Breaking Point Ahead for AUDUSD? Eyeing a Bullish ShiftAnalysis:
The AUDUSD pair has showcased a distinct bearish trend over the past few weeks on a weekly timeframe, adhering closely to a descending trendline. This bearish momentum has notably left a trail of untested liquidity above the current price level, indicating potential upside opportunities.
As we observe the price action closely, AUDUSD is inching towards a critical juncture where it threatens to break above this prevailing trendline. Such a breakout could signal a significant shift in market sentiment, from bearish to bullish, opening the door for long positions.
Key Observations:
Trendline Resistance: The descending trendline that has capped the price action could soon be breached. A weekly close above this line may validate the bullish outlook.
Liquidity Above: There's a considerable amount of untested liquidity above the current market price, suggesting potential targets for a bullish run.
Market Sentiment: The potential trend reversal is not just a technical pattern but could also reflect a shift in underlying market dynamics.
Growth
ESPR a penny and medtech stock LONGESPR on the 120-minute chart is surging with momentum from an FDA approval for a new
cholestrol and lipid medication which will be an alternative to the at statin class which has
side effects and can cause diabetes. I am familar with a few of the professionals on the
science advisory board they are researchers and academics of the highest claiber. The chart
shows price testing and getting support from the mean VWAP and a little bit of resistance
from the first upper VWAP line. I have added to my existing position at the consolidation at
VWAP. I am well informed on ESPR market prospects; this could be disruptive.
The dual time frame RSI of Chris Moody has curled up and validates the idea. My interim
target is the double top of this past winter. I do expect increasing volume in time with the
price action that follows.
Disclaimer This a hot penny stock highly volatile - you could lose on this trade. Do not trade
with money you cannot afford to lose. You must manage the trade well to realize profit.
There are options if the put to call ratio is rising big money is pushing a reversal
THE BEAST UNLEASHED over my GREEN PLOT WAVETHE BEAST HAS BEEN UNLEASHED. NOW MAKING THE MOVE TO DESTROY IDEAS CLAIMING FOR A BTC CRASH, by using HALVING and other methods saying: BTC will fall below $50k to Zero.
A fast rapid spike will come down a little for a pullback. My scalper reads, nowhere near the end.
THE BULL IS NOW TAKING VENGEANCE INTO ITS HORNS.
$KLSE-INFOTEC: Intrinsic Value (based on IMPEGFS) INDEX:KLSE -INFOTEC
Integrated Magic PEG Formula Scores (IMPEGFS) @ Quoted Stock Price RM 0.81 (the higher the better)
= √
= √
= 2.8400426922
Intrinsic Value (based on IMPEGFS)
= IMPEGFS × Quoted Stock Price
= 2.8400426922 × 0.81
= 2.8400426922 × 0.81
= RM 2.30
or
= √ × EPS
= √(58.85×32) × 0.053
= RM 2.30
XAUUSD (GOLD) 📈 Long idea ✔Gold is acting like it does not react any news. All the indicators are out :)
Generally, in the market like this, a commodity takes his way up to the moon. Every time we see a top price level that it will return downward does not return. So the market now is this kind of market.
Previous price reaction zone is shown as Fibonacci golden zone and the next Fib zone (0) is at the 2319 level.
The price action, for me, will take the short then long in future days.
Good luck!!!🙌🏽😎❤
#Gold #XAUUSD
DELL leaps out of the shadows of SMCI LONGDELL has risen and is now at its all time highs. Apparently, its server intrastructure business
this thriving. It is chasing SMCI and does not have the high valuation ratios that make
SMCI look overextended. The indicators document the up trending price action. A price
forecast algorithm has DELL rising into a high pivot on April 18th with 35% upside to that
forecasted pivot. I am adding to my DELL position here for the anticipated two week trade.
RBLX - 25 R:R Trade opportunity incoming. + Massive Daily H&STapering Tapering Tapering!
Looking for a buying continuation activation and breakout of our controlled selling algos.
If you look on the daily chart as well, you'll see a massive (beautiful) Inverse H&S pattern forming.
Happy Trading :)
- TraderDaddyOG
Thought on Joel Greenblatt's ROIC:E/P approachINDEX:KLSE -INFOTEC
youtu.be/GUV3GHUePRk?si=lHLAJSyDMlfbbbzb
Joel Greenblatt has decrypted the secret of valuation, that there are 2 ultimate variables in determining the intrinsic value, namely ROIC (Return on Invested Capital) and E/P (the inverse is P/E).
This insight is in line with the essences enshrined in Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger's valuation mental models :
1. “Investors should remember their scorecard isn't computed using the Olympic-diving method:
Degree-of-difficulty doesn’t count.
If you're right abt a business whose value is largely dependent on a single key factor that is both easy to understand & enduring, the payoff is the same as if you should correctly analyze an investment alternative characterized by many constantly shifting & complex variables.
- Warren Buffett -
2. “The higher return a business can earn on its capital, the more cash it can produce, the more value is created. Over time, it is hard for investors to earn returns that are much higher than the underlying business’ return on invested capital.”
- Warren Buffett -
3. “Over the long term, it’s hard for a stock to earn a much better return than the business which underlies it earns. If the business earns six percent on capital over forty years and you hold it for that forty years, you’re not going to make much difference than a six percent return – even if you originally buy it at a huge discount. Conversely, if a business earns eighteen percent on capital over twenty or thirty years, even if you pay an expensive looking price, you’ll end up with one hell of a result.”
- Charlie Munger -
Which approach do you prefer?
Joel Greenblatt's ROIC:E/P approach or Peter Lynch's PEG approach?
Is it possible to merge Joel Greenblatt's ROIC:E/P approach and Peter Lynch's PEG approach into a single formula?
Kindly figure it out, it's worth to do so.
$KLSE-INFOTEC: Thought: Profit Per EmployeeINDEX:KLSE -INFOTEC
Wishfully the Gross Profit per Employee could return, stage by stage, to RM 740k for FYE2024 & RM 848k for FYE 2025 with ever increasing Revenues.
With RM 740k Gross Profit per Employee, that would translate to around RM 370k Net Profit per Employee.
With RM 848k Gross Profit per Employee , that would translate to around RM 424k Net Profit per Employee.
Or more, if the regional subsidiaries expansion in China, India, Singapore and Japan can bear more growth fruit in Revenues with the recent high GPM and NPM maintained.
$KLSE-INFOTEC FYE2023 Number of workforce (Employees)INDEX:KLSE -INFOTEC
Number of workforce (Employees):
26 permanent + 5 contract
= 31 employees in total
(dated LPD 23 May 2022, reported in IPO Prospectus dated 20 June 2022, page 132)
60 employees in total
(dated 31 May 2023, reported in NST News).
The number of employees have been doubled in a year, indicating rapid and aggressive APAC regional expansions have taken place.
Important point emphasized in the NST news: The team is still growing in line with its expansion drive.
That would translate into that more employees are expected onboard driven by continual business growth and in turn additional employees will push growth further on.
$KLSE-INFOTEC FYE 2023 Segments' GPM StudiesINDEX:KLSE -INFOTEC
FYE 2023 Segments' GPM Studies:
IT Infrastructure Solutions Segment GPM
= (19,142÷43,551)×(43,145÷43,551)
= 43.54%
Cybersecurity Solutions Segment GPM
= (990÷2,994)×(2,990÷2,994)
= 33.02%
Managed IT Services and Other IT
Services Segment GPM (Recurring)
= (16,686÷22,378)×(20,563÷22,378)
= 68.52%
Trading of Ancillary Hardware and Software Segment GPM
= (935÷5,374)×(5,231÷5,374)
= 16.94%
Pretty Impressive!
Can ROKU run before earnings? LONGROKU on a daily chart is sitting on support in consolidation since the trend down after the
last earnings report. In three weeks there will be another report. The prior report showed
negative earnings but it did beat the estimates while revenues were a mild surprise. I expect
ROKU has done some belt trimming to try to get expenses decreased while growing revenues.
My long trade here is from thin support but targets the Fibonacci level of a retracement
back to recent high pivots. The target is 80 representing 30% upside. A stop loss will be
initially set at 61 but then raised 3.5% every time price rises 3% to gradually tighten it.
I will take a good part of the hopeful profits off the table a few days before the upcoming
report.
Navigating Market Waters: Embracing Flexibility on US30In trading, adaptability is key. Reflect on the journey navigating the volatile waves of US30. While some trades may slip away, embracing the fluidity of the market ensures resilience and growth. Let's explore the importance of flexibility and seizing opportunities amidst market turbulence.
Infoline Tec Group @KLSE: Revenue FYE 2024Forecast by APEX SECINFOTEC@KLSE
Apex Securities
academy.apexetrade.com/filestore/research-pdf/20240226_Infotec_4QFY23_Results.pdf
Revenue FYE 2024Forecast by Apex Securities
= 120.5M
Assuming the Net Profit Margin remains at 26.8%:
Net Profit FYE 2024 Forecast
= 120.5×0.268
= 32.294M
$KLSE-INFOTEC: EV/EBIT ÷ EBIT Growth MultipleINDEX:KLSE -INFOTEC
EV/EBIT ÷ EBIT Growth Multiple
EV@RM0.805
= 0.805×363,229+389+119+407+107-10,780-8,445
= 274,196.345
EBIT
= 25,792+38
= 25,830
EV/EBIT
= 274,196.345÷25,830
= 10.6154217964
EBIT Growth
= 100×(25,830÷16,683-1)
= 54.8282682971%
EV/EBIT ÷ EBIT Growth Multiple
= 10.6154217964÷54.8282682971
= 0.1936122027 Extremely Low, Extremely Undervalued