GOOGLE Buy the pull-back for a $145 Santa's rally.Alphabet Inc (GOOG) gave us a great +20% pre-earnings bullish signal last time we looked at it (July 25) that hit the $140.00 target before pulling back (see chart below):
Right now the price is above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), within two Channel Up patterns, with the latter being the (diverging) dotted one. With the 1D RSI hitting its Lower Highs trend-line that has caused technical pull-backs since July 28, we expect a short-term correction near the 1D MA50 and then rebound to price the Channel Up Higher High at $145.00. That will complete a +20% rise from October's bottom, which has been the average % rise for a bullish sequence within 2023.
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GOOG: Technical Trade AnalysisOur portfolio is up by 17% over the last month 🍾🍾. Here is the link:
www.tradingview.com
Here is the latest analysis of our GOOG trade:
Analyzing the provided chart for Alphabet Inc. (Google) Class C on NASDAQ (GOOG), we can consider several key aspects to determine potential exit strategies in line with Mark Minervini's swing trading approach:
Moving Averages: The stock is currently trading above the 50-day moving average (MA), which often acts as support in an uptrend. As long as the stock remains above this moving average, it could be considered to be in a healthy uptrend.
Volume: There is no visible volume spike on the entry day; however, subsequent days show average to above-average trading volume, which is generally positive for a continued uptrend.
Bollinger Bands: The price is approaching the upper Bollinger Band, which could be an area of potential resistance. Some traders might consider taking profits as the price touches or breaches this upper band, especially if it coincides with other signs of overextension.
Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is approaching overbought territory but is not yet above the 70 level, which might suggest caution but not necessarily an immediate exit.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): The MACD line is above the signal line and above the zero line, which is bullish. There is no immediate sign of a bearish crossover, which would be a potential exit signal.
IBD RS (Investor's Business Daily Relative Strength): The IBD RS line is trending upwards, indicating the stock is performing well relative to the market.
Considering Minervini's strategy, which typically involves selling on strength rather than weakness, potential exit points could be:
Break of Trendline: If the stock breaks below the short-term moving average or a trendline support, it could be an indication to exit, especially if the volume increases on the downside.
Technical Weakness: Any bearish reversal patterns, such as a bearish engulfing candle or a high-volume decline through the 50-day MA, could signal an exit point.
Profit Target: If the stock reaches a predetermined profit target, such as a percentage above the buy point or a previous high, it might be a good time to take profits.
Time Stop: If the stock hasn't met the expected price target within a specific time frame, it might be prudent to exit the position to avoid opportunity costs.
Given these considerations, it's also important to have a pre-determined trailing stop-loss to protect profits. If none of the exit criteria have been met but the stock continues to make higher highs and higher lows, maintaining the position with a trailing stop-loss could be a suitable strategy, adjusting the stop-loss upwards as the stock appreciates. Remember to continuously monitor the position and market conditions, as things can change rapidly.
Google In Talks To Seize Major Stake In UK Challenger MonzoAlphabet, the parent company behind Google, is reportedly on track to seize a major stake in the digital retail bank Monzo as it leads investors in a fresh funding round.
Alphabet will leverage its independent growth fund Capital to pour between £300 million and £500 million into the UK-founded challenger, valuing it above £4 billion, Sky News reports.
Also set to include new and existing investors, sources tell Sky News that the round could close before the end of the year, however final details are yet to be released.
The challenger last raised over £377 million ($500 million) in December 2021 in a Series H funding round led by Abu Dhabi Growth Fund, with participation from Accel, General Catalyst, Goodwater, Passion Capital, Octahedron and Thrive along with new investors Coatue and Alpha Wave Ventures.
Last month, Sky News reported that Monzo was looking to raise £300 million in fresh funds through a share sale, and is believed to have engaged with a number of blue-chip investment funds.
The move is thought to be clearing the way for the challenger to go public, while ex-Cash App head Conor Walsh and Brolly founder Phoebe Chibuzo Hugh have been brought on-board to lead both its product and market expansions.
It’s not clear when or where Monzo will induce a stock market floatation, but Alphabet and its long history of acquiring companies that go public inching ever closer into its ownership structure could provide the finishing touches to its final preparations.
Price Momentum
GOOGL is trading near the top of its 52-week range and above its 200-day simple moving average.
What does this mean?
Investors have been pushing the share price higher, and the stock still appears to have upward momentum. This is a positive sign for the stock's future value.
GOOGLE: Second major bullish wave already under way.Google closed the week over the 1D MA50 with the 1D technical outlook bullish (RSI = 57.062, MACD = 0.820, ADX = 43.635) again for the first time since October 24th. The rally since October 27th low is the second major bullish wave of the Channel Up pattern that Google is trading inside for almost 12 months.
We expect the first part of this wave to peak after completing a +20% move (TP1 = 146.00). But on the longer term, the overall wave should make a HH at the top of the Channel at around +45.50% from the bottom (TP2 = 175.00). The 1D RSI is trading inside a Channel Down, suggesting a decelerating trend.
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Google $GOOG Island Gap 🏝️Google appears to be setting up an "Island Gap Reversal Pattern" 🏝️
Characteristics of an Island Gap:
1. A lengthy trend leading into the pattern. ✅
2. An initial price gap. ✅
3. A cluster of price periods that tend to trade within a definable range. ✅
4. A pattern of increased volume near the gaps and during the island. ✅
5. A final gap which establishes the island of prices isolated from the preceding trend. ✅
Target: 105-108 😱😱
(NASDAQ: GOOGL) Is Alphabet Inc. a Buy?Thinking about the big picture
I always stress how important it is for long-term investors not to get caught up in any single quarter's performance. If you plan to own a stock for five or 10 years, what happens in any three-month period is hardly important in the grand scheme of things. This same approach should be applied to Alphabet.
Yes, the market reacted negatively to the tech giant's latest earnings. But a valid question to ask is: Is this company's long-term competitive position under threat? I think the answer to that question, based on the facts, is a resounding no.
Let's focus on Alphabet's bread-and-butter search business. According to statcounter.com, it still has a monopolistic position, with just under a 92% share of the global market.
Is OpenAI's ChatGPT integration really enough for consumers to ditch Google and start using Microsoft's Bing search engine? It's a stretch for someone to believe this to be true. To be fair, the market could shift radically in the next few years, but that is almost impossible to predict. And right now Google is still the leader in search, and as a result of that, digital advertising as well.
In order to position itself for the AI wars, Alphabet has just agreed to invest $2 billion in Anthropic, an AI start-up that has created a chatbot that is a direct competitor to ChatGPT. Maybe more importantly, Alphabet is planning to launch Gemini, its internally developed generative AI model, which could be more versatile and powerful than OpenAI's offerings. This could quiet the doubters who think this business is falling behind.
Additionally, investors have to ask if the growth of AI will really bring about entirely new use cases for consumers and businesses, or if this revolutionary technology will simply improve what already exists. As of right now, it looks like the latter will happen. And "with 15 products that each serve half a billion people, and six that serve over 2 billion each," according to CEO Sundar Pichai, Alphabet already owns some of the most popular, widely adopted internet properties on the face of the planet. This gives it a huge leg up to introduce AI innovations to an existing user base.
GOOGLE - The warning signs were thereWe did not trade this directly because:
- We were short on both the Nasdaq and the SPX500.
- Both the assets above had a better RR.
- Both have made us higher percentages than Google would've so far.
However, we deem it important to post google as it is exactly the type of trade set up that we preach about and showcases traditional Technical Analysis in its best light. It also drives the Index funds and so reflects how we've position ourselves lately.
Google broke down of its falling wedge and confirmed the breakdown. Before this it held a key level as resistance and was also showing extensive bearish divergence. Lastly, it was at a great value area for a short reaching just over the 0.786% retracement from the Low to ATH.
Please ask any questions you may have!
GOOG Rising Wedge Here is a simple rising wedge pattern on google with bear gap resistance above you dont want to get caught guessing the top because there is no way to tell exactly when price will reverse. Just react and catch the move when it presents itself. Expect to enter after either A) Gap Down, B) intraday Head and Shoulders or C) intraday bear flags.
Trade setup_20% wave in GOOGLEGoogle is all set to move up in wave V of 3 towards the 150$ mark.
On the way up watch out for levels 131.9 and 134. If the stock surpasses them with ease that would reduce the probability of this bounce being an "X" wave and the stock will make it to the 150 mark.
Note*- do your own study/research before taking up any financial positions.
Google Poised To Backs Anthropic With $2BWith a massive $2 billion reported investment from Google, Anthropic joins OpenAI in reaping the benefits of leadership in the artificial intelligence space, receiving immense sums from the tech giants that couldn't move fast enough themselves. A byword for the age: Those who can, build; those who can't, invest.
The funding deal, according to sources familiar cited by The Wall Street Journal, reportedly involves $500 million now and up to $1.5 billion later, though subject to what, if any, timing or conditions is unclear. I've asked Anthropic for comment on the matter.
It recalls — though it does not quite match — Microsoft's enormous investment in OpenAI early this year. But with Amazon committing to as much as $4 billion to Anthropic, the funding gap is probably more theoretical than practical.
The Google investment is just the latest in a developing proxy war between rival companies with a limited number of champions to back. Though all these companies are powerful and expert in many areas of technology, the simple fact is none of them would be able to stand up a credible competitor to either OpenAI or Anthropic in the area of large language models. And since everyone is also betting that LLMs are going to upend their business models and become crucial components of any future tech platform, they can't afford to not have at least partial ownership of the leaders in the space.
They have more than money, as well: It would be similarly difficult for the AI startups (though one may well question that title now) to stand up the infrastructure needed to build and deploy these AI models at the scales required to operate profitably. So the deals also involve things like compute credits and mutual aid.
Price Momentum
GOOGL is trading in the middle of its 52-week range and above its 200-day simple moving average. Investors are still evaluating the share price, but the stock still appears to have some upward momentum. This is a positive sign for the stock's future value.
What just happened to Google? 9.40% crash and more to comeWell that was unexpected.
According to my sources, Google came out with positive results (despite them not being as good as Microsoft). And yet the price crashed already 9.40% without the fail safe switch on yet.
Technically, it's formed a Breakway gap.
These don't close as quickly as other gaps, but if the trend stays down.
It is likely to head to $111.50 next.
The M Formation that failed to break above the resistance also shows the bear trend for the market.
So do you know what happened to Google? Or is this Smart Money buying the heck out of it?
I doubt it...
GOOGLE Almost oversold at the bottom of the Channel Up.Google is having a rough day following the revenue miss and has found itself at the bottom of the 5 month Channel Up.
This is a buy opportunity, as long as (1d) candles close inside the pattern.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy if the (1d) candle closes inside the Channel Up.
2. Sell if it closes under it.
Targets:
1. 146.00 (+15.50% rise, like the first bullish leg of the Channel Up).
2. 120.00 (estimated course of the MA200 (1d)).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) gives the most optimal buy opportunity at the bottom of its Channel Down around the 30.00 oversold level. Keep that in mind in case it coincides with a MA200 (1d) contact.
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Google Set to Announce Positive 3Q Earnings - Time to Long GOOG!I am thrilled to share with you that Google (GOOG) is anticipated to announce positive 3Q earnings, and I couldn't be more excited about the potential this brings for all of us.
Google, being one of the most influential companies in the tech industry, has consistently demonstrated its ability to innovate and adapt to the ever-changing digital landscape. With its diverse range of products and services, the company has managed to maintain its position as a global leader.
Now, with the upcoming release of 3Q earnings, we have a golden opportunity to capitalize on Google's success. The positive financial outlook signifies that the company is not only thriving but also well-positioned for future growth. This is a clear indication that GOOG is a stock worth considering for a long position.
As traders, it's crucial to stay ahead of the curve and seize opportunities when they arise. By going long on GOOG, we can potentially benefit from the positive momentum generated by the anticipated earnings report. This is an exciting prospect, and I encourage all of you to seriously consider taking action and adding GOOG to your portfolios.
Google's unwavering commitment to innovation, coupled with its strong financial performance, makes it an attractive investment option. The company's diverse revenue streams, including advertising, cloud services, and hardware, provide a solid foundation for continued growth and profitability.
So, let's embrace this moment of positivity and take advantage of the potential gains that lie ahead. I urge you to conduct your due diligence, analyze the market trends, and consider the long-term prospects of GOOG. By doing so, we can position ourselves to ride the wave of success alongside Google.
Remember, timing is crucial in the world of trading, and this could be an opportune moment to go long on GOOG. So, let's seize this chance and make the most of it together.
GOOG Sympathy Move Ahead of Earnings TodayThe run down to Monday was a sympathy run. It doesn't mean that NASDAQ:GOOG is headed for a bad report. Rather, retail investors are selling ETFs or moving money out of stocks into safe havens, or other adjustments to portfolios and 401(k)s. The selling dug into the most recent weak support level.
However, NASDAQ:GOOGL has not sent out any advisor in recent weeks regarding its earnings report. Any company this size, and as a veteran company of the stock market, would warn if earnings were going to miss the retail-side analyst estimates. So this is a sympathy move merely because the retail-side selling is moving big-name companies down at this time.
If it has a great earnings report, which the previous runs suggest , then the HFTs may trigger a gap up at open tomorrow. Alphabet had improvement in its quarterly report last quarter. Yearly revenues have been up for 4 years but earnings are up and down as it invests hugely in AI.
A Glimpse Into the Future of AI Companies StocksInvesting in AI companies can be a wise decision, but like any investment, it is important to do your research and understand the potential risks and rewards. Companies such as UiPath, Intuitive Surgical, and Palantir Technologies have seen significant growth in recent years, but it is important to consider their market capitalization and share prices before investing.
UiPath, a software automation company, went public in April 2021 with an initial market capitalization of around $36 billion.
Intuitive Surgical, a company that produces surgical robots, has a market capitalization of over $93 billion.
Palantir Technologies, a data analytics company, went public in September 2020 with an initial market capitalization of around $22 billion.
It is also important to consider the rating of the shares and the security of the company before investing. For example, UiPath was rated as a buy by several analysts following its IPO, but investors should also consider the potential risks and competition in the market.
In terms of upcoming IPOs, there are several AI companies that are expected to go public in the near future, including UiPath's competitor Automation Anywhere, online education platform Coursera, Google’s company Waymo, and others.
As with any investment, it is important to do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions. While the investment potential of these companies is undoubtedly significant, investors should be aware of the risks involved in investing in new and untested technologies. AI companies are subject to a variety of risks, including regulatory risk, intellectual property risk, and competition from other companies in the sector. As such, investors should carefully consider their investment options and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
In terms of investment potential, it's important to note that investing in AI Companies can be risky, as with any new technology. However, for those willing to take the risk, the potential rewards could be substantial. The key is to do your research and choose companies that have a solid business plan and a proven track record of success. It's also important to keep an eye on the broader market trends and economic indicators, as these can have a significant impact on the success of any investment.
When it comes to security, AI technology is still in its early stages and there are certainly risks involved. However, companies that are dedicated to building secure AI systems and investing in the necessary security measures should be able to mitigate these risks to some extent. It's also important to note that as AI technology continues to evolve, so too will the security measures that are needed to protect it.
As AI technology becomes more advanced and more widely adopted, there will be a growing demand for companies that can provide innovative solutions in this space. This presents a significant opportunity for investors who are willing to take a long-term view and invest in companies that are dedicated to the ongoing development of AI technology.
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Rating: Risky Buy with High Upwards Potential
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GOOGLE: Next stop --> All Time High.Google maintains one of the steadiest trends of the year as not only does it remain on smooth bullish 1D technicals (RSI = 57.789, MACD = 1.700, ADX = 30.881) due to Channel Up 2 since June, but also it maintains Channel Up 1 since the start of the year. The 1D MACD indicates that the stock price has entered a 2 week consolidation phase, whose next leg up would be at least +20.52%, which is marginally over the All Time High (TP = 152.30).
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Google and Cambridge renew multi-year partnershipCambridge University and Google have forged a renewed, multi-year partnership aimed at funding and conducting groundbreaking research in the realm of artificial intelligence.
Their focus will be directed towards pressing concerns such as climate, healthcare, security, and the ethical deployment of emerging technologies.
Michele Donelan, the Secretary of State for Science, Innovation, and Technology, has officially confirmed this:
"Artificial intelligence can offer us enormous opportunities - growing the economy, creating new jobs and making lives longer, healthier and happier for British people."
Google: Bearish Deep Crab Dark Cloud Cover Type 2 Return EntryGoogle, after its initial bearish reaction to the PCZ, has returned to the PCZ as the RSI managed to make a 3rd lower high and is set up to give us an impulsive move downwards in the coming days. We also confirmed a textbook Dark Cloud Cover today after the rejection of the ascending trend line.
I think we will see extreme downside from Google pretty soon that will undo most, if not all of its 2023 upside price action.
I am looking on a bullish continuation on GOOG.
As you can see here we have formed a couple of trendlines on the 4 hour chart. And If we can break the 139.97 level, we could possibly see a continuation on google. We also are above VWAP. And seeing that we have good momentum on my indicators I believe that we could see that very soon possible tomorrow. I would be looking for a breakout on the 5 minute chart for the perfect entry.
GOOG - TREND REVERSAL SCENARIOA U.S. Justice Department lawyer questioned a Google executive in an antitrust trial about the company's tactics for increasing online advertising prices. Google's Vice President of Product Management, Adam Juda, testified that the company uses a formula involving ad quality to determine auction winners for website advertising. The Justice Department alleges that Google manipulates these formulas to benefit its own profits, a claim Juda disputed. He acknowledged that adjustments to the formula can impact pricing. Google has faced criticism for its lack of advertising transparency, with advertisers and website publishers accusing the company of taking too much revenue. This testimony shifts focus from Google's expenditures to maintain its search engine as the default on devices.
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