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Amazon.com Could Be Struggling After Uncertain GuidanceAmazon.com may be showing signs of weakness after another post-earnings drop. The first pattern on today’s chart is the rising trendline along the lows of March and April. AMZN fell to that support last week after issuing so-so guidance and has remained there since. That could make some traders expect follow-through to the downside. Next, the e-commerce giant also slid after its two previous reports in October and February. Third, MACD has turned negative. That may suggest its short-term trend is now bearish. Finally, AMZN’s April peak represented a lower quarterly high compared with February. That contrasts with the broader Nasdaq-100, which made higher highs in April and May. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more. Important Information TradeStation Securities, Inc., TradeStation Crypto, Inc., and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., all operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. TradeStation Crypto, Inc. offers to self-directed investors and traders cryptocurrency brokerage services. It is neither licensed with the SEC or the CFTC nor is it a Member of NFA. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products, and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Please click here for further important information explaining what this means. This content is for informational and educational purposes only. This is not a recommendation regarding any investment or investment strategy. Any opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not represent the views or opinions of TradeStation or any of its affiliates. Investing in cryptocurrencies involves significant risks. Please click here for TradeStation Crypto’s risk disclosures on investing and trading in cryptocurrencies. Investing involves risks. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options, futures, or digital assets); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Before trading any asset class, first read the relevant risk disclosure statements on the Important Documents page, found here: www.tradestation.com .
NASDAQ:AMZN
by TradeStation
Undervalued GrowthCOHR caught my attention for a few reasons. 1st. It is ≈11% of total holding of Scion Asset Mngt holdings, one of the best performing funds since 2008. 2. Technical: SP trading in demand zone, appearing to possibly be in process of forming a double bottom- confirmed on 3 day rule, vol, etc. passing 46.46 area. 3. Valuation: Currently at steep discount to competitors despite continual growth in earnings. significantly below sector by almost every metric... EV/EBITDA TTM 16% below; FWD- 40% below, P/S TTM/ FWD- 63/65% respectively, Price/ CF- 79% below. Trading about 50% below 5 year PB and 55% 5 year P/Cash flow. 4. Growth: Rev Growth YoY 177% above sector; FWD-116% above sector, significantly above sector by almost every metric besides ROE.
NYSE:COHRLong
by Jrussell86
1
Free Market vs The FedAs of late, the vast majority of us probably have been hearing about "too big to fail" or " a free market vs. a central market" What does all of this mean?" Well, let's go over some of the basic stuff. As in some of my prior posts, it is important to understand that the "Fed" does NOT control mortgage rates or loan rates from your local banks. Let me repeat that the Fed does NOT control mortgage rates or consumer loan rates So now you might ask yourself why the Fed raises rates matter? Well, that's a great question. Because, in short, it should not matter if we were in a free market. Well, sadly, we are not in a free market. We are in a centralized market with different flavors available to us. "Ah, but Guy, you just contradicted yourself by saying the fed does not control mortgage rates, and now you're saying we're in a controlled market rabel rabel rabel " Let me explain... The Fed cannot have any direct contact with "average" consumers; it's currently illegal FOR NOW . Now, everyone, the biggest fear with CBDC is a rightfully placed fear. And we will discuss this in a separate post. So, view the Federal Reserve's manipulation of the economy as a game of pool (billiards) or snooker; what have you. In billiards (for the purpose of the post, billiards = pool), the player cannot directly hit the numbered balls with the stick (cue). Instead, one must use a medium to engage the cue ball. So, to pocket your balls, you must have a small degree of understanding of physics to transfer energy from you to the stick to the cue ball to the desired ball into the desired pocket. The Fed (cue) is the same way. They set the FFR (cue ball), which then goes to the regional and big banks (numbered balls), which then sink into the economy (pocket) So, how does this work? To explain that, you need to understand how a bank makes money. (The Following is highly watered down for simplicity's sake) A bank does not make money because you have an account with them. On the other hand, a bank makes money BECAUSE you have an account with them. So when you use your local JPM, WFC, or C bank :) as a piggy bank, they pay you an interest rate of something like a percent of a percent; however, it's still considered a liability to the bank because that's cash flow going to you from them even if it's a penny a year. So, how can they make money then? The fractional Reserve system. Mike Maloney debates this, and I'm super interested in hearing his thoughts on this... another post for another time. What is the Fractional Reserve System? Basically, for every dollar you put into your account, the bank can lend out 10$ It's basically in place because you're not running to the bank to close your account. So, they can do this. When you put money into your account, it's already out the door into someone else's pocket in the form of a loan by the time you place your wallet in your pocket/ purse what have you. And that's probably too slow for the bank. (velocity of money) Well, that bank's balance sheet of physical liquid cash probably only is enough to pay the onsite staff hourly wage the bank needs more. so they have one of two options 1. go to the Fed and borrow money at the FFR 2. go to the repo market and borrow from another bank by offering t-bills and bonds as collateral. (shadow banking) Typically they go with number one because it's cheaper. The vast majority of times they use the repo market is for cash now! or if their risk management department is trying to make some quick cash off the bond market. (shadow banking is outside the purview of this post, and I'm still learning about it. I will post about it later) ( the fed lining up their billiard shot) So, the Fed has decided the US economy needs to grow more... (the Fed hitting the cue ball) So, lets say the Fed makes the FFR 0% (hypothetically LOL) ( the cue ball hits the numbered ball) So your local JPM will go to the Fed and take out a loan at 0%, so they need to lend this money out and make money, and make their, JPM's rate, interest rate on that money 3% LOL! (The numbered ball sinks into the desired pocket) you the consumer want to go out and buy something you can afford on your 9-5 salary. So you go to the bank and qualify for a loan at their 3% rate to be amortized over 10-30 years, and the economy grows. If that sounds familiar its coincidence LOL However, in a free market how it would work is the loan system would be heavily dependent on the local economy and local wage potential. How? If a bank is set up in an area with low-income earning potential, then the market will tell the bank exactly how much they can charge on money. Example: let's say the Risk Manager at your local WFC decides he is conservative and makes the DTI Ratio for loans 30%. That means the minimum someone must make for a 200,000$ loan is around 60,000$. If the local median income is 45,000$, no one can afford a 200,000$ loan. The maximum loan amount they can make is around 150,000$. So, for the bank to grow, it either needs to up the DTI requirements, it needs to be content with its current earnings and hope the area grows or wages increase, or it can close down and move. Now where the free market comes into play is when WFC is having their DTI at 30%, JPM is at 40%, and C is at 60%, (free market remember) in the same area as the example The following happens: WFC sees their default rate is less than 10% JPM sees thier default rate at 40% C sees thier default rate in the upper 80%. So, what this means is that the market is telling WFC they are leaving money on the table but are playing it safe. Because less people qualify for the loan JPM has almost found the sweet spot. 40% of their loans are in default, but more than half are paid on time. could use some minor tweaking but solid none the less. (With my risk tolerance, 30-35% default is a good number depending on loan size.) C is in trouble because they have lent out too much, and people can't afford that much money in the area. So in a free market, WFC will fail in the area because they're not seeing enough volume, and C will fail because they're seeing too much volume. which leaves JPM to buy up both of the failing banks and grow bigger LOL!
OANDA:SPX500USD
by ARegularGuy
[Watch] Tesla versus Toyota 0️⃣2️⃣| January 19, 2024What's going on, Team NASDAQ:TSLA ? I am back with a new video and review of my Tesla Map 2022-2036 Let's get you to 1st base first, then blue skies and a ton of fresh air await all of us. And remember... Above All and All in All, God Bless America...! Risk Disclaimer: 1️⃣Past Performance is not indicative of any future performance. 2️⃣Trading and Investing are risky. Only trade and invest with resources and capital; you can afford to lose, and it will not change your lifestyle or family situation if you do not make the returns you wanted or if things go wrong and you lose everything. 3️⃣I can and will have a position in MARA anytime because I like the stock and company. 4️⃣Never go All-In. You do not have to buy with your rent money; you do not have to believe with all your savings because NO one is asking you to do so. This video is a video log, a journal, and a path to share a full Tesla map that anyone can use to measure doable upside and full risk potential.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by josericaurte.jaen
The Zoom Chart Has To Be SeenFew charts can explain the euphoria and panic of markets more than this chart of Zoom. We've also used Zoom at least once by now to make a voice and video call. It was the darling after the Covid lockdowns because it was leading the way for remote work. The before and after can be easily seen just by looking at the chart. It was up 900% in a brief period of time! Then... it dropped 90%. The euphoria of remote work, fast growth, and easy money. Followed by the return to normalcy and a crash of its price. The question now is as follows: at what point is Zoom a value play? It remains the leader of video conferencing and still has a large, global customer base. They surely need to innovate and create more solutions. Time will tell. I have no position. Just watching the chart. I do think a swing trade could set up as it drops even more. A quick rebound appears possible. Zoom would be foolish not to cut costs and attempt to buy some shares back down here.
NASDAQ:ZM
by scheplick
4
Strong Revenue Growth, Outstanding Execution!Morning*'s valuation implies 2024 EV/Sales multiple of 5.5x. Forecasted Revenue growth 24% annualized rate over next five years! TTM Rev Growth YoY was 43%; 206% above sector median! Rev FWD growth is 26% or 142% above sector median. Expected to become profitable on adjusted OpMargin basis next year and GAAP profitable in 2027 in line with current models as long as Okta continues to execute its growth strategy via investing in sales and research divisions. The purple area target is my own personal target within time frame expected based on probabilities.
NASDAQ:OKTALong
by Jrussell86
EURUSD - The Euro is holding wellThe EUR/USD pair is rising on Wednesday and is back above 1.1000, after erasing Tuesday’s losses. The pair fell from 1.1066 to 1.0963 on Tuesday, only to climb back to the 1.1060 area on Wednesday. The events ahead could add fuel to recent volatility. Overall, it continues to move sideways, within an uptrend, holding above key technical levels and supported by a stronger euro across the board. Expectations that the European Central Bank (ECB) will continue raising interest rates are supporting the euro. Even this week, as Eurozone bond yields drop sharply amid a deterioration in market sentiment, the euro is holding well. Incoming inflation and growth data from the Euro area will be watched closely. Also important will be growth figures from the US on Thursday. However, market participants have already decided what will happen next week: they see rate hikes from the Fed and the ECB. Renewed banking concerns after the results of First Republic Bank (NYSE:FRC) and a gloomy global growth outlook weighed on sentiment. European markets are falling on Wednesday, and Wall Street futures are mixed. The VIX is up for the second day in a row. The rally in global bonds continues. The German 10-year yield fell to 2.30%, the lowest in two weeks. The 10-year Treasury yield dropped to 3.39%, also at two-week lows. From a technical perspective, EUR/USD held above a key short-term uptrend line, currently at 1.0940 and also above the 20-day Simple Moving Average. Risks remain tilted to the upside. However, the pair must hold above 1.1000 and print fresh cycle highs soon, to avoid a deep correction. More gains will target the April monthly high of 1.1075. Above the next resistance is the psychological 1.1100, followed by 1.1120. On the flip side, a daily close below 1.0930 would weaken the outlook, while a break of 1.0900 could point to a double top, suggesting a more pronounced slide ahead.
Long
by GREENBACK_OFFICIAL
MEX - 10x-20xHi! Right now, MEX is considered by many people in the Elrond space as "garbage", but I personally consider it an unpolished diamond. At the time of posting, its market capitalization is nearly $ 23million. With the release of the card in Q3-Q4, there will be more and more transactions that will put the burn in function. At the time of posting, there are approximately $ 400,000 burned, which leads me to believe that it could lead to a market capitalization of at least $ 200 million dollars. Disclaimer: The information and opinions in this post are for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Trading and investing in the financial markets involves risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Always do your own research and due diligence before making any investment decisions. The author of this post and TradingView are not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of using this information.
Long
by Cristii11
#Bitcoin bear market Bottom 2022if we go back by time between bottoms and top and halving this is what we got if you know what i mean!! µ we are already in the final first half of the bear market, and i think now we are in the seconde (last half) the same time of the last bear mrket the bitcoin Dominance was at the same levels i expect big pumpto 60/70% on the dominance and big dump on the Bitcoin price ... im already in accumulation phase right now already invest 10% of my wallet, lets get the party start.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Yassine_Houd
Gold between fires! This week's close will be decisive for gold and be prepared for volatility. The forecast for gold that was posted on my channel continues to be implemented. Let me remind you that gold looks good in the short term, BUT In medium and long term, gold will grow. This is because gold is highly correlated with 10-year US bonds and the dollar index. And in these assets, the main panic has already passed (or will end in the coming months). Therefore, if you want to short gold, then do it only with a stop! I predict the maximum fall limit for gold at $1700-1800. I will be buying gold big at these levels Write in the comments what other asset to analyze according to technical analysis
GLong
by Dorado_Crypto
Technical Pull back Buy the DIP!The slight gross margin decrease of 4.8% was enough to resume the HS pattern on the chart executing a normal pullback- relative to the "neckline" where HS patterns are confirmed with some other criterion. Despite the quarterly margin contraction, expected cost reductions should start to materialize in 2024. Everything on the income statement is trending in the right direction. If TSLA really does hit the pattern target of HKEX:80 , a 50% further decrease from current SP, which is based on a formula of probabilities for this specific pattern, then it will be 62% undervalued. At SP of 80, subtracting the 5.14 of Cash per share, and using current TTM, the PE would be 21! Even with a PE of 49 GAAP TTM , the difference to sector is 222% and FWD PE of 50.5. However several different metrics between growth and profitability could easily justify it where its at now. EBITDA growth YoY 3,607% diff to sector,/ FWD 690% diff to sector; Rev Growth Fwd 393%. EV/EBIDTA FWD 180 % diff to sector. Net Income Margin TTM 247% diff to sector. ROC TTM 193 and ROA TTM 289% differences to sector... Easily justified.. Rarely are you able to purchase growth companies at a PE of 21... Buy the DIP!
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Jrussell86
Why I'm Not Chasing NVIDIA Up Here, But Still Like ItOne thing is crystal clear to me, NVIDIA has bounced incredibly well off its 2022 lows, to the tune of nearly 150%! What a trade... I missed it. In addition, check out the double bottom that I marked on the chart. In hindsight, it looks so obvious. It's important to use these long-term charts to learn and get better. Had you zoomed out, you may have seen this low from a mile away. Next time... But now it appears that NVIDIA is being talked about everywhere as it marches forward. This post is designed to explain why I think NVIDIA has too much resistance ahead - don't chase! But also why the market sees its potential. Let's get to it: Nevertheless, NVIDIA, thanks to the speed of its recent bounce, is now the 7th largest company on Earth. Will it pass Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway next? The list looks like this: Apple - $2.6 trillion Microsoft - $2.1 trillion Saudi Aramco - $2.1 trillion Alphabet (Google) - $1.3 trillion Amazon - $1.1 trillion Berkshire Hathaway - $715.4 billion NVIDIA - $685.5 billion Tesla - $576.4 billion Meta (Facebook) - $555.7 billion Johnson & Johnson - $506.3 billion As AI increases, machine learning, and their eventual integration into machines, NVIDIA remains poised to lead the way. And that's where I personally think the long-term story remains in tact. I am not looking at NVIDIA for a trade right now - the risk/reward makes little sense. But, long-term, if NVIDIA suffers another correction, I'll be ready. Why? The other day I joked that while ChatGPT and other AI online tools are cool, we have yet to see this integrated with anything physical. But that is not far away - a fridge that learns your habits about what you eat so it can place orders automatically or set your fridge to the perfect temperature. Or a lawn mower that learns to master your lawn after each attempted cut, turning your lawn into a flawless putting green that your neighbors marvel at. But this also where things can get a little crazy… like if the lawn mower starts to think you’re the putting green! 😝 I hope you enjoyed this free flowing chat and a few notes that I added to the chart. Let me know what you think
NASDAQ:NVDA
by scheplick
13
Disruptive Innovation: Lessons from the Success of Teslamassive market potentials x massive competitive advantages = massive value creation Tesla, the electric vehicle manufacturer, has been the darling of the stock market for some time now. Its massive market potential and competitive advantage have created massive value for its shareholders, and it seems like the sky's the limit for this innovative company. Tesla's market potential is undoubtedly massive. The world is waking up to the reality of climate change, and people are looking for ways to reduce their carbon footprint. Electric vehicles are an obvious solution to this problem, and Tesla is at the forefront of this movement. The demand for electric vehicles is expected to grow exponentially in the coming years, and Tesla is well-positioned to take advantage of this trend. But what really sets Tesla apart from its competitors is its massive competitive advantage. The company's vertically integrated business model allows it to control all aspects of the production process, from battery manufacturing to vehicle assembly. This gives Tesla a significant cost advantage over traditional automakers, who often rely on third-party suppliers. In addition, Tesla's focus on innovation has allowed it to develop cutting-edge battery technology that is ahead of the curve. All of these factors have contributed to the creation of massive value for Tesla's shareholders. The company's market capitalization has grown exponentially in recent years, and it is now one of the most valuable companies in the world. However, this success has not come without challenges. Tesla faces increasing competition from other electric vehicle manufacturers, and it will need to continue innovating to maintain its edge. Moreover, Tesla's success has also attracted increased scrutiny from regulators and investors. The company's recent decision to invest in Bitcoin raised eyebrows, and some investors have questioned whether Tesla's valuation is justified. Despite these challenges, there is no denying that Tesla is a revolutionary company that has the potential to change the world. Its massive market potential and competitive advantage have enabled it to create massive value for its shareholders, and it is well-positioned to continue disrupting the automotive industry in the coming years. However, it is important to note that Tesla's success has also created a cult-like following among some of its fans. This has led to a polarization of opinions around the company, with some seeing it as a beacon of innovation and others seeing it as overvalued and overhyped. Regardless of one's opinion on Tesla, it is clear that the company has been a major disruptor in the automotive industry. Its focus on sustainability and innovation has inspired other companies to follow in its footsteps, and it has helped to accelerate the transition to electric vehicles. In addition, Tesla's success has also had a ripple effect on the broader economy, creating jobs and driving investment in related industries. Looking to the future, Tesla's success will likely continue to depend on its ability to innovate and stay ahead of the competition. The company is already expanding into new markets, such as energy storage and solar, and it is likely that we will see continued growth in these areas. In conclusion, Tesla's massive market potential and competitive advantage have created massive value for its shareholders, and the company has become a symbol of innovation and disruption in the automotive industry. While challenges and criticisms remain, it is clear that Tesla has had a significant impact on the world and is poised to continue doing so in the future.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Julien_Eche
Breakout on Battery Production NewsPositive divergence can be seen on a yearly basis with MACD leveling out crossing into positive territory. SP appears to have formed a double bottom and is currently breaking out from a narrower down trend. Currently, the SP is ≈33% below the average analyst target and ≈45% below the top range of down channel primary trend. The SP collapsed last year as a result of the public offering in December, cash burn rate and a gross loss for the most recent quarter. Revenue YoY has grown 142% and revenue growth FWD is 118%. With the high growth rate and being profitable on a yearly basis, a PE of 22 is cheap.
NYSE:LEVLong
by Jrussell86
Is it Worth Buying MSFT Today ?Microsoft Corporation, the American multinational technology company, has been one of the most prominent companies in the tech industry. Founded in 1975, the company’s market capitalization was $2.15 trillion, as of April 18, 2023. The company has had a strong revenue growth, reaching $198.27 billion in 2022, with projections of $262.57 billion in 2025. This growth has been fueled by several products, including Windows, Office Suite, Xbox, and LinkedIn, among others. The company’s financial statements show strong performance, particularly in revenue, with an impressive compound annual growth rate of 13.3% between 2017 and 2022. The company has also maintained a good profitability level, with an average EBIT margin of 41.4% between 2017 and 2022. However, the company’s net income margin has been fluctuating between 2017 and 2022, reaching its highest at 36.5% in 2021 and its lowest at 31.0% in 2018. The company's valuation ratios have been at reasonable levels over the years. The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio has ranged from 26.6x in 2022 to 35.3x in 2020. The P/E ratio is expected to reach 23.0x in 2025. The price-to-book (P/B) ratio has ranged from 11.5x in 2022 to 14.3x in 2021, and it is expected to reach 6.54x in 2025. Microsoft Corporation's enterprise value (EV) to revenue ratio has also remained reasonable, ranging from 9.4x in 2022 to 11.7x in 2021, while its EV to EBITDA ratio ranged from 19.1x in 2022 to 24.1x in 2021. The company's enterprise value over free cash flow (EV/FCF) ratio was at 28.6x in 2022, and it is expected to reach 22.6x in 2025. The company has a strong balance sheet, with net cash position ranging from $54.98 billion in 2022 to $135.17 billion in 2025. The company's free cash flow (FCF) margin has been reasonable, ranging from 32.9% in 2022 to 34.0% in 2025. Furthermore, Microsoft has maintained high return on equity (ROE) ratios of over 30% since 2018. In light of the above financial performance, it is not surprising that analysts have a positive outlook for the company's future. They estimate that the company's net income will increase from $92.49 billion in 2025 to around $ billion in 2027, while the earnings per share (EPS) will reach $14.4 in 2027, according to the consensus of Wall Street. Moreover, the company's management has a history of generating high shareholder returns, primarily through share buybacks and dividends. The company’s dividend yield has ranged from 0.83% in 2021 to 1.13% in 2025, and it is expected to remain stable in the future. Overall, Microsoft is a highly profitable and financially stable company, with strong growth potential in its cloud computing and artificial intelligence segments. While its current P/E ratio of 26.6x may seem relatively high compared to historical averages, it is still within reasonable range for a tech company with its growth prospects. The company's strong net cash position and negative leverage ratio further demonstrate its financial stability. In conclusion, I believe that Microsoft is a strong investment opportunity for long-term investors. While short-term volatility and market fluctuations are always a possibility, the company's financial strength and growth potential make it an attractive option. With its continued investments in cloud computing and artificial intelligence, Microsoft is well-positioned for success in the rapidly evolving technology landscape.
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by Julien_Eche