Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) bullish scenario:The technical figure Triangle can be found in the US company Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) at daily chart. Alphabet Inc. is an American multinational technology conglomerate holding company. It was created through a restructuring of Google on October 2, 2015, and became the parent company of Google and several former Google subsidiaries. It is one of the Big Five American information technology companies, alongside Amazon, Apple, Meta and Microsoft. The Triangle has broken through the resistance line on 10/03/2022, if the price holds above this level you can have a possible bullish price movement with a forecast for the next 8 days towards 2 815.67 USD. Your stop loss order according to experts should be placed at 2 517.22 USD if you decide to enter this position.
Google is in talks to buy cybersecurity consultancy Mandiant, which two years ago discovered the infamous SolarWinds hack, according to a person with knowledge of the discussion. A deal could bolster Google’s cloud computing business, which generates more than $19 billion annually but has been losing billions of dollars a year, and help it compete with bigger rival Microsoft, which also is reportedly interested in buying Mandiant.
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Google (GOOGL) |The best area to climb🔥Hello traders, Google in daily timeframe , this analysis has been prepared in daily timeframe but has been published for a better view in 2 day timeframe.
The waves that we counted are the main waves 1 and 2 and the rest of the waves are related to the microwaves of the main wave 3.
From these microwaves, waves 1 and 2 are over and now we are inside wave 3.
Wave 3 itself forms wave 4 at a lower level.
This wave 4 can be counted as triangles and flats, and both patterns are probably in their last microwave.
It is expected that after one descent, correction and another descent, an upward movement corresponding to a 5 out of 3 out of 3 wave will be formed, and this movement will be confirmed after breaking the upper side of the channel.
But if this channel is broken, the counting will be fielded downwards and an upward movement will take place in another area.
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GOOGLE Excellent long-term buy opportunity for a $5000 target. GOOG has been trading around its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the past weeks. The Ukraine - Russia war has managed to keep the stock on those low levels, longer than it should but this is a position Google is familiar with.
Ever since the beginning of its trading, the stock has been experiencing phases of growth and then pull-backs to the 1W MA50. Only during the peak of the U.S. - China trade war and the COVID crash, did the price manage to break considerably lower (still the 1W MA200/ orange trend-line supported).
As you see on the chart, every time the 1W RSI prints a Lower Highs sequence, GOOG posts the same Channel Down pattern to the 1W MA50. In all past cases, the price recovered and expanded rapidly to make new Highs on the next Fibonacci extension. The most recent All Time High (ATH) was just below the 4.0 Fib ext. Technically next to fill is the 5.0 Fib which is around the $5000 mark. That is our target for the next expansion cycle that should peak within 2023.
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GOOG (Google), Potential for bullish Bounce | 8th March 2022Prices are on bullish momentum. We see the potential for a bounce from our buy entry at 2499.25 in line with horizontal swing low support level towards our Take Profit at 2226.73 in line with 61.80% Fibonacci Retracement. Technical indicators are supporting our bullish bias.
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Alphabet / Google (GOOGL) - DCF Model - Intrinsic ValueThis valuation analysis is based on a base case scenario DCF model.
Google DCF Model Assumptions:
Tax Rate = 16.2%
Discount Rate = 8.4%
Perpetual Growth Rate = 2.0%
EV/EBITDA Multiple = 12.5x
Transaction Date = 05/02/2022
Fiscal Year End = 31/12/2022
Current Price = 2,865.86
Shares Outstanding = 662
Debt = 26,206
Cash = 20,945
Capex = 24,640
Base Case Scenario:
In addition to the above assumptions, the below DCF model is based on our base case scenario, which assumes a revenue growth over the next five years of 18%, 16%, 14%, 13%, 12%. These revenue growth assumptions are slightly below the analysts' forecasts at the time of analysis.
DCF (5Y) EBITDA EXIT MODEL:
Terminal Value
Final Forecast EBITDA (m) = $196,262
EV/EBITDA Multiple = 12.5x
TERMINAL VALUE (m) = $2,453,270
Intrinsic Value:
Enterprise Value (m) = $1,986,779
Plus: Cash (m) = $20,945
Less: Debt (m) = $26,206
Equity Value (m) = $1,981,518
EQUITY VALUE / SHARE = $2,992.69
DCF (5Y) GROWTH EXIT MODEL:
Terminal Value
Final Forecast FCFf (m) = $119,494
Perpetual Growth Rate = 2.0%
TERMINAL VALUE (m) = $1,902,831
Intrinsic Value
Enterprise Value (m) = $1,616,256
Plus: Cash (m) = $20,945
Less: Debt (m) = $26,206
Equity Value (m) = 1,610,995
EQUITY VALUE / SHARE = $2,433.09
DISCLAIMER:
All information and analysis are based on the author's views, opinions, and assumptions at the time of writing. Bull Headed Bear makes no guarantees of the information's reliability and accuracy. The information is to be used for entertainment and informative purposes only. Bull Headed Bear and its authors reserve the right to change their views, opinions and assumptions due to many influencing factors.
Any actions taken based on this information is strictly at your own risk. All investments carry a risk of loss, and you could lose all your money. Consider seeking professional advice from a financial advisor. Bull Headed Bear and its authors will not be liable for any losses or damages from the information here or its website.
DISCLOSURE:
I/we have open long positions in GOOGL. We do not intend on altering this position in the coming weeks.
NASDAQ:GOOGL
Predicting further drops on Google. GOOGGoals 2504, 2359, 2279. Invalidation at 2955 .
We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe
Tech stocks that give you more than 50% returns in 1 year !There are tech stocks and there are TECH stocks ! If you have bought Amazon in 2021 Jan, by now , you will be earning a pathetic 5% returns at most.
However, the same pot of money pour into Google would gives you 10 fold more , that is 51% returns for the same time period.
So, diversification is key here as we cannot predict with certainty the future performance of a company. With Climate change, technological advancement, Omicron variant and the macroeconomic policies all rolling in, it can be quite a task to find the real gems. But once you identify it, ride it to the moon.
Navigating through a Bear MarketThis is not financial advice
Regression Overall Trend
Lower lows and Lower highs since beginning of November,
Short/Sell when it goes above blue line and Buy/Long below red line. you may also use the red middle line as support/ resistance
Stoploss if it breaks significantly above/below
Ucoming catalyst
US CPI Numbers
FOMC
State of mortgages/housing
BIG POST! Technical Analysis of 75 Stocks From The S&P 500 List!Hi followers and other TradingView users,
Baron Rothschild, a British banker and politician from a wealthy family, once said that the best time to buy is “when there is blood in the streets.” In simple words, when everyone else is selling, it's a great time to fill your portfolio.
At the moment, there have been quite scary times considering the current situation around Ukraine, plus S&P500 futures made a small break below 4300 , which might open the doors to lower prices. Actually, it is great because it can also open the doors to lower price levels for individual stocks as well.
Considering the potential "threat" to decline, I took over the entire SP500 list and analyzed all of them!! Those that caught my eye did a technical analysis to find the optimal entry points. Quite a lot of work, but I thought to share it with you guys as well, maybe you may find something useful here.
"Buy when there’s blood in the streets, even if the blood is your own."
The best stocks to invest in are the ones already existing in your portfolio. Maybe they are trading at lower prices, and your portfolio is in red. However, they are still the best options available to you. Why? If your's and your company's thesis are the same then you have already analyzed those stocks, and they are still in your portfolio only because you’re confident that they will perform well in the future. Then why not invest more in such stocks when they are down. As I have said previously take it as "SALE" in the mall. Look into your portfolio and find out those stocks which are currently trading at a cheaper price, hopefully, you find something from here as well.
Now, to talk about my given stocks below. These are just technical analyses, I can give the optimal entry prices for each one but you have to do your own fundamental analysis for them. One of my favorite "quote" about both analysis: Fundamental analysis tells you WHAT to buy, technical analysis tells you WHEN to buy. So, I share some ideas from where you can buy certain stocks but do your homework and do the fundamental analysis, do not follow them blindly!
In this post, you can find breakout opportunities to buy the strength after certain price levels have broken. Here are buying zones after corrections and some bigger names I have pointed out some price levels from where you can buy every dip to build up your long-term portfolio.
Use partial entries, long-term position builders can enter into certain stocks after it has reached inside the shown box and buy more if they should fall lower from the initial entry to average the entry price. Mid-term investors should start to build their positions somewhere in the middle of boxes.
Love it or hate it but here they are...
1) Apple (AAPL) - Buy the dip.
2) Adobe (ADBE)
3) Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)
4) Amazone (AMZN)
5) Arista Network (ANET)
6) Aptiv PLC (APTV)
7) American Express (AXP) - Buy the dip.
8) Bio-Rad Laboratories (BIO)
9) BlackRock (BLK)
10) Ball Corporation (BLL)
11) Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) - Buy the dip.
12) Cardinal Health (CAH)
13) Ceridian HCM Holding (CDAY)
14) Charter Communications (CHTR)
15) Comcast Corp. (CMCSA)
16) Cummins (CMI)
17) Salesforce.com (CRM)
18) Cisco Systems (CSCO)
19) Caesars Entertainment (CZR)
20) Devon Energy (DVN)
21) Electric Arts (EA)
22) eBay (EBAY)
23) Enphase Energy (ENPH)
24) Expeditors International of Washington (EXPD)
25) Meta Platforms (FB)
26) FedEx (FDX)
27) First Republic Bank (FRC)
28) General Motors (GM)
29) Alphabet (GOOG)
30) Genuine Parts (GPC)
31) Goldman Sachs (GS)
32) Hormel Foods (HRL)
33) Intel (INTC)
34) Ingersoll Rand (IR)
35) Intuitive Surgical (ISRG)
36) Johnson Controls International (JCI)
37) Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) - Buy the dip.
38) CarMax (KMX)
39) Kroger Company (KR)
40) Lennar Corp. (LEN)
41) LKQ Corp. (LKQ)
42) Southwest Airlines (LUV)
43) Las Vegas Sands (LVS)
44) Microchip Technology Incorporated (MCHP)
45) Altria Group (MO)
46) Moderna (MRNA)
47) Morgan Stanley (MS)
48) Microsoft (MSFT) - Load it up ;)
49) Match Group (MTCH)
50) Netflix (NFLX)
51) NRG Energy (NRG)
52) NVIDIA (NVDA)
53) NXP Semiconductors (NXPI)
54) Pfizer (PFE)
55) PerkinElmer
56) Pentair (PNR)
57) Public Storage (PSA)
58) PayPal (PYPL)
59) Qorvo (QRVO)
60) Rockwell Automation (ROK)
61) Rollins (ROL)
62) Snap-On Incorporated (SNA)
63) Seagate Technology (STX)
64) Skyworks Solutions (SWKS)
65) TE Connectivity (TEL)
66) Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO)
67) Trimble (TRMB)
68) Tesla (TSLA) - You can buy it now but save some ammo for lower prices!
69) Train Technologies (TT)
70) Take-Two Interactive Software (TTWO)
71) United Rentals (URI)
72) Waters Corp. (WAT)
73) Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM)
74) Xylem (XYL)
75) Autodesk (ADSK)
And that's all. Some may say and think that some of the given prices will never reach these zones. I would like to tell them - whatever! At least we are prepared, and if something bigger could happen with to the stock market, those who are prepared will win, because in March 2020 the bottom was made in just a few days.
Prepare, wait, aim, and shoot!
Do your homework!!
Regards,
Vaido
GOOGLE STOCK MID TERM ANALYSISGOOGLE, just like virtually every other tech stock has had an outrageous run in 2020-2021, but is showing increased signs of weakness. Trend line is broken on both the weekly and monthly time frames, and technical indicators show bearish divergences across the board. In addition, growing fears of a Russian invasion in Ukraine don't make matters any better. Going short, this is another no brainer to me.
TP 1: $2200
TP 2: $1700
GOOGL ALPHABET | Potential Downtrend.If you find this technical analysis useful, please like & share our ideas with the community.
What do you think is more likely to happen? Please share your thoughts in comment section. And also give a thumbs up if you find this idea helpful. Any feedback & suggestions would help in further improving the analysis.
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Disclaimer!
This post does not provide financial advice. It is for educational purposes only! You can use the information from the post to make your own trading plan for the market. But you must do your own research and use it as the priority. Trading is risky, and it is not suitable for everyone. Only you can be responsible for your trading.
A sharp increase is expectedAccording to the pattern, stock is in the best entry position and two levels of price increase up to 0.35 and possibly 0.4 are foreseen. Highly recommended for Mid-term.
Alphabet | Fundamental Analysis |LONG| MUST READ !There is no denying that Alphabet has become a force to be considered with. Indeed, not many companies can boast that their branded product or service has become a verb: "google it." Beyond search, Alphabet is a leader in digital advertising, smartphone operating systems led by Android, and cloud computing with the rapidly growing Google Cloud.
Recently, the tech giant informed about a historic 20-for-1 stock split, reducing the size of its stake for the first time in eight years. Now investors who have been considering buying the stock are encountered with a bothersome question: should they buy the stock now or wait until after the split?
It's been a long time since Alphabet held its last stock split. In fact, the last time it happened was when the company was still called Google. That was in 2014, and Google didn't change its name to Alphabet until late 2015.
What's notable about the previous stock split is that it created non-voting Class C shares of Google, while Class A shares maintained the standard one vote per share. In April 2012, a shareholder lawsuit was filed alleging that co-founders Larry Page and Sergey Brin orchestrated the stock split to maintain control of the company to the detriment of shareholders. As a result of the split, the company increased the number of shares without a commensurate increase in voting rights. The lawsuit was eventually settled, allowing the split to proceed with shareholder compensation.
In the nearly two years between the announcement and the actual stock split, Google stock was up about 74%.
Typically, a split does not change the overall economic value of the company that is doing the split. One share of Alphabet worth $2,800 is worth as much as 20 shares worth $140 (20 x $140 = $2,800). As with pizza, the number of slices does not change the overall size of the pie. Nevertheless, some argue that the underlying effect is positive for investor psychology.
That's exactly what happened when several well-known companies made headlines over the past couple of years as investors rushed to buy shares after the stock split announcement. Apple stock rose 34% in a month after announcing a 4-for-1 stock split in July 2020. Tesla followed suit less than two weeks later, announcing a 5-for-1 stock split. Between the announcement and the completion of the split, the stock jumped 81%.
A similar situation occurred in May 2021, when The Trade Desk announced a 10-for-1 stock split and Nvidia unveiled plans for a 4-for-1 stock split. The Trade Desk and Nvidia stock rose 27% and 24%, respectively, between the day of the announcement and the day the split was completed.
Aptus Capital Advisor senior analyst and portfolio manager David Wagner opined on the situation, "We all know the split doesn't boost the fundamental value of the company. ... but from what we've seen in the market with Tesla and Nvidia, people like to chase splits."
There are many reasons to think that Alphabet will continue on the same upward trajectory that led to that famous stock split.
Google's dominance in search remains unchallenged, with about 92 percent of the global search engine market. Alphabet is using this advantage to gain a leadership position in digital advertising, which accounts for about 29% of global digital ad spending. Nor should we forget Google Cloud, which has quietly risen to the top three, behind only Amazon Web Services and Microsoft Azure.
These factors drove Alphabet's strong performance. In the fourth quarter, revenues of $75.3 billion rose 32% year over year, and operating margins improved, boosting earnings per share (EPS) to $30.69, a 38% increase.
For investors who are optimistic about Alphabet, there's no reason to hesitate to buy the stock, unless, of course, your financial situation allows you to shell out almost $3,000 per share. If that's the case, and your broker doesn't offer the option to buy fractional shares, a stock split will make them much more affordable over time.
If you plan to buy Alphabet stock now, keep in mind that it may require additional record keeping. Those who are buying the stock now (at about $2,800) need to remember to adjust their records to reflect the revised cost base by dividing it by 20 to account for newly issued shares ($2,800 / 20 shares = $140). This will become important when you eventually sell your stock and settle with the tax authorities. Fortunately, brokerage firms know how to do this, so it shouldn't be too difficult.
Given Alphabet's market dominance, great execution, and continued outlook, it doesn't matter if you buy the stock now or wait until after the July 18 split-adjusted trading. What matters is that you buy them.
Google (GOOGL) |The best area for correction♻️Hello traders, Google in daily timeframe , this analysis has been prepared in daily timeframe but has been published for a better view in 2 day timeframe.
The waves that we counted are the main waves 1 and 2 and the rest of the waves are related to the microwaves of the main wave 3.
From these microwaves, waves 1 and 2 are over and now we are inside wave 3.
Wave 3 itself forms Wave 4 at a lower level.
This wave has 4 triangular patterns, which is in its last wave, ie wave e, which has the ability to return from the same range and can even continue this downward movement up to Fibo 0.5.
To confirm further movement, it is necessary to break the current range (price 2660) downwards.
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Wait before entering Alphabet GoogleThere will be absolute volatility as Fed's Hawkish stand. Best place to invest will be India more than US.
Regarding Alphabet. If I was you I would wait for it to cool down till 2646-2655 levels Or You can buy after it gives a break out above 3037 levels. Right now it will stay range bound and keep fluctuating with action of FED.
If important support level of 2646 is broken Alphabet can go to 2483 or below. So we should wait for it to form a bottom. Let it bounce from there then make your moves.
Other thing you can do is let it give a Break out above 3037. If it gives a closing above 3037 Alphabet (Google) can go to 3366 levels. That's the target for medium term.
Closing below 2190 should be the Stop loss.
1H Google Potential Long EntryGoogle gapped up after it's earnings report. It has now retraced to fill those orders. If the uptrend were to continue, this looks like a logical place from which it would do so. A confirmation would be breaking through the descending channel .
We also had a better than expected earnings report, and it has seen continuous positive growth over the last several years, which is bullish for the share price.
Companies around the world are moving away from traditional computing infrastructure and towards cloud storage. Google Cloud is one of the few companies with the vast infrastructure in place to take advantage of this shift.
"OK Google, what is patience?"Since the pop on earnings and the split news I have been watching for a good pullback on Google NASDAQ:GOOG . I am operating under the thesis that the pre-split price action will signal a rally as in other past tech stocks. This rally may take a while because the July 15th split date is relatively far out. For the last several days I have been waiting for the price to come to the 2775 level it must hold to remain bullish to retest and break the high.
FAANG Dead? The NEW Tech Stock Leaders!With the disasterous earnings of Netflix NASDAQ:NFLX and Facebook NASDAQ:FB this past month it may be time to call for a new acronym of the still bullish and strong Tech Stock leaders of the market: Micosoft NASDAQ:MSFT - Apple NASDAQ:AAPL - Google NASDAQ:GOOG - Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN