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On standby!-According to the previous analysis , the SPX index has been a bit strange in recent days, and it seems to me to be on hold. - One of the factors that is causing the index not to advance, nor to fall more sharply, is due to the fact that the American interest rate remains above the 4% y.y zone throughout 2023, making investors and, mainly, companies do their math, assessing the possible effects that the rate maintained at these levels will bring to the consumer and labor market. -I still do not rule out investors looking for more premiums to be able to enter the assets again, causing them to fall, and contributing to the thesis of the SPX index coming to test at least the long average, in the 3960 range. -If prices come to test this range (3960) and there is no loss of it, we can see a brief accumulation of prices, ranging between 3960 and 4088, so that we can finally make a more assertive decision about which path the index will take, given , that all possible variables will have already been accounted for by investors and institutional weights. -Graphically speaking, the index opened the possibility of falls, to look for the following regions: 4024, 3956 (probable destination) and finally, 3915, where, reaching the region of 3915, it will open great chances of looking again for the previous bottom region in 3741. -Do your analysis and good business. -Be Aware, If You Buy, Use Stop! -See below for other reviews.
SP:SPX
by MacD_Bollinger
Ignored Elliott?--It appears that BTC has ignored Elliott's leg 5 and quickly pursued the LTB of the huge wedge in the 23K region. The bulls perked up and showed their strength! --I confess that I no longer followed crypto after my last analysis on 12/31/2022 and, neither did I take faith in the bullish pivot that was being outlined at the time on 01/01/2023. What to do! Such is life, "one day of the hunt, another day of the hunter". --After the crypto momentum of the last few weeks, will it have enough strength to pursue higher targets, like the $25.2K region? --After a small accumulation above the long average, the SETUP, showed this formed pivot that has strength to seek the region of $25.6K. Will the longs perk up and continue their saga even after this slingshot of over 40%? -The most sensible thing is to follow candle by candle! -Do your analysis and good business! -Be Aware, If You Buy, Use Stop! -See below for other reviews!
INDEX:BTCUSD
by MacD_Bollinger
The strength is missing, where's the strength?-The bias of the SPX index is still bearish as shown in previous analyses. See the reasons by clicking here and here . -Prices are still working inside the huge bearish channel and respecting the long average and LTB as resistance. -The daily chart even formed a high pivot (repeat) to try to reach the 4000 region, however, if prices do not manage to stay above 3961 we will see a test at 3800. -On the hourly chart we see prices losing the long average, therefore, it opened precedents for testing in the following regions: 3866 and 3852, where, with prices working below 3852, we can have a test at 3791. -Tesla pursued the planned target, will the asset now hold above $102? See by clicking here! -Do your analysis and good business. -Be Aware, If You Buy, Use Stop! -See below for other reviews.
SP:SPXShort
by MacD_Bollinger
2
2023, will be the year of review of "valuations"?-The risk adjustments that many "analytical houses" will make in their "rebalances" of hedged assets, will suggest that the "valuations" of the companies are high. -We may see an increase in the US interest rate, therefore, we will see the earnings expectations of companies dependent on cheaper loans being reduced quarter by quarter in the first six months of 2023. -A preponderant factor that may directly interfere with assets around the world are issues related to the containment of American inflation, which directly impacts the inflation of several countries via exchange rate and, consequently, via the interest rate of central banks, bringing even more certainty as a possible global recession. --If the first six months of the year pass without many surprises in the American inflationary field, we may have a reduction in the perception of risks, bringing again the flow of foreign capital to the most promising emerging countries, making the wheel of wealth turn again. --With so many risks on the horizon, the wisest thing for anyone looking to buy the stock market is to opt for commodity assets, or for assets with greater exposure to the external environment due to the “exchange rate” factor. -Despite so much bad news on the radar, we should not fail to look at the countless good companies that have almost priced their discounts. "Open your eyes". -Do your analysis and good business. -Be Aware, If You Buy, Use Stop! -See below for other reviews!
SP:SPX
by MacD_Bollinger
4
-That scares me!!! But I'm glad I can sell!!!-Looking at a graph like this gives me unprecedented fear, as it seems to me that the asset is on the brink of a precipice, ready to be thrown. -The daily chart shows the possibility of a rebound to the region up to the previous bottom at $137.64, where it will pull back and look for the region of $117.36. -If there is a test in the region of $117.36, it could open a graphic abyss for the asset, where its salvation will be in the following regions: $103.30 (weekly long average) and, finally, $93.89 which I think it would be a big catastrophe if prices reach that level, but there is a big “GAP” in this region that needs to be closed. -Hour chart suggests prices are looking for the long average region at $142.82 to “pull back” and fall again. -Do your analysis and good business. -Be Aware, If You Buy, Use Stop! -See below for other reviews.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by MacD_Bollinger
More falls? 4999 could be just around the corner!-The outlook for the dollar is to test the median of the channel in the 5059 range in the short term. -A large part of this perspective is due to the approval of the well-dried transition PEC, with a maximum duration of one year, but, in Brazil, everything that is temporary becomes permanent from one hour to the next, and I would not be surprised in the second half of 2023 we have a “beautiful novelty” in relation to the continuity of such PEC (with another name, of course). -The daily chart's bearish pivot shows declines to the 5016 region as the first stage. We have the long average at the moment serving as support and, just below, the median of the channel. -Will we see the dollar losing strength around the world? We have the DXY opening its beak, but it might want to make a reraise (FED)! -The hourly chart made this pivot and failed to advance, setting precedent for a retest at 5132 should prices fail to open above 5176. -Do your analysis and good business. -Be Aware, If You Buy, Use Stop! -See below for other reviews.
BMFBOVESPA:WDO1!
by MacD_Bollinger
Brazil is a Mustang!?-I begin my humble analysis with a paradoxical sentence: “Brazil does not lose the opportunity to lose great opportunities”. -Brazil looks like that beautiful Ford Mustang parked in the garage, however, with a little thing out of the axis. It has no wheels. -Despite being without the beautiful wheels, it still manages to leave the place, and that means that the powerful engine under the hood (agribusiness, mining and oil) does its job very well, worthy of a beautiful car. - Now I'm thinking to myself. If without wheels this car manages to walk, even if dragging itself, imagine if this same car had at least one scooter wheel (administrative and tax reforms), how prosperous and powerful it would be. But there is an old saying that is used in Brazil that is exactly like that. “God does not give wings to snakes”. -By making an analogy, Brazil is still a small baby compared to the world's economies. As it is an extremely young economy, Brazil has little commercial history with the world, as it recently opened up to global trade, more precisely in 1990, and despite this young economic opening, it is already part of the select group of countries that it has strong influences in some key sectors of the global value chain, too bad the country didn't discover this. (lol) -Can we expect improvements for the future of Brazil? As previously stated, “Brazil does not miss the opportunity to lose great opportunities”. $ Let's Graph $ -The index has found the long average, and it could be the stumbling block to a steeper climb. We had a beautiful bullish pivot formed that is managing to advance, however, it is in a region of strong resistance (previous bottoms). -The non-breaking of the long average, and the prices not advancing up to the FIBO yard of 1,618, we may have retreats to the region of 106.K and finally, at 103.7K, therefore, the “bulls” need to take the strength to missing yard if you want to advance to new heights. -Do your analysis and good business. -Be Aware, If You Buy, Use Stop! -See below for other reviews.
BMFBOVESPA:IBOV
by MacD_Bollinger
4
$78.50 could be right around the corner!-After a tougher stance by the Fed, Amazon's shares have been suffering consecutive falls throughout 2022, despite their constant spikes above 15% when the news published by the media comes in a more "dovish" tone (laughs). -The most recent bearish pivot on the monthly chart takes us down to the $78.50 region, in the 2018 price accumulation region and the bottom of the 2020 pandemic. -We may have a pivot high rebound wanting to form on the daily chart with prices going above $88.36 bound for the previous top at $96.59. -Will the FED adopt a more lenient stance (decrease or stop the increase in interest rates) and remove once and for all the final destination of the asset that the bearish pivot of the monthly chart shows ($78.50)? -Do your analysis and good business. -Be Aware, If You Buy, Use Stop! -See below for other reviews.
NASDAQ:AMZN
by MacD_Bollinger
2
Was it the strength of the bears or the Fed?-According to a previous analysis ( see here ), the SPX rate was unable to break through the blockade, mainly due to the increase in the basic interest rate. -At the moment we have a bearish pivot formed with destination in the median of the "mega" bearish channel as the first stop. -If the declines continue and we have prices working below 3794, we can have the following targets: 3742, 3605 and finally the FIBO gold region at 3521 as likely destinations! -Do your analysis and good business. -Be Aware, If You Buy Use Stop!
SP:SPX
by MacD_Bollinger
The BTC thirds and their supports!-Who will pray the rosary at the end of this BTC fight, “bulls” or “bears”? -For many months the “crypto” has been at full steam in a downtrend, and has not found the strength, or rather reasons, to end its predominant trend and go back up! -The above chart pattern suggests that BTC is working on a large “bullish descending wedge”. -If so, we have a long way to go to the “2nd third” of the descending triangle to find support and go back up. -According to the triangle plot (descending wedge), the “thirds” supports are: $17.8K, $10.5K and $6.3K. -It is worth remembering that the first support of the “1st third” at $17.8K was, in parts, respected, as we had prices sambaing above this region for four months until it made its decision and lost support, falling to the region of $15 ,5K. The “1st third” support coincides with the December 2017 top. -If the figure is taken seriously, we may see prices looking for support in the “2nd third” region, at $10.5K, the region of strong resistance from the “pre-covid” period. -The quest for the “3rd third”, in my opinion, will only occur if the “fundamentals” of crypto (if any) deteriorate further. -Do your analysis and good business. -Be Aware, If You Buy, Use Stop!
INDEX:BTCUSD
by MacD_Bollinger
2