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Are Recession Fears Still Looming? Gold is Flying Gold has enjoyed an impressive rally over the last 5 weeks - up 6% in the month of October. Historically, gold has always been the quintessential “flight-to-quality” asset. Whenever there are geopolitical or macroeconomic fears permeating financial markets, gold has outperformed. As it stands, December gold is on the brink of retesting the psychologically significant $2,000/oz level. So is the recent price strength evidence of investors’ fears of a looming recession? What other evidence would support this? www.tradingview.com Crude Oil is Crying Crude oil has fallen as sharply as gold has rallied. Since the swing high to 89.85 on October 29th, crude oil prices have fallen more than $13/barrel - settling at $72.90 on Thursday. Price contractions of this magnitude are typically demand driven, which would be another feather in the cap of demand growth fears on behalf of market participants. But, how could you explain the recent performance of the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Russell 2000? In short - interest rates. As we near what is expected to be the end of the Fed’s rate hike cycle, equities have performed very well in anticipation of rates eventually coming down. The primary reason that the Fed would halt rate hikes, or begin lowering rates would come as a result of economic slowdowns. Stocks Are Strong All in all, the American economy has proven resilient. The rally underway in the equity markets has been substantiated by strong economic data, and disinflationary CPI readings. The proverbial “canary in the coal mine” could be consumer credit and lower-than-normal personal savings rates. However, there are very few signs of a robust economic breakdown coming in the immediate future in the United States. Check out CME Group real-time data plans available on TradingView here: www.tradingview.com Disclaimers: CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com *Trade ideas cited above are for illustration only, as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate the fundamental concepts in risk management under the market scenarios being discussed. They shall not be construed as investment recommendations or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products, or services. Futures trading involves substantial risk of loss and may not be suitable for all investors. Trading advice is based on information taken from trade and statistical services and other sources Blue Line Futures, LLC believes are reliable. We do not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects our good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice we give will result in profitable trades. All trading decisions will be made by the account holder. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
COMEX:GC1!
by Blue_Line_Futures
Short Moon Preparing 285 pips long. 286 pips short. Long is in perfect status. Short position is incase for a downtrend. Short position is aligned with MTF. No need for an order block downtrend. Swing High in place. Lighting icon is where the Bull is as it’s moving up with bullish arrows in process. Top white rectangle includes 2 smart money order blocks, trend making its way up. Pin pointed to the value line. Bull has surpassed bottom order block. Long position risk reward ratio pin points to entry which was long ago. Pay attention to short position. As of right now for new traders. No confirmation yet for entry. I’m using short position to confirm entry. While the Bull is still in its BULL-PEN which will brake loose soon. I’ll update when entry is ready. Worst scenario, if entry is made now, you’re still safe. When Bull brakes out, I’ll update. This is usually when traders join the trade. I’m eye balling smart money as well.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by The_ForexX_Mindset
49
Understanding GDP Growth: A Key Indicator of Economic HealthIntroduction Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth is a crucial economic indicator that provides insight into the overall health and performance of a country's economy. As a comprehensive measure of a nation's economic activity, GDP growth reflects the value of all goods and services produced within a country over a specific period. In this article, we will explore the significance of GDP growth, its components, and the impact it has on various aspects of a nation's well-being. Definition and Components of GDP GDP is the total value of all goods and services produced within a country's borders in a given time frame. It is commonly calculated quarterly and annually. There are three main ways to measure GDP: the production approach, the income approach, and the expenditure approach. Each approach provides a unique perspective on economic activity. Production Approach: This method calculates GDP by adding up all the value-added at each stage of production. It includes the value of intermediate goods and services to avoid double counting. Income Approach: GDP can also be measured by summing up all the incomes earned by individuals and businesses within a country, including wages, profits, and taxes minus subsidies. Expenditure Approach: This approach calculates GDP by summing up all the expenditures made in the economy. It includes consumption, investment, government spending, and net exports (exports minus imports). Importance Here are some of the primary reasons why GDP growth is considered important: Economic Health - GDP growth is a fundamental measure of a country's economic health. A positive growth rate indicates that the economy is expanding, producing more goods and services over time. This growth is essential for creating jobs, increasing incomes, and improving overall living standards. Job Creation - A growing economy often leads to increased employment opportunities. As businesses expand to meet rising demand for goods and services, they hire more workers, reducing unemployment rates and contributing to a more robust labor market. Income Generation - GDP growth is linked to the overall income generated within a country. As the economy expands, incomes generally rise, providing individuals and households with more financial resources. This, in turn, contributes to an improvement in the standard of living. Investment Climate - Investors and businesses often use GDP growth as a critical factor in assessing the attractiveness of a country for investment. A growing economy suggests potential opportunities for businesses to thrive, encouraging both domestic and foreign investments. Government Policy - Policymakers use GDP growth data to formulate economic policies. High GDP growth rates may lead to expansionary policies aimed at sustaining economic momentum, while low or negative growth rates may prompt policymakers to adopt measures to stimulate economic activity. Consumer and Business Confidence - Positive GDP growth contributes to increased confidence among consumers and businesses. When people perceive a growing economy, they are more likely to spend money, and businesses are more inclined to invest and expand. International Competitiveness - A country with a strong and growing economy is often viewed as more competitive on the global stage. A robust GDP growth rate enhances a nation's economic influence and can attract international trade and investment. Government Revenues - Higher GDP growth rates can lead to increased tax revenues for the government. This additional income can be used to fund public services, infrastructure projects, and social programs, contributing to the overall development of the nation. Debt Management - Economic growth can help manage a country's debt burden. A growing economy typically generates more revenue, making it easier for the government to service its debt without relying excessively on borrowing. Poverty Reduction - Sustainable GDP growth is often associated with poverty reduction. As the economy expands, opportunities for employment and income generation increase, helping to lift people out of poverty. Conclusion In conclusion, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth stands as a cornerstone in understanding and evaluating a nation's economic well-being. Through its comprehensive measurement of all goods and services produced within a country, GDP growth provides valuable insights into economic health, job creation, income generation, and various other facets that collectively contribute to the overall prosperity of a nation. The three approaches to measuring GDP—production, income, and expenditure—offer distinct perspectives, ensuring a holistic understanding of economic activity. The importance of GDP growth cannot be overstated, as it serves as a fundamental gauge of a country's economic trajectory and influences crucial decision-making processes at both the individual and policy levels. The positive correlation between GDP growth and job creation underscores the role of a thriving economy in fostering employment opportunities and contributing to a robust labor market. Additionally, the impact on income generation translates into an improved standard of living for individuals and households, reflecting the tangible benefits of economic expansion. Investors and businesses keenly observe GDP growth as a key indicator when evaluating the potential for investment. Government policymakers, armed with GDP data, craft strategies to either sustain economic momentum or stimulate activity, underscoring the pivotal role GDP growth plays in shaping economic policies. The ripple effects of GDP growth extend to consumer and business confidence, international competitiveness, government revenues, and effective debt management. A growing economy not only instills confidence but also attracts global trade and investment, positioning the nation favorably on the international stage. Perhaps most importantly, sustainable GDP growth is intricately linked to poverty reduction. As the economy expands, opportunities for employment and income generation increase, contributing to the uplifting of individuals and communities from poverty. In essence, the study of GDP growth goes beyond mere economic statistics; it serves as a compass guiding nations towards prosperity, inclusive development, and an improved quality of life for their citizens. Recognizing the multi-dimensional impact of GDP growth enables policymakers, businesses, and individuals to make informed decisions that foster long-term economic well-being and societal advancement.
FRED:GDPEducation
by financialflagship
$ALGO Supports And Resistance Zones - TIME TO BUYEURONEXT:ALGO Is an asset I have a lot of history with, Currently, it is trading well below what it realistically should be, considering the overall state of the crypto market right now. In this Chart I have not only added updated support / Resistance and target zones, I have left the previous Levels up that I charted in 2021 The more relevant data to current trades will be the levels established at the lower parts of the chart. Namely, the price points that follow. Here are my levels to watch out for, Here are my recommended options for entry. You can wait for a breakout of resistance zone 1, wait for a breakdown to the support level ($.1230), or enter right now and risk a breakdown while still in the trade. At this level I do believe it is a more beneficial move to either enter now or wait until a break of resistance, I don't necessarily see us dipping to support unless the overall market declines over the next few days. Here are the levels to watch. Set alerts are applicable prices. Support / Entry level: $.1230 Resistance Zone 1: $.1405-$.1520 Target 1: $.2390 +97% Target 2: $.3610 +190% Target 3: $.5070 +320%
Long
by Helios_Capital_Investment
BTC / 1H / 27 OctoberI predict a three-wave Elliott wave pattern for Bitcoin's movement. The first wave moved towards the bullish target after the 2-day correction. The second wave needs 4 or 5 days to complete its correction and move towards the end of the third wave. The bottom of the wave seems to be $38,000 This pattern shows itself on the 1-hour time frame and is just a prediction based on the three-wave pattern on the same time frame. I have put the daily or 4-hour time frame forecast in other analyzes on my page
Long
by zolfeyar
The World of ETFsIn the vast landscape of investments, Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) stand as a unique bridge, merging the best of both stocks and mutual funds. While traditional managed funds pool investors' money into assets managed by professionals, ETFs introduce a compelling twist, allowing for the flexibility of stock trading. Unlike managed funds, ETFs are akin to stocks, enabling investors to buy and sell them at any time during market hours . This accessibility aligns ETFs more closely with the dynamic nature of stocks, catering to the on-demand needs of modern investors. However, just like any investment, ETFs come with their nuances and risks. Diversification, often touted as an investment safety net, does mitigate some risks but can't fully shield against market volatility. Different ETFs carry varying levels of risk, making understanding these distinctions vital before investing. Additionally, the past performance of ETFs isn't always a reliable indicator of future results, underlining the importance of comprehensive research and sound decision-making. Bitcoin ETFs: The Gateway to Crypto Investments In recent years, the advent of Bitcoin ETFs has added an intriguing chapter to the investment narrative. These financial instruments enable investors to engage with Bitcoin's price movements without directly owning the cryptocurrency. Bitcoin ETFs, traded on conventional stock exchanges, provide an accessible avenue for traditional investors to venture into the crypto sphere. Within the realm of Bitcoin ETFs, there are two primary types: spot and futures-based ETFs: Spot Bitcoin ETFs offer direct exposure to Bitcoin's real-time market price, involving the actual cryptocurrency. On the other hand, futures-based ETFs utilize Bitcoin futures contracts, enabling speculation on the asset's future price without owning the underlying asset. The interest in Bitcoin ETFs can be attributed to several factors. First and foremost, they offer unparalleled ease of access. Trading on mainstream stock exchanges simplifies the process, allowing investors to leverage existing brokerage accounts without delving into the complexities of crypto exchanges. Moreover, the regulatory oversight accompanying ETFs adds a layer of security, easing concerns related to fraud and market manipulation prevalent in unregulated crypto markets. Additionally, the introduction of Bitcoin ETFs signifies a significant shift, indicating the integration of cryptocurrencies into traditional financial systems. While the United States has yet to approve a spot Bitcoin ETF, several Bitcoin futures-linked ETFs have gained regulatory approval , broadening investment horizons. Beyond Bitcoin: Exploring the Crypto ETF Spectrum While Bitcoin has seized the spotlight, the crypto ETF landscape is not confined to it alone. Outside the United States, various Cryptocurrency Exchange-Traded Products (ETPs) encompass a spectrum of digital assets beyond Bitcoin. These offerings enable diversification within the digital asset space, catering to investors keen on exploring a range of cryptocurrencies. In the United States, ETFs linked to cryptocurrencies like Ether also exist, albeit in the futures-related domain. Although spot-based crypto ETFs are yet to make their debut, the evolving regulatory landscape and market demand may pave the way for these in the future. As the financial world continues its digital transformation, understanding ETFs and their crypto counterparts becomes paramount. By bridging the gap between traditional stocks and the dynamic crypto sphere, ETFs empower investors with newfound opportunities and avenues for portfolio growth. Stay tuned for the evolving of crypto ETFs, where the world of investments meets the future of finance.
Education
by Vestinda
Will Companies Like Square (Block) Ever Make a Comeback?Ah yes... I remember the good ol' days of Square (now known as Block). It was one my best investments in my short career as a trader/investor. Way back when, the story was quite obvious: they had created the best solution for small businesses to sell goods & services either in a store or online. It was fast and effortless. The rise of Block, and subsequent drop, has been something to marvel at. I had sold my position many moons ago, but it's remained on my watchlist because I like the company and what it stands for. Some people have given it a very hard time for its rebranding to Block, its new logo, and mission. However, considering that they are payment experts, I think it's notable and worth watching. Nevertheless, can the stock really make a comeback? The chart is horrendous. One factor contributing to this downward trend is the significant acquisition of Afterpay, which required a substantial amount of cash and stock, impacting Block's balance sheet. I still have NO idea why they paid this much to acquire an average company. I guess the hype and FOMO of BNPL really got to them. In August 2021, Block announced its intent to acquire Afterpay, a prominent "buy now, pay later" fintech company. I think the story made sense - it gave them the capability to add their own credit network. However, the sheer size of the transaction was just bonkers. Block currently has a market cap of $28 billion. BUT, they acquired AfterPay for $29 billion! Ouch... the company is now worth less than their recent buyout. It's important to note that such significant acquisitions often take time to yield the intended benefits. The share price decline may be partially attributed to investor impatience and a lack of immediate clarity on how Block plans to integrate Afterpay into its broader ecosystem. The question is simple: will AfterPay ever yield the payout that Block intended it to have? If the answer is anything but "yes - it's happening" there's no reason to trade or invest in this any further. HOWEVER, if there are glimpses that show, just maybe, Block made a smart acquisition, adding a new layer to their payment network that is only just starting, then the return to highs is not far-fetched at all. The trade is simple: watch to see how Block continues to integrate AfterPay, and, it is starts to work, it's worth evaluating further over 1-3 year comeback in share price.
NYSE:SQ
by scheplick
7
Modeling a shift in SRAS and AD over the past year, I think. I used the U.S PCE YoY as the base, I then overlaid the M1 YoY and Real GDP YoY. I used the beginning of this years as a reference point as that is roughly when the fed began increasing interest rates. As the price level declines demonstrated by a decline in the money supply and PCE YoY declining Real GDP YoY is seen increasing To my understanding this visualizes how SRAS and AD have shifted to the left over the past year
ECONOMICS:USPCEPIACEducation
by MostlyFXcharts
Saudi Aramco Stock on Tadawul ExchangeSaudi Aramco made more than 94,5 billions in profits this year. This is a good order to win the situation. After last year losses this ship is going to deliver. As you can see on the presented chart, we have prepared more complex strategy for this Asset. Alpha+Beta is when interests of passive and active managers follow the same road. Sigma stayed the same. Theta, also the same. Omega+Kappa is when interests of minority investors are divided by conflict of interests for some reason. Why we think this is truth, and not a hogwash? Well, truth in numbers, try to not associate yourself with this, calculate it yourself. Good luck with Saudi Aramco Stock, investors.
TADAWUL:2223Long
by UnknownUnicorn462803
Lumn in Accumulation Phase ?Despite all the negative news around LUMN, negative cash flow, negative EBITDA and finally negative outlook from market analysts, LUMN remains a pioneer in data infrastructure and fiber provider in the US market + the market cap ($1.5B) is far below it is total equity fair value ( MUN:10B ). in other words, the fair price to the current situation is around 7 time the current stock price with negative outlook, this can be reduced by 50% which means 3,5 * 1,4 == around $5. (this is my personal analysis taking the worst financials case of LUMN for the next 4 quarters). The weekly and monthly charts show continues sell off with possible accumulation phase just started, in the coming months this can be confirmed if we see price stabilization around $1 and volume remains high. As per Fintel data, the institutional ownership percentage is dropping for the (at least) second quarter in a row. This is an opportunity to target 2026/2027 at least, less then 5% of the capital to be allocated. return may exceed 1000% (not guaranteed in shorter term), loss of 100% is highly possible if the new CEO fails to save the company + worst debt with higher yields. Position open, target price $10. Good luck everyone :)
NYSE:LUMNLong
by LongShort2021
UBER - ATH likely in 2024 I must admit despite all the TA I have tried with this name, profit has eluded me because most upward action has bee around ER. I have tried not hold big positions into ER, but this name has proved me wrong last three times. Bounced off of 60 VMA nicely an caught fire. another test of 45 or flag above would set this up nicely for 60. despite sluggish volume, this has help up really well. Suggests institutional ownership is high and when market conditions improve, this is likely to blast off. No position
NYSE:UBERLong
by CheelooTrader
DNOPY discounted on strong performanceDNOPY is my newest OTC long-term stocks. The company has a great organic expansion plan for their grocery stores in Poland. They only expand when a store has around 5000 individual customers, this allows them to avoid taking on huge debt by expanding appropriately instead of aggressively. They have strong financials in general and a logical management team. I like to have single stock exposure to international areas that have familiar economies. Poland does have higher inflation than America currently but the currency risk should be limited as the inflation seems to be dropping. The stock has a decent pull back recently allowing an opportunity for those who are interested.
OTC:DNOPYLong
by Apollo_21mil
Halfway thereWe're halfway through the year of 2023. Mega Cap earnings season begins in July. The 8 largest companies by market capitalization are AAPL, MSFT, GOOGL, AMZN, NVDA, TSLA, BRK.B, META. Here's an 8 split frame, 6 month chart with financial data. AAPL 3.05 T +49% YTD Earnings 8/3/23 MSFT 2.53 T +42% YTD Earnings 7/25/23 GOOGL 1.53 T +36% YTD Earnings 7/25/23 AMZN 1.34 T +55% YTD Earnings 7/27/23 NVDA 1.04 T +189% YTD Earnings 8/23/23 TSLA 830 B +113% YTD Earnings 8/19/23 BRK.B 745 B +10% YTD Earnings 8/7/23 META 735 B +138% YTD Earnings 7/26/23 Revenue = The total amount of money brought in by a company's operations, measured over a set amount of time. EPS = Is calculated by subtracting any preferred dividends from a company's net income and dividing that amount by the number of shares outstanding. PE = The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is the ratio for valuing a company that measures its current share price relative to its per-share earnings. PB = The Price-to-book value (P/B) is the ratio of the market value of a company's shares (share price) over its book value of equity. PS = The price-to-sales P/S ratio is calculated by dividing the stock price by the underlying company's sales per share. FCF = Free cash flow (FCF) represents the cash that a company generates after accounting for cash outflows to support operations and maintain its capital assets. Cash to debt ratio = The cash flow-to-debt ratio is the ratio of a company's cash flow from operations to its total debt. A ratio of 1 or greater is best, whereas a ratio of less than 1 shows that a firm isn't generating sufficient cash flow to meet its debt obligations. PEG ratio = The price/earnings to growth ratio (PEG ratio) is a stock's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio divided by the growth rate of its earnings for a specified time period. Generally, a PEG below 1 means a stock is undervalued. Current ratio = The current ratio is Current Assets divided by Current Liabilities. It's a liquidity ratio that measures a company's ability to pay short-term obligations or those due within one year. In general, a current ratio of 2 or higher is considered good, and anything lower than 2 is a cause for concern.
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by Options360
19
Snap: Is the Nightmare Finally Ending?Snap has struggled since growth stocks started crumbling two years ago, but now some traders may see chances of a recovery. The first pattern on today’s chart is the potential basing pattern that began in August. Its bottom was slightly above the May trough. That could suggest that selling pressure is waning in the social-media stock. Second are the pair of high-volume candles on October 16 and 25. The first came after The Verge reported that SNAP was setting ambitious internal targets for monetization and engagement. The second followed better-than-expected quarterly results. At that time, investors were nervous about global tensions hurting growth. But if those worries fade, traders could target the third pattern: a large bearish gap that followed weak quarterly results in July. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more. Important Information TradeStation Securities, Inc., TradeStation Crypto, Inc., and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., all operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. TradeStation Crypto, Inc. offers to self-directed investors and traders cryptocurrency brokerage services. It is neither licensed with the SEC or the CFTC nor is it a Member of NFA. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products, and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Please click here for further important information explaining what this means. This content is for informational and educational purposes only. This is not a recommendation regarding any investment or investment strategy. Any opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not represent the views or opinions of TradeStation or any of its affiliates. Investing involves risks. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options, futures, or digital assets); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Before trading any asset class, first read the relevant risk disclosure statements on the Important Documents page, found here: www.tradestation.com .
NYSE:SNAP
by TradeStation
Supply Shock 2.0 - Before March 2024 Bitcoin[ Taking a break on this, but still traditional finance institutions refuse to release the data they have on the supply situation on Bitcoin meaning there's a big multiplier on every $1 that enters Bitcoin. I always do Fundamentals on-chain before drawing macro trends on anything, Bitcoin would have to be the best asset for this as we can see everything on-chain unlike Gold or Stocks and Bonds to the exact unit. Bitcoin cannot I repeat Bitcoin cannot remain under $200,000 if less than 2% of institutions allocate to Bitcoin. The supply is simply just not there. ON-CHAIN DATA AS OF POST Bitcoin: Total Supply Held by Long-Term Holders 14,850,716 BTC (Lost and holders who will not sell) Bitcoin: Balance in Miner Wallets - All Miners 1,830,337 BTC Bitcoin: Balance on Exchanges (Total) - All Exchanges 2,318,356 BTC (I believe a lot of this balance is already allocated to the Spot ETF's so again it will be moved once launched and not sold) End
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by FederalXBT
SOL->AVAX Rotation trade, Point of maximum opportunityAVAX is now in the historic low of its range vs SOL and I've no information that Solana has somehow defeated Avalanche in terms of its value proposition, so it would make complete sense for there to be a rotation between the two platform tokens. If you need fundamentals to drive a bullish position on AVAX, look at forthcoming blockchain games Shrapnel and Off the Grid, both very likely to be the biggest games in Web 3.0, also Avalanche appear to be courting RWAs and are said to appear in every conversation about asset tokenisation between the Big 4, see also Bank of America report on this. All looking very good for Avalanche.
BINANCE:AVAXUSDLong
by PipE__Dreams__
2