Long term $180-$190 target. More downside likely short term.I think short term we can see a final push down. Company has way to much in OP EX and once it can figure out how to remove/cut the amount in half, this stock will show to investors that it has a plan for long term profitable growth.
Question is, which earnings report will it be and/or will they release news on lay offs once unemployment really spikes.
BUY THIS STOCK IN MY PINK ZONE AND HOLD 2-5 YEARS.
my main concern right now is AI hype flushing down and/or there cash on hand and free cash flow continues on its down trend...
Growth
Copper, we had a great move up, time to reach higher highsHi guys we would be looking into copper today , again focusing on the fundamentals which give us the remark that President Donald Trump will impose international tarriffss on the imports of precious metals!
President Donald Trump's threat to impose tariffs on U.S. copper and aluminium imports will result in higher costs for local consumers because of a shortfall in domestic production, analysts and industry participants said on Tuesday.
In a speech on Monday, Trump said he would impose tariffs on aluminium and copper - metals needed to produce U.S. military hardware - as well as steel, to entice producers to make them in the United States.
Trump made fresh remarks about imposing tariffs on Monday
Said he would impose import tariffs on aluminium and copper
Also plans tariffs on computer chips, pharmaceuticals, steel
US copper futures widen premium over London prices
US aluminium buyers face higher costs due to import dependence
The rising copper price reflects strong global demand, driven by economic growth, infrastructure development, and the increasing shift toward renewable energy and electric vehicles. Supply constraints and growing industrial use further support this upward trend. This is a positive sign for mining companies, investors, and economies reliant on copper production, as it boosts revenues and encourages further investment in the sector. Additionally, higher copper prices indicate a healthy industrial landscape, reinforcing its vital role in modern technology and sustainability efforts.
Entry: 4.28
Target: 4.57
SL area based on your risk management,it can be on the strong support area at 4.08
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
LLY - in preparation for strong earnings report!Moving on to our next great Stock set up - LLY
Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) has demonstrated robust financial performance, driven by its innovative pharmaceutical offerings, particularly in the weight-loss segment.
In the third quarter of 2024, the company reported a 20% year-over-year increase in revenue, totaling $11.44 billion. This growth was primarily attributed to a 15% rise in sales volume and a 6% increase in realized prices. Key contributors to this success were the weight-loss drugs Mounjaro and Zepbound.
Looking ahead, analysts are optimistic about Eli Lilly's financial trajectory. The company is expected to report fourth-quarter 2024 revenue of approximately $13.5 billion, marking a 45% increase compared to the same period in the previous year. This projection includes significant contributions from Mounjaro and Zepbound, with anticipated revenues of $3.5 billion and $1.9 billion, respectively.
Analysts have expressed positive sentiments, with 10 out of 11 surveyed by Visible Alpha rating the stock as a "buy" and setting an average price target of nearly $986, approximately 21% higher than current levels.
Overall, Eli Lilly's strategic focus on innovative treatments and its strong product pipeline have positioned the company for continued financial success.
So far we believe that the strong fundamentals , and current growth provided by the weight loss drug that has had tremendeous success we would see a positive outcome on their earnigns and growth potetial.
Entry: 813
Target 1: 857 - 1st weak resistance
Target 2:950 - 2nd strong resistance
SL: 750 around the strong support area
GBP/USD Short Trade Setup NFPI’m planning a short trade on GBP/USD based on the following analysis:
Monday , This week opened with a gap on monday
Wednesday probably created a significant high of the week.
Thursday BOE Rate Cuts Impact: The pound weakened on following the rate cuts.
Friday today London Session: Price is currently moving higher, looking to fill imbalances and target liquidity around 1.2455 and 1.2494.
Key Zones : Monitoring the FVG zones for price reactions and potential rejection around the marked imbalances.
Entry Strategy : Considering short positions around these levels with a tight stop-loss to manage risk.
Additional Insights: Watching for any significant breaks in market structure, especially with the upcoming NFP report and might look to target Monday low around @1.2250
Conclusion:
It's all a probability game so don't forget to manage risk. Jobs report are key.
Based on the current market conditions and upcoming NFP report, I’m looking for potential shorting opportunities on GBP/USD around the identified liquidity zones and imbalances.
NFLX - Fundamentals and simply a great company to invest in!Hi guys, next we would be looking into NFLX , which has had a tremendeous year already! It is up 480.28$ YTD as of today 26th December , which accumulates to 103.99% upside of their stock value. Currently they have shown fantastic financial data throughought Q1,Q2,Q3 not only that they showed a good growth towards their subscribers, and last but not least they just started their NFL Program which launched recently which definitely would boost their revenue.
Additionally they signed a very important contract that goes as follows :
Contract:
Deal with Fifa, soccer’s global governing body, covers the 2027 and 2031 editions of the Women’s World Cup
Agreement covers Puerto Rico and includes both English and Spanish-language broadcasts
Netflix will produce an exclusive documentary series in the lead-up to both tournaments
Streaming platform’s coverage will also feature studio shows
So the stars are alligning for this company and I am deffinetely looking for the break through to the levels above 1,000$ per share.
Entry: on market open - 935$
Target: 1,150$
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my channel so you can follow up with me in private!
JPM - Biggest bank in the US with good upside potential?Hi guys, we are taking a look into the Biggest US Bank. Recently their catch on and join forces into participating with AI gives a positive up-beat for their business additionally,
JPMorgan Chase continues to solidify its position as a global leader in financial services, showcasing exceptional financial health and a promising outlook. With a well-diversified portfolio and a consistent track record of strong performance, the company is a beacon of stability and growth in the industry.
The leadership at JPMorgan Chase has demonstrated an unwavering commitment to innovation and strategic planning. Their investments in cutting-edge technologies, such as AI-driven solutions and digital banking platforms, position the company to thrive in an increasingly digital economy. Moreover, their proactive approach to sustainable financing and environmental initiatives highlights a commitment to a forward-thinking and socially responsible future.
What stands out most about JPMorgan Chase is its ability to adapt to evolving market dynamics while maintaining robust profitability and delivering value to shareholders. This resilience, combined with their global reach and customer-focused services, ensures they remain at the forefront of the financial industry.
For investors, clients, and partners, JPMorgan Chase represents a secure and dynamic choice, offering both stability and exciting opportunities for growth. The future is undoubtedly bright for this financial powerhouse.
My entry; 238
With a positive target: 285
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my channel so you can follow up with me in private!
Wells Fargo are we good to participate in the banking industry?Hi guys ,off to our next opportuntiy WFC , currently one of the bigger banks in the US which have some good upside potential!
Fundamentals :
Financial Performance
In the third quarter of 2024, Wells Fargo reported a net income of $5.1 billion.
This performance reflects the company's resilience and adaptability in a dynamic economic environment.
Wells Fargo offers a comprehensive range of services, including banking, insurance, investments, mortgage, leasing, and credit cards. The company operates approximately 5,200 branches and 13,000 ATMs, serving one in three U.S. households and more than 10% of small businesses in the U.S.
The company has been under a regulator-imposed asset cap of approximately $1.95 trillion since February 2018, following past regulatory issues. There is anticipation that this cap may be lifted in 2025, which could significantly enhance Wells Fargo's growth and profitability.
Wells Fargo remains a significant player in the financial services industry, demonstrating both strengths and challenges. The company's extensive range of services and substantial asset base position it well for future opportunities, while ongoing regulatory and market challenges require careful navigation.
Entry : On market open
Target: 87.15
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
Morgan Stanley, can we follow up on great earnings call?Hi guys, we are next looking into Morgan Stanley. Currently they had a fantastic 2024 , with great growth and great beat over their earnings calls.
Fundamental overview :
Morgan Stanley has adopted a bullish stance on U.S. equities, forecasting the S&P 500 to potentially reach 7,400 by 2025. This optimism is based on anticipated solid earnings growth and accommodative monetary policy, which could enhance the firm's equity trading and investment advisory revenues.
Increased Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A) Activity
The return of Donald Trump to the White House is expected to stimulate a surge in M&A activity, driven by lower borrowing costs and deregulation. Morgan Stanley predicts a 50% increase in M&A deals in 2025 compared to the previous year, which would significantly boost its advisory and underwriting services.
In fixed income, Morgan Stanley identifies securitized credit, particularly U.S. mortgage-backed securities (MBS), as a promising area. The firm believes that moderating monetary policy, coupled with strong consumer and corporate balance sheets, will create favorable conditions for this sector, potentially enhancing its fixed income revenues.
Technical Overview :
Currently we have surpassed a strong resistance line which has been upgraded to a supprot line because of the strong growth at 2024. Currently this Ascending channel should take us to a 2x price level from 83 level to 166 level.
Entry: 127
Target : 166
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
COSTCO - Time to break above and beyond the All time HighHi guys , today we are going to overview one of the retail giants COSTCO.
Fundamentals :
Revenue Growth and Profitability :
Consistent Revenue Growth: Costco has demonstrated steady revenue growth, driven by an expanding membership base, increased same-store sales, and international expansion.
Profit Margins: While Costco operates with low gross margins due to its focus on low pricing, its operating margins benefit significantly from recurring membership income. This structure ensures financial stability even in competitive environments.
Financial Health:
Balance Sheet Strength: Costco has a strong balance sheet with manageable debt levels and ample liquidity. Its ability to generate robust free cash flow supports both operations and shareholder returns.
Dividend Growth: Costco pays a reliable dividend, which has seen consistent growth over the years. Additionally, the company occasionally issues special dividends, highlighting its commitment to returning value to shareholders
Valuation Metrics:
Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio: Costco often trades at a premium valuation compared to peers due to its consistent performance and strong brand equity.
Price-to-Sales (P/S) Ratio: Reflecting its robust revenue generation capabilities, Costco’s P/S ratio is higher than the retail industry average but supported by predictable growth.
And some potential risks : Thin Margins: Costco’s low-margin strategy leaves little room for error, and rising costs (e.g., labor, logistics) could pressure profitability.
Economic Sensitivity: While generally resilient, Costco could face challenges if economic conditions significantly impact discretionary spending or if competition intensifies.
Foreign Exchange Risk: With international operations, Costco is exposed to currency fluctuations that could affect earnings.
Technical analysis : The company has been running on a very healthy uptrend throughought 2024 and has had 4 green earning seasons which gives a positive bullish trend conversion,with analysists focusing on another green earnings in their Q4 report this gives us the necessary confirmations for a up-trend:
Entry has been made at : 921
Target will be above the ATH : 1030
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my community so you can follow up with me in private!
Brief overview ahead of the $AMD earningsToday's NASDAQ:AMD earnings report, due after market close, promises to be intriguing
Historically, the movement after earnings over the last 10 years has averaged around +/-10.2%
Theoretically, NASDAQ:AMD could significantly benefit from the DeepSeek news, given that AMD has integrated the advanced DeepSeek-V3 model into its Instinct MI300X GPUs. However, this development has not yet been reflected in AMD's stock price
A drop in the stock price post-earnings could set up an interesting scenario. The bullish order block between $93-$102 on Chart 1 might offer a prime entry point for a bounce-back
Over the past five years, NASDAQ:AMD 's fundamental ratios shown in Chart 2 have generally looked solid. However, the current P/S ratio of 7.7 could ideally decrease a bit for better valuation
It's also worth noting that other chip stocks like NASDAQ:ASML and $RLCX saw positive movements post-earnings last week, though this doesn't guarantee a similar outcome for NASDAQ:AMD
ARM - Great AI, Great Financials,formulating Ascending ChannelHi guys we would be looking into ARM Holdings - some fundamentals below
Arm Holdings plc (ARM) has demonstrated impressive financial performance, driven by its strategic positioning in the rapidly expanding artificial intelligence (AI) sector. The company's energy-efficient chip designs have become integral to AI applications, leading to significant revenue growth and increased market valuation.
In the fiscal year ending March 31, 2024, Arm reported a 47% year-over-year increase in revenue, reaching $928 million for the fourth quarter. This surge was primarily due to record-high royalty revenues, with the latest Armv9 technology contributing around 20% of these royalties.
Analysts have recognized Arm's strong market position. Raymond James initiated coverage with an "overweight" rating and a price target of $160, citing Arm's significant role in generative AI and its robust ecosystem.
Similarly, Wells Fargo set a price target of $155, highlighting the transition to Arm's latest technology as a key revenue driver.
Arm's inclusion in the PHLX Semiconductor Sector Index reflects its growing prominence in the semiconductor industry. The company's American depositary receipts have surged approximately 150% since its Nasdaq debut, underscoring investor confidence in its growth trajectory.
Overall, Arm's strategic focus on AI and its innovative chip designs have positioned the company for sustained financial success, making it an attractive consideration for investors seeking exposure to the burgeoning AI market.
Technicals - We have formulated a great Ascending Channel, which is looking to capitalize on great earnings which is due to tomorrow -
Entry: 155
Target: 180 - The Target is just below the strong resistance level which is around 190 mark.
Eternal PainWill Virgin Galactic ever provide share holders with anything but pain?
The board is no help as they continue to issue more shares. However; there is a potential bright future.
Currently the equity value of the company is lower than the liquidation value of the firm. The enormous cash burn is slowing as most of the capex necessary for flights is ready to go. Given their booking backlog, once they start a solid rhythm a lot of cash is going to be generated.
Look at their most recent investor presentation. With conservative estimates when (if) regular flights begin one spaceport will generate $500m per annum in EBIT [ ] With profits and any sort of multiple on earnings the future could be galactic.
My hopium induced reason for owning this since $5.90 is one day in the next 3-5 years this could be a legitimate 100+ bagger. Space is the ultimate growth arena and with SpaceX focused on mars and industrial matters, Blue Origin no where to be found, the moat is large and the industry is wide open.
META - Now this is just strangeThis is just my opinion here, but I think META will soon reverse course. Notwithstanding the analyst upgrades, right now to an average of 757.98, the way it accelerated on the upwards trend (~20%) over the past ~5 weeks just seems suspicious. Scratching the surface to see what the company is up to, there seem to be quite interesting developments. For example:
At Facebook they briefly tried to use AI generated fake accounts. Strange why would anyone think that would be good idea, considering the already many fake/bot profiles. I believe this was a move to combat the fact that the market share reached saturation, there aren't that many *real* people creating new accounts.
Even though Zuckerberg "bent the knee" at the US president's inauguration and settled the lawsuit for unfairly banning Trump back in 2021 for $22 M, I still think what Meta did is going to have repercussions. Even though the first amendment right of free speech "does not apply to private companies", it is still discrimination, and I bet some people will take advantage of Trump's win. As the precedent has been set, they could now be hit by other similar lawsuits from other people being banned quite subjectively, suppressing their right to free speech.
Thirdly, checking the uninformative insider transactions, the sell volumes are hard to believe. If price is expected to indeed reach $750, why would Zuckerberg sell, only in January 2025, $366 million worth of shares? (probably peanut money for Zuck, but still, more than a quarter billion is not really "money that jingles"). There were no insider buying since the 19th of November 2024, when the price was 550 per share.
Their metaverse was a costly bet which, at least for the next year or two, seems that will not pay off. I'm saying this solely on the fact the more than 83% of users are below 18 years old, therefore have very little buying power (also 51% of users are below 13 years of age). On the VR space they focused too much on the software, and their hardware is now clearly behind Sony/HTC Vive (and truth be told, the software is really not that impressive either).
Lastly, based on what has happened over the past few years, and how Meta quickly changes their tune, most likely they will receive increased scrutiny both in the US and abroad for their monopolistic behavior and content moderation policies.
All in all, Meta is currently still a tech giant, but I believe right now it's a risky investment. At the time of writing 700 was shortly surpassed again, nevertheless, I think a 600 is a more realistic bet for the next 4 months (end of april 2025). If it were to reach a more realistic valuation of around 420, that would be a buy price for me.
I'm not saying short it, I guess I *am* saying that it's probably not a good idea to buy more... I'm also saying to me it's a bit strange (and maybe I don't have all the pieces of the puzzle, so any comments/feedback would be appreciated). Either way, this is just my opinion on the stock, don't take this as financial advice, but more as entertainment.
All the best and Good Luck!
Alex
TARIFFS Will Lead To Inflation!? NOPE!So many talking heads crying TARIFFS will be inflationary,
but it’s mostly uneducated fear-mongering.
Let’s look at the cold, hard USIRYY and CPI data to figure out the truth behind this.
From March 2018 through September 2019, President Trump had eight waves of tariff announcements on C-H-I-N-A, plus some steel and aluminum ones on Mexico and Canada.
In order to combat these inflation worries, Trump did what he said he was going to do…
DRILL BABY DRILL.
For the first time since 1949, the US would be a net exporter of oil.
We can see there was a quick spike in inflation from stockpiling imports before tariffs were fully implemented, but inflation quickly plummeted nearly in half as the US became a net exporter.
Fast-forward to today, and coincidentally inflation is at 2.9% which is right around where it was when Trump imposed the tariffs during his last presidency. Funny how that works out, eh ;)
Trump has declared the US will DRILL BABY DRILL bigger than ever, which should lead us to believe that this time is NOT different and inflation will go down again.
XRP/USD: Bullish Continuation from Falling Wedge Formation Description:
Current Setup:
I am still holding my trade on XRP/USD, targeting 3.3901. The pair is currently consolidating within a wedge-like structure, a classic falling wedge. This pattern often signals a continuation of the prevailing bullish trend.
Why Bullish Bias?
1. Liquidity Grab: Price swept multiple lows during this consolidation phase, confirming liquidity inducement.
2. Trend Continuation: Higher timeframe analysis aligns with bullish intent, and this wedge structure adds confluence for a push toward my TP.
3. Institutional Order Block: Price perfectly tapped into the 4H institutional order block, validating my entry point at 2.8887.
Expectations:
As the consolidation narrows, I anticipate a breakout to the upside, driving price toward my target. I’ll be monitoring how price reacts near the wedge breakout for confirmation of momentum.
Key Levels:
• Entry: 2.8887
• TP: 3.3901
• SL: 2.6529
What’s Next?
If price maintains bullish momentum after breaking the wedge, it could signal additional opportunities for continuation trades. Stay tuned as I update progress on this trade!
Bless trading!
2025 for Sazgar (My Own Sentiment)2025 may be a Cyclical year for stock selection. Fundamentals are very strong.
as an investor the buying should be as soon as now. Then stick to the technicals and buy more at February End or if the price goes down around 905 .
another buy position will be between 660 - 513 .
It can reach till 1700 - 2000 level at the end of year 2025 ( subject to controlled interest rates ).
SnapChat | SNAP | Long at $11.55NYSE:SNAP - all depends on growth...
While I view this stock as risky into earnings (price gaps on the daily down to the $6.00 range...), SnapChat is still a highly relevant application among youth and is targeting older groups. The valuable data this company has must be staggering. NYSE:SNAP went from revenues of $1.7 billion in fiscal year 2019 to $5.1 through Q3 of 2024. While it is currently operating at a loss per share of -$0.58, the company is expected to return a positive EPS by 2027. Insider selling is currently high, however, and I truly would not be surprised if the stock dipped to fill the gaps (at least into the $8 zone). Regardless, my historical simple moving average lines are starting to flatten out and a change in course for 2025-2026 may be in its future - just stay cautious if the price dips to shake out weak hands.
At $11.55, NYSE:SNAP is in a personal buy zone with room for additional entries if weakness is ahead after earnings.
Targets:
$14.30
$17.00
$21.00
COCOA - We had a good drop, but demand is still high,so we go upHi guys, recently had a rollecoaster with Cocoa , but eventually the price went back and stabilized, now I am coming back to it hence , I see that there has been an ascending channel formulated. The overall technical overview is that the asset is indeed overbought, but at this current stage the fundamentals are out-weighting the technicals, bringing up the prices.
From a fundamental perspective, currently for yet another year we have had weather problems which causes the nearby crop of Cocoa in the Ivory coast which is the biggest exporter will be limited in spring as analysts are predicting. Additionally the weather circumstances have lead to an almost two year hiatus where we have problems with the supply of Cocoa, while the demand remains to be high.
‘Like coffee, chocolate is one of those things consumers are reluctant to give up. Poster items for inelastic demand.’
Entry: 11,203
Target 1: 12,404
Target 2: 13,036
Target 3: 14,026
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my channel so you can follow up with me in private!
Investment Opportunity - Steelcast LimitedSteelcast Limited, established in 1960, has emerged as a prominent player in the global steel casting industry. With its headquarters and manufacturing facility located in Bhavnagar, Gujarat, Steelcast specializes in producing high-quality steel and alloy castings for various sectors, including mining, construction, and transportation. The company has positioned itself as a key participant in the "Make in India" initiative, focusing on both domestic and international markets.
Financial Ratios
As of the latest financial report for FY 2023-24, Steelcast has demonstrated robust financial health:
Revenue: ₹412.51 Crore, reflecting a slight decline of 13.82% from the previous year.
Profit After Tax (PAT): ₹75.00 Crore, indicating a growth of 6.35% year-over-year.
EBITDA: ₹119.88 Crore, showcasing a growth of 3.53% compared to the prior year.
Debt-to-Equity Ratio: Near zero, highlighting a strong balance sheet with minimal debt exposure.
Return on Equity (ROE): Approximately 30.8%, indicating efficient use of shareholder funds.
These ratios suggest that Steelcast is financially stable and capable of generating profits while maintaining a low debt profile.
Future Projects
Steelcast is poised to capitalize on the increasing demand for infrastructure development globally. The company plans to expand its manufacturing capabilities and diversify its product offerings to cater to emerging markets and industries. This strategy aligns with the global trend of increasing infrastructure spending as economies recover from downturns.
Investment Strategy
Investors looking to capitalize on Steelcast's potential should consider the following strategies:
Long-Term Holding: Given Steelcast's strong fundamentals and growth trajectory, a long-term investment approach may yield significant returns as the company continues to expand its market presence.
Value Investing: With its low debt levels and consistent profit growth, Steelcast presents an attractive opportunity for value investors seeking stable companies with solid financial metrics.
Dividend Reinvestment: Although the current dividend yield is modest at 0.83%, reinvesting dividends can enhance total returns over time.
Industry Trends
The steel casting industry is witnessing a resurgence due to increased infrastructure spending worldwide. As countries focus on rebuilding and modernizing their infrastructure, demand for high-quality castings is expected to rise significantly. Additionally, with India's strategic positioning as a manufacturing hub, Steelcast stands to benefit from both domestic and international orders.
Technical Analysis
As of January 29, 2025:
Current Price: ₹855
Volume Trends: There has been a notable increase in trading volume today, indicating heightened investor interest and potential upward momentum in the stock price.
This technical movement suggests that investors may be responding positively to recent developments or overall market conditions favoring Steelcast.
Disclaimer
This blog post contains forward-looking statements regarding Steelcast Limited's future performance and market position. These statements are based on current expectations and involve inherent risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated. Readers are advised not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements and should conduct their own research or consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
DeepSeek AI | TechStocks Crash | NVIDIA down -17%On Monday (yesterday), Wall Street reacted wildly with the release of Chinese AI app DeepSeek.
Throughout the day, roughly 1 Trillion US Dollars was wiped from the stock market, largely from chip and tech stocks suck as Nvidia which caused a larger sell-off.
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman called it an "impressive model" and POTUS Donald Trump said that it should be a "wakeup call for our industries".
The bright side of this, is that there can be some excellent entry points found across the market after the sell-off.
_______________
NASDAQ:NVDA