The Bull Market in Private EquityThe other day I was scanning for stocks hitting 52-week highs (or in other words, their highest price in 12 months' time) and noticed that several private equity stocks appeared on this custom scan that I was performing. The stocks were KKR, Blackstone, and Apollo Global. I found a few things interesting about this that are worth discussing and looking into more detail:
The Trend is Your Friend?
Foremost, the question is whether or not these are a trend play and a way to play a rising trend. Oftentimes, trend followers love nothing more than getting behind a tidal wave in a new thriving industry or market or process. It’s shown quite a bit to be an effective strategy. However, always do your own research. But that’s the first question - will this trend last another 5+ years? Private equity firms have been making headlines with their strategic acquisitions and impressive returns. But can they maintain this momentum?
Private Equity Bull Market, Possibly Explained
Private Equity firms like KKR, Blackstone, and Apollo Global operate by raising funds from investors, which they then use to acquire, manage, and eventually sell companies at a profit. They focus on improving the operational efficiencies and financial performance of these companies. Some notable examples include:
KKR: Known for its leverage buyouts and investments in various sectors such as technology, healthcare, and energy.
Blackstone: A diversified investment firm with holdings in real estate, private equity, hedge fund solutions, and credit.
Apollo Global: Specializes in private equity, credit, and real estate investing, with a strong focus on distressed assets and value investing.
They Are Flush With Cash & Assets
As of the latest data, Blackstone manages over $900 billion in assets, making it the largest private equity firm globally.
KKR has approximately $500 billion in assets under management.
Apollo Global oversees around $550 billion in assets.
Cash Reserves and Interest Earnings
Private Equity currently has quite a bit of cash and investments under management. They are earning interest on this cash on Treasuries up to 5%. For instance, with the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes, these firms are leveraging their cash reserves to earn substantial returns on relatively risk-free investments like U.S. Treasuries. This provides a steady income stream and enhances their financial stability, enabling them to pursue larger and more lucrative deals.
Cautionary Note on Illiquid Assets
Lastly, I do want to share a cautionary note as these firms also hold a lot of illiquid assets. What would happen if those assets got marked lower? For example, some of them own quite a bit of real estate. What's the plan here? Have they marked them down accordingly?
The real estate market is one area of concern. If property values decline significantly, these firms could face substantial write-downs on their balance sheets, affecting their overall financial health. It's crucial to monitor how these firms manage their illiquid assets and whether they have adequately adjusted their valuations in line with current market conditions.
So What Are My Final Thoughts?
This is a fascinating story to be unfolding in markets and I am watching closely. I think there are two ways to watch this:
A - They are in a trend. Uptrend. Bull market.
B - They may offer an intriguing short position at a later stage!
More on this later and read my idea below to better understand what I am looking at.
Growth
BITCOIN'S Next Target $69,623 BREAKING NEW: TRADERS, who's ready for the second move? It's been confirmed with price action BITCOIN will continue as I've searched for trend continuation.
Smart money contraction with value line: this means the trend gets pushed down by smart money then the trend must rise. I've laid a Bear Trap in case there's one.
The red Smart Money trendline is a smart money plot that I've retraced. It's used for guidance which shows more or less the direction of the WHALES
Used Money Flow Index for guidance
Here are the next-level prices. I've considered all candlesticks that show the facts and wicks that explain the story of Bitcoin's next movements.
I've looked up plenty of price action and candlestick patterns
Next BULL RUN DATE to be released soon
Hint: It's before July ends.
Since $56k, I warned you there was a buy signal while I was on the other side of the BULL-GATE standing against the HERD, who were declaring BITCOIN CRASHES.
EXPECTED ATH TARGET $85k, I've said this in the past for many weeks.
Render Token / RNDRThe price of RNDR is $1.83 today with a 24hour trading volume of 180 million dollars. This represents a 4% price increase in the last 24 hours and a 333% price increase in the past 30 days!
Render token is a distributed GPU rendering network built on top of the Ethereum blockchain, aiming to connect artists and studios in need of GPU compute power with mining partners willing to rent their GPU capabilities out. Backed by parent company OTOY, the RNDR team is based out of Los Angeles, with team members throughout the world. The RNDR advisory board boasts industry leaders such as Ari Emanuel (Co-Founder and Co-CEO, WME), JJ Abrams (Chairman and CEO, Bad Robot Productions) and Brendan Eich (Founder and CEO, Brave Software and BAT)
bulls broke 0.8, 1.2 and 1.6 resistance and ready to claim 2$. I got into rndr wen it has 220 million market-cap and here we are at half a billion dollar mc. as you see market is in correction phase which is normal and healthy so don't panic if you see couple of red candles after 300% pump
MMTC Long term trading IdeaAs we can see stock breakout its darvas Box from long consolidation time correction is already happened in this stock. the stock list in 1300 in 2010 now it went as low as 10rs almost 99% corrected from its peak which is 1300 levels. now company is cleared its debts.
now come to the fundamentals part the stock PE is 78 fall from 177.now it is trade on it median
although quarterly sales and profits are significantly drop from march 2022 but from march 2023 stock change its trend you can analyze the chart on multiple time frame for better undegrading what i traying to say.
if we talk about the technical, stock making higher high from December 2023 with a hug trading volume. bullish crossover in December 2023 RSI is also above 60 on week, day, and month chart it clearly show that stock is in power mode. on 1hr chart stock make a marubuzu candlestick with good trade volume.
stock is for high gain high risk not for safe player
stock can pickup its momentum again but as i always says do your complete research consult your financial advisor before making any investment decision
Educational Content
This stock analysis is designed for educational purposes and should not be taken as professional financial advice. Please carry out your own research or consult with a financial advisor before investing.
TSLA does the upcoming RoboTaxi announce change things LONGTSLA has the accouncement upcoming. Price will pump for sure. Will it then dump or
change the trend altogether? The forecasts are there. The tea leaves and crystal balls
will tell the rest of the story. In the meanwhile, I will take long trades to play this in
the immediate term. One million taxis making $250 / per day every day per each is
serious potential future growth perhaps at the expense of UBER and LYFT which may get
a bearish bias in the short term on this upcoming announcement. Playing the news
sometimes works.
Ethereum Do or Die This CycleCRYPTOCAP:BTC has been outperforming CRYPTOCAP:ETH this entire cycle.
If Ethereum does not outperform Bitcoin by the end of it, consider it good as dead next cycle, akin to Cardano.
Clearly consumers have flocked to Solana for dApps, and Bitcoin is the store of value, which leaves very little room for Ethereum to carve out its own niche as they both continue to gain market share.
August 4th 2024 bullish entry $PEPE Fractal market analysis by Benoit Mandelbrot suggests market assets replicate former instances of price action due to the simple idea that, "Something can only be what it is; it can not be what it is not." This theory, coupled with a continued recent trend in whale purchases of BYBIT:1000PEPEUSDT.P , implies that the logic made in the provided image may be a worthwhile opportunity.
BULL MARKET CONFIRMATONGood Evening Traders
This is a 6WK TF. What to look out for in this idea.
1. Blue Wave Bull Plot shows arrow guidance with BULL confirmations.
2. Showing RSI with revenue wave to show which way the trend is going
3. UPTREND BULL REVERSAL
4. Around July 29th, 2024, BITCOIN will be moving up to FWB:73K or past $73k. Be ready for some delays because 3D TF BULL RUN which printed hot off the press, will be after July 29th.
I will be releasing the date soon.
5. Three volatility contractions. The previous two took some slow dips and the third volatility contraction took a rapid dip which moved up by pushing up the body making a long bottom BULL shadow wick.
All this said has not been weighed alone. I've used smart money data to confirm if BITCOIN is really in an uptrend. I use Price action, volume, and many other methods in an algo.
This idea just can't be glanced at. Read and see its meaning.
Are there any questions? Is anyone still in doubt?
The 10 Best Performing Stocks of The Year (So Far - July Update)I recently asked myself a simple question: What are the top-performing stocks of 2024 so far?
After running a customized scan, I have compiled the data to share with everyone here on TradingView both as a chart above and in this text list below. Each stock on this list met the following criteria:
- They are officially listed on the NYSE or Nasdaq.
- Have maintained a market cap of $2 billion or more.
- Have appreciated by 100% or more since the beginning of the year.
Before I present the list, I want to note an interesting observation: many of these companies were unfamiliar to me before I started. It has been a while since I've encountered so many new names and not NVIDIA, etc.
Let's explore the best performers since the start of the year:
RNA +411%
JANX +328%
SMMT +291%
SMR +256%
DYN +240%
NVAX +235%
ADMA +209%
SMCI +182%
VKTX +179%
HIMS +159%
There are a few reasons why list like these matter. Historically, stocks that have gained over 100% in a year often come from sectors experiencing significant innovation or industry shifts. So, it makes it worth looking into.
I'll be sharing more updates going forward! So stay tuned for more.
Quick final note: this is only for education and entertainment. I am not saying this is a Long or Short list. Always do your own research.
Boeing | BA | Long at $180Boeing NYSE:BA is getting bad press (and rightfully so) due to quality/safety assurance issues, but I view this dip as a buying opportunity for future returns. The company expects profitability beyond 2024 and once that happens, I expect this ticker to soar. There may be some pains in the near-term, but long-term, it is in my buy zone at $180.00.
Target #1 = $260
Target #2 = $335
Target #3 = $414
LPT/USDT - July 2024LPT: The Hidden Gem
LPT (Livepeer Token) is one of those underrated coins that hasn't caught the mainstream attention it deserves. However, it's been quietly making significant moves, consistently forming higher highs and higher lows in an impressive uptrend!
Currently, LPT is in a 5-month consolidation phase between $12 and $26. Once it breaks out of this range, we could see a massive rally towards $90 or even a new all-time high!
- LPT Limited Supply: With a total max supply of only 33 million tokens.
- A current total market cap of just $600 million signals massive potential for continued growth this cycle.
I've been accumulating LPT from 5$ and added more over the last 5 months, and there’s still time for you to grab your bag and hold it for potentially massive profits!
Remember, this is a spot holding for a long-term position.
Those who have my private consultants got into LPT at $5! But here I am, posting this publicly as there is still a chance for another 5X to 10x gain this cycle.
#Crypto #LPT #Livepeer #Altcoin #CryptoInvesting #Trading #Cryptocurrency
-----------Disclaimer --------------------
This is not financial advice. Please do your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.
It's crucial to manage your funds wisely. If the market loses the main support area, especially on the weekly chart, be prepared to exit your positions. However, stay alert for potential shakeouts - temporary drops that regain support—which can provide opportunities to re-enter the market.
Remember, the strategy for taking profit isn't about hitting an exact number. Instead, we focus on areas of possible resistance or support. As we approach these areas, we move our stop-loss orders higher, allowing us to follow the price action toward higher targets. This method helps secure profits as the rally progresses.
Always have a plan for both entry and exit points. By adhering to these strategies, we aim to optimize our trading outcomes and secure massive profits.
Successful trading involves understanding the rules and executing them with discipline. Stay focused, manage your risks, and be ready to capitalize on market opportunities.
Happy trading!
Hypothetical Skyx Price PredictionSkyx has a potential futuristic product capable of competing in the market. Imagine fixing light bulbs without the near for wires... or getting electrocuted in the process. Stock price is currently at $1 and I would say is undervalued and doesn't do justice to the company's potential or capability.
SAME DAY of the month (20th). The 7/17 BULL RUN has been found. Here is a same day pattern, the 20th day of both months for may and July. Is this a coincidence? Let’s see how it plays out. So far all matches with some different volume but is moving up accordingly based on halving.
If this keeps playing the way it trends, then this would mean 2D TF BULL RUN due to its delay, the bullish green vertical candlestick has been found which is the location of the hidden BULL.
Not saying we will reach $72k right away but history shows we had about 7k BULL RUN.
This is a 6 candle pattern. As of now we’re on the 4th candle. You must count starting with the vertical black dots as your first candle.
Below indicator is called PVI.
The Olive Company That's Up 1000%I recently wrote about Oliveda International OTC:OLVI , which is an OTC stock that caught my attention because it's up more 100% since the start of the year. It also has a market cap of $3+ billion. You don't often see OTC stocks with a market cap like this. They usually move to the NYSE or Nasdaq. Thus, I find this hard to ignore. After doing some research into it, I found out what's going on:
But first, if you know how to look at markets, where to scan and search, there are simply fascinating stories happening in corners that most other people miss. Having been in markets at a deep level for 10+ years now, I often spot rather fascinating moves, and now that I’m blogging again, I’m going to be sharing updates like this more often.
So what's going on with this stock?
The founder claims he has solved the secret to beauty by making beauty products without water and essentially only mashed up olives. The surprising thing is, his sales are actually booming. He just had his best quarter ever in which he said the following:
“The future of beauty is waterless, and the waterless beauty movement will change the beauty industry over the next two to five years. Why are we growing so exponentially? There are three main reasons:
1. First, our waterless beauty consultants run our business with such passion, dedication, and deep love that they are sensationally successful in showing people the difference between conventional and waterless beauty. I believe that beauty is not made for online shops and should not gather dust on shelves. Beauty should be recommended from human to human, to friends and family. Waterless beauty and direct-to-consumer are the perfect match.
2. Second, people understand the difference and no longer want to buy the up to 70% water in clean and/or organic beauty or in doctor brands.
3. Third, it works, and people love our 365-day guarantee, which we have been successfully offering in Europe and the U.S. for over a decade because we deeply believe in nature and what we are doing.”
What a story.
Markets are always quite fascinating!
$2 Is My Target - Bullish On SEIResistance flipped to support and targets $0.40. My overall target for SEI is $2 during this bull-run.
An area I am looking for a short scalp is the daily & 0.618 fib confluence.
Calculate Your Risk/Reward so you don't lose more than 1% of your account per trade.
Every day the charts provide new information. You have to adjust or get REKT.
Love it or hate it, hit that thumbs up and share your thoughts below!
This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
Supreme is now European: The World's Fashion Capital ExpandsA certain acquisition caught my attention this week. The company sunglass company Ray-Ban (owned by EssilorLuxottica) has just acquired Supreme for $1.5 billion in their first push into clothing. For those of you who know the street wear brand Supreme, this should come as a rather interesting acquisition, specifically that Supreme is considered a significant brand in the fashion arena.
I have a few thoughts on this:
1. This acquisition underscores the immense value that a strong brand can command in the market. Supreme is known primarily for its simple yet highly coveted logo. There's a valuable lesson here.
2. Ray-Ban is owned by EssilorLuxottica, a European conglomerate, which is traded as an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) under the ticker OTC:ESLOY and on the Milan exchange as shown in the chart above $MIL:1EL.
3. In a future post, I am going to compile a list of interesting European fashion stocks to keep your eyes on. One stock in particular has my CLOSE attention. More on this later.
What I'm saying here is that EssilorLuxottica's ownership of Ray-Ban, and now Supreme, highlights the influence of European companies in the global fashion industry considering all of the other European fashion brands. It's safe to say that Europe, quite literally, the capital of fashion.
I must say, there is more to this story as well. I've previously written about On Cloud as well and its threat to Nike. I linked that idea below.
Something to think about...
Also, well done Europe!