Growth
Almost Every Bank in Japan Will Use Ripple’s XRP by 2025! 🌏🇯🇵 Almost Every Bank in Japan Will Use Ripple’s XRP by 2025! 🚀
By 2025, 🇯🇵 Japan is set to make history by integrating Ripple's XRP across its banking system. This bold move positions Japan as a global trailblazer in digital currency adoption, making XRP the gold standard for seamless payments.
Here’s a list of major Japanese banks embracing XRP:
📍 SBI Holdings – Tokyo 🇯🇵
📍 Mizuho Bank – Tokyo 🇯🇵
📍 Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Bank – Tokyo 🇯🇵
📍 Resona Bank – Osaka 🇯🇵
📍 Bank of Yokohama – Yokohama 🇯🇵
📍 The Chugoku Bank – Okayama 🇯🇵
📍 The Tokyo Star Bank – Tokyo 🇯🇵
📍 The Toho Bank – Fukushima 🇯🇵
💼 These banks are part of a 61-member consortium championing worldwide cryptocurrency adoption, with a spotlight on XRP. This initiative is set to revolutionize cross-border transactions, making them:
✅ Faster
✅ Cheaper
✅ More secure
🌟 🇯🇵 Japan leads the way in digital finance innovation! ✨
PEPE Ready for Rebound after Multi-Week HiatusMarket update on COINBASE:PEPEUSD
After a multi-week downtrend, PEPE looks like it is signaling an entry into breakout territory on the 4h view here. Look for some heavy waves during the next days or week timeframe, as there are many whales dumping millions into the market right now, ready to take blood in the choppy waters ahead. The overall trend should continue to rebound into positive territory now that the consolidation and down waves are signaling they are done here as two green indicators have popped on our chart, signaling entry now, or when you have the liquidity from resolving other open trades.
In other news, watch out for COINBASE:PRIMEUSD which is also indicating a strong buy signal right now. There could also be potential synergy between PEPE and COINBASE:GIGAUSD meme markets where profits could be diverted from PEPE to GIGAchad empire for new Power Gym and Rolexes.
Remember Habibi, never look for financial advice in camel's ass.
The desert tests your will, not your strength.
Viva El Pepe!
Incredible Super Guppy Signals BTC Crazy Price ActionCrazy price action continues today on the heels of Softbank $100B AI investment in the United States to show confidence in American President Trump economy success.
The incredible growth indicated on Super Guppy is a chart technique which gains insight on the strength and dimensions of the price movement. When things are going strong in a pump like we are seeing today, this indicator is very beautiful to witness. The world is reacting strongly in favor of American economic recovery and 2025 growth fueled by the AI technology boom. Japan clearly sees this and wants to support the action, provide jobs, and encourage innovation. We can see how Bitcoin reacts and how traders can use the continuing positive opportunity in BINANCE:BTCUSDT and other tokens.
www.bloomberg.com
finance.yahoo.com
For Super Guppy Indicator in your technical analysis, visit the page on TradingView:
Remember Habibi, the desert tests your will, not your strength.
The Golden Journey: Historic Milestones and a Glimpse into 2025Gold Price Analysis: A Historical Overview and Future Outlook
Gold has always played a crucial role as a safe-haven asset during periods of economic uncertainty. Over the years, its price movements have been shaped by various global events. Let’s take a step-by-step look at the key historical moments and their implications for the future.
[ b]Historical Highlights:-
March 2008: Financial Crisis Escalation
Gold prices surpassed $1,000 per ounce for the first time, driven by the Global Financial Crisis.
Key Factors:
- The collapse of Bear Stearns fueled fears of systemic financial instability.
- Aggressive Federal Reserve rate cuts weakened the U.S. dollar, increasing gold’s appeal.
Impact: Gold surged as a safe-haven asset during one of the most critical financial crises of the modern era.
October 2008: Global Financial Crisis Peak
Gold prices dropped to $681 per ounce initially due to forced liquidation but rebounded later, stabilizing around $730-$800 per ounce.
Key Factors:
- Forced selling to meet margin calls during the crisis.
- Central banks introduced aggressive interventions, including interest rate cuts, to stabilize the economy.
Impact: Despite short-term declines, gold regained its safe-haven status as market uncertainty persisted.
Profits and Losses of New York Stock Exchange Broker-Dealers 2000 to 2008:
Cost of the 2008 Financial Crisis :
August 2011: All-Time High Amid Global Economic Uncertainty
Gold reached a record high of $1,917 per ounce amid the U.S and Eurozone debt crisis and concerns about the U.S. economy.
Key Factors:
- Investors were concerned about the U.S. economy after the S&P downgrade of U.S. credit from AAA to AA+ earlier in August.
- The 2011 U.S. Debt Ceiling Crisis was one of a series of recurrent debates over increasing the total size of the U.S. national debt.
- Safe-haven demand surged as central banks maintained low interest rates.
Impact: This period underscored gold's reliability during global economic turmoil.
November 2015: Multi-Year Low
Gold prices dropped to $1,050 per ounce, the lowest since 2010.
Key Factors:
- Expectations of a Federal Reserve rate hike reduced gold’s appeal.
- Low inflation diminished its role as a hedge.
Impact: The decline highlighted gold’s sensitivity to monetary policy and inflation expectations.
August 2020: Record High During COVID-19
Gold hit an all-time high of $2,075 per ounce, driven by the global economic fallout from the COVID-19 pandemic.
Key Factors:
- Massive monetary and fiscal stimulus from central banks and governments.
- Weak U.S. dollar and negative bond yields boosted demand.
Impact: Gold cemented its status as a hedge against both inflation and economic uncertainty.
September 2022: Aggressive Rate Hikes
Gold dropped to around $1,615 per ounce as the U.S. Federal Reserve aggressively raised interest rates to combat inflation.
Key Factors:
- Rising bond yields and a strong U.S. dollar reduced gold’s appeal.
- Geopolitical Uncertainty.
mpact: This period reflected the inverse relationship between gold and rising interest rates.
October 2024: Record Peak
Gold surged to a new all-time high of $2,790 per ounce due to heightened geopolitical tensions and monetary policy shifts.
Key Factors:
- Ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and Eastern Europe.
- Central banks’ easing policies and inflation fears supported the rally.
Impact: This continued gold’s bullish momentum, driven by its safe-haven demand.
Future Outlook for Gold in 2025
Key Expectations:
1. Bullish Momentum to Continue:
- Gold is likely to remain on an upward trajectory, potentially breaking the $3,000 per ounce barrier.
- Geopolitical uncertainty and inflation concerns will continue to drive demand.
2. Consolidation and Corrections:
- Gold may face short-term corrections, with support levels at $2,600-$2,500, before resuming its bullish trend.
3. Critical Drivers:
- Geopolitical Tensions: Persistent global conflicts will boost gold’s safe-haven appeal.
- Monetary Policy: Central bank decisions, especially from the Federal Reserve, will influence gold prices. A pause or reversal in rate hikes will support bullish momentum.
- Inflation Hedge: Rising inflation expectations will sustain demand for gold as a store of value.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Resistance Levels: $2,800, $3,000, and beyond.
- Support Levels: $2,600, $2,500, and $2,300.
Summary:
Gold has consistently demonstrated its value as a safe-haven asset during periods of economic and geopolitical uncertainty. With its recent surge in October 2024 and the ongoing macroeconomic conditions, the outlook for 2025 suggests further bullish potential. However, investors should be prepared for short-term corrections before the continuation of its long-term upward trend.
Gold's remarkable performance over various timeframes highlights its strength:
- In 2024 alone, gold rose by 27.25%, marking a stellar annual performance.
- Over the past 5 years, gold has gained an impressive 79.25%, showcasing sustained upward momentum.
- Over the past 10 years, gold has soared by 121.00%, reflecting its resilience and importance as a long-term asset.
Disclaimer:
The insights and expectations shared in this analysis are based on my personal experience and deep understanding of the market. While these projections are grounded in my expertise, it is important to exercise caution and perform your own research before making any investment decisions. Remember, the market carries inherent risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results.
Goldman Sachs - The desired growth,earnings will help capitalizeHi guys, continuing with our Banking trend, we are going to take a look at Goldman Sachs -
Fundamentals
Goldman Sachs is set for a strong 2025, driven by robust U.S. GDP growth forecasts of 2.5%, fueled by AI-driven investments and federal incentives. The firm expects the S&P 500 to rise to 6,500, supported by steady earnings growth and favorable monetary policy, with Fed rate cuts stimulating economic activity. Strategic initiatives in asset management, emphasizing portfolio recalibration amidst shifting economic conditions, position Goldman Sachs to capitalize on market dynamics. These factors align to create a favorable financial outlook for the year.
Technicals :
Similiar to the previous banking groups, they had a fantastic 2024, with great growth after the beggining of the year. Their stock formulated a very strong Ascending channel after it crushed the previous storng Resistance level at 390 around april last year.
Entry: 577
Target: 678
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
Morgan Stanley, can we follow up on great earnings call?Hi guys, we are next looking into Morgan Stanley. Currently they had a fantastic 2024 , with great growth and great beat over their earnings calls.
Fundamental overview :
Morgan Stanley has adopted a bullish stance on U.S. equities, forecasting the S&P 500 to potentially reach 7,400 by 2025. This optimism is based on anticipated solid earnings growth and accommodative monetary policy, which could enhance the firm's equity trading and investment advisory revenues.
Increased Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A) Activity
The return of Donald Trump to the White House is expected to stimulate a surge in M&A activity, driven by lower borrowing costs and deregulation. Morgan Stanley predicts a 50% increase in M&A deals in 2025 compared to the previous year, which would significantly boost its advisory and underwriting services.
In fixed income, Morgan Stanley identifies securitized credit, particularly U.S. mortgage-backed securities (MBS), as a promising area. The firm believes that moderating monetary policy, coupled with strong consumer and corporate balance sheets, will create favorable conditions for this sector, potentially enhancing its fixed income revenues.
Technical Overview :
Currently we have surpassed a strong resistance line which has been upgraded to a supprot line because of the strong growth at 2024. Currently this Ascending channel should take us to a 2x price level from 83 level to 166 level.
Entry: 127
Target : 166
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
Bank of America - Follow up on already great bull run?Hi guys, today we are starting with an overview of Bank of America.
Fundamentals :
Bank of America is positioned for a strong financial year in 2025 due to several factors: anticipated economic growth, Fed interest rate cuts stimulating loan demand, and significant growth in net interest income from well-managed portfolios. The bank expects a boost in investment banking and trading revenues, supported by regulatory changes and market activity. Additionally, technological innovation and a shift toward an "asset-light" economy are seen as long-term growth drivers. Positive analyst outlooks further reinforce confidence in its prospects for the year.
Technicals : Currently from 2023 until and through 2024 , BAC has had a fantastic ascending year, with good revenue which showcased a great Ascending channel formulating. Currently I want the gap which was a strong resistance to be tested again, so we can move forward to the higher levels.
Entry: 44.50
Target 55.60
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
AI: The Future, and NVIDIA’s Crown !Artificial Intelligence? isn't just the next big thing—it's the thing.
The stock market? It’s not always about valuation—it’s about vision. Investors flock to what’s sexy and transformative, and AI is just that. NVIDIA's high profit margins and dominant position make it the clear winner. Yes, the stock might look expensive on paper, but the market rewards growth, potential, and leadership in the next frontier.
AI is the future, and NVIDIA is writing the playbook. Fundamentals matter, but in this era, the narrative of being the leader in a groundbreaking field is what drives the market.
Not a financial advice.
Don't Make My MistakeCRYPTO – Don’t Make My Mistake
I first heard about Bitcoin in September 2010, when a business associate asked if I knew anything about it. I didn't, but to spark my interest, he gave me $100 worth of Bitcoin, valued at $0.06 each. The following month, when BTC doubled, he encouraged me to invest, so I bought $900 worth at $0.11 each. This made me the owner of 13,636,363 BTC. At the time, there weren't many places to use BTC, so I happily sold my BTC for $0.54 each. As they say, hindsight is 20/20. If I had held onto my BTC, it would have been worth around $1.44 billion USD when BTC hit $106,000.
Will there ever be another BTC story? I believe so. If the US Securities and Exchange Commission stops targeting Ripple, we might see it. But there are other ways to make a good amount of money in crypto.
Take AI16ZUS (often referred to as ai16z) for example. With a market cap of $2.5 billion USD, it rose 287.66% in 12 days, 582.81% in one month, and 889.56% in one quarter.
These are impressive numbers, and managing this and other DeFi tokens correctly can make you financially comfortable. Worth $1.44 billion USD? Probably not, but who knows—the financial world is changing right before our eyes.
I will start sharing thoughts on other tokens that might be interesting to watch or invest in. Like I did, start small—$100 USD—and see where you end up. A $100 investment with a 287.66% gain gives you an account balance of $387.66. Take back your initial $100, and you now have $287.66 risk-free to invest in other fast-moving tokens. Don’t gamble; take your time, do your research, and reap the benefits.
Until next time…
City Group - Can the 3rd biggest US bank deliver?Hi guys, we would be looking next into City Group, the 3rd biggest Banking coroporation in the US. Currently they have been quite undervalued in comparission to it's counter-part in the eyes of JP Morgan. They still are holding a tremendeous amount of assets and have a lot of potential for an upswing!
Under CEO Jane Fraser's leadership, Citigroup has streamlined its operations, focusing on five core business areas and exiting consumer markets in 14 countries. This strategic transformation is expected to enhance efficiency and profitability. Analyst Mike Mayo projects that Citigroup's return on tangible equity could increase from the current 7% to 11-12% by 2026, with earnings potentially reaching $10 per share. He also suggests that the stock could double in value over the next three years.
Analyst Recommendations
Analysts have set an average price target of $82.14 for Citigroup, with estimates ranging from $66.00 to $110.00, indicating a potential upside from the current trading price.
Citigroup's current valuation, trading below its tangible book value of $90, presents an attractive opportunity for investors. The company's diversified revenue streams, including a global services operation, a top-tier investment bank, and a leading credit card company, position it well for sustained growth
Citigroup's strategic initiatives and favorable analyst outlooks suggest a positive trajectory for the stock in 2025. Investors may find Citigroup an appealing option for potential growth in the financial sector.
Entry on Market Open
Target 1: 90
Target 2: 110
Target 3: 166
Target 4: 240
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
Wells Fargo are we good to participate in the banking industry?Hi guys ,off to our next opportuntiy WFC , currently one of the bigger banks in the US which have some good upside potential!
Fundamentals :
Financial Performance
In the third quarter of 2024, Wells Fargo reported a net income of $5.1 billion.
This performance reflects the company's resilience and adaptability in a dynamic economic environment.
Wells Fargo offers a comprehensive range of services, including banking, insurance, investments, mortgage, leasing, and credit cards. The company operates approximately 5,200 branches and 13,000 ATMs, serving one in three U.S. households and more than 10% of small businesses in the U.S.
The company has been under a regulator-imposed asset cap of approximately $1.95 trillion since February 2018, following past regulatory issues. There is anticipation that this cap may be lifted in 2025, which could significantly enhance Wells Fargo's growth and profitability.
Wells Fargo remains a significant player in the financial services industry, demonstrating both strengths and challenges. The company's extensive range of services and substantial asset base position it well for future opportunities, while ongoing regulatory and market challenges require careful navigation.
Entry : On market open
Target: 87.15
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
TSMC- Expectating Fantastic Earnings Report ,let's capitalize!Hi guys we would be looking at this fantastic company let's dive into the Fundamentals!
A Stellar Year for TSMC: Redefining Excellence in Semiconductor Manufacturing
TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company) has once again solidified its position as a global leader in the semiconductor industry with a truly outstanding financial year. The company's ability to navigate an ever-evolving market landscape and consistently deliver cutting-edge technology is nothing short of remarkable.
Exceptional Financial Performance
TSMC's financial results for the year have been phenomenal, reflecting its unparalleled operational efficiency and strategic foresight. Despite industry challenges, the company achieved record-breaking revenue and profitability, driven by robust demand for its advanced nodes and innovative solutions. TSMC's dedication to staying ahead of the curve has enabled it to maintain a dominant market share while attracting key clients in industries ranging from consumer electronics to automotive.
Commitment to Innovation
The cornerstone of TSMC's success lies in its relentless pursuit of technological excellence. As the pioneer in advanced semiconductor nodes such as 3nm and 5nm, TSMC has continued to set benchmarks for the industry. These advancements not only empower its clients to develop cutting-edge products but also contribute significantly to technological progress on a global scale. The company's commitment to research and development is evident in its consistent rollout of groundbreaking processes and technologies.
Resilience and Sustainability
TSMC's financial triumph is also a testament to its resilience and adaptability. In the face of global supply chain disruptions and geopolitical uncertainties, the company demonstrated remarkable agility, ensuring seamless operations and timely delivery to its partners. Moreover, TSMC has taken proactive steps toward sustainability, aiming to achieve carbon neutrality and reinforce its leadership as a responsible corporate entity.
Partner of Choice
One of TSMC's greatest strengths is its ability to forge strong, long-term partnerships with some of the world's most influential tech companies. By offering unparalleled manufacturing capabilities and a collaborative approach, TSMC has become the trusted partner for industry giants. This mutual trust and cooperation have been instrumental in driving its financial and operational success.
Entry : 200
Target: 255
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
JPM - Biggest bank in the US with good upside potential?Hi guys, we are taking a look into the Biggest US Bank. Recently their catch on and join forces into participating with AI gives a positive up-beat for their business additionally,
JPMorgan Chase continues to solidify its position as a global leader in financial services, showcasing exceptional financial health and a promising outlook. With a well-diversified portfolio and a consistent track record of strong performance, the company is a beacon of stability and growth in the industry.
The leadership at JPMorgan Chase has demonstrated an unwavering commitment to innovation and strategic planning. Their investments in cutting-edge technologies, such as AI-driven solutions and digital banking platforms, position the company to thrive in an increasingly digital economy. Moreover, their proactive approach to sustainable financing and environmental initiatives highlights a commitment to a forward-thinking and socially responsible future.
What stands out most about JPMorgan Chase is its ability to adapt to evolving market dynamics while maintaining robust profitability and delivering value to shareholders. This resilience, combined with their global reach and customer-focused services, ensures they remain at the forefront of the financial industry.
For investors, clients, and partners, JPMorgan Chase represents a secure and dynamic choice, offering both stability and exciting opportunities for growth. The future is undoubtedly bright for this financial powerhouse.
My entry; 238
With a positive target: 285
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my channel so you can follow up with me in private!
STZ - Potential upside to recover the dip?Hi guys , we are goign to take a look the company with tracker STZ -
STZ has consistently demonstrated its commitment to excellence and innovation, making it a standout in its industry. The company's robust financial health is a testament to its sound business strategies and disciplined execution. Their impressive revenue growth and sustainable profitability highlight a well-managed operation poised for long-term success.
Beyond financials, STZ is a forward-thinking organization with a clear vision for the future. Their investment in cutting-edge technologies, customer-centric solutions, and sustainable practices showcases their adaptability and focus on staying ahead in a rapidly evolving market.
What truly sets STZ apart is its leadership and dedication to fostering a culture of innovation and collaboration. This forward momentum positions STZ as a reliable partner for investors and stakeholders alike, promising a bright and prosperous future.
My entry would be : 222
Target 1 : 245.29
Target 2 : 272.88
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my channel so you can follow up with me in private!
The answer to Einstein's question was BitcoinUntil recently, Bitcoin was seen as a platform for arms and drug trafficking. Today, many fundamental analyses are being published with headlines like these:
"With Bitcoin, both sides win wars,"
"Bitcoin, the factor of global peace,"
"Bitcoin taught civilization to the power elites,"
"Weapon production stops,"
"Weapons should be sought in museums,"
"Bitcoin: Clean energy, unzainted power,"
"Bitcoin, a civilization without war."
These fundamental analyses are a sign of governments entering the Bitcoin market, which will, in turn, usher us into a new phase of the market. Moreover, this entry has already begun. Russia has announced its intention to use Bitcoin in foreign trade to circumvent sanctions, while the US plans to replace colonialism with Bitcoin reserves to settle its debts. The analysis I will add is this: The answer to Einstein's question was Bitcoin. You may have heard that Einstein predicted: "I don’t know what they’ll fight with in World War III, but in World War IV, they’ll fight with sticks and stones."
Buy or Sell PLTR?Overview
Palantir ( NASDAQ:PLTR ) is a software company involved in data analytics and operations management. Its primary revenue is generated by subscriptions and government contracts. PLTR has been making headlines as a growth stock so the question remains, is it too late to get in on the action? The truth is that nobody knows so this is where the savvy investors will shine.
Fundamental Analysis
The stock is overvalued with a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio of approximately 494. A massive P/E ratio tells you one of two things: (1) the stock is overweight and due for a correction or (2) there are high expectations for strong growth. The P/E ratio isn't the end all be all, but it's worth knowing to get a pulse on market sentiments.
YTD (EPS) Earnings-Per-Share: $390,982,000 / 2,459,589,000 = $0.16
(Q3 Nine Months Ended Net Income) / (Q3 Total Diluted Shares) = YTD EPS
P/E Ratio: 79.08 / 0.16 = 494.25
(Current Market Price) / (EPS) = P/E Ratio
This could be an exciting time to invest in PLTR, but precautions should be taken in the event that the Q4 Annual Report falls short of expectations and sends the share price barreling downwards. Expectations vary per analyst but here is what I would like to see on the next Earnings Release on Feb 12, 2025:
2024 Annual Revenue (approx): $2.9B (+30.34%)
2024 Annual Basic EPS (approx): $0.20 (+100.00%)
Q4 Revenue (approx): $849M (+17.02%)
Q4 Basic EPS (approx): $0.09 (+28.57%)
Since 2020, Palantir has experienced an average annual growth rate of 89.05% and became a profitable company in Q1 of 2023 (earnings released May 9, 2023). The share price has grown tenfold since then. If Palantir can maintain profitability and reliable growth, then the rally is probably far from being over.
Technical Analysis
There are no reliable technical patterns that can provide trading confidence at this moment. In times like this, I feel that less is more. I am only utilizing Fibonacci retracement levels and drawing basic support lines to dictate the depth of potential corrections. The use of oscillators such as MACD and RSI seem like they may prove to be more misleading than helpful.
Scenario 1:
If the share price continues to rally, then my short-term price target would be between $111 & $123 before I would expect to see any resistance. In the event mixed sentiments continue then Support 1 (white line) may not see the bulls taking control again until the price drops around $76.50. The 78.6% Fib level rests at $75.31 so any further drops from this price level would leave me hopeful of a strong support around $63.
Scenario 2:
If Support 1 fails entirely then Support 2 (yellow line) would likely contain the next significant support level. The share price could drop to as low as the mid 50s where there is a 50% Fib level.
Potential Trading Strategies
Getting a pulse on the market and financial health of a public company goes a long way to provide confidence, however, it's not airtight. A poor earnings release or unexpected bad news could deteriorate an investment in a short amount of time. Rather than staying out when in doubt, I've always enjoyed safely expanding my experience and awareness of available tools.
Stop-Loss Limit Orders
If I don't feel like supplementing my investment with derivatives then I place a stop-loss limit order to execute at whichever price level shakes my confidence. If the share price hits my stop-loss level then the next condition that needs to be met is my limit price. If the stop-loss was activated and the share price remains above my limit price, then it will automatically try to sell all of my specified shares at my limit price or higher.
Protective Puts:
Options contracts can be very intimidating for investors that aren't familiar with them. However, knowledge is power and options contracts can be very beneficial when used correctly. Whenever I buy shares in a company that I think is going to grow, but contradicts my impression of market direction, then I buy Protective Puts to shield my investment and give me peace of mind. This can either complement stop-loss orders or provide me the confidence to withstand turbulent price fluctuations without the risk of exiting my positions prematurely in the event that a stop-loss would become activated.
Cash-Secured Puts:
I'm new to writing contracts but I can see the allure. If I'm not confident that a share price is about to rally, or if I think that it may dip significantly, then I would consider a dollar-cost averaging strategy. My initial shares purchase would be a fraction of my available funds with the intentions of exposing my portfolio should the stock rally sooner than expected. In the meantime, I would write/sell Put contracts at strike price levels that I am both capable and comfortable of purchasing 100 shares per contract at. This strategy minimizes my exposure to gains and losses, while allowing me to collect premiums.
If those Cash-Secured Puts were exercised, then I would purchase 100 shares per contract at the contracts' strike price(s). This would effectively lower my cost-basis. If those contracts expire worthless then I get to keep the premium and my cash is freed up. If the stock begins to rally and I want to bail on my contract obligations so that I can get in on it, then I can buy-to-close the Puts at their lowered price and keep the difference as profits.
LULU, a stock to watch!Lululemon stock (LULU) has traded down into the $230's for the first time since the COVID-19 Crash of 2020. I believe that LULU is a stock to keep your eye on, for a few reasons.
- The stock is trading at a 20x p/e whereas its historical p/e is in the mid 40's.
- Margins for the company have all been steady, and remain an industry leader.
- Lululemon is still set to see 10% CAGR for EPS in the next 5 years. (consensus)
- The stock is seeing a severe correction, on par with its past decade corrections.
Above is bullish sentiment on LULU, and can be considered the "bull/base case"
Personally, I have not turned bullish on LULU yet, but with the levels it is reaching it has most certainly caught my eye and has been added to my watch list. While the stock is seeing oversold levels, I think the midterm outlook can still remain bearish for Lululemon. Below are reasons why the short/midterm outlook for LULU may not be optimal.
- Weaker forward projections compared to last 5 years.
Though LULU is expecting 10% CAGR EPS for the next 5 years, that is just a fraction of its last 5 year CAGR of 38.55%. While projections are still positive, they have certainly dampened compared to recent years' growth.
- Macroeconomic environment.
Though the economy remains hot/fine for now, there have been warning signs flashing of a rising unemployment figure across the country. With suboptimal economic conditions, the average consumer may cut down on expensive Lululemon clothing.
These Macro conditions may also continue to dampen the economy, which can cause an overall market correction, where LULU would likely follow the sentiment.
Overall, I believe that LULU offers significant reward, but the shorter term horizon is still worrisome for Lululemon and the global economy. Lululemon is a leader in the Retail Trade sector and dominates when it comes to profitability. The stock is definitely one to keep an eye on if it continues to get crushed.
Regarding technicals, I am watching this demand zone around the 200 level. The stock could trend down to this area, and reach close to COVID-19 lows if sentiment does not change. This area could also offer significant R/R for an entry point.
Disclosure: I currently hold no position in LULU stock, and have never been a shareholder.
TESLA $TSLA | FROM SUPERCHARGE TO SHORT CIRCUIT Dec28'24TESLA NASDAQ:TSLA | FROM SUPERCHARGE TO SHORT CIRCUIT Dec28'24
Tesla Zones:
Tesla BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $434.00 - $480.00
Tesla DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $421.00 - $434.00
Tesla SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $360.00 - $421.00
Tesla Trends:
Tesla Weekly Trend: Bullish
Tesla Daily Trend: Bullish
Tesla 4H Trend: Bullish
Tesla 1H Trend: Bearish
The trend indicator displayed also shows that Tesla has now flipped to a bearish trend on the 1H timeframe, however; there is a glitch when publishing that turns the 1H Trend to Bullish. A screenshot will be posted below.
NASDAQ:TSLA had a strong bullish rally, but has recently seen struggles to continue the upwards momentum. My previous bullish target on Tesla was hit almost immediately after publishing at 400.00, so I held on for the ride to catch more movement and did not consider any new DNT or Bearish zones until a retracement below 449.90. The bullish rally peaked at 488.50, until we saw a drop of over 10% reaching all the way to 427.00. Price then pulled back to the start of the bearish trend where we saw strong momentum to the downside (break over 434.00 with a retest of 465.00). Bears recently broke down structure and continued the trend that initially started at 465.00; now we see price currently resting below my level at 434.00.
My previous Tesla analysis will be linked below, use the forward area to see how it played out!
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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COCOA - We had a good drop, but demand is still high,so we go upHi guys, recently had a rollecoaster with Cocoa , but eventually the price went back and stabilized, now I am coming back to it hence , I see that there has been an ascending channel formulated. The overall technical overview is that the asset is indeed overbought, but at this current stage the fundamentals are out-weighting the technicals, bringing up the prices.
From a fundamental perspective, currently for yet another year we have had weather problems which causes the nearby crop of Cocoa in the Ivory coast which is the biggest exporter will be limited in spring as analysts are predicting. Additionally the weather circumstances have lead to an almost two year hiatus where we have problems with the supply of Cocoa, while the demand remains to be high.
‘Like coffee, chocolate is one of those things consumers are reluctant to give up. Poster items for inelastic demand.’
Entry: 11,203
Target 1: 12,404
Target 2: 13,036
Target 3: 14,026
As always my friends happy trading!
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