continue to grow. If it can successfully address these challenges and continue to innovate and adapt, Google could emerge from this period of uncertainty even stronger than before. However, if it fails to do so, its stock price could continue to decline, and its market position could be threatened.
CAPITALCOM:GOOGShort
by Helios_Capital_Investment
2
Google - A Manipulation Dump and an Antitrust Exit PumpIf you have a taste for anything like freedom of speech, neither Google nor YouTube are companies you will like. This thing started as a search engine that actually had the motto "Don't Be Evil" before it was corrupted by the Chinese Communist Party when "very smart people" wanted to get it into China. You see, doing business with "China" right now always means licking the boots of the "Chinese Communist Party." This means you have to toe the Party Line, and that means topics like the June 4 Tiananmen Square Massacre and the persecution against Falun Gong, and Hong Kong democracy have to be suppressed in accordance with whatever the regime says during the previous, current, and future 2 hour periods of each and every day. It was then that Google developed a taste for its own form of shadowbanning and thought itself smart to roll out the CCP's ethos into its worldwide business model. When you search for content you get curated whatever gibberished and extreme leftist-establishment stuff it thinks it can give you to either attempt to nudge your opinion and values (DONALD TRUMP BAD!), or to just cover up the truth (try finding an update on the pandemic situation in China that isn't 2 weeks old). As scary as all of that is, more terrifying is the way that Google is able to control the editorial direction of every single website on the planet, especially news media, by strictly controlling the web ads market, which it has controlled 90% of for many years. Don't want to follow the Party's edicts on stuff like the Marxist revolutionary group Black Lives Matter destroying cities? Don't want to promote masking, social distancing, and mandatory vaccination during a "pandemic"? Then they take your site's ad revenue away, for real. Hint: there aren't many ways to make money with a website whose product is free words ("news") besides advertisements. On Jan. 24 the US Department of Justice finally launched an antitrust suit against Google , seeking to financially penalize and force Google to divest its share of the markets. What's scary about this for investors is that Google inked $209 billion in revenue from web ads in 2021. According to Q3 Financials, ~$167 billion of its $207 billion in revenue for the 9 months ending in September 2022 came from web advertisements. This part of its business is pretty much what Google actually is. The search engine is really just there to dominate the Internet for the purposes of keeping the ad revenue train clutched in their own claws. And curiously, when the DOJ made the suit's announcement, Google's share price only fell $6, and over the course of two days, before rebounding in the big tech short squeeze. This is kind of a big deal because Google losing its web ad business means Google goes out of business, and US Government antitrust lawsuits aren't this kind of thing that they drop one day or that the courts or a jury will side against the administration on. Google's Q4/FY22 earnings is Feb. 2 postmarket. This timing is especially significant considering that the FOMC rate hike is Feb. 1. The question when facing a strange price action situation underwritten by big fundamental changes with multiple culminating timing catalysts is always: Is the stock going to go up or is it going to go down? The thing about Google's monthly bars is there's a very small gap at $81.05, which was conveniently evaded in the October dump and kept off during the Nov-December market retrace. The clearest view of overall price action is on the weekly candles: My thesis is that Google will have a terrible earnings call, regardless of whatever data it puts out, because of the pending lawsuit. I suspect markets will bear trap with FOMC, regardless of the fundamentals. All of these come together to make me believe that February prints $79-$81. Makes for a nice 25% short. But when this arrives, I believe Google and the Nasdaq in general will actually turn around and really trend hard upwards, regardless of the fundamentals. This makes for a nice 29.5% long if Google really only retraces into the $95 gap, and a 50%+ long if she goes into the $81 range. I believe the reason a tech pump will happen is because the sector attracts the biggest suckers (retail, Robinhood, Reddit, Cathy Woods, Jim Cramer) and Wall Street will be using them to empty their bags. Citadel and JPM and friends always buy low and sell high. They don't buy high and sell low. That's what you do. If banks and funds did that, they'd be broke like you are, and we'd have Bear Sterns every month. Once big tech starts to trend upwards, you have to be careful. The market will more or less do what Tesla did the last two weeks and just go uppy as weekly puts expire worthless. And there will be no real sign of anything fundamental that should stop the train. Everyone will flip bullish for one reason or another (mah 200 DMA, meh trendlines, moh 76.321847234% Fibonacci) and it'll seem like it's time to get back to the good old days of 2021. But it's not 2021. It's 2023, and everything is broken. Summer is going to be harsh, and Autumn will scare you. And then the Chinese Communist Party will be destroyed by Wuhan Pneumonia seemingly overnight, and all the plans will be interrupted. My advice to traders is to just risk a lot less and try to keep your risk within your winnings as much as possible. Also, if you really do see a black swan with China that crashes markets, don't buy that dip. Not even a scalp. It won't be like COVID hysteria was with 1,000 point up and down swings on the Dow this time. Everything will just gap down and stay down. Liquidity will be a precious commodity. One thing I've learned is that people never believe in what they think can't happen until it's unfolding in front of their face. Then they come back and are like "Wow it really did happen!" Even I am subject to that flaw, because the length of time things take to unfold makes actually believing you are right very, very difficult. That being said, I believe that we're looking at overall feverish bull market hysteria heading into May. But what happens starting in May and heading into July is very likely going to change everyone's lives forever and ever.
NASDAQ:GOOGLong
by LordWrymouth
6
Google -> The Stock Is BackHello Traders, welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis . On the weekly timeframe you can see that Google stock has been trading in a range for quite some time now, you can also see that the upper resistance of this trading range is exactly at $105. You can also see that we are currently again retesting this resistance area, from a weekly perspective the market seems definitely ready for a breakout so I think that this time Google stock will actually break above this key resistance area. On the daily timeframe I am now just waiting for a breakout above this resistance area and if we then get a retest and bullish confirmation, it is quite likely that from there we will then see more continuation towards the upside. Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow! You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
NASDAQ:GOOGLong
by basictradingtv
34
GOOGL Long Term AnalysisNASDAQ:GOOGL Hi guys, So this is my analysis for GOOGL . Please bear in mind that this is a long term analysis and it could take time to play out. As you can see GOOGL was in a clear Uptrend (Higher Highs, Higher Lows). We created ATH in November 2021 and since then price tried to break that level in January 2022 but that attempt to break it was not successful. We created Lower High and finally in April 2022 trendline indicating uptrend was broken. Since then as you can see, price is creating Lower Highs and Lower Lows indicating we are in Downtrend. Possible reversal zones are Monthly Fibonacci Levels and Historical Demand Zones (where people are BUYING this stock). So that is a pretty nice alignment if you ask me and this are the zones I will be looking to place some buys if we reach them. For GOOGL to go up we need to break previous Lower High and of course a Downtrend Trendline as you can see on the chart. However, this can happen even now if this Lower Low holds and we start creating Higher Highs and Higher Lows to indicate return of the BUYERS and potential Uptrend, then we just follow the break of each Lower High from the past and that is exactly the point where you can consider taking some profit as these are the points where price is likely to make a pullback. This is not a financial advice :) Trade safe
NASDAQ:GOOGLLong
by Matko_MJ
SVB: Announces bankruptcy! The situation at Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) is not particularly complicated. In short, they borrowed short and invested long, mismanaged their liquidity, and caused their own demise. The specific steps were as follows: low-interest deposit-taking, overzealous investment in Mortgage-Backed Securities (MBS), short-term liquidity gaps, forced selling of assets, and market panic. Low-interest deposit-taking: Between 2020 and 2021, due to the Federal Reserve's extended period of 0% interest rates, there was a huge financing boom in the tech industry, with a significant portion of cash flowing into SVB. SVB's deposit liabilities surged from $61.8 billion at the end of 2019 to $189.2 billion at the end of 2021, with interest rates on this portion of deposits only around 0.25%. Overzealous investment in MBS: With so much low-interest money, SVB naturally engaged in carry trade. Typically, banks focus on lending, but SVB invested a large portion of its funds in MBS. Their financial statements showed they held $13.8 billion of MBS at the end of 2019, which had grown to $98.2 billion by the end of 2021. In other words, over 65% of the deposits they took in went towards buying MBS. Short-term liquidity gap: Normally, investing in MBS is not a problem because they can be redeemed at maturity. But SVB's problem was that it held too many MBS and had too few short-term liquid assets. In today's high-interest rate environment, tech companies are struggling to survive and are gradually withdrawing money from their deposits, causing SVB's liquidity pressures to soar. Forced selling of assets: To solve the liquidity problem, management chose the cheapest option, which was to sell their MBS holdings. But now, market interest rates had increased from nearly 0 to 5% for 2-year Treasury bonds, and asset prices had fallen significantly in sync. Selling $21 billion of assets resulted in an $1.8 billion loss. Market panic: For SVB, the $1.8 billion loss was still manageable because their shareholder equity was $16 billion. However, the problem was with the $100 billion of MBS that they had not yet sold. If there was a run on the bank, this could result in a potential loss of $15 billion, causing SVB to go bankrupt. Therefore, there was a great deal of panic in the market, causing the stock price to plummet by 60% in a single day. SVB has now declared bankruptcy, and the US government has intervened. It is being managed by a specialized institution. When a bank of this size collapses, there are bound to be chain reactions. The institutions known to be affected include Circle. For those who invest in stocks, they may not have heard of it, but those who invest in cryptocurrencies certainly have, as the most famous stablecoin, USDC, is issued by Circle. The total amount is $40 billion, and in today's announcement, they revealed that $3.3 billion of their assets were stuck in SVB, accounting for almost 8%. This means that those who invest in cryptocurrencies suddenly find that their $100 has shrunk to $92. To say that it's a seismic event is not an exaggeration. There are likely dozens of institutions of a similar scale to Circle that are also trapped, but for various reasons, they are not disclosing their situation. We'll have to wait and see when they come forward. Follow me and you'll get more interesting investment information! Plus, I'll share real-time trading strategies during trading hours, including stocks, gold, crude oil, forex, cryptocurrencies, and more!
S
by EagleEyeStrategy
22
ALPHABET INC ( NASDAQ:GOOGLE) Buying OpportunityMarketBeat reports: Saddle Point Management L.P. bought a new position in Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOGL - Get Rating) in the 3rd quarter, according to its most recent disclosure with the Securities & Exchange Commission. The fund bought 2,652 shares of the information services provider's stock, valued at approximately $254,000. Alphabet comprises approximately 8.8% of Saddle Point Management L.P.'s holdings, making the stock its 7th largest holding. Other large investors have also recently made changes to their positions in the company. ( Positions Increased) GOOGLE has been the topic of a number of recent analyst reports. Loop Capital increased its price objective on shares of Alphabet from $120.00 to $125.00 and gave the company a "buy" rating in a research report on Wednesday, February 8th. Morgan Stanley increased their target price on shares of Alphabet from $125.00 to $135.00 and gave the company an "overweight" rating in a research report on Friday, February 3rd. Barclays increased their target price on shares of Alphabet from $150.00 to $160.00 and gave the company an "overweight" rating in a research report on Friday, February 3rd. MKM Partners increased their target price on shares of Alphabet from $120.00 to $126.00 in a research report on Friday, February 3rd. Finally, Rosenblatt Securities dropped their target price on shares of Alphabet from $130.00 to $128.00 and set a "buy" rating on the stock in a research report on Friday, February 3rd. Five research analysts have rated the stock with a hold rating, thirty-three have given a buy rating and one has issued a strong buy rating to the company. According to data from MarketBeat, the company has a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy" and a consensus price target of $132.32. Technical Overview and Our Trade Idea Strong Support Zone: 83.00 $ – 86.00 $ Closing Price: 90.90 $ Cycle Sniper Bullish Deviation on Daily but headed south. Buy: If the price tests and holds the support. Strong Buy: When the price breaks and closes above 97.00 $ Targets: 100$, 106$, 115$, 122$. Good Luck!
NASDAQ:GOOGLong
by chartreader_pro
036. PIGGISH PLAY - Long Alphabet Inc. (GOOG)I hate to say it but I love Google. Everything it touches is amazing. And that's all for fundamental analysis. On the technical side, the stock has been showing signs of major bullish life. For the past month, I've observed that GOOG outpaces the market significantly on green days and also shows strength on red days. Moreover, I believe we are witnessing the start of a new bull market - as per the decennial cycle since market immemorial. The historically best period to invest money in stocks is every other "2" year - "6" year. In other words, 2022 - 2026 would qualify as such a period. which is now. On the more technical side, I have displayed a simple Fibonacci retracement from the prior highs and is perfectly aligned with the subsequent peaks and troughs of the bear run down. The trade is to 152 for now, using Calls expiring in August and are at the current money. Play this one long and safe for the next half year and definitely use it as a cornerstone in your new bullish portfolio. - Pigoogly Pig NASDAQ:GOOG SKILLING:NASDAQ SP:SPX
NASDAQ:GOOGLong
by UnknownUnicorn5511258
6
The GOOG ... RevisitedI had published an idea on GOOG in August suggesting one more decline to finish the correction. Here I am again suggesting the same. It looks like a double zigzag correction has unfolded... There should be a move to the lower channel line ahead...a pretty significant move. Position a short on a retracement at a little higher price? You could use a price over the white trendline as a stop point. Here is a weekly using candle bars for an alternate view
NASDAQ:GOOGShort
by oliverrathbun
GOOGL, 10d+/39.76%rising cycle 39.76% in 10 days. ================================================================================================================================================================== This data is analyzed by robots. Analyze historical trends based on The Adam Theory of Markets (20 moving averages/60 moving averages/120 moving averages/240 moving averages) and estimate the trend in the next 10 days. The white line is the robot's expected price, and the upper and lower horizontal line stop loss and stop profit prices have no financial basis. The results are for reference only.
NASDAQ:GOOGLLong
by Tonyder
Nasdaq NQ QQQ - Reality Will Be a Tough Pill for PermabearsNo matter how much you read in the establishment media or in the narrative-controlled and socially engineered Twitter and Discord and Reddit forums about "recession" this and "bear market" that, the reality is that while some individual stocks have certainly been a bear market for well over a year, the indexes are not a bear market. I made the call back at the beginning of November that the Nasdaq would head towards 14,000. The results were that it went up to 12,000 and came back near the lows, and three months has passed. Nasdaq NQ - Unpopular Opinion #2,118: 14,000 is Coming Price action is easy, timing is hard. That's the most significant thing I have enlightened to. But here we are in February after a serious rally, and now that the post-FOMC pump has come and gone, the narrative has become "this is the top" and "the crash is coming." However, just look at the weekly and monthly bars. This isn't bear market stuff. Monthly The literal last five months of Nasdaq futures has been a psychological operation against the COVID-June and COVID-October trendlines and the 2022 low of the year. It's incredibly obvious on the weekly candles Weekly The most notable thing is that the end of the year did not breach the October low, and 2023 opened with a big bounce. This tells us both that the low of the year isn't very likely to have transpired yet, and that we're still far away from a LOY unfolding. Moreover, I've seen posts on Twitter that were tracking the SPX and the VIX against the 2008 GFC, 2002, and even the Dot Com bubble, and the January bullish divergence has thrown out all the prior price action to at least the 1970s crashes. It's time for a revolution in our thinking. What people don't understand or want to understand about the fundamentals is that when the fundamentals are bad, price is often bound to do what's contrary to expectations, and go up. So long as the market makers have time to work with, they will raise the prices and raise the prices for the purposes of selling YOU, retail dead money, the stocks they've held for a long time and bought more of at each successive low, at higher and higher prices in anticipation of the real crash. The secondary effect this has is that while you're told by whoever it is that you're consciously or unconsciously taking orders from that the markets are about to crash BECAUSE RECESSION, FED FUNDS RATE, PROFIT/EARNINGS TOO HIGH, you're buying puts while it goes up. They expire worthless, you blow your account, and some Chad at JP Morgan goes for Happy Hour at 1:00 and wakes up under his car after a prostitute stole his Rolex. Modern human life is total garbage. Return to tradition and find art and family again. What's important about where we're at right now is that Nasdaq has finally retraced to its September CPI dump candle pivot, which it failed to breach, and looks to be setting up a double top after Friday's pullback. In my opinion, we're about to get a very nice pullback that will serve as a simultaneous scare to shake out longs, and also a trap for permabears to leverage their entire accounts on puts and 1.5-3x short ETFs. I'm specifically looking for a dump back under 12,000, which I believe is a long for price action that will take out the August highs by the end of March. If you don't believe that Nasdaq can take out the August highs, then let me ask you a question: Why did the Dow, the most bearish of all indexes, take out the August highs in the middle of December? In fact, the Dow as it stands is less than 10% away from setting a new all time high. After what now amounts to 3 months of market action that isn't going lower combined with the Federal Reserve slowing its rate hikes, ask yourself why you think stocks should go down? The truth is that the markets are going to crash. A terrifying market crash unlike the others has been arranged. But why do you think that the indexes either setting new highs, or doing a 76% retracement to the old highs, or setting a double top at the old highs, is out of the question before it unfolds? Nobody has an answer to that, besides that they think it's out of the realm of possibility, for really no reason at all. What you think can happen has nothing to do with what is actually happening, and this is the fatal flaw of an ordinary person, who only believes in what they can see while refusing to believe in what they cannot see. Once the truth stands before your eyes, it's too late to profit. All you can do is feel regret that you missed the opportunity. Not so bad with the stock market, but when it comes to major things in life, there are no mulligans in the Cosmos. Nasdaq to 14,500 by the end of March is my call. Buy the February dip if we get one and take profit over the old highs. Red Communist China is the Blackest Swan As always, you need to be careful in bullish market conditions, because an enormous black swan exists lingering in wait. That black swan is the Wuhan Pneumonia situation in mainland China as Xi Jinping and his Chinese Communist Party are on the verge of collapse. The CCP claims that 85,000 people (~54/1 million on a population-adjusted basis) have died from COVID since the pandemic began. This is despite the virus being engineered there, patient zero being in Wuhan, and the country being the most populous in the world. For comparison's sake, the US has a quarter the population, but has lost 1.1 million people (3,000~/1 million) to COVID. Even nearby Japan is posting 600 deaths per million people. Is it really realistic to believe the Party has suffered a factor of 60 fewer losses than a country across the ocean? And this is the same CCP that is a lying, murderous regime who has gone so far as to commit the unprecedented crime of organ harvesting during its persecution of Falun Gong. The same CCP that covered up the 2003 SARS pandemic and made it seem to the outside world that barely anyone died. The same CCP that every single human being who wants a future should be opposing with all of their might. If you don't want a future, why are you trying to make money trading stocks? If you lose your future, can you spend your winnings and have a happy life? It's up to you what you believe. An ordinary human has the flaw where they don't believe anything that isn't in front of their face, which is why they like to fall for the lies of establishment media and social media influencers. The wise ones figure it out before the cards turn face up on the river and the dealer awards the pot, though. The fools get stacked and will lose more than just some casino chips.
CME_MINI:NQ1!Long
by LordWrymouth
12