GOOGL Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-04-17GOOGL Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-17)
Below is our integrated analysis for GOOGL weekly options trading based on the current options data and the multiple model reports:
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Comprehensive Summary of Each Model’s Key Points
• Grok/xAI Report – Observes that although the 5‐minute chart shows a hint of short‐term bullishness, the daily chart is clearly bearish (price below the 10 EMA and RSI around 41) and news catalysts (antitrust concerns) add further downside bias. – Highlights a significant concentration of put open interest around the $150 strike and recommends buying the $150 put at a premium of about $0.24 with an entry at open. – Suggested profit target at roughly a 50% premium increase and a stop loss if the premium falls by about 25% (or if the price fails to break key resistance).
• Claude/Anthropic Report – Confirms a moderately bearish bias with price trading below all key daily EMAs and negative regulatory news intensifying the downside. – Points to the heavy open interest in the 150 puts and emphasizes that although max pain is at $155 (a theoretical pull toward higher prices), the aggressive negative catalyst trumps this signal. – Recommends a put trade with guidelines for profit-taking (roughly a 100% premium gain) and a 50% premium stop-loss; entry to be made at market open.
• Gemini/Google Report – Notes the strong bearish daily setup (price clearly below the 10/50/200 averages and near key supports around $150) combined with negative antitrust headlines. – While acknowledging some short-term consolidation on the 5-minute chart, the report favors a bearish play and selects the $150 put (even though its premium of $0.24 is a bit below the “ideal” $0.30–$0.60 range). – Recommends entering at open with specific targets (aiming for around a 100% return on premium or an exit if the underlying fails to break levels) and strict stop-loss discipline.
• Llama/Meta Report – Summarizes that the technicals (including MACD and RSI on both timeframes) and high volatility (VIX ~32.64) combine for a moderately bearish setup. – The heavy put open interest at $150 further reinforces this view. – Recommends buying the $150 put at market open with a modest profit target (around a 50% gain on premium) and a stop-loss if the underlying rallies above key resistance levels.
• DeepSeek Report – Emphasizes that despite the max pain at $155, the technical breakdown below key moving averages and significant negative news support a bearish trade. – Recommends buying weekly (0DTE) $150 puts at the current premium of $0.24, with exit parameters tied to breaching immediate support or achieving a 50% gain in premium. – Notes that risk management is crucial given the 0DTE nature and high volatility.
────────────────────────────── 2. Areas of Agreement and Disagreement Between Models
• Agreement: – All models share a moderately bearish outlook driven by a combination of: ○ Price performance below key moving averages and declining daily RSI. ○ Negative news catalysts (antitrust issues and breakup concerns). ○ Heavy put open interest at the $150 strike, aligning with technical support. – Each model favors a single-leg, naked put strategy on GOOGL weekly expirations, with an entry at market open.
• Disagreement: – There is some variation in the selection of profit target and stop loss levels: ○ Grok/xAI and DeepSeek lean toward a profit target near a 50% premium gain and a tighter stop loss, while Claude/Anthropic and Gemini reference a slightly larger profit target (up to 100% gain) paired with a 50% stop loss. – There is a mild conflict with the max pain theory (which is bullish at $155) versus the consensus technical and news story indicating further downside. However, all models agree that the negative catalysts outweigh the theoretical pull toward max pain.
────────────────────────────── 3. Conclusion and Trade Recommendation
• Overall Market Direction Consensus: – The integrated view is moderately bearish. Although intraday charts hint at short-term consolidation, the dominant daily technicals, high volatility, and strongly negative news set the stage for further downside pressure.
• Recommended Trade: – We recommend buying a single-leg, naked put option. – Selected Instrument: GOOGL weekly option with a $150 strike (0DTE expiring on 2025-04-17). – Premium: The current ask is $0.24 per contract. Although this is slightly below the ideal range, the risk/reward profile is favorable given the strong technical and sentiment bias. – Entry Timing: Enter at market open. – Profit Target: Aim for a premium increase to approximately $0.36 (a ~50% gain). – Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss around $0.12 (roughly a 50% reduction in premium), or exit if the underlying rallies decisively above the intraday resistance levels (around $152). – Confidence Level in the Recommendation: Approximately 70%.
• Key Risks and Considerations: – The max pain level at $155 could introduce some intraday upward pressure. – High implied volatility (VIX at 32.64) means rapid moves could quickly hit stop-loss triggers. – The 0DTE nature of the option calls for strict monitoring; if GOOGL fails to break below key support levels early on, exit the position promptly. – Overall market reversals or unexpected news can rapidly change the trade dynamics.
────────────────────────────── 4. TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format)
{ "instrument": "GOOGL", "direction": "put", "strike": 150.00, "expiry": "2025-04-17", "confidence": 0.70, "profit_target": 0.36, "stop_loss": 0.12, "size": 1, "entry_price": 0.24, "entry_timing": "open" }
Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
Googlesell
Antitrust Threat Looms Over Google, Shares Could Plummet by 10%!Google's dominance might be ending. A U.S. judge has decided that the company's control over search is unfair competition. This could lead to Alphabet, Google's parent company, being split up and a major change in online advertising. A new era of search could be coming, as the internet's main player may soon lose its power.
Technical Analysis
The share price has surged by over 190% since hitting its lowest point during the Covid-19 crash.
Following a previous peak of $152, the stock experienced a significant drop and subsequently entered a prolonged phase of consolidation.
After approximately 2.5 years of this price stabilization, the stock finally broke through its prior resistance in April 2024.
This significant breakthrough resulted in an impressive surge, propelled the price to a new all-time high of $193.
However, the stock price faced considerable resistance at that level, resulted in a decline and eventually breaking down of its upward-trending parallel channel.
The stock is likely to experience a sharp decline of about 10%, finding support somewhere between $132 and $131.
GOOGLE SHORT TIMING? reached important resistance level?
we could see that it is rebounding from an overall downtrend market.
And it's closed to the resistance area of previous lows, which shares the same level with the downtrend line, double confirmed the importance of this resistance area.
So if it be rejected by this area, and start to showing sell signals like bearish engulfing pattern etc, the price may continue to drop.
GOOG Rising Wedge Here is a simple rising wedge pattern on google with bear gap resistance above you dont want to get caught guessing the top because there is no way to tell exactly when price will reverse. Just react and catch the move when it presents itself. Expect to enter after either A) Gap Down, B) intraday Head and Shoulders or C) intraday bear flags.
GooGusd are you rdy for buy 🧨👌❤The big company Google has been using the downward trend of gold for days and for now it will have an upward trend for its shareholders.
Dear Americans who are Google shareholders, do not hold your shares until the price of $152.10.
The downward trend of Google will start from the price of $152.10, and for a long time, Google will sink into financial stagnation, and the expected decline for Bill Gates is $69.
These days, Bill Gates will sell Google shares as much as he can and will start buying when Google shares fall.
GOOG Alphabet Options Ahead of Earnings | Last Quarter of GrowthAs you can see, the last chart was pretty accurate:
Now I think this year we will see Google losing ground in the advertising industry.
The Justice Department filed an antitrust lawsuit Tuesday against Google alleging the company of abusing its dominance over smaller rivals by operating like an illegal monopoly.
MSFT Microsoft bought a 49% stake in OpenAI, who owns CHatGPT, that ca really be a rival to Google in answering questions.
As a matter of fact i am using ChatGPT more than Google search right now.
So i believe this is the last quarter of growth for GOOG / GOOGL, as you can see in the chat, because Q4 was not impacted by ChatGPT so much.
Looking at the GOOG Alphabet options chain ahead of earnings , I would buy the $100 strike price Calls with
2023-2-10 expiration date for about
$2.66 premium.
If the options turn out to be profitable Before the earnings release, I would sell at least 50%.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Google Alphabet Movement Prediction In this idea I show Google's movement as I see it playing out. I have been moving into different types of charts to challenge myself as I grow my skills. I have to say I think I will like charting stocks as they each are pretty unique and are in their own right a puzzle to solve. I see this movement as Google's struggle to figure out where they belong in an ever changing digital world as some of their products grow stagnant and are being outshined by such things as Amazon Web Services. If you agree throw me a like and follow me for more unique concepts and ideas that keep you in the gains.
Google: Searching for lower pricesAlphabet
Short Term
We look to Sell at 118.12 (stop at 121.10)
The medium term bias remains bearish. The sideways consolidation continued although the market managed to post a significant high at 120.00. Trading within a Bearish Channel formation. Further downside is expected and we prefer to set shorts in early trade.
Our profit targets will be 104.19 and 101.01
Resistance: 119.00 / 125.00 / 142.00
Support: 110.00 / 104.00 / 100.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
GOOG Alphabet Stock SplitGOOG 20-for-1 stock split is scheduled to occur on July 15.
Companies that that did stock splits statistically had outperform the market in the 12 months following the split.
I think we will se GOOG trading at $2350 ahead of the split.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
GOOGL Earnings Miss | YouTube revenue disappointsYouTube has more than 2bn monthly users.
YouTube revenues rose 14% to $6.9bn, below the $7.5bn expected by analysts.
YouTube revenue disappoints on growing TikTok competition concerns and Ukraine war which impacted YouTube ads.
GOOGL 23% increase in revenue in Q1 to $68bn, but below forecasts for $68.1bn.
In 2021, revenues increased 34%.
Considering the above, future growth is not so sure.
I expect a retracement to the $2100 level.
Google broken through key support? Alphabet
Short Term - We look to Sell at 2458.30 (stop at 2544.79)
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Previous support level of 2500.00 broken. Trading volume is increasing. The bias is still for lower levels and we look for any gains to be limited. Trading has been mixed and volatile. We look to set shorts in the early trade.
Our profit targets will be 2173.56 and 2014.00
Resistance: 2500.00 / 2800.00 / 3000.00
Support: 2300.00 / 2000.00 / 1800.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
GOOGLE -- It keeps getting stuckAs can be seen in the chart, there is a great squeeze in both prices and RSI. This is a bit scary of course ...
This tightness can continue up to the level of 2200$ or even 2400 $, but then we think it is very likely that we will see a big selling pressure for both the relaxation of the indicators and the completion of the technical formation formed by the prices.
We are not at the beginning of April anymore. It has been almost a year and the Nasdaq have an unstoppable rising. We wonder where will he stand ???
It contains only personal views and opinions. Does not contain legal investment advice ...