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Greatdepression

The U.S. Markets are likely to have one last push before....The U.S. markets have been inflated to the point of near exhaustion, propped up by nothing more than a money printer that goes brrr... brrrr... brrrrrrrrrrr. However, this seemingly never-ending run is coming to an end. Trump will most likely be elected president again. His first term (45) and his second term (47) will likely mark the greatest market crash of all time—the end of the everything bubble! 4 + 5 = 9; 4 + 7 = 11; 9 + 11 = 20. They will likely prop the market up until his administration takes power, then... Shorting these markets will be the opportunity of a lifetime! Good luck, and always use a stop loss!
SP:SPX
by MetaShackle
Decoding "THE GREAT DEPRESSION" !!! - #DJIThe great depression VS today's market structure! - trying to find synergies between both timeline's The Stock Market Boom and Crash of 1926-1933: An Applied Time Series Investigation I found this interesting how it aligns with today's market sentiment.. chgate.net/publication/314247517_The_Stock_Market_Boom_and_Crash_of_1926-1933_An_Applied_Time_Series_Investigation]https://www.researchgate.net/publication/314247517_The_Stock_Market_Boom_and_Crash_of_1926-1933_An_Applied_Time_Series_Investigation Companys are in the mist of adopting innovative technology, from blockchain technology to artificial intelligence. Hyper inflation begun in 1924 lasting until 1929 until eventually the DJI collapsed 89%. The catalyst to inflation - Hyper inflation. over expanding the currency supply. here's an article of the Dawes plan which would of contributed to hyper inflation. www.bbc.co.uk Todays market structure and sentiment.. DJI This show's the DJI coming to a similar % rally we saw during the great depression... Also signalling a top target for maximum Fibonacci levels, combined with bull flag TP target price.. Pretty scary chart to say the least!!.. But highlighting potential scenario's.. Still a good chance we see a shorter correction before continuing into a hyper inflation period. *Fiat currency - has lost a significant amount of value, from - covid stimulus/aid too Russia/Ukraine now Israel/Hamas. Central banks over expanding the currency supply. The chart's and timeline's match... but The great depression happened in much shorter succession. history often rhymes! - my thesis the great depression is delayed - hyper inflation is yet to come... with that risk on asset's will rise! WHY? The debt ceiling was raised to 35 Trillion dollars until 2025 which insinuates reserve liquidity to recover failing market's - banks and possible real estate with downward pressure on individual companies and business's. countries can't withstand high interest rate's due their current Debt .. currently economy's are expected to retract. Sentiment The US changed the definition of a recession so many are still un- aware that were currently in a recession. talks of just missing one! - which I find pretty amusing! Central banks are back tracking on high interest rates for longer, M2 money supply is contracting to the lowest level since 1960. Now expected 6 rate cuts during 2024! were currently in a speculation rally based off liquidity returning and the fast adoption of technology which is currently propping up the DJI. Likely we see a 30-50% correction for the DJI, But for the reason's above we could see a shorter correction. which would align with the great depression! Let me know your thought's in the comments below.
TVC:DJI
by dibz1996
Rate Cut 1930 - Pattern Recognition: 30s vs Today In 1930, when the Fed cut interest rates, the market crashed further. In today's tutorial, we will be comparing the 30s and today’s market to identify some of their similarities. Where exactly are interest rates’ direction pointing us? As we may have read, many analysts are forecasting that there will be a few rate cuts in 2024. Is this the best option? My work in this channel, as always, is to study behavioral science in finance, discover correlations between different markets, and uncover potential opportunities. Micro Treasury Yields & Its Minimum Fluctuation Micro 2-Year Yield Futures Ticker: 2YY 0.001 Index points (1/10th basis point per annum) = $1.00 Micro 5-Year Yield Futures Ticker: 5YY 0.001 Index points (1/10th basis point per annum) = $1.00 Micro 10-Year Yield Futures Ticker: 10Y 0.001 Index points (1/10th basis point per annum) = $1.00 Micro 30-Year Yield Futures Ticker: 30Y 0.01 Index points (1/10th basis point per annum) = $1.00 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
TVC:DJI
by konhow
40
So much similarity - 1929 stock market and today I have broken it into 2 parts. Part 1 – we can associate it with the sequence then. Part 2 – we can take reference as the situation unfolds. Part 1 - 1929 sequence that seems familiar today: a) Crisis triggered by several factors b) Stocks rose rapidly c) Chain reaction of events d) Bank had invested heavily e) Bank failed Part 2 - As it continued in 1929: f) Decrease in the money supply g) Decrease production & employment i) Decline spending & investment j) The cycle continued Following the video comparing the 1929 stock crash followed-by the great depression and the recent years, there are many similarities between its technical and fundamental developments. Trading & Hedging in Nasdaq - E-mini Nasdaq Futures & Options: Minimum fluctuation 0.25 index points = $5.00 Micro E-mini Nasdaq Futures & Options: Minimum fluctuation 0.25 index points = $0.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by konhow
1929 Stock Market & Today The story of 1929 - The Great Depression was a severe worldwide economic depression that lasted from 1929 to the late 1930s. There were several factors that contributed to the trigger of the Great Depression, but the key trigger is often attributed to the stock market crash of 1929. In the 1920s, there was a period of economic growth and prosperity in the United States, also known as the "Roaring Twenties." During this time, people invested heavily in the stock market, and the prices of stocks rose rapidly. However, in September and October of 1929, the stock market began to decline, and on October 24, 1929, known as "Black Thursday," panic selling began, causing the stock market to crash. The stock market crash led to a chain reaction of events that contributed to the Great Depression. Banks had invested heavily in the stock market and had also made loans to individuals and businesses that were unable to repay them. As a result, many banks failed, leading to a loss of confidence in the banking system. The collapse of the banking system led to a decrease in the money supply, which caused a decline in spending and investment. The decline in spending and investment led to a decrease in production and employment, which caused a further decline in spending and investment, and the cycle continued. In summary, the key trigger for the Great Depression was the stock market crash of 1929, which led to a chain reaction of events that caused the collapse of the banking system and a severe decrease in spending and investment. I am seeing similarities between its technical and fundamental. My view on technical as a study into "Behavioral price movement" , it refers to the fluctuations in the price of a financial asset that are caused by the collective behavior of investors, traders and events. And they tend to repeat itself. Trading & Hedging in Nasdaq - E-mini Nasdaq Futures & Options: Minimum fluctuation 0.25 index points = $5.00 Micro E-mini Nasdaq Futures & Options: Minimum fluctuation 0.25 index points = $0.50 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by konhow
2
Visualizing the Current Market in Relation to Past RecessionsIt is helpful to view past recession trajectories to get a visual idea of where we are at the moment. I chose the recessions which were most relevant to today's market conditions. The 01 (purple) and 08-09 (dark blue) recessions were the first "modern" recessions where MMT was being implemented and tech made up a significant chunk of the market. The 70 (reddish brown) and 73-75 (green) recessions were the first stagflation recessions of the 70s. Finally, the Great Depression (light blue) is shown as a worst case scenario. If this current period mirrors history, a bounce or sideways movement through the rest of 2022 wouldn't be surprising. While a depression trajectory is possible, I don't believe it is most likely at this point.
SP:SPX
by Cryptogold14
2
SP500 Short, Final Leg Down to 200s?I wouldn't be surprised if a major geopolitical event is used to take the blame or worry away from people being down 80% off of their pension funds. Doesn't matter if it's engineered or not, as long as the event is present. It could come in weeks, but it's a throw-in-the-dart and a take from what I see happening the past few months. Be sure to hug your friends and family, just in case the nuke meme plays out. If it or the event happens, just breathe, save, and survive. It's not gonna be as bad as the fallout games, and I doubt the game master will let things get that bad to the point of losing/relinquishing control. Just merely a shakeout to justify fear and consolidate power in the right direction for humanity considering we're overpopulated. Hell, the drop could get delayed to the upcoming election cycle, but as we all know the FED is between a rock and a hard place to raise rates and crash the economy or let rates stay low and devalue the USD. There is a fourth option that could be a game changer which is to usher in a 4IR to stimulate the whole global economy, and systematically counteract/control the incoming crash. Crypto trojan horse, FTX, played out in an act to both consolidate financial power through CeFi and thwart US competitors from laundering money at the same time. Regardless if it blew up or not, the House gained an edge. Be it discrediting and devaluing crypto against CBDCs or understanding how and where the currency of state actors flows throughout the crypto ecosystem. 11-11 Chapter 11 for FTX Trade: Entry - 395 SL - 418 TPs - 320, 280
AMEX:SPYShort
by linebands
$SPY - Double Top - Great Reset - Stock Crash Ending 2030$SPY is going for a double top before crashing down to low 200's in the "Great Reset" lasting to 2030. Much like China's "Great Leap Forward" which was one of the largest disasters in history, after which a huge economic advancement was made for several decades. Following the "Great Reset" the United States will enter a period of massive prosperity where conservatism will reign. During this period, the United States will maintain supremacy of the global economy till the year 2100.
AMEX:SPYShort
by motionrelative
DJI - God Help Us All... Welcome to the Great depression 2022 Dow Jones industrial average index has lost its February 2020 support. As this support did not hold i am convinced that the oldest US index has begun the great depression, not recession but depression. You can already see what fiat pairs with the USD are doing. The run up was just phenomenal to say the least. We've been essentially parabolic since 2009, with the total run up since 1987 flash crash. Since then economy was on steroids. The first sign of realism came with the dot.com bubble. It was especially hard on the S&P 500 index which lost more than 80% back then. Then came 2008 financial crisis which was seen predominant in the DJI. After that it was just up up up, sideways and up. Covid dump just showed how laveraged this market is and sparked asset inflation on steroids. .... NOW ... Will see what happens. DJI could still drop by 1k points, but not much lower for now as it is expected to go into a retracement first, if it doesn't go already. This retracement could drag out for year or two before continuation down. Where you might think?... below 2008 bottom is quite realistic, but for that it can take 10-30 years to play out. Again its a depression not recession, remember that. We are clearly not dropping like in the 1929-1932, therefore i think we will bleed slower. Aftermath could be ... who knows... 20-30% of people out of job.... in 1930s there were around 25-30% of them on the streets. During DJI retracement there could still be a rotation in the stock and crypto market, with little projects reaching new ATHs, but still lets not expect to much, and rather realize that the US economy has POPPED. DISCLAMER: I am not a financial advisor so non of this should be taken as a financial advise. Be well. TVC:DJI
DJ:DJI
by AVA37
17
Exploring the Dow Jones boomer channel & its possibilities #WW3This chart is presented as neutral since the implied "idea" can't come into play till at least one key support properly breaks and worst case till the yellow channel has become relevant again like before; if this were to play out the main "challenge" would be: how to keep retail long all the way down? (hint: the same supposedly unrelated "people" who "shorted" from 18k to 36k will show the same level of stubbornness to long all the way back down to grace)
TVC:DJI
by markusrafferty
1
Trading The Great Reset: Two Strategies“History Doesn't Repeat Itself, but It Often Rhymes” – Mark Twain I've been noticing similarities between the Great Depression and the current market. Both were proceeded by parabolic ascents, and both had steep tops. The descent from 1929 to 1932 is shown in gray. Key support levels are marked in green. Two laddering strategies are shown with suggested percentages of investment based on initial cash available. Do I think this will play out? No. The Fed will cut rates and start a new round of QE long before the price ever gets to 800. If, however, there is a Black Swan event, the impossible could become possible. I do see 1600 as possible and 2200 as probable, given the current fundamentals. My target for the end of the year is 3000. Best of luck traders. Tips: ETH: 0x13cd45d7d282ee0ee4635645cce2e2a566d9bed8
SP:SPXShort
by Cryptogold14
2