Google vs Apple; How Android will kill Apple.Fact;
- Apple (iPhone, etc.) is entirely (100%) sourced from China;
- Google (Android) is 100% sourced from S. Korea & Japan.
1) Considering the abject population collapse - and massive DE-industralization!! - of China, it will take YEARS for Apple to relocate it's entire supply chain. (To N. America?) E.g. Apple will be lucky to bring out a new iPhone every other year - even that being overly optimistic.
2) Barring an outright armed conflict between S. Korea and Japan (very unlikely) Google's supply chain should be just fine, mostly unaffected by the coming Chinese de-urbanization and de-industrialization. (... which China will be forced to endure in order to feed the *** 800 million Chinese ***, which is what will be left in that country, by 2035.)
When will this purported Chinese population collapse and total de-industrialization begin?? ... You are in it!
(It is well worth to pay attention to it because it will (continue to) be spectacular!!)
Simultaneously, the technical picture is also very favorable for the upside, in this spread.
GOOGLE (GOOG) Trade UpdatesGoogle (GOOG) Trade Updates
I entered November (see previous post) near the bottom with a price of 85.87, a profit of 13% so far, but the road is still long.
The volume knot near POC held up well, but the upper areas are very well covered.
Here too, as for AMZN, my target is the historical highs, even if for the medium term, the target is $115-120.
To keep an eye on earnings, Google is a company that I personally consider on a par with Apple, despite having a lower market cap, but has recently had some internal problems, which have seen significant layoffs in the staff.
This could also be positive in terms of the budget, you always have to look at the bigger picture.
Artificial intelligence, automatic driving and augmented reality remain the sectors to be monitored, clearly the core business remains the search engine and the revenues from the ads generated, also pay attention to the technology used in the Stadia project; it could be resold under license to other giants of the video game industry.
In conclusion, very negative earnings could push the price towards the $70 level, where I would increase my position.
Targets:
short: get out now
medium: 115-120$
long : $151
Happy trading
Lazy Bull
NASDAQ 100 Index approaching 200 day moving averageTesla, Meta, Google and Disney all higher last 5 days
MARKET TALK
Big tech up sharply during the last 5 days, are investors discounting the “pending” recession and betting on the strength of the US consumer to support big tech earnings throughout 2023?
Tesla: up +9.43% last 5 days; earnings beats the street reported record revenue for Q4 2022
Meta: up +5.75% last 5 days; earnings due out on February 2nd; estimate to earn $1.5 per share against previous actual earnings of $1.64 per share (EPS)
Google: up +7.02% last 5 days; are the recent headcount and cost reductions good for shareholders?
Walt Disney : up + 6.10 % last 5 days; reports earnings on 8th of February; estimate to earn $0.8012 cents per share against the $0.3 cents per share earned during previous earnings period
TECHNICAL COMMENTARY
NASDAQ 100 Index (US 100 CFD)
Faceing hard resistance at its 200 day moving average….can the prevailing short term uptrend remain intact?
Multi week higher tops and higher bottoms on price indicate a prevailing short term uptrend (5-13 days), the index faces strong resistance around the 200 day moving average spotted near to the $11,950 (round number) while downside very short term (1-5 days) support seen at $11,740 and $11,550; provided price can hold above these supports or manage to break above its 200 day moving average (see chart) the prospects favor a continuation of the prevailing uptrend for short term (14-25 days) upside potential targets towards the $12,420s.
Not investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Big Tech woes lead to layoffs, resulting in stock surgeOver recent months, Silicon Valley has been struggling to keep its position as an endlessly burgeoning region of massive profits and possibilities.
Technology stocks listed on NASDAQ have been decreasing in value, making the chart pattern for the NASDAQ Composite Index quite sobering reading.
Indeed, so severely have the tables turned on Silicon Valley's 'big tech' giants that European stock markets, with their legacy companies which have been in establishment for in some cases hundreds of years, have been outperforming the giants of the electronic revolution for many months.
Something had to give, and yesterday some of the most popularly traded companies in North America's big tech sector began to announce significant redundancies of staff.
Following last week's well publicized redundancies at Alphabet, Google's holding company, there have been more wounded tech firms following suit.
The layoffs at Google actually had a positive effect on stock values, and now other firms in a similar position are announcing their intention to go down a similar path.
Swedish music streaming service Spotify witnessed its shares rally yesteda as it announced its plan to cut hundreds of jobs to help rein in costs.
Shares of Alphabet rocketed at the end of last week, jumping 5% and adding more than $50 billion in market value, following the tech giant’s decision to lay off 12,000 workers on Friday, demonstrating that it had overspent and grown its business to rapidly since the 'e-commerce revolution' which took place in 2020 when many Western governments locked their populations down.
This appears to be a proven strategy, as those with a keen eye who have been monitoring the performance of Meta (previously known as Facebook) will have noticed that its shares have skyrocketed about 50% since the firm announced in November it would cut more than 11,000 jobs.
Silicon Valley was notoriously bloated, and many highly paid staff were allegedly sitting in vacation homes and refusing to come to the office during 2021. The tables are now turning, and the need to keep shareholders happy appears to be paramount at last.
Disclaimer: This Forecast represents FXOpen Companies opinion only, it should not be construed as an offer, invitation or recommendation in respect to FXOpen Companies products and services or as Financial Advice.
Google Analysis 22.01.2023Hello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational analysis.
I am going to explain where I think this asset is going to go over the next few days and weeks and where I would look for trading opportunities.
If you have any questions or suggestions which asset I should analyse tomorrow, please leave a comment below.
I will personally reply to every single comment!
If you enjoyed this analysis, I would definitely appreciate it, if you smash that like button and maybe consider following my channel.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
GOOGL Potential for Bearish Continuation| 13th January 2023Looking at the H4 chart, my overall bias for GOOGL is bearish due to the current price being below the Ichimoku cloud, indicating a bearish market. Looking for a sell entry at 91.61, where the 38.2% Fibonacci line is. Stop loss will be at 99.53, where the minor high and 78.6% Fibonacci line is.
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Google - Bullish Harmonic The tech stocks witnessed deep corrections of over 30% on Nasdaq.
Nasdaq was one of the most underperforming indices in US and the bearish momentum prolongs on the first day of 2023.
The Bullish Harmonic pattern on $Goog confirmed the reversal but today's dip seems an opportunity to go long.
The pattern negates on breach of $80.
GOOGLE STOP BLEEDING???? According to Elliot wave
-Wave 3 is @ 161% fib extension of wave 1 and 2 ( Usually the wave 3 is extended to the direction of the overall trend, so use caution)
(IF WE DO NOT GET A REVERSAL TOMORROW AND WE DUMP AND BREAK WAVE 5 SUPPORT WAVE 5 COULD BE WAVE 3) Extended
-Wave 5 is usually the length of wave 1 or extension of wave 3 and 4 @ at the 61% extension PRICE $96
-Wave 5 retracement levels 38% 51% 61% ($117, $124, $131)
-!I think we get relief rally tomorrow!
-I think the inflation data will be lower than expected due to oil prices being lower (energy sector)
-BUT more pain ahead so take profits
🚘 Tesla Is Leading The Stock MarketJust as we believe that bitcoin will bottom before the S&P 500 Index, in the same way we believe that Tesla will bottom before the other major tech giants.
At present time going down fast and strong would seen like something really bad.
A stock dropping is surely bad for the investors but these markets move in cycle, they go up and down, up and down...
At a later point in 2023, things will turn around.
You will see the Tesla (TSLA) stock growing while other tech giants such as Apple, Microsoft and Google will still have a long way down to go.
This will be a positive for Tesla investors, as they will be seeing their stock growing while everything else is still searching for a market low.
Out of crisis, opportunity comes.
Once we hit bottom, the only place left to go is up.
This major downturn we will see in 2023, we will turn into a positive once it is over and done.
We learn from mistakes.
Out of tough situations innovation and evolution is the result.
Look at Bitcoin/cryptocurrency as an example, it is the result of the 2008/09 fiasco.
Namaste.
Google in inverted head and shoulders.Alphabet - 30d expiry - We look to Buy at 95.11 (stop at 91.82)
A bullish reverse Head and Shoulders has formed.
Bespoke support is located at 94.20.
Levels below 95 continue to attract buyers.
The primary trend remains bullish.
Dips continue to attract buyers.
Early pessimism is likely to lead to losses although extended attempts lower are expected to fail.
Our profit targets will be 103.33 and 105.33
Resistance: 101.00 / 103.50 / 105.00
Support: 97.00 / 94.20 / 91.80
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
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GOOG Alphabet Inc. Technical ReboundIf you haven`t sold GOOG at the top, when Ark Invest did:
Then you should know that a technical rebound refers to a recovery from a prior period of losses when technical signals indicate that the move was oversold.
In this case, the Relative Strength Index momentum indicator of GOOG is at 22.42.
Even though i am overall bearish on the economy, buying a strong financial instrument when the RSI is below 30, would make a case for a potential short term reversal.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Google | Looking For The Next TargetAlphabet Inc (Google) peaked in November 2021... With one last hurray in January 2022 that wicked higher.
The All Time High came in January this year but only by a wick as the weekly candle closed much lower.
We have a year long downtrend already.
Time does fly by when one is not paying attention.
We opened this chart out of curiosity.
Since the Nasdaq100 (NDX) index is set to crash, all these companies are likely to follow and the charts are matching this statement.
The good thing is that a bottom is getting closer and closer, maybe just another 6/7 months for these stocks but still too early for us to say.
The main support we are looking at is sitting at 72.38.
89.42 is the immediate support.
We see rejection after rejection each time Google closes above EMA10 and tries to move up.
No relief rally here, not even when the SPX and DJI had a relief for several months.
Will there be a relief now for Google?
Not likely, don't think so.
These stocks/companies have been growing for decades, the market moves in cycles.
We are bound to see additional bleeding before a return to sustained growth.
Around 68 is our mid-term target.
For the bottom... We will have another look at this chart in 3 months.
Namaste.