$BTC 12-Week Lead Correlation w/ Global Liquidity, M2, GOLD, DXYHere’s a look at Bitcoin's price action against Global Liquidity, Global M2, GOLD and DXY - all with a 12-Week Lead.
Notice GOLD has a bit more of a deviation from the BTC price than the others.
This is because GOLD is used as a store of value asset, whereas the others are predicated on Central Banks expanding and contracting their money supply and balance sheets.
The key here is to smooth out the signal and ignore the noise.
Notice the convergence between these metrics the past couple months.
Growth
POLESTAR (PSNY) - LONGTERM BUYING OPPORTUNITY, RISK:REWARD 1:10Polestar (PSNY) has been in a long term downtrend since its launch on the NASDAQ, the EV sector has seen some excitement however adoption to EV vehicles has been a slow trend worldwide compared to the hype when first introduced. At current, EV sector participants are in the beginning phases of mass adoption and battery and charger technology is seeing some much needed advancement before mass adoption can take place, many barriers exist in real world infrastructure and this technology will take many years to advance. The promise of autonomous self driving will ultimately catapult these EV companies to new heights financially, however the timing is not right just yet. Once AI advances enough to power ASD, rob taxis and self driving will be a common sight around the world starting in smaller cities and eventually becoming advanced enough to power more of the vehicles worldwide. Polestar's all time low trading price is at $.60 cents and currently sits right above $1.00 per share. Any price between $.60 cents and its current price would be a good 1:10 risk reward investment with downside very limited to potential upside gains to $10 and potentially higher in the long term future. If the EV and AI fulfill its promise, the investment should pay off in the long term.
Disclaimer: With any investment advice especially those where you plan to invest your hard earned money, do your own research before taking any financial advice to understand your exposure and risk tolerance, analyze the utilization of any broker(s) or investment vehicle(s) to understand how your funds are stored or utilized within the platform and always have a plan and strategy prior to entering any market.
TMGH's Current Peak ZoneTMG Holding trend has reached its peak zone at the resistance line 55.661. Historically, it is expected to rebound to the support line at 55.2, then the support line at 54.987 and 54.916. In conclusion, it increased by 0.09% due to TMGH signing a memorandum of understanding to develop a new large-scale mixed-use project on a 14 million sqm plot, as part of its regional expansion strategy focused on replicating its integrated city model in Middle Eastern markets, as per a disclosure, regarding negotiations with local Iraqi authorities, is expected to include approximately 46,000 mixed-use units. It will focus on high-quality housing, smart infrastructure, and sustainability.
Coinbase is an excellent instrument for exposure to cryptoTrading at roughly 2x the price of Bitcoin, Coinbase presents a unique opportunity for exposure to the crypto sector. Fundamentally it is better to invest money for the long term on a business that generates revenue. I am very bullish on crypto, but with limited funds I want to make sure I deploy my capital as intelligently as possible.
There is several interesting strategies Coinbase uses to generate revenue based on crypto and blockchain processes and capabilities. From being able to exchange currencies like traditional currency systems for payments or money transfers. Mining proof of work assets like Bitcoin have used far too much resources to not be considered "valuable, and scarce". Proof of stake where staking rewards payout better than most dividends. Recent institutional adoption by some of the most significant entities. Coinbase has a portfolio of most of the crypto currencies so it guarantees a diverse exposure to the sector.
Its very obvious the people are loving crypto currencies, I want to be exposed to crypto but also want to invest in the fundamentals of generating revenues. Coinbase is the perfect vehicle in my opinion for exposure to crypto they generate revenues based on commissions and spreads, I'm sure they have some other strategies they use to consistently generate income even if crypto is going down, so that makes me even more convicted in my decision to put my money on Coinbase stock. Only being listed on the Nasdaq for four years I believe we are in for a wild ride to the upside so long as Bitcoin and the crypto market as a whole continue with this volatile momentum.
US DOLLAR FORECAST (update)Update of stalking bullish behavior in the USD instrument.
Intermarket confluence has aligned instruments such as Gold & US Stocks are soft to Bearish, I focus on XAUUSD and US30 outside of Oil to gauge validity of idea.
Thus said focus is on the 5 min chart, we seek rejections framed from 30 min area of interests.
Trigger should be after 5m Bullish playbook, manipulation is a sign of a healthy "auction".
What is Happening to Puma?Puma's stock has experienced a significant decline, dropping nearly 50% year-to-date and reaching its lowest levels in almost a decade . This downturn is attributed to several factors, including underwhelming financial performance, escalating competition, and macroeconomic challenges.
Financial Performance:
In 2024, Puma reported a 4.4% currency-adjusted increase in sales, totaling €8.82 billion . However, profitability did not keep pace; net income declined by 7.5% to €282 million, and EBIT remained flat at €622 million, falling short of analyst expectations . The company's P/E ratio stands at 17, which some analysts consider high given the current earnings yield of 2.8% .
Debt and Balance Sheet:
Puma's financial health shows a debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 48.2%, with total debt at €1.3 billion and shareholder equity at €2.7 billion . While the company has a solid capital base, increased interest payments have impacted income .
Competitive Landscape:
Puma faces intense competition from industry giants like Nike and Adidas. Nike holds a significant market share, while Adidas has recently increased its share to 8.9% . Puma's market share stands at approximately 4.94% . The company's efforts to boost sales through new product lines, such as the Speedcat trainers, have yet to yield significant results .
Macroeconomic Challenges:
Global economic factors have also played a role in Puma's struggles. Trade disputes and currency volatility have negatively impacted sales, particularly in key markets like the U.S. and China . Additionally, new U.S. tariffs on imports from China, where Puma sources 28% of its products, have created further uncertainty.
Strategic Response:
In response to these challenges, Puma has announced plans to cut 500 corporate positions globally by the end of the second quarter of 2025 to reduce costs . The company has also appointed former Adidas executive Arthur Hoeld as its new CEO, effective July 1, 2025, aiming to revitalize its performance .
In summary, Puma's recent stock decline reflects a combination of internal financial challenges and external market pressures. While the company is taking steps to address these issues, including leadership changes and cost-cutting measures, it remains to be seen how effectively Puma can navigate the competitive and economic landscape moving forward.
- *Disclaimer: This is just my personal opinion and not financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor. Please do your own research before making any investment decisions. Any losses incurred are solely at your own risk.The figures that i found might not all be correct, as I do sometimes make mistakes, so do your own due diligence.*
Unity Software (U) – Strong Earnings and Bullish FlowsFundamental Overview
Unity Software has been consolidating within a defined range for approximately a year following a significant decline in its stock price. Despite previous challenges, the company has consistently surprised investors with its earnings over the past year, maintaining strong performance. Historically, Unity tends to perform well during the May–June period. Looking ahead, projections suggest a decline in net margin, though net income is expected to increase, reinforcing the company's strong execution.
Additionally, Unity has exceeded expectations for four consecutive earnings reports, underscoring its resilience and growth trajectory.
Technical Outlook
- Momentum & Price Action: The stock exhibits solid momentum and is currently situated in a buy zone.
- Options Flow: Bullish sentiment is evident in options activity, signaling strong institutional interest.
- Analyst Ratings:
- Needham analyst Bernie McTernan maintains a Buy rating but lowers the price target from $33 to $30.
- Barclays analyst Ross Sandler maintains an Equal-Weight rating and lowers the price target from $26 to $25.
Given the current trends, bullish options flows, and favorable seasonality, Unity Software appears poised to test $25 in the upcoming weeks, particularly if momentum continues to drive price action.
The Great Erosion: Why I Hedge With BitcoinBy Coach Miranda Miner
Look at this chart. It doesn’t scream. It doesn’t panic. It simply tells the truth.
Over the past decade, major fiat currencies have quietly lost their purchasing power. The Chinese Yuan has been debased by 61%, the US Dollar by 46%, the Euro by 38%, the British Pound by 34%, and even the Japanese Yen, often praised for its stability, has fallen 29%. And yet, central banks speak as if things are under control.
They tell us inflation is “transitory.” They say rate hikes are temporary. They promise normalization. But as we’ve seen, normalization often means sacrificing the value of your hard-earned money.
This is not a conspiracy. This is macroeconomic policy at work.
The Reality Behind Currency Debasement
Since the global financial crisis of 2008, central banks like the Federal Reserve (the Fed) have resorted to unprecedented monetary policy tools—quantitative easing, low interest rates, and now liquidity injections whenever markets tremble. The Fed’s balance sheet ballooned from under $1 trillion pre-crisis to nearly $9 trillion at its peak.
Each time the Fed prints more dollars to buy assets and prop up markets, the money supply increases. When this happens without a corresponding increase in goods and services, what do you get? Inflation.
And when inflation accelerates beyond control, currency debasement follows. Your dollars buy less. Your savings silently shrink.
It’s not just the Fed. The European Central Bank, Bank of England, and People’s Bank of China have followed similar paths. Governments and their central banks are running deficits and solving them by diluting the very currency people save in.
Don’t Just Trust Banks—Understand Incentives
Let me ask you a simple question: Do you think your bank cares more about your financial freedom, or about their own bottom line?
Look at the recent collapses: Silicon Valley Bank, Credit Suisse, and Signature Bank. We were told the system was stable. Then it cracked—overnight.
Even NYSE:JPM , NYSE:BAC , and NYSE:WFC —the biggest banks—are still at the mercy of regulatory changes, interest rate whiplashes, and geopolitical shocks. Don’t forget: banks are leveraged institutions. They lend more than they own.
Meanwhile, you earn 1-2% on your savings while inflation eats away 6-8% per year. That’s a guaranteed loss.
The Bitcoin Hedge: Scarcity in a World of Printing
Now compare that with Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ).
Bitcoin has a fixed supply: 21 million coins, ever. No Fed. No central authority. No backroom stimulus deal. Its supply is encoded and transparent. Every four years, the Bitcoin halving cuts the rate of new issuance, making BTC more scarce over time.
In April 2024, we witnessed the most recent halving. The mining reward dropped from 6.25 to 3.125 BTC per block. In economic terms, the supply shock began fueling upward price pressure—exactly as it did in 2012, 2016, and 2020.
Meanwhile, institutional demand surged. After the SEC approved spot Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024, trillions of dollars were unlocked. Funds like BlackRock’s IBIT, Fidelity’s FBTC, and ARK Invest’s ARKB have been aggressively accumulating Bitcoin.
In fact, by January 2025, ETFs acquired 51,500 BTC in a single week. During that same period, only 13,850 BTC were mined. That’s a 3.7x supply squeeze.
Let that sink in.
Bitcoin is the Antithesis of Fiat
Bitcoin is not a gamble. It is insurance against the failure of the fiat system.
For traders like us, it’s a strategic asset. For long-term investors, it’s a savings technology. For people in unstable economies—think Argentina, Lebanon, Turkey—Bitcoin is freedom.
Even in the Philippines, I see it. OFWs sending money home are starting to learn about Bitcoin on the Lightning Network, bypassing remittance fees from NYSE:WU or $ML.
As Coach Miranda Miner, I always teach: Discipline. Risk Management. Malasakit.
This is not about being anti-bank. This is about being pro-freedom.
Retail and Institutional Alignment
For the first time, retail traders and Wall Street giants are eyeing the same asset. That alignment is rare.
NASDAQ:TSLA holds over 10,000 BTC.
NASDAQ:MSTR (MicroStrategy) holds more than 300,000 BTC and continues to raise capital just to buy more.
El Salvador, a sovereign nation, now holds Bitcoin in a strategic reserve. Their president even uses geothermal volcano energy to mine BTC sustainably.
This is no longer fringe. This is mainstream adoption in motion.
But What About Volatility?
Yes, Bitcoin is volatile. That’s true. But let’s flip the script.
If something is volatile but trending upward in the long run—like Bitcoin—doesn’t it make sense to accumulate wisely?
Versus keeping wealth in a stable asset—like fiat—that consistently loses value. That’s slow bleeding. It’s not volatility. It’s erosion.
A Strategic Framework for 2025
Here’s what I advise fellow traders and investors:
Hedge your fiat exposure. Don’t keep all your assets in cash or peso.
Use dollar-cost averaging ( GETTEX:DCA ) to buy CRYPTOCAP:BTC regularly.
Allocate responsibly. You don’t need to go all-in. Even 5–10% exposure can protect your portfolio.
Track macro events. Monitor Fed rate decisions, CPI prints, and ETF flows.
Avoid hype. Study fundamentals. Bitcoin rewards research, not impulse.
The Takeaway
The currencies we grew up trusting have quietly betrayed us.
This isn’t fear-mongering. This is risk awareness.
If you believe in working hard, you should also believe in protecting that hard work. And Bitcoin offers that shield—not because it’s perfect, but because it’s mathematically incorruptible.
You owe it to yourself to understand the shift happening before your eyes.
So yes, I hedge with $BTC. Because in a world of ever-weakening paper, digital scarcity is power.
—Coach Miranda MinerCEO, Global Miranda Miner GroupDiscipline. Risk Management. Malasakit.
DCA into $FI- NYSE:FI is big recognizable brand in Point of Sales. You might have seen clover handheld machines.
- I believe fundamentals on this blue chip company is getting cheap. I'm not going all in but have started DCA into this name.
- If it falls further 20-30 or even 40% I will be happy to DCA further.
- Fundamentally, I am buying it close to fair value.
Year | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
EPS | 10.21 | 11.91 | 13.88 | 15.72
EPS% | 16.35% | 16.63% | 16.51% | 13.25%
- Any company which is growing EPS% mid teens with a recognizable brand value deserves a fair forward p/e of 20
Base Case Fair Value w/ forward p/e = 20:
Year. | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
Fair Value | $204 | $238 | $277.6 | $314.4
Conservative Base Case fair value w/ forward p/e=15:
Year. | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
Fair Value | $153.15 | $178.65 | $208.2 | $235
Bull Case Fair value w/ forward p/e=25:
Year. | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
Fair Value | $255 | $297 | $347 | $393
Bear Case fair value w/ forward p/e = 10:
Year. | 2025 | 2026 | 2027 | 2028
Fair Value | $102 | $119 | $138 | $157
Fiverr International | FVRR | Long at $26.32If AI/AGI is really taking our jobs, the gig economy will prosper... right?
While Fiverr International's NYSE:FVRR market cap is just under a billion, the company has experienced significant revenue growth since 2019. Earnings grew by 395.7% over the past year and are forecast to grow 24.68% per year. Cash flow is also expected to rise. The company has a low float (30.4M) but a price-to-earnings of 52x (caution). While competition in the gig economy is tough (I see you NASDAQ:UPWK ), NYSE:FVRR may be gaining upward momentum as the stock starts to bottom in the near-term. The price gaps on the daily chart near $20 and $22 may be closed before a strong move up, but the price is now consolidating within my historical simple moving average. When this happens, often (but not always), the ticker will trade sideways for a while before reversing up.
Thus, at $26.32, NYSE:FVRR is in a personal buy zone.
Targets
$34.00
$40.00
Is it time to buy the AUD?Most economies are facing stagflation—Japan, the US, and Europe, to name a few. Stagflation is high inflation with low to no GDP growth.
However, Australia and New Zealand currently have steady inflation and GDP growth within reasonable targets.
My bias has changed to buying the AUD and NZD.
Thoughts?
OANDA:AUDUSD OANDA:AUDJPY OANDA:AUDCHF OANDA:EURAUD OANDA:GBPAUD
$UUUUTrump’s executive orders to ease Nuclear reactor regulations and improve fuel supply chains, boosting nuclear energy demand.
Before 2025 started, once Trump won the election I was certain he would eventually pass executive order(s) and/or make political deals to ease nuclear reactor regulations and improve fuel supply chains, naturally boosting nuclear energy demand. This does not just affect AMEX:UUUU it also affects most of the Nuclear Energy stocks and Uranium-related stocks, like AMEX:UEC , NASDAQ:CEG , NASDAQ:NNE , NYSE:OKLO etc.
We should see most of these stocks continue to grow in value throughout 2025 at the very least. I don't know yet how they will fair in 2026 though 2025 should continue to be a good year for nuclear energy and uranium stocks :)
Bitcoin Income: STRK vs IBIT – Dividends, Covered CallsThis video provides a performance breakdown between two Bitcoin-related financial instruments—STRK (Strike) and IBIT—through the lens of passive income generation. I compare traditional buy-and-hold strategies with more active income tactics such as covered calls. Key insights include:
STRK provided the best return YTD (26%) and yielded approximately 1.54% in passive dividends, requiring minimal effort—just buy, hold, and collect.
IBIT, while slightly trailing in growth (13%), is optimized for a covered call strategy, offering an impressive 6% income yield through active options trading.
The analysis highlights the trade-off between simplicity and engagement—STRK is more passive-friendly, while IBIT offers higher yields for those willing to manage options.
This is ideal for tech-savvy investors exploring Bitcoin ETFs and derivative income strategies, weighing convenience versus return potential.
TMGH Trend Line Rebound AnalysisTMG Holding trend is still in a downward zone, but rebounded at the support line 52.019. In case of a rise, it is expected to breach the resistance line 52.472 and reach the resistance line at 52.805 points. In case of falling, it's expected to break the 1st support line at 51.535 points, then the second support line at 51.475, then the third line at 50.779, which is fundamentally not a preferable expectation because of the Omani Ministry of Housing and Urban Planning signing a $4.7 Bln real estate deal with TMGH. For developing two real estate projects spanning 4.9 million square meters, to deliver around 12.9 thousand residential units. In addition, the combined sale value of units is projected at $4.7 billion.
TSM great potential before earnings call? Value to be collected!Hi guys we would be taking a look into our analysis for TSM!TSMC (TSM) Stock: Positioned for
Strong Growth Despite Tariff Pressures -
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), the world’s leading contract chipmaker, continues to shine as a long-term winner in the semiconductor space, even amid renewed trade tensions and potential tariffs.
1. Resilience Amid Tariffs and Trade Tensions
While the U.S. has recently introduced or hinted at higher tariffs on tech-related imports from China, TSMC stands out due to its strategic positioning. As a Taiwan-based company with increasing investments in the U.S., including a major Arizona facility, TSMC is well-insulated from the harshest tariff implications. In fact, the shift toward U.S. domestic chip production could boost TSMC's presence and government support, solidifying its role in global supply chains.
2. Unmatched Technological Leadership
TSMC is years ahead of competitors in cutting-edge semiconductor manufacturing, particularly in advanced nodes like 3nm and 2nm chips. This technology edge secures high-value contracts with top-tier clients like Apple, NVIDIA, and AMD, ensuring a steady and growing revenue stream.
3. Surging Demand for AI and High-Performance Computing
With the global explosion of demand for AI infrastructure, data centers, and high-performance computing, TSMC is perfectly positioned. It is the go-to foundry for the most advanced AI chips, giving it a critical role in powering the next generation of tech innovation.
4. Strategic Global Expansion
TSMC’s global expansion—including new plants in the U.S., Japan, and Germany—reduces geopolitical risks and enhances its ability to serve major markets locally. These moves also align with government incentives and support from the CHIPS Act and similar programs.
Outlook:
TSMC is not only weathering the global trade climate—it’s thriving. Its dominant market share, world-class technology, and expanding global footprint give it a strong competitive moat. With rising AI demand and the shift toward local production, TSM is set to benefit on multiple fronts.
TSM stock remains a high-conviction play for investors looking to capture the future of tech.
TSMC has consistently delivered impressive financial results, with the company surpassing analyst expectations in the past 12 consecutive quarters. For instance, in the fourth quarter of 2024, TSMC reported earnings per share (EPS) of $2.24, exceeding the consensus estimate of $2.16. This track record underscores the company's robust operational efficiency and market demand for its advanced semiconductor solutions.
Upcoming Earnings Call
Investors are anticipating TSMC's next earnings call scheduled for Thursday, April 17, 2025, before the market opens. Analysts expect the company to report an EPS of $2.02 for the first quarter of 2025. Given TSMC's history of exceeding expectations, there is optimism that the company will continue its trend of strong financial performance.
EPS beat estimates 16 times in 17 quarters!!!!!
We are targeting approximetly 18% increase!!!
📌 Trade Plan
📈 Entry: 152
✅ Target 183
❌ SL: 128
City Group this weeks best choice from the earnings calendar!Hi guys we would take a look into our perspective for Citygroup, which out of this weeks earnings stocks gives us the best potential, we are targeting a whoping 20% increase for our end goal.
Citigroup (NYSE: C) is demonstrating strong growth potential in 2025, driven by robust earnings, strategic initiatives, and favorable market conditions. Here's our comprehensive analysis focusing on Citigroup's growth prospects:
📈 Recent Performance Highlights
Q1 2025 Earnings: Citigroup reported a 21% year-over-year increase in net income, reaching $4.1 billion ($1.96 per share), surpassing analyst expectations of $1.85 per share. Revenue rose 3% to $21.6 billion, exceeding forecasts. The growth was primarily driven by a 23% surge in stock trading revenues amid market volatility and increased client activity.
Return on Tangible Common Equity (RoTCE): The bank's RoTCE improved to 9.1%, nearing its target range of 10–11%, indicating enhanced profitability and efficient capital utilization.
📊 Growth Metrics & Analyst Outlook
Earnings Per Share (EPS) Growth: Analysts project a 15.3% annual EPS growth for Citigroup over the next five years, outpacing peers like Bank of America (9.0%) and JPMorgan Chase (3.9%).
Revenue and Earnings Growth: Citigroup is forecasted to achieve a 9.8% annual earnings growth and a 7.9% revenue growth over the next three years.
Share Repurchase Program: The bank has initiated a $20 billion share buyback program, reflecting confidence in its financial strength and commitment to returning capital to shareholders.
🚀 Strategic Initiatives & Market Position
Operational Efficiency: Citigroup is investing in technology and streamlining operations, including reducing reliance on external IT contractors and enhancing data management systems. These efforts aim to improve efficiency and regulatory compliance.
Market Leadership: The bank's diversified business model, encompassing trading, wealth management, and banking services, positions it well to capitalize on various market opportunities.
⚠️ Market Considerations
Economic Uncertainty: While Citigroup's performance is strong, broader economic uncertainties, including potential recessions and regulatory changes, could impact future growth. Analysts are monitoring these factors closely.
✅ Our Conclusion
Citigroup's robust earnings growth, strategic initiatives, and strong market position make it a compelling candidate for investors seeking growth opportunities in the financial sector. The bank's focus on operational efficiency and capital return strategies further enhances its growth prospects!
The entry would go as following -
Entry point : 63.80
Target 1 : 71.69 - just above the GAP which was previously formulated, when we pass it this would cement our uptrend formation.
Target 2 : 75.30 - finalizing almost 20% growth of the stock which would be around the strong resistance area.
Stop Loss : 55.50 - around the bottom zone , which there was a lot of volume supported by the buyers.
META - Another great earnings, allowing us to collect value?Hi guys ,we would be looking into our analysis for META stock.
Meta Platforms Inc. has demonstrated robust financial performance, underscoring its strategic investments in artificial intelligence (AI) and digital advertising.
Strong Financial Performance
In Q4 2024, Meta reported revenue of $48.39 billion, marking a 21% increase year-over-year. Net income surged by 49% to $20.84 billion, with diluted earnings per share (EPS) rising 50% to $8.02. The company's operating margin improved to 48%, up from 41% the previous year, reflecting enhanced operational efficiency.
AI-Driven Advertising Growth
Meta's advancements in AI have significantly bolstered its advertising capabilities. In Q3 2024, advertising revenue grew by 18.6% year-over-year, reaching $39.89 billion. The integration of AI technologies has enhanced ad targeting and delivery, contributing to this growth.
Our Confidence
Overall analysis maintains a bullish outlook on Meta's stock, with an average price target of approximately $634, suggesting a potential upside of around 17% from current levels. The company's strategic focus on AI and its strong financial results support this positive sentiment.
In summary, Meta's strong earnings report, driven by AI advancements and advertising growth, positions the company favorably for continued success in the evolving digital landscape.
📌 Trade Plan
📈 Entry: 550
✅ Target: 630 - below the ATH to give an achievable destination
❌ SL: 480 - below the support zone to protect the trade