$KLSE-INFOTEC: Intrinsic Value (based on IMPEGFS) INDEX:KLSE -INFOTEC
Integrated Magic PEG Formula Scores (IMPEGFS) @ Quoted Stock Price RM 0.81 (the higher the better)
= √
= √
= 2.8400426922
Intrinsic Value (based on IMPEGFS)
= IMPEGFS × Quoted Stock Price
= 2.8400426922 × 0.81
= 2.8400426922 × 0.81
= RM 2.30
or
= √ × EPS
= √(58.85×32) × 0.053
= RM 2.30
Growth
XAUUSD (GOLD) 📈 Long idea ✔Gold is acting like it does not react any news. All the indicators are out :)
Generally, in the market like this, a commodity takes his way up to the moon. Every time we see a top price level that it will return downward does not return. So the market now is this kind of market.
Previous price reaction zone is shown as Fibonacci golden zone and the next Fib zone (0) is at the 2319 level.
The price action, for me, will take the short then long in future days.
Good luck!!!🙌🏽😎❤
#Gold #XAUUSD
DELL leaps out of the shadows of SMCI LONGDELL has risen and is now at its all time highs. Apparently, its server intrastructure business
this thriving. It is chasing SMCI and does not have the high valuation ratios that make
SMCI look overextended. The indicators document the up trending price action. A price
forecast algorithm has DELL rising into a high pivot on April 18th with 35% upside to that
forecasted pivot. I am adding to my DELL position here for the anticipated two week trade.
AVTX - a potential continuation WATCHAVTX popped on a big revenue beat on March 28th. It is now priced at about 3% of the ATH
of last July. With the massive price jump came a 15X relative volume. The question is
whether price has retraced into support and can rally again in the next market session.
This remains to be seen. i will put AVTX on the top of my watch list and take a long trade
if I see signs of continuation with volume supporting the move.
RBLX - 25 R:R Trade opportunity incoming. + Massive Daily H&STapering Tapering Tapering!
Looking for a buying continuation activation and breakout of our controlled selling algos.
If you look on the daily chart as well, you'll see a massive (beautiful) Inverse H&S pattern forming.
Happy Trading :)
- TraderDaddyOG
Thought on Joel Greenblatt's ROIC:E/P approachINDEX:KLSE -INFOTEC
youtu.be/GUV3GHUePRk?si=lHLAJSyDMlfbbbzb
Joel Greenblatt has decrypted the secret of valuation, that there are 2 ultimate variables in determining the intrinsic value, namely ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) and E/P (the inverse is P/E).
This insight is in line with the essences enshrined in Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger's valuation mental models :
1. “Investors should remember their scorecard isn't computed using the Olympic-diving method:
Degree-of-difficulty doesn’t count.
If you're right abt a business whose value is largely dependent on a single key factor that is both easy to understand & enduring, the payoff is the same as if you should correctly analyze an investment alternative characterized by many constantly shifting & complex variables.
- Warren Buffett -
2. “The higher return a business can earn on its capital, the more cash it can produce, the more value is created. Over time, it is hard for investors to earn returns that are much higher than the underlying business’ return on invested capital.”
- Warren Buffett -
3. “Over the long term, it’s hard for a stock to earn a much better return than the business which underlies it earns. If the business earns six percent on capital over forty years and you hold it for that forty years, you’re not going to make much difference than a six percent return – even if you originally buy it at a huge discount. Conversely, if a business earns eighteen percent on capital over twenty or thirty years, even if you pay an expensive looking price, you’ll end up with one hell of a result.”
- Charlie Munger -
Which approach do you prefer?
Joel Greenblatt's ROIC:E/P approach or Peter Lynch's PEG approach?
Is it possible to merge Joel Greenblatt's ROIC:E/P approach and Peter Lynch's PEG approach into a single formula?
Kindly figure it out, it's worth to do so.
$KLSE-INFOTEC: Thought: Profit Per EmployeeINDEX:KLSE -INFOTEC
Wishfully the Gross Profit per Employee could return, stage by stage, to RM 740k for FYE2024 & RM 848k for FYE 2025 with ever increasing Revenues.
With RM 740k Gross Profit per Employee, that would translate to around RM 370k Net Profit per Employee.
With RM 848k Gross Profit per Employee , that would translate to around RM 424k Net Profit per Employee.
Or more, if the regional subsidiaries expansion in China, India, Singapore and Japan can bear more growth fruit in Revenues with the recent high GPM and NPM maintained.
$KLSE-INFOTEC FYE2023 Number of workforce (Employees)INDEX:KLSE -INFOTEC
Number of workforce (Employees):
26 permanent + 5 contract
= 31 employees in total
(dated LPD 23 May 2022, reported in IPO Prospectus dated 20 June 2022, page 132)
60 employees in total
(dated 31 May 2023, reported in NST News).
The number of employees have been doubled in a year, indicating rapid and aggressive APAC regional expansions have taken place.
Important point emphasized in the NST news: The team is still growing in line with its expansion drive.
That would translate into that more employees are expected onboard driven by continual business growth and in turn additional employees will push growth further on.
$KLSE-INFOTEC FYE 2023 Segments' GPM StudiesINDEX:KLSE -INFOTEC
FYE 2023 Segments' GPM Studies:
IT Infrastructure Solutions Segment GPM
= (19,142÷43,551)×(43,145÷43,551)
= 43.54%
Cybersecurity Solutions Segment GPM
= (990÷2,994)×(2,990÷2,994)
= 33.02%
Managed IT Services and Other IT
Services Segment GPM (Recurring)
= (16,686÷22,378)×(20,563÷22,378)
= 68.52%
Trading of Ancillary Hardware and Software Segment GPM
= (935÷5,374)×(5,231÷5,374)
= 16.94%
Pretty Impressive!
Can ROKU run before earnings? LONGROKU on a daily chart is sitting on support in consolidation since the trend down after the
last earnings report. In three weeks there will be another report. The prior report showed
negative earnings but it did beat the estimates while revenues were a mild surprise. I expect
ROKU has done some belt trimming to try to get expenses decreased while growing revenues.
My long trade here is from thin support but targets the Fibonacci level of a retracement
back to recent high pivots. The target is 80 representing 30% upside. A stop loss will be
initially set at 61 but then raised 3.5% every time price rises 3% to gradually tighten it.
I will take a good part of the hopeful profits off the table a few days before the upcoming
report.
Navigating Market Waters: Embracing Flexibility on US30In trading, adaptability is key. Reflect on the journey navigating the volatile waves of US30. While some trades may slip away, embracing the fluidity of the market ensures resilience and growth. Let's explore the importance of flexibility and seizing opportunities amidst market turbulence.
Infoline Tec Group @KLSE: Revenue FYE 2024Forecast by APEX SECINFOTEC@KLSE
Apex Securities
academy.apexetrade.com/filestore/research-pdf/20240226_Infotec_4QFY23_Results.pdf
Revenue FYE 2024Forecast by Apex Securities
= 120.5M
Assuming the Net Profit Margin remains at 26.8%:
Net Profit FYE 2024 Forecast
= 120.5×0.268
= 32.294M
$KLSE-INFOTEC: EV/EBIT ÷ EBIT Growth MultipleINDEX:KLSE -INFOTEC
EV/EBIT ÷ EBIT Growth Multiple
EV@RM0.805
= 0.805×363,229+389+119+407+107-10,780-8,445
= 274,196.345
EBIT
= 25,792+38
= 25,830
EV/EBIT
= 274,196.345÷25,830
= 10.6154217964
EBIT Growth
= 100×(25,830÷16,683-1)
= 54.8282682971%
EV/EBIT ÷ EBIT Growth Multiple
= 10.6154217964÷54.8282682971
= 0.1936122027 Extremely Low, Extremely Undervalued
MCD is topped out the long fast food trend may be SHORTMCD lives on people liking what they eat and eating a lot of it. The Happy Meal is famous.
into the business model comes the new wave biologics for obesity and diabetes. the shots
that cut down the weight and the food addiction. Insurance companies are jumping on
the bandwagon. 1/3 of the people eat half the food. Increasingly, those people are seeking
treatment. The fastfood executives know this. Same for the sugar beverages.
Anyway, enough said. MC on the monthly chart is stuck at a double top even more obvious
on a weekly or daily chart. At present it is stuck in a symmetrical triangle compressing price.
The mathematical predictive algorithm forecasts price will move down the remainder of
this year. I respect the mathematics and understand the medical trend. LLY makes money
supplying insulin and now it makes money actually reversing diabetes and obesity. One way
or another it makes money and MCD is supplying the patient flow. In the meanwhile if
those patients are detoxified and lower their caloric intake, MCD is the one that suffers
a regression of the growth story. I am short MCD and add to my position whenever
there is a little upward price movement. Yeah, comarketing donuts with Krispy is an act of
desperation.
SWIMMING with the WHALES, a dangerous move, NEXT TARGET $Whales waited, Retail traders PLUNGED, then WHALES SOLD. Know your game. Dont get maneuvered into the FEARLESS CROUD.
Whales red downtrend regression. Showing a deep analysis behind the scenes of BITCOIN. Shows who’s in, who’s out within the time as the white trend moves. Follow each zigzag and know how it all started.
Next target is kept secret: this helps keep smart money intruders from changing directions.
$HTOO: Potential Bullish Reversal - Solid News & Webcast Ticker NASDAQ:HTOO - Fusion Fuel Green PLC
We could be looking at a nice test and cross of the Ichimoku Cloud, here represented on a 1 Month chart. This price movement is also accompanied with news regarding the selection and acceptance of a 650M$ project funded by the EU, which Fusion Fuel proposed in regards to the hydrogen transition, please read in more detail below in the press release of Feb.16 2024.
There is also a Webcast for investors on March 6th, which could lead to some updates on positive revenue forecast and more details over the 650M$ project and next steps.
This company is currently valued at around 32M$, which could be undervalued if this project goes forward, IMO.
I'll be sitting long in the short to mid-term and might sell for profits at some critical levels.
Happy trading.