GoPro (GPRO)
GPRO looking for a bottom.GoPro has been diving into the depths of the chart, doing price discovery and trying to find a bottom; but we can see the market has been buying these dips, as illustrated by the MACD and RSI bullish divs.
Taking the long trade here is really good in terms Risk/Reward but gambly in the sense that there's no bottom put in just yet.
#GoPro No-Go, IPO Below H2O | $GPRO #nasdaqDownside risk:
1 - Reciprocal ab = cd symmetry eyes sub-$5.00
2 - Predictive/Forecasting defines probable support at 23.99, limited upside to 36.97, bearish target at 7.28
OVERALL - BEARISH
David Alcindor
Predictive Analysis & Forecasting
Durango, Colorado - USA
----------
TradingView - Alias: @4xForecaster
Trade Idea #31 - $GPRO - Resurrection or Fatality?$GPRO has seen massive devaluation since August.
Entering with 1/3rd position. Trade as pending. Will update.
Technical Reasons
Wolfe Wave 5' Completion
Major Support
Major Dynamic Resistance pending
As a higher risk set-up, consider:
smaller position sizes
adding to winners
layering orders sub $30
Good Luck
Gpro 60min Reversal I am looking for Gpro to make a 60 min stoch reversal. Right now we are in a flag and I am looking for a breakout of the flag. We bounce off of the lower channel line and are now looking bullish on the 60 minute with a cross over on the stoch. I would like to see us retest the recent highs. Possible get a short squeeze into earnings. We could see a $2 move from here till earnings
Reversal after Bullish AB=CD pattern There has been so much chatter over the net on $GPRO so I decided to have a look and indeed there's a very nice setup for a potential bullish move.
$GPRO broke out of the daily down trend line (I know some will disagree with the way this line is placed, but that's how I place my trend lines) after a completion of a bullish AB=CD pattern and a daily double bottom.
Potential targets for the pattern are - 48.5$ and 53$
Notice that there is a wide stop loss here so use the proper risk management rules
This analysis was sent to the members earlier, as part of their weekly letter, among other trading ideas for the week.
Join the members here: www.themarketzone.net
GPRO Near Key SupportGPRO has been in a downtrend for over 5 months now. Its backed itself up into its key support line that dates back to the early days of this young stock's IPO. $37 is the area to watch for. If it fails, we will see new lows before we see new highs in GPRO. For confirmation of a reversal I'd like to see GPRO hold over $45. If GPRO can get over the $50 hump I would be very optimistic for the bulls. For a long term stock holding, one could take a speculative play here at 42, place a stop at 37 and see if GPRO can make a run at the ATH months from now.
Have a suggestion for my next chart analysis? Please Comment!
GoPro is GoNoob no more -- High probably comebackHuge falling wedge since November 2014 and we have a monthly support at 37.13 which the price stopped exactly at 5 days ago.
What more can we ask from this? :D
Open: 37 - 40.35
Stop loss: 36.36 (just slightly below the lows)
Take profit: 51.6/ 69.29 (2 t/p level)
GPRO Reversal with Breakout I have been following GPRO for a while and it has been patterning out pretty good so far. It has stayed within its channel lines.
What I like about GPRO right now is that it has not broken down yet. What I am looking for is a one last flush down with a reversal candle.
I have set up Buy Triggers.
Buy Trigger 1: I have a Buy Trigger 1 at the old support lines when the stock started trading.
When I look at Support lines I decide whether they are strong or weak support or resistance lines. As we can see from the chart we have found support on the bottom of the red channel multiple times and resistance at the upper dotted trendline. These are strong trendlines and have a better chance to react on.
As for the old support lines back in July, those are weak support lines and could break down
We are currently right on our Channel Support lines and I am looking for a reversal candle. Coming in the coming days.
Higher Risk Buy Trigger 1 is in place to try to catch that bottom but the real buy trigger for the long term would be the Buy Trigger 2.
If we finally break out of the wedge pattern we could break out of our bearish trend and beginning to move higher
Long GPRO on Buy Triggers!3/5/15 Update
We Keep Knocking on the door of the wedge and are turn back each time. Once again that is why we have a trigger on rather then a buy signal on a range. Until we break out of this wedge we will continue to roll over.
I am looking for a rotating back down on the 30 minute stochastic and the a pull back on the hourly and the final rotating back up for a break out.
I have been breaking down GPRO for a couple of weeks now. Looking at how it might follow a similar post lock up trend that TWTR has. For the most part it has done very similar things. Most importantly I have been trying to help people out on where GPRO might fall to and bottom out at.
I am looking at GPRO to be a great long because while its P/E might be at 43.84 but its forward P/E is only 24. If you believe 43.84 is a good valuation than over the next 12 months the stock should raise to 60+ to maintain that valuation.
Instead of trying to really pick a day for a bottom I set up buy triggers on GPRO to enter a long position.
Buy Trigger 1: is a breakout of the fallen wedge pattern. If we break that trend I believe the bottom will be in. We might retrace that trend line after the break but overall we will move up.
Buy Trigger 2: Is what I am calling a trap door support bounce. Right now we have many support line coverging on GPRO. But it could be a fake support in which we break through the level and fall to the bottom of GPRO raise to 90+. I believe then we would have shaken weak hands out and the bottom will be in.
Those are my two buy triggers, when they happen then I will enter a long position.
Remember sell into strength and don't be afraid to buy the fear.
These are my notes on my other chart about GPRO will follow TWTR's post lock up trend. But this chart is just the GPRO chart.
I was hoping that Gpro would flush on the lock up in order to find support on its lower trend lines. Instead we got a rally then a dump. I wanted to see a dump to a trend line then a rally so the trend would now be up rather then down.
But overall gpro is still following what TWTR did post lock up. What I am still waiting for is for a lower trendline bounce in order to start a new upward trend. I think we are coming very close to that range.
How have we followed TWTR lock up.
1) Both Had Earnings beats and dropped rather then rallied.
2) After the drop on earnings both had a small rally that failed. Twtr rally came right after lock up and gpro had its rally right on lock up. That was the main difference on when it happen but both had a pop and then a entrancement back to the lows.
3) Twtr slowly grinded downward to his lower trendline again before popping out of a tight channel.
Gpro is now stuck in a tight channel as well and I am looking for it to to break to the upside of this channel after hitting close to its lower channel line range of $40-41.
We currently have a Channel within a Wedge within a Channel X mark the spot coming up.
Channel 1: a really right channel from the small rally we just had
Channel 2: A bullish wedge pattern. Usually downward wedges break out to the upside
Channel 3: The overall larger channel & old support line back to the IPO days
I am looking to get down close to these trendline before moving up.
The main point is I am trying to find catch the bottom here before we grind up to the large channel upper channel line.
That bottom could be in now because we are close. Could be in on the X mark the spot or even a trap door below the support lines I have but the bottom is coming and a buying opportunity is to be had.
FYI: AMBA earnings are next week. I am looking for a beat on their earnings. However, I am looking for it to move the stock one way or another. If AMBA drops out we might see some of these trendline fail...if they beat the bottom could be in on GPRO.
It looks like the bottom will be in on Gpro at the latest next week.
Long GPRO: Channel within a Wedge within a Channel. Lane Diverg?These are my notes on my other chart about GPRO will follow TWTR's post lock up trend. But this chart is just the GPRO chart.
I was hoping that Gpro would flush on the lock up in order to find support on its lower trend lines. Instead we got a rally then a dump. I wanted to see a dump to a trend line then a rally so the trend would now be up rather then down.
But overall gpro is still following what TWTR did post lock up. What I am still waiting for is for a lower trendline bounce in order to start a new upward trend. I think we are coming very close to that range.
How have we followed TWTR lock up.
1) Both Had Earnings beats and dropped rather then rallied.
2) After the drop on earnings both had a small rally that failed. Twtr rally came right after lock up and gpro had its rally right on lock up. That was the main difference on when it happen but both had a pop and then a entrancement back to the lows.
3) Twtr slowly grinded downward to his lower trendline again before popping out of a tight channel.
Gpro is now stuck in a tight channel as well and I am looking for it to to break to the upside of this channel after hitting close to its lower channel line range of $40-41.
We currently have a Channel within a Wedge within a Channel X mark the spot coming up.
Channel 1: a really right channel from the small rally we just had
Channel 2: A bullish wedge pattern. Usually downward wedges break out to the upside
Channel 3: The overall larger channel & old support line back to the IPO days
I am looking to get down close to these trendline before moving up.
The main point is I am trying to find catch the bottom here before we grind up to the large channel upper channel line.
That bottom could be in now because we are close. Could be in on the X mark the spot or even a trap door below the support lines I have but the bottom is coming and a buying opportunity is to be had.
FYI: AMBA earnings are next week. I am looking for a beat on their earnings. However, I am looking for it to move the stock one way or another. If AMBA drops out we might see some of these trendline fail...if they beat the bottom could be in on GPRO.
It looks like the bottom will be in on Gpro at the latest next week.
Finally, look for a Lane Divergence on the daily to possibly play out. If it does we are setting up great
Updated:GPRO WILL FOLLOW POST TWTR LOCK UP TREND.LaneDivergence?(Updated from earlier today because I readjusted the Channel Lines and looks like possible lane divergence on Daily could be setting up)
This is a quick follow up to my GPRO will follow TWTR's post lock up trend.
I was hoping that Gpro would flush on the lock up in order to find support on its lower trend lines. Instead we got a rally then a dump. I wanted to see a dump to a trend line then a rally so the trend would now be up rather then down.
But overall gpro is still following what TWTR did post lock up. What I am still waiting for is for a lower trendline bounce in order to start a new upward trend. I think we are coming very close to that range.
How have we followed TWTR lock up.
1) Both Had Earnings beats and dropped rather then rallied.
2) After the drop on earnings both had a small rally that failed. Twtr rally came right after lock up and gpro had its rally right on lock up. That was the main difference on when it happen but both had a pop and then a entrancement back to the lows.
3) Twtr slowly grinded downward to his lower trendline again before popping out of a tight channel.
Gpro is now stuck in a tight channel as well and I am looking for it to to break to the upside of this channel after hitting close to its lower channel line range of $40-41.
We currently have a Channel within a Channel within a Channel X mark the spot coming up.
Channel 1: a really right channel from the small rally we just had
Channel 2: A bullish wedge pattern. Usually downward wedges break out to the upside
Channel 3: The overall larger channel & old support line back to the IPO days
I am looking to get down close to these trendline before moving up.
The main point is I am trying to find catch the bottom here before we grind up to the large channel upper channel line.
That bottom could be in now because we are close. Could be in on the X mark the spot or even a trap door below the support lines I have but the bottom is coming and a buying opportunity is to be had.
FYI: AMBA earnings are next week. I am looking for a beat on their earnings. However, I am looking for it to move the stock one way or another. If AMBA drops out we might see some of these trendline fail...if they beat the bottom could be in on GPRO.
It looks like the bottom will be in on Gpro at the latest next week.
Finally Look for a Lane Divergence on the daily to possibly play out. If it does we are setting up great
Long GPRO will Follow Post TWTR Lock Up Trend RevisitedThis is a quick follow up to my GPRO will follow TWTR's post lock up trend.
I was hoping that Gpro would flush on the lock up in order to find support on its lower trend lines. Instead we got a rally then a dump. I wanted to see a dump to a trend line then a rally so the trend would now be up rather then down.
But overall gpro is still following what TWTR did post lock up. What I am still waiting for is for a lower trendline bounce in order to start a new upward trend. I think we are coming very close to that range.
How have we followed TWTR lock up.
1) Both Had Earnings beats and dropped rather then rallied.
2) After the drop on earnings both had a small rally that failed. Twtr rally came right after lock up and gpro had its rally right on lock up. That was the main difference on when it happen but both had a pop and then a entrancement back to the lows.
3) Twtr slowly grinded downward to his lower trendline again before popping out of a tight channel.
Gpro is now stuck in a tight channel as well and I am looking for it to to break to the upside of this channel after hitting close to its lower channel line range of $40-41.
We currently have a Channel within a Channel within a Channel X mark the spot coming up.
Channel 1: a really right channel from the small rally we just had
Channel 2: A bullish wedge pattern. Usually downward wedges break out to the upside
Channel 3: The overall larger channel & old support line back to the IPO days
I am looking to get down close to these trendline before moving up.
The main point is I am trying to find catch the bottom here before we grind up to the large channel upper channel line.
That bottom could be in now because we are close. Could be in on the X mark the spot or even a trap door below the support lines I have but the bottom is coming and a buying opportunity is to be had.
FYI: AMBA earnings are next week. I am looking for a beat on their earnings. However, I am looking for it to move the stock one way or another. If AMBA drops out we might see some of these trendline fail...if they beat the bottom could be in on GPRO.
It looks like the bottom will be in on Gpro at the latest next week.