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AMZN - Victim Of Its Own SuccessAmazon, Inc. What's wrong with that title? It's not quite the official name of the company. The company colloquially referred to as "Amazon" by anybody and everybody from my Grandfather to teenage girls at my high school, both looking to shamelessly devolve into consumerism from the nearest smartphone or web browser, has an undeniable grip on the modern world. The correct name for AMZN, as it's listed on the NASDAQ, is Amazon.com, Inc. This title, a remnant of its dotcom era IPO, indirectly serves today to remind investors of Amazon.com, Inc's massively profitable cloud computing division, which operates completely separately from its retail division, and which pushed its common stock to almost a 1.7 Trillion dollar valuation at the end of 2021. It's hard to say anything bad about Amazon.com, Inc's cloud computing business. Its market share is larger than Google and Microsoft's share combined in the same industry (Q3 2022 Data according to Statista). Big names like Netflix, Facebook, and Twitter use their services. Their service quality is high and has data centers around the globe. Its growing extremely fast. The Catch: Current macroeconomic headwinds are causing many businesses to cut back spending, and AWS is seeing this effect their bottom line. AWS still grew 20% year over year in Q4, but short of the expected 27.5%. This moderate slowing in its massive growth might be normally acceptable by investors to some degree. Except, it's not. AMZN trades at a sky-high PE of 68; After already losing more than 700 Million dollars in market cap since its peak in 2021. This ratio relies heavily on aggressive growth models for the company. AMZN's PE ratio has always been this way. Overzealous investors have been willing to pay this premium to get ahead of the massive profits AWS consistently posted. In many tech companies, excessive growth valuations have often been justified by certain rock solid keystone statistics (think: META's daily user count). Yet, growth is in practice finite, and a peak in these statistics forces multiples return to earth. The current market conditions and complex nature of the cloud computing industry could make the peak more difficult for investors to identify, but barring explosive cloud growth in future quarters, the multiple normalization process will take place. Disclaimer The information and publications here are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations. Conduct your own research and consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NASDAQ:AMZNShort
by Connor-Foran
Small Cap Growth (VBK) - Time to consider?The VBK small cap growth ETF is showing 305 price target on Stockcharts.com P&F, which would be 32% above Friday 2/3 close. On the monthly Chart (not shown) VBK has posted a .618 retrace from 3/20 the low to the 11/21 high; .382 resistance is the next level on the monthly is 236.68. On the daily chart (not shown), we have a 21/50 EMA daily crossover, but the 50 day EMA is still well below the 200 day EMA. The money flow index on the daily has been tailing off since 1/17 while riding an over bought RSI(9) since 1/17. The weekly chart (shown above) shows VBK entering into Ichimoku cloud resistance, and a weekly resistance at a Gann confluence at 238.63. The latest up leg from 10.10 looks extended (blue Point D is near 1.61). The positive is that the VBK has soundly rejected the downward regression channel from 2022 high to low. Small caps have in general less pricing power than the large caps(unless they hold a special niche). Passing on price increases to compensate for higher input costs can be more difficult. Easing inflation will benefit small caps, but tight labor market does not. I do not see a 305 target on VBK anytime in the near future. I also do not see (unless there is a Swan event) lower lows. I do see sideways action inside the red cloud for the near future. Small cap growth is not for me unless I find one of those niche situations with superb financials.
AMEX:VBK
by UnknownUnicorn13101
AMZN earnings todayAMZN Q4 earnings are today, 2/2 at 4pm. Amazon (AMZN) reported Q3 September 2022 earnings of $0.28 per share on revenue of $127.1 billion. The consensus earnings estimate was $0.22 per share on revenue of $126.4 billion. Revenue grew 14.7% on a year-over-year basis. The company said it expects Q4 revenue of $140 billion to $148 billion. Here's an AMZN 1 week chart with the past 8 earnings reports PE, EPS, revenue, cash & debt data indicators. Plus 2/3, 2/17 and 3/17 expiry options data. Q4 December 2022 Consensus: EPS = 0.15 Revenue = $145.40B P/E = 96.5 Q3 September 2022: EPS = 0.28 beat +35.53% Revenue = $127.10B miss -0.29% Cash = $35.17B Debt = $128.25B Q2 June 2022: EPS = -0.20 miss -270.72% Revenue = $121.23B beat 1.76% Cash = $37.7B Debt = $124.577B Q1 March 2022: EPS = -0.38 miss -190.58% Revenue = $116.44B miss -0.53% Cash = $36.6B Debt = $113.287B Q4 December 2022: EPS = 1.39 beat +657.12% Revenue = $137.41B miss -0.13% Cash = $36.48B Debt = $116.395B 2/3/23 expiry options data: Put Volume Total 91,854 Call Volume Total 141,512 Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.65 Put Open Interest Total 232,469 Call Open Interest Total 286,708 Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.81 2/17/23 expiry options data: Put Volume Total 35,737 Call Volume Total 130,457 Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.27 Put Open Interest Total 368,246 Call Open Interest Total 646,114 Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.57 3/17/23 expiry options data Put Volume Total 20,571 Call Volume Total 55,465 Put/Call Volume Ratio 0.37 Put Open Interest Total 402,933 Call Open Interest Total 659,330 Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 0.61
NASDAQ:AMZN
by Options360
2
TSLA - In Bottom FormationTSLA is in bottom formation. It broke its trendline resistance with strong buying volumes and formed breakaway gap during announcement of its quarterly results. This giant of electric vehicles stayed in topping zone for almost 2 years. Topping is a phase when a stock lacks any clear direction of movement and keeps swinging between a price range. After formation of topping zone, TSLA followed imminent decline after breaking down the support of $200 price level. Recently, however, TSLA has seen a turnaround with the support of large buying volumes. Now TSLA's next flight depends on its upcoming quarterly earnings. If it continues its growth, it could reach its all-time high (ATH) of $400. And if growth continues, it could surpass $400 level in the years to come.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by starringinvestors
4
ARHS - Arhaus, Inc.Very nice reaction off of the 9ema this morning. Largest 30-min volume since the gap up on raised revenue guidance. Started a small position; couldn't justify a full position with the overall market being slightly extended on a short-term basis and showing negative action on the day. Will look to add over the debut price high of $14 only if the broad market continues its bullish phase. The all-time-high of 14.95 looms overhead, but with the volume & growth on this name, I'd expect it to clear that level as long as the market environment remains favorable. The FOMC decision and statement on Wednesday will have a major impact on the market environment. Even if I am shaken out of this starter position, I'm keeping this one on my focus list for as long as the environment remains healthy. This has the potential to be a true market leader.
NASDAQ:ARHSLong
by apaqu
GRIN. Holdings Ltd. for steady growth in global shippinJoin the smart investors who are banking on Grindrod Shipping Holdings Ltd for steady growth in the global shipping industry. With a diversified portfolio, strong financials, and experienced management team. Diversified Shipping Services: Grindrod provides a diversified range of shipping services, including dry bulk shipping, liquid bulk shipping, and container shipping, which can potentially provide stability and reduce dependence on any single business segment. Emerging Markets Exposure: has a significant presence in emerging markets, which can offer growth potential as these economies continue to develop and demand for shipping services increases. Strong Financial Performance: has a history of strong financial performance, with steady revenue growth and profitability, which can indicate a well-run and efficiently managed company. Growing Demand for Shipping Services: The global shipping industry is expected to grow as a result of increasing trade and economic activity, which can provide tailwinds for Grindrod's business. Experienced Management Team: has an experienced management team with a strong track record of running the company and making strategic decisions, which can provide confidence to potential investors. It's important to keep in mind that this is just one possible investment thesis and that past performance is not a guarantee of future results. It's crucial to conduct thorough research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
GLong
by FxCryptoWaves
BROS - Dutch Bros Inc.One of the longer-term plays I am watching. IPO'd back in 2021, they don't have much in the way of current earnings, but analyst estimates are expecting big growth over the next couple of years. Starting to inch its way up the right side of a possible stage 1 base on good volume. Don't need to rush into buying this one - need to let it show me that it is in fact ready to go. As of now, it's still in a downtrend regardless of the constructive action since the start of the year.
NYSE:BROSLong
by apaqu
USD/JPY BUYBUY. Coming to the conclusion market will see bull momentum in the next couple hours, due to JPY consumer staples/consumer price rising, I have projected consumer staples/cpi prices rise to 61% fib creating opportunity for USD to advance, USD economic sentiment has been exceptional as expected and should continue its bullish momentum. USD/JPY expected to finish temp retracement before the bull run trade which will be Entry @130.100 TP1@130.419, TP2@130.851, TP3@131.228
Long
by Sylynt056
1
Growth stock's hiatus ?Growth stocks outperform value stocks most of the time on a weekly chart of $VUG / $VTV, Vanguard's growth and value elf's respectively. Since the start of the 2022 bear market that relationship has reversed and, in August 2022, broke both horizontal support as well as a 14 year long diagonal support. These breakouts are being retested now, in January 2023. The outcome can impact both trading and long term investing strategy. For reference: $SPY in the bottom pane. Today's close: 400.35 Fib tool (not formal analysis)
AMEX:VUG
by gb50k
1
How to double your small ($250) trading account trading Bitcoin How to Double your Small ($250) Trading Account Trading Bitcoin I started a degen account with $250 and almost doubled it in 4 days making about 6 trades. This strategy is not Financial advice and I'm only illustrating what I have learnt trading this way. This is the first video in the series and I'll be continuing the series , updating you on progress, winners, losses, my trading journal and some live trading, so make sure to Sub, like comment and share. I show you how I entered my current trade, where I am looking to take profits and show you my pnl on Bybit. Not Financial Advice. DYOR. Papertrade before trading with real money. Hope you have a profitable trading day! Shawn
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PEducation
by zartraderguy
2
Solar directionalsOrange directionals : Fast recovery to the upside, top out earlier than other possible directionals. The drawback is a risk of longer term decline. At the end, the challenge to the bottom middle blue line might occur here. Increased volatility is due to the distance between top and bottom. Blue directionals : Correction continues to the downside and bring solar stocks back into stable range. The drawback is a reduced ATR. The big positive will be that Solar stocks remains in range upwards that will grow for years. This will allow individual solar companies to compete on a level playing field. Yellow directionals : Solar companies have enough cash on hand and will put the capital to work. The expectation is to keep cost basis about 72.50 for the average investor in order to give investors a chance to reduce their cost basis by mid-summer, or hold the stocks. Caution : The arrows are approximately drawn for education/illustration purpose, and does not mean the prices will arrive at their ends precisely where they are drawn. All arrows may get to their targets early or break to the further upside, or decline to the downside extensively.
AMEX:TAN
by TrustThePhi
Looking back at equity factors in Q4 with WisdomTreeAfter three negative quarters, 2022 closed with a bang. Equities around the world delivered very strong returns in both October and November on the back of relatively good news on the inflation front. Therefore, despite a negative December, developed market equities gained 9.8% in Q4, and emerging market equities gained 9.7%. This instalment of the WisdomTree Quarterly Equity Factor Review aims to shed some light on how equity factors behaved in this rebound and how this may have impacted investors’ portfolios. Overall factors performed strongly for Global and US investors. Only Growth delivered an underperformance in Q4. Value, High Dividend and High Quality dividend payers delivered the strongest performance in both regions. In Europe, Small Cap stocks performed the best, followed by Value and High Dividend stocks. In emerging markets, Value and High Quality dividend payers delivered the strongest outperformance. Looking forward to 2023, the same issues that drove markets in 2022 remain. While inflation has shown signs of easing, we expect central banks to remain hawkish around the globe as inflation is still very meaningfully above target. In an environment where interest rates and inflation remain high, and volatility of both equities and interest rates is increasing, we continue to tilt toward High Dividend, Value and High Quality dividend payers. Performance in focus: High Dividend and Value finish strong In the fourth quarter of 2022, equity markets posted their first positive quarter of the year across regions. In October and November, markets benefitted from positive inflation numbers and increased hopes for a Fed Pivot or at least a pause in rate hikes leading to a sharp rebound. MSCI World gained 7.2% and 7% in those two months, respectively. However, hopes of such a pivot were dashed quickly, with the Federal Reserve Chair making clear in the December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting that he wanted to see “substantially” more progress on inflation before the hiking would stop. This led the MSCI World to lose -4.3% in December. Overall, factors performed strongly for Global and US investors: Only Growth delivered an underperformance in Q4 in US and global equities Value, High Dividend and High Quality dividend payers delivered the best performance across regions but mostly in the US. In Europe, factors had a more difficult time. Small Cap stocks performed the best, followed by Value and High Dividend stocks but Quality, Momentum and Min Volatility delivered underperformance. In emerging markets, Value and High Quality dividend payers delivered the strongest outperformance. In this market, Quality, Momentum and Min Volatility also delivered underperformance. In Q4, the market environment continued to discriminate strongly between Quality stocks. The definition of Quality and the criteria used have hugely impacted the result. Quality, left unattended, tends to tilt toward growth (investors pay for Quality, after all) and would have suffered from that tilt, as illustrated with MSCI Quality (‘Quality’ in Figures 1 and 2). Highly profitable companies and dividend growers have fared better this quarter, as illustrated by WisdomTree Quality. 2022, the year of the dividends Looking back at the whole year, High Dividend has dominated the factor space consistently across the year. It delivered a 13.4% outperformance to the MSCI World and a 15.2% outperformance versus the MSCI USA. In Global equities, Value and Min Volatility completed the podium with 8.3% of outperformance. In the US, the podium is a bit different, with WisdomTree Quality (that is, High Quality dividend payers) finishing second (+11.4%) and Min Volatility and Value coming third and fourth. In both regions, Growth and Quality (with its growth tilt) were the only factors to deliver underperformance. In Europe, High Dividend and Value also dominated the field. Valuations rebounded in Q4 In Q4 2022, valuations rebounded across the board on the back of markets’ positive performance. Small Caps saw the largest increases with +1.7 in Global and European equities and +2.2 in US equities. European and Emerging markets remain quite cheap, leading to factors being cheap as well. Emerging market value is currently priced at a 4.9 P/E Ratio. Looking forward to 2023, recession risk is continuing to rise. The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is warning of a recession in the US, a deep slowdown in Europe, and a drawn-out recession in the United Kingdom. While inflation has shown signs of easing, we expect central banks to remain hawkish around the globe as inflation is still very meaningfully above targets. The Federal Reserve made clear in its December meeting that ‘substantially’ more progress will need to happen on the inflation front before hiking stops. The European Central Bank (ECB) projections show inflation is unlikely to reach the 2% target until late 2025, leading to a hawkish turn there as well. The Bank of Japan also surprised markets in December with its own hawkish move. Overall, as we transition to 2023, three questions still remain unanswered from 2022: 1) how sticky will the underlying inflation be 2) how intense will the recession be 3) will we find a solution to Europe’s energy crisis? With markets facing the same issues in 2023 that they faced in the second half of 2022, we continue to tilt toward the strategies that delivered for investors in 2022, that is, High Dividend, Value and High Quality dividend payers. Please note: World is proxied by MSCI World net TR Index. US is proxied by MSCI USA net TR Index. Europe is proxied by MSCI Europe net TR Index. Emerging Markets is proxied by MSCI Emerging Markets net TR Index. Minimum volatility is proxied by the relevant MSCI Min Volatility net total return index. Quality is proxied by the relevant MSCI Quality net total return index. Momentum is proxied by the relevant MSCI Momentum net total return index. High Dividend is proxied by the relevant MSCI High Dividend net total return index. Size is proxied by the relevant MSCI Small Cap net total return index. Value is proxied by the relevant MSCI Enhanced Value net total return index. WisdomTree Quality is proxied by the relevant WisdomTree Quality Dividend Growth Index.
N
by aneekaguptaWTE
2