RELIANCE Croosed resistance, strong sentiments supporting upmove. Strong trend reversal clearly visible in weekly timeframe.
Growth
A BNPL Bubble Is Actually Why I'm Bullish, For NowBNPL is growing and inflating at an increasing rate. From concert tickets to burritos, everyone is using buy now pay later. The global market is projected to hit 560 billion dollars in 2025, up from around 492 billion in 2024, and climb to 912 billion by 2030 at a compounding growth rate of 10.2%. Just in the U.S. alone, demand is expected to reach 122 billion next year and scale to 184 billion by the end of the decade. The trajectory is steep, with the structural weaknesses already showing.
Block is positioned at the center of BNPL. In Q1 2025 they reported:
2.29 billion in gross profit, up 9 percent YoY
466 million in adjusted operating income, up 28%
10.3 billion in GMV through Afterpay, with 298 million in BNPL gross profit, up 23% YoY
The stock took a hit. It dropped 9 percent in February and another 21 percent after missing Q1 earnings, but this is seen as typical early bubble behavior. There is short term fear but continuing growth and acceleration. Klarna’s credit losses, IPO delays, and regulatory friction are not problems, they are actually signals that the sector is growing faster than the market, or quite frankly, anyone can control.
BNPL is becoming the default credit system for younger consumers. It is overused and expanding too fast. That is the formula for both upside and implosion. However with that, timing will be everything here, and knowing when to close will be crucial if BNPL can't stabilize.
Baseline expectation: SQ trades in the 80 to 90 range in the short term
Midterm upside: 120 by 2027
Long-term target: 180 to 220 if BNPL stabilizes and Block captures its runway
NewtekOne | NEWT | Long at $10.92NewtekOne NASDAQ:NEWT is a financial holding company providing business and financial solutions to small- and medium-sized businesses across the U.S. Services include Newtek Bank, business lending, SBA loans, electronic payment processing, payroll and benefits, insurance, and technology solutions. While the stock has taken a major hit recently, insiders have scooped up over $1 million in shares with an average price of $11.70. Currently trading at a P/E of 5.6x, forward P/E of 6.6x, and near book value, the stock may be poised for a move up soon with the anticipation of interest rates dropping. Revenue is up 24.93% from $271.15M (2023) to $338.73M (2024) and earnings are forecast to grow 11.63% per year, but the company does have a high debt-to-equity ratio (over 5x).
Tariffs could indirectly impact NASDAQ:NEWT by increasing costs for its small- and medium-sized business clients, particularly in industries reliant on imports (e.g., manufacturing, retail). Higher costs may reduce client profitability, increasing loan default risks or reducing demand for Newtek’s lending and payment processing services. But an interest rate reversal may greatly limit the impact (longer-term).
So, at $10.92, NASDAQ:NEWT is in a personal buy zone.
Targets into 2027:
$12.00 (+9.9%)
$14.00 (+28.2%)
PLTR 1D — When the tea is brewed and the handle’s in placePalantir’s daily chart is shaping up a textbook cup with handle pattern — one of the most reliable continuation setups in technical analysis. The cup base was formed over several months and transitioned into a consolidation phase, building a rectangle structure where smart money likely accumulated positions before a breakout.
Now here’s the key: price has not only broken out — it’s settled above all major moving averages, including EMA 20/50/100/200 and MA 50/200. The breakout candle was supported by surging volume, signaling strong participation from institutional buyers. When all the averages start bending upwards, it's usually not by accident.
The breakout above the $121 resistance zone unlocked a pathway toward a target at $187 , derived by projecting the height of the cup upward from the breakout level. This kind of structure, once confirmed, often fuels aggressive continuation — and this one’s got the setup locked in.
From a fundamental perspective, Palantir is holding solid ground: strong earnings reports, expanding government and commercial contracts, and aggressive development in AI services. Institutional interest is rising steadily, and that momentum is visibly reflected in price action.
To sum it up: price has launched cleanly out of the consolidation zone, pierced all critical MAs and EMAs, and continues to gain momentum. While the market sips its tea, this cup is boiling hot. Just don’t forget your stop loss — this is a trading desk, not a tea party.
If you enjoy posts like this, drop a like, share it around, and let’s hear your thoughts below. It keeps ideas moving and the content flowing — free, sharp, and relevant.
NFLX gains the momentumNFLX is gaining strength.
Fundamentals: Netflix reported a 12.5% year-over-year increase in Q1 revenue, reaching $10.54 billion and surpassing expectations. Adjusted EPS rose by ~25% YoY to $6.61, coming in 16% above consensus estimates.
The company also issued bullish Q2 guidance, forecasting 15.4% revenue growth, supported by solid momentum in both subscriber growth and advertising revenue, further boosting investor confidence.
This overall situation puts NFLX in the list of momentum stocks.
From a technical standpoint, it consolidates in the widening chart formation, and may bounce off its bottom, which also corresponds to the area between 20-day moving average and lower band of the Bollinger Bands (20).
Forex Market: Myth or Strategy? — Analysis by Valtrix GroupEvery year in June, forex traders pay close attention to historical price movements, hoping to identify recurring seasonal patterns. But does June really offer a strategic edge, or is it a marketing myth and an overrated idea?
At Valtrix Group, we view seasonality as a secondary but useful filter — especially during periods of low volatility and a lack of macroeconomic catalysts.
What Does History Tell Us?
Historical data on major currency pairs (EUR/USD, USD/JPY, GBP/USD) shows that June often exhibits:
A rise in volatility in the first half of the month — driven by inflation data releases (U.S., EU);
Moderate strengthening of the U.S. dollar, particularly between the FOMC meeting and the quarterly earnings season;
In some years — flat movements caused by low liquidity ahead of the summer holiday season.
However, long-term statistics are mixed. For example, from 2013 to 2023, EUR/USD rose in June in 6 out of 10 years and declined in 4, showing no strong directional bias.
Why Seasonality Doesn’t Always Work
The forex market is driven not only by technicals and statistics but also by macroeconomics, geopolitics, and monetary policy. When major events occur in June (Fed meetings, crises, elections), seasonal patterns can easily be disrupted.
Moreover, algorithmic trading and arbitrage strategies reduce the likelihood of consistent price movements repeating year after year.
Amazon swing trade ideaAmazon has fallen below its trendline and started to dip slightly despite the fact that the broad market is going higher. I have found an opportunity for a decent long entry and have ran the numbers, the intrinsic value of Amazon right now is between $180 and $520. Not only is it a retail giant but is an emerging technology innovator and investment company. I got about 4% of my portfolio allocated to it now.
VolitionRX | VNRX | Long at $0.54***Stay away if you are risk averse (small cap with 300-400k daily volume and could go to $0).
VolitionRX AMEX:VNRX is a U.S.-based, multinational epigenetics company focused on developing blood tests for early disease detection, primarily targeting cancer and sepsis. Its Nu.Q blood tests are primarily for humans, focusing on early detection of diseases like cancer and sepsis. However, the company has also explored veterinary applications through its Nu.Q Vet product line, targeting cancer screening in animals, particularly dogs.
Recent insider purchases got my attention, with the CEO and Director each grabbing $100k worth at $0.55. Plus, many other insiders have recently been awarded options. The company is making progress in signing multiple licensing deals for their Nu.Q platform in the human market, with strong interest from large companies. Many development milestones have been made within their cancer testing program and more are likely to be announced. However, the company is unprofitable at this time, and this is a highly risky / speculative play. It may take years to unfold or be a total disaster and go to $0.00.
Rolling the dice at $0.54 with the goal to reach $0.75 and $1.00 in the coming 1-2 years. Analyst targets are in the $3.00-$3.50 range.
John Deere position trade setupI have been wanting an excuse to add this to my portfolio for a while now. Primarily because Bill Gates has it in his portfolio. I like to try and copy the most successful investors like Warren Buffett, Cathy Wood, Bill Gates, etc... I paid the market price today for a position with a cost average of $525. The intrinsic value of the stock is between $250 - $1050 so its not ideal to be in at $525 but I am not playing the voting game, I prefer the weighing game. I want to see how the position affects the other things I have in my portfolio and hopefully improve the performance with this stock in there. Maybe I will buy more if I can find a reason to add to the position in case it starts losing money because dividends are being paid out soon. I have drawn a simple technical analysis predicting a two legged pullback pattern.
Spotify is the most beautiful chart of the yearI made chat GPT write this because i was too lazy;
ps. (The intrinsic value for the stock right now is between $400 and $2900)
Q. Why is Spotify stock doing so good this year.
A.
1. First-ever full-year profit in 2024
Spotify swung to a €1.1 billion net profit in 2024—its first annual profit—on the back of cost-cutting, layoffs, and effective pricing. Margin improvements (gross margin hit 30–32%) and leaner operating expenses fueled this turnaround.
2. Robust user growth and pricing power
Monthly Active Users (MAUs) rose 10–12% year-over-year to roughly 675–700 million, with 263–268 million premium subscribers
Spotify has successfully raised subscription prices—and free users haven't objected, demonstrating strong loyalty and pricing resilience.
3. Diverse revenue mix
Spotify’s expanding beyond music—podcasts, audiobooks, video podcasts, and AI-powered ad tools are creating new monetization channels. Podcast ad tech and AI-enabled features like “AI Ads” and smart playlists enhance advertiser value.
4. Analyst upgrades and bullish sentiment
Pivotal Research just raised its price target to $900, praising Spotify’s dominance in audio streaming, user-friendly UI, under‑penetrated global markets, and ad business improvements. Evercore ISI and others raised targets to near $750 and reaffirmed outperform ratings. Most analysts rate SPOT a Buy.
5. Strategic partnerships & scalable economics
A renewed deal with Universal boosted confidence in Spotify’s content licensing and pipeline. Hedge fund accumulation and strong ROI (ROIC ~23%) reflect effective capital use.
6. Resilience in uncertain economies
Subscription-based services, especially freemium models, are seen as defensive in slower economies. With strong retention (“stickiness” due to loyalty and seamless experience), Spotify keeps users even with higher prices.
Bitcoin top on October 2025?To estimate the potential top date of the current Bitcoin bull market, we can analyze the timeframes of the previous two bull markets.
VST Tillers Tractors Ltd: A Compelling Case for Value InvestingIn the dynamic Indian stock market, finding such opportunities requires diligent research and a keen eye for businesses with intrinsic value. One such stock that stands out as a potential value investment is VST Tillers Tractors Ltd. (VSTTILLERS), a leading player in India’s agricultural equipment sector. Based on an analysis of its profile on Screener.in, this blog explores why VST Tillers is an attractive pick for value investors.
Understanding VST Tillers Tractors Ltd.
Founded in 1967 by the VST Group, a century-old business house in South India, VST Tillers Tractors Ltd. has established itself as a pioneer in the agricultural machinery sector. The company is the largest manufacturer of power tillers in India, holding over 70% market share, and is a significant player in the compact tractor segment under its VST SHAKTI and FIELDTRAC brands. Initially a joint venture with Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Japan, VST Tillers is now independently operated, with the VST family holding a 51% promoter stake, signaling strong management confidence in its future. The company also exports to European, Asian, and African markets, aligning its products with stringent EU standards.
With a market capitalization of approximately ₹3,032.65 crore as of April 2025, VST Tillers operates in the automobile sector, specifically in the tractors and farm equipment industry. Its financials, operational efficiency, and strategic initiatives make it a compelling candidate for value investors seeking undervalued stocks with growth potential.
Why VST Tillers is Attractive for Value Investing
Value investing hinges on finding companies trading below their intrinsic value, with strong fundamentals, low debt, consistent dividends, and growth prospects. Here’s why VST Tillers aligns with these principles:
1. Strong Fundamentals and Financial Stability
Near Debt-Free Status: VST Tillers is virtually debt-free, a hallmark of a financially sound company. Low debt reduces financial risk and allows the company to reinvest profits into growth initiatives or reward shareholders.
Healthy Dividend Payout: The company maintains a consistent dividend payout ratio of around 19.9%, with a current dividend yield of 0.57%. This reflects a shareholder-friendly approach, providing steady income while retaining earnings for reinvestment.
Stable Promoter Holding: With a 55.6% promoter stake, there’s strong alignment between management and shareholders. The promoter holding has remained stable over recent quarters, indicating confidence in the company’s long-term prospects.
2. Undervaluation Relative to Peers
Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: VST Tillers trades at a P/E ratio of 25.05, which is reasonable for a company with its market leadership and growth prospects. Compared to peers in the automobile and tractor industry, this P/E suggests the stock may be undervalued, especially given its niche dominance in power tillers.
Market Cap and Growth Potential: With a market cap of ₹3,032.65 crore, VST Tillers is a mid-cap stock with room for growth. Its focus on expanding into higher horsepower tractors and international markets (now 13% of revenue, with a target of 25-30%) positions it for future appreciation.
3. Consistent Operational Performance
Revenue and Profitability: In FY 2022-23, VST Tillers crossed the ₹1,000 crore revenue milestone, showcasing its ability to scale. In Q2 FY 2025, the company reported a modest revenue increase driven by stable demand for power tillers, with profits at ₹105 crore. While sales growth over the past five years has been modest at 9.50%, the company’s focus on operational efficiency and cost management supports profitability.
International Expansion: The company’s export business is growing, with products like FIELDTRAC tractors meeting EU standards. International revenue now accounts for 13% of total revenue, with plans to expand into the U.S. and European markets. This diversification reduces reliance on the domestic market and enhances growth prospects.
Sales Surge: In March 2025, VST Tillers reported a 142.09% sequential increase in total sales, with power tiller sales jumping 77.81% year-on-year to 7,221 units. While tractor sales dipped slightly, the overall sales momentum reflects strong demand and operational resilience.
4. Long-Term Growth Catalysts
Product Diversification: VST Tillers is expanding its portfolio beyond power tillers to include higher horsepower tractors, power weeders, and precision components. A recent joint venture has enabled the launch of advanced tractors, strengthening its competitive position.
Distribution Network Expansion: The company is investing in its dealer network to enhance market reach, particularly in rural India, where small farm mechanization is gaining traction. This aligns with favorable agricultural conditions and government support for farm mechanization.
Sustainability and Innovation: VST Tillers’ focus on fuel-efficient, reliable products like the VST 9054 tractor (praised by farmers in Tanzania for its performance) and multi-crop reapers positions it to meet evolving farmer needs. Its brush cutters and power reapers cater to modern farming demands, ensuring relevance in a changing agricultural landscape.
5. Resilience in a Cyclical Industry
The agricultural equipment sector is cyclical, influenced by monsoons, commodity prices, and government subsidies. However, VST Tillers has demonstrated resilience through:
Market Leadership: Its 70% share in the power tiller market provides a competitive moat, insulating it from new entrants.
Stable Demand: Small and marginal farmers, who form the bulk of India’s agricultural workforce, rely on affordable, efficient equipment like power tillers, ensuring steady demand.
Strategic Execution: The company’s focus on dealer profitability and retail financing aligns with shifting consumer behavior, reducing dependence on subsidies and enhancing sales stability.
6. Risks and Considerations
While VST Tillers is a strong value investment candidate, there are challenges to consider:
Modest Sales Growth: The company’s five-year sales growth of 9.50% is relatively low, reflecting challenges in scaling the tractor segment.
Low Return on Equity (ROE): An ROE of 13.3% over the past three years is below the ideal threshold for growth companies, indicating room for improvement in capital efficiency.
Working Capital Challenges: Debtor days have increased from 40.7 to 54.1 days, and working capital days have risen from 80.4 to 173 days, suggesting potential inefficiencies in cash flow management.
Commodity Price Volatility: Rising input costs have pressured operational EBITDA, which stands at 13.33% (excluding other income). Value investors should monitor cost management strategies.
Despite these risks, VST Tillers’ strong balance sheet, market leadership, and growth initiatives mitigate concerns, making it a compelling long-term investment.
Value Investing Perspective: Why VST Tillers Stands Out
Value investors seek stocks with a margin of safety, where the market price is below the intrinsic value. VST Tillers fits this mold due to:
Undervalued Stock Price: The stock’s 52-week range (₹3,082 to ₹5,429.95) and current price of ₹3,565.95 (as of April 2025) suggest it is trading at a discount relative to its growth potential and market leadership.
Long-Term Growth Story: The company’s focus on international markets, product diversification, and rural market penetration aligns with India’s agricultural mechanization trend, offering significant upside potential.
Patience Pays Off: VST Tillers is a case study in patient investing. Its consistent growth and market dominance reward investors willing to hold for the long term.
Conclusion:
VST Tillers Tractors Ltd. embodies the principles of value investing: a fundamentally strong company with low debt, consistent dividends, and a clear growth trajectory, trading at a reasonable valuation. Its leadership in the power tiller market, strategic expansion into tractors and international markets, and resilience in a cyclical industry make it an attractive pick for investors seeking undervalued opportunities in the Indian stock market.
For value investors, VST Tillers offers a compelling mix of stability and growth. While challenges like modest sales growth and working capital inefficiencies warrant monitoring, the company’s strong fundamentals and strategic initiatives provide a solid foundation for long-term wealth creation. As with any investment, thorough due diligence is essential, but VST Tillers stands out as a hidden gem worth considering for a value-focused portfolio.
Disclaimer: This blog is for informational purposes only and not a recommendation to buy or sell securities. Always conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before investing.
Simpel illustration of altcoin potential (30x)Connected some dots and we don't have to make it harder, the altcoin markets is picking up use cases and wit mature faster then we think, next FOMO will not only pull in corporate but the amount of people in crypto increases daily. I don't think anybody is ready for the next explosion.
Can BG get at least to $80 on news?BG is undervalued. News from China on Friday to approve merger deal. CALLs are cheap. Can it at least get to $80? Buy the Jul 18, 2025 $80 CALLs. Best scenario is to close it as the price nears the strike, and it depends on what time the news comes out. Good luck.
Follow Up To Lemonade VideoHi, all. Just posting the chart idea outside of my video as well. This way you can press that "play" button and track how my trade idea is doing in real time. I've always really liked this feature.
If you want more of the thesis behind why I like NYSE:LMND , please feel free to scroll through the video that I just recorded.
Here's to further strong price action!
Reagen
Lemonade, Inc. Showing Momentum - Lets Make Lemonade!Hey, everyone. Wanted to get a video out since it has been awhile. Sorry about the rustling in the audio - bear with me as it is not a theme throughout.
I am pretty excited about the momentum that NYSE:LMND is showing. I've been in it with a position for a little bit lately, and was fortunate to catch the previous pump with profit, but I think the momentum has a strong chance to continue here.
I pretty much cover all my thoughts behind the idea in the video, so feel free to scroll through it at your own rate. I will post it as a chart idea as well so that you can hit the play button and track how the idea is actively performing.
Hope you all were able to whether the tariff tantrum and hoping the market can maintain its current positioning, or, better yet, show continued strength.
Enjoy,
Reagen
Nvidia could be worth $220 by this time next yearThe amount of money this company is making is insane and it doesn't look like its going to slow down any time soon. There is strong demand for Nvidia products universally there is no limit to how far this thing will go. Over the past 5 years it has outperformed Bitcoin, need I say more?
I am abit late to be buying into the rally but I will keep accumulating should the market provide me with ample opportunities. I think this is a fantastic growth stock for a diversified portfolio and I think Nvidia is one of the top dogs of todays economic eco system.
Despite the fact it looks expensive the stock is actually still under valued. The range of the intrinsic value is between $110 - $240. I do not recommend going all in FOMO but this thing is going up, I have done some research and it is a fantastic company to work for everyone says they love working there and they pay their employees well.
They continue to innovate and pave the way forward for semi conductor tech. I love my Nvidia chip in my laptop I can only imagine what the more expensive chips are capable of. Nvidia and Broadcom make up about 15% of my portfolio. Thank you for reading my article and please comment if you want to talk about stocks. Have a great day.
Simple Coca Cola daily chart analysisCoca Cola, my favorite defensive stock seems to be at a price decision in time. I have found a single trend line that looks reasonable. There seems to be a lot of congestion in price over the last few days this leads me to believe a breakout is coming soon. 25% of my portfolio is Coca Cola, it pays great dividends and I love the history of the company. It is a solid choice for these economically uncertain times, I think they do soda better than anyone else I been drinking Coca Cola as long as I can remember its still my favorite.
I believe its possible to see a retracement down to cheaper prices but I also don't believe in waiting for such occurrences to happen so I have already been accumulating for the last few weeks. The range of the intrinsic value of Coca Cola is between $50 - $180. My prediction for the price is that it will go up over the next 12 months. Thank you for reading my article and best wishes, cheers.
Waste Management price predictionFundamentally WM stock is proven to be resistant to recession. I have a position on the stock as a hedge against uncertainty it makes up about 15% of my portfolio as of this writing. I am looking to buy more at lower prices since I bought at a premium a couple weeks ago. I will try and hold indefinitely as the other growth stocks I have chosen continue to grow I don't expect much from this boring stock but it makes me feel better to have it in my portfolio than it does not to. The range of the intrinsic value is between $170 - $620.
Bitcoin price prediction for the next 12 monthsMy simple analysis of Bitcoin, please don't hesitate to comment your feedback. Of course this is just drawings on a chart so don't take it too seriously. Hope everyone is having fun with Bitcoin it used to be harder to find assets like this but fintech has made it easier to build wealth.
Why is HOOD still 1/3rd of SCHW? Wealth management remains the last bastion of success for Charles Schwab. Long-term cash, mutual fund, and retirement accounts create an enormous balance sheet, which accures value and reduces fees across the board. I'm hard pressed to see however how NASDAQ:HOOD will not inherit that class of customers as baby boomers pass on their generational wealth to the millenial generation. Do we begin to see a transition of assets from megacaps like NYSE:SCHW in the next 24 - 36 months? I'd say most likely.
Revenue growth nine consecutive quarters Ouster’s global partner network spans over 50 countries, supporting approximately 600 customers with applications in autonomous vehicles, robotics, drones, mapping, defense, and smart cities. Ouster has been getting lots of attention lately 230k 20 call 1/16/26 I'm wondering if someone knows there's an announcement coming this year that will get them ABOVE $20. Great growth stock huge partners here are some notable ones.
Anduril Industries: weapons/defense tech *
Komatsu: construction mining *
Vecna Robotics: warehouses
NVDIA: integration/traffic ***
Forterra, Textron, Field AI, and U.S. Army: vehicles
Google Maps, Apple Maps, Oshkosh Defense, John Deere: sensory
Amazon Robotics: Ouster’s LiDAR sensors are reportedly used in Amazon’s Proteus robots, described as part of a significant order, though not officially published. ***
Right at monthly resistance now 15$ is a strong resistance. Any pull back to $10 ish would make great buying opportunity I'm long from earlier this week July 14C / 16C Aug 17C looking to add BUT I'm also trading these the daily RSI is at 75 nearing overbought, weekly has room to run at 64 monthly is at 50 which it could reject momentarily from. Either way great company to DCA shares still under 1B market cap!
100% run up into earningsChance to get hot with semis if SPX can claim above 5950
High $8 for buying until we lose the 50MA.
Break above 12 with strength/volume will be key for continuation to 20.
Price-To-Earnings ratio (12.6x) is below the US market (17.8x) *
Revenue is forecast to grow 17.78% per year *
Earnings grew by 47.8% over the past year *
Short Interest 6.94M
Short Previous Month 7.16M
Short % of Shares Out 23.30%
Short % of Float 26.13%
Short Ratio (days to cover) 17.67
they will have tariff issues, so guidance is likely to bring uncertainties
