#SPX Market Update Update 7-10-22SPX presented some great opportunities last week off our double bottom at 3741. We had a 176 point run from there. If SPX can reclaim 3945.86 the Bulls will make a higher High on the Daily Chart. Still well within a “Bear Market Rally” and I would continue to treat it as such. If we lose 3870 early on it is possible to see a 50 – 70 point drop. We have CPI Data on Wednesday that will be the key catalyst this week. We can see some consolidation until then. Thursday we have Job Data followed by Retail Sales Numbers Friday. . In these types of market conditions it may be best for most traders to sit and watch or consider quick scalps. You can’t get aggressive when Index has already ran as much as it has. Be aware of this otherwise you can blow up an account if you get too aggressive on the wrong day. We should see the Market set up for a Nice move after Wednesday.
GOOG: Have we reached the bottom?Alphabet
Intraday - We look to Buy at 2214 (stop at 2105)
Buying pressure from 2150 resulted in prices rejecting the dip. This is positive for sentiment and the uptrend has potential to return. There is scope for mild selling at the open but losses should be limited. Prices expected to stall near trend line support. Dip buying offers good risk/reward.
Our profit targets will be 2549 and 2600
Resistance: 2555 / 2860 / 3032
Support: 2140 / 1900 / 1600
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
Alphabet | Fundamental Analysis + NEXT TARGET | MUST READ | The countdown has begun. There are less than ten days to go before Alphabet's 20-to-1 stock split on July 15.
Many are undoubtedly contemplating buying up the tech giant's stock before the date. The idea behind such a decision is that Alphabet stock could jump if a lower price attracts an influx of small investors.
That could be a winning strategy. But here are a few reasons not to buy Alphabet stock before the split.
The need for cash in the near term
Never invest cash in a stock that you may need in the near term. The definition of "near term" may vary from person to person. However, a good rule of thumb is not to invest cash that you might need in the next five years.
The past few months have clearly demonstrated why such a cautious stance makes sense. The S&P 500 has experienced its worst first half of the year since 1970. Alphabet is performing worse than the S&P, with its stock down about 25 percent over the year.
There is no guarantee that Alphabet's impending split will serve as a positive catalyst. Amazon also had a 20-to-1 split last month. The company's stock didn't soar but instead fell. Alphabet may well suffer a similar fate.
Lack of diversification
Another straightforward reason why you shouldn't buy Alphabet stock before it splits is that your investments are not sufficiently diversified. The most obvious example of a lack of diversification, in this case, would be the fact that Alphabet already makes up the majority of your overall portfolio.
But you may also have most of your investments in other growth stocks that are highly correlated with the movement of Alphabet stock. In that case, buying Alphabet won't help improve the diversification of your portfolio.
The point of diversification is that it reduces overall risk. The old adage about not putting all your eggs in one basket is more relevant than ever.
Recession Concerns
If you fear a recession is just around the corner, you probably shouldn't buy Alphabet stock before the company does a split. The company's stock has not performed well during previous recessions.
For example, during the Great Recession of 2008 and 2009, Google stock fell more than 60 percent. During the short pandemic recession of 2020, the stock fell 23% below its previous high.
Concerns about the recession are understandable. Nearly 70% of economists surveyed by the Financial Times predict that the U.S. economy will enter a recession next year. Some investors, such as ARK Invest CEO Kathy Wood, believe we are already in a recession.
You may have noticed that none of the above reasons have anything to do with Alphabet itself. The need for cash in the near term, lack of diversification, and fears of an impending recession are legitimate reasons for not buying any stock.
Beyond that, we have not discussed the advantages of buying Alphabet before the split versus buying it after the split. No one knows what will happen next, as there are too many variables.
However, we can think of several good reasons for buying Alphabet that have nothing to do with the split. In particular, the company has an exceptionally strong business market. The likelihood that any competitor could knock Alphabet from its position seems very low.
Alphabet also has many growth drivers. Its core Google advertising business remains strong. Its Google Cloud division continues to show strong growth. And its famous "other bets" (especially Waymo's self-driving car technology business) could also contribute significantly over time.
Reasons to stay away from Alphabet focus on the short term. But for investors focused on the long term, any time could be a good time to buy the stock.
$GOOG GOOGLE BIG Rising Wedge Bear Flag on the Daily Timeframe$GOOG GOOGLE
This rising wedge could be confused as a bear flag, however, both patterns are similar, bearish and generally followed by downside.
My guess is we fill the gap below the next support before seeing any major reversal on this stock.
Are there any hungry bears out there? GOOGLE this pattern and get ready!
On a fundamentals it is a buy buy buy long term according to all analyst because it doesn't have a sell rating. This wouldn't make most comfortable to enter short.
HOWEVER, google missed earnings Q1 2022 and it has been down trending since.
Google makes their money from search and unless they post good earnings or make an announcement I don't see why the gap below wouldn't fill based on TA.
Bear Markets are Tough, If in Doubt Zoom Out!Looks like there is a little more upside after todays bullish close. Then the inevitable will happen... Eventually lol! This market is very frustrating at times but when I'm in doubt, I remind myself to zoom out! Looks like we have been trading in this falling wedge since right after the end of March relief rally when we tried to reclaim the 200 SMA. My thesis is that we have not traded narrowly enough in this wedge for a real break out to occur. We had a very similar bear market rally starting at my 1st finger I have charted, 24th of May. During that rally we pushed up about 12% or 1400 points, 12% up from last Thursdays low would get us up to the top of my second lower high circled. I am waiting for a rejection around this last move up to the 13,700 range I have circled before I open up a bigger short position on QQQ, by then we should be overbought and trading around 300-310 range. If this plays out I will take profit at the bottom of this wedge and keep some protective puts in my back pocket as I attempt to catch a falling knife cost averaging in to potentially catch a BIG rally into the GOOGLE split!
Feel free to give me your feedback, I am very new at charting and appreciate constructive criticism. Good luck and safe trading to you all!
-Jake T
NASDAQ:QQQ
NASDAQ:NDX
GOOG Alphabet Stock SplitGOOG 20-for-1 stock split is scheduled to occur on July 15.
Companies that that did stock splits statistically had outperform the market in the 12 months following the split.
I think we will se GOOG trading at $2350 ahead of the split.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Google Forecast. What do you think?I share TWO of my IDEAS!
1. First Option (1 YEAR)
Is done by looking at the Financial Health, Historical DATA and
calculating its Fair Value Today
2. Second Option is a Longterm Investment. That depends on the Market and Growth of Google
Disclaimer;
NO ADVICE TO INVEST and TRADE SAFE!
GOOGL WARNING: If 2025 is lost, 1786 will be very fastGoogle is still in a big red channel downtrend sine the ATH at 3042 failing to hold even the median line last week. The lower red channel at 2025 will be tested.
If Google loses the 0.50 Fibo retracement, there will be a totally blank space (green box) until the next Fibo 0.618 at
1786. The decline will be very very quick. This capitulation most likely to happen after some impt catalyst
event. Then a reversal will follow after 1786 holds.
BULLISH CASE: if the black VWAP from pandemic low holds (also near 2025), Google will most probably just bounce off the lower red channel making a divergence with a slightly lower low before rally.
Not trading advice
Judgement Week for $SPX $SPY is Upon UsReally not sure what to expect, but the level of bearishness combined with a few gigantic stock splits ($AMZN splits Monday 6/6, $GOOGL 7/15, and $SHOP 6/22) could propel the marketing into the 4400 range. I believe that would be the MAXIMUM pain for bears, then continue down.
Reasons for my bullish short tern outlook.
1. $AMZN stock spilt on 6/6
2. Incredible amount of PUTS across the bored leading to a sense of over hedging
3. TTM Squeeze on $SPX daily looks primed to rip towards the upside
4. WeBull comments section is super bearish. lol
GOOGL dailyGreen zones are potential good area to average in shares.
+ Back over 20day SMA
+ Need to hold blue zone, confluence with 20day
+ Historically good moving average: 150 weeklySMA
- Still not above neutral
- Declining moving averages (resistance on a uptrend)
- 2 gaps remaining
- This yellow box can look like a distribution phase after a long run up, we would now need to wait a new accumulation phase to get back in
Alphabet (NASDAQ: $GOOG) Is World's Top Search Engine 🍲Alphabet Inc. provides various products and platforms in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia-Pacific, Canada, and Latin America. It operates through Google Services, Google Cloud, and Other Bets segments. The Google Services segment offers products and services, including ads, Android, Chrome, hardware, Gmail, Google Drive, Google Maps, Google Photos, Google Play, Search, and YouTube. It is also involved in the sale of apps and in-app purchases and digital content in the Google Play store; and Fitbit wearable devices, Google Nest home products, Pixel phones, and other devices, as well as in the provision of YouTube non-advertising services. The Google Cloud segment offers infrastructure, platform, and other services; Google Workspace that include cloud-based collaboration tools for enterprises, such as Gmail, Docs, Drive, Calendar, and Meet; and other services for enterprise customers. The Other Bets segment sells health technology and internet services. The company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Mountain View, California.