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Inflation Update. Possible first wave?CPI-U is reported at 8.5%. The alternate CPI-U from 1990 has inflation around 12%. The alternate CPI-U 1980 has inflation around 16.5%. This has triggered the markets sentiment that inflation is over to go hog wild on it's Goldilocks targets and head higher on the SPX. To bring inflation down to the target of the FED now becomes the discussion. The market is seeking the fastest way to get the tightening cycle to stop. Like an addict searching for their next hit the question is how thick will the sugar coating get before the sun rays from the new recession and its implications dissolve the deep snow pack. Boy is it a blizzard coming down. The two paths from here are #1 does the market whine that inflation is coming down fast enough now so the FED over did it tightening rates and this recession is bad so please print me some dopamine. Or #2 is inflation going to come down fast enough for growth to bottom out and rebound higher so the FED can stop and print me some dopamine to stimulate the bottom of the trend to have the downturn be as short as possible. Either way the next 6 months will be the market trying to cajole the FED into please print some more money. The wider trend after that is the classic hyperinflation trend. A small inflation wave that wakes up the public to inflation. Followed by a small deflation wave to catch market participants off guard and make money. Followed by an over correction and printing of currency resulting in a bigger second inflation wave. Followed by a second larger deflation wave with further over correction and printing. Finally causing a rollercoaster crash into hyperinflation where inflation jumps from 20% to 700% in a month. This takes years to play out and is by no means guaranteed but definitely a model to keep in mind. If such a rollercoaster crash plays out hard assets are the name of the long game while volatile assets are the name of the short game. Real estate, and gold, with Bitcoin and ETH as insurance purchased at the bottom of deflation waves just as the FED pivots. Short term moves into and out of energy and food commodities for 3-6 month positions during inflation waves depending on market information. Stay safe out there. See you on the moon.
SP:SPXShort
by GreatScottTheMoon
1
SQM: Chilean Lithium Stock Nears Triple DigitsSociedad Quimica y Minera is a Chilean fertilizer company reinventing itself as a lithium provider. Today we’re looking at some potentially bullish patterns as it squeezes back toward triple digits. First are the pair of strong earnings reports on March 2 and May 19. The initial headline lifted SQM above its previous all-time high from July 2011. The second one helped propel the stock past $100, where it stalled and pulled back in June. However it didn’t pull back much. Price stabilized near the 100-day simple moving average (SMA) in mid-July and returned above $99. It then took a small breather, which was quickly met with buyers stepping in to defend the 50-day SMA. Next you have the trendline along the May peak and the recent highs. SQM is currently challenging that resistance. Finally, the 8-day exponential moving average (EMA) has remained above the 21-day EMA since late July. That, plus the rising MACD, may suggest the shorter-term trend is turning more bullish. TradeStation has, for decades, advanced the trading industry, providing access to stocks, options, futures and cryptocurrencies. See our Overview for more. Important Information TradeStation Securities, Inc., TradeStation Crypto, Inc., and TradeStation Technologies, Inc. are each wholly owned subsidiaries of TradeStation Group, Inc., all operating, and providing products and services, under the TradeStation brand and trademark. You Can Trade, Inc. is also a wholly owned subsidiary of TradeStation Group, Inc., operating under its own brand and trademarks. TradeStation Crypto, Inc. offers to self-directed investors and traders cryptocurrency brokerage services. It is neither licensed with the SEC or the CFTC nor is it a Member of NFA. When applying for, or purchasing, accounts, subscriptions, products, and services, it is important that you know which company you will be dealing with. Please click here for further important information explaining what this means. This content is for informational and educational purposes only. This is not a recommendation regarding any investment or investment strategy. Any opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not represent the views or opinions of TradeStation or any of its affiliates. Investing involves risks. Past performance, whether actual or indicated by historical tests of strategies, is no guarantee of future performance or success. There is a possibility that you may sustain a loss equal to or greater than your entire investment regardless of which asset class you trade (equities, options, futures, or digital assets); therefore, you should not invest or risk money that you cannot afford to lose. Before trading any asset class, first read the relevant risk disclosure statements on the Important Documents page, found here: www.tradestation.com .
NYSE:SQM
by TradeStation
2
Caterpillar - Great Stock for 2022 - Bull RunHey all, CAT Caterpillar, Inc, why does it look like a good stock to buy right now? NYSE:CAT Earnings - Highest ever reported revenue / Second highest ever margin percentage and value Price - Currently 185.81 / 12 month low = 167.08 / 12 month high = 237.90 / Great prospect to rise to near the 12 month high due to record breaking earnings and margin. Dividend - 2.44% paid annually A great prospect for holding for 6 months / Warning: keep an eye on the economy regarding the recession and possible job losses, this could drive the stock down rapidly. Let me know your thoughts. Many Thanks Matt NYSE:CAT
NYSE:CATLong
by McCubbin
1
INSUR/USDTBy breaking the inverted head and shoulder pattern and breakout this wedge, we can have great possibilities of gains, in the short, medium and long term, stay tuned After the incidents with TERRa, Hacks and exploits, the concern about capital has increased, but the demand for insurance will increase the demand for it. InsurAce ! Entry point at: 0.19 (for study with Inverted Head and Shoulder) Agressive entry point is 0.12-0.14 demand zone Stop loss at 0.0978 or 0.10 THIS IS NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE ! THIS IS NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE !
Long
by LucasP26
2
$HDSN Review: 5/5 ⭐️In 11 months, I’ve turned $680 into $1660 with this stock so far. I think this stock is still incredible & I am holding because it has these factors: REVENUE GROWTH: ✅ NET INCOME GROWTH: ✅ EPS GROWTH: ✅ SMALL CAP: ✅ NO LARGE EXTERNAL FACTOR? ✅ Join my “Long-Term Stock/Crypto” group chat if you want to discuss more about my current rating of this stock. Too much to post here -Shared from PersonaFi iOS App “See what the best traders, backed by portfolio performance, are buying and selling in real-time.”
AMEX:DITLong
by Catman122
Looking for higher highs?, $GDYN has themGrid Dynamics accelerate digital transformation of Fortune-1000 US enterprises. They specialize in customer experience, data analytics, and cloud. They compite with the likes of NYSE:EPAM , NASDAQ:CYBR and NSE:INFY . The price made its lowest low in mid March and since then has made a good bull run. Now $GDYN is making a good looking descending triangle, the only bad things is that it price is below the 50-day. Still, as we are currently in a bear market, this is the kind of charts that I'm looking for. RELATIVE STRENGTH is the name of the game now. Combine this with the good fundamentals it has and it should be a next leader. I'll wait and see.
NASDAQ:GDYNLong
by dpuleo19
GUCCI now accepts APECOIN 🚀Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators📈📉 Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year. Great news for the cryptocurrency community, Italian luxury fashion house Gucci announced that it now accepts ApeCoin (APEUSDT) in a Thursday Twitter announcement last week. Gucci customers are able to pay with the help of a QR code that gets sent to them via email. They announced via tweet that they are now accepting ApeCoin payments via BitPay. Select Gucci boutiques in the USA expand the range of cryptocurrencies available for in-store purchases, yet another step in the Gucci House’s exploration of Web3. For the first time ever, holders of this crypto currency will be able to buy physical goods with the coin that was derived from the BAYC economy. This is bullish news for APEUSD, and for the crypto community as market adaptation and reach will increase. The more participants a market has, the more stable and less volatile it becomes. Think Gold , bonds etc. While you're here ! Check out this update on Ethereum ETHUSDT : __________________________ 👀Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates and trade ideas on crypto , stocks and commodities 📉 Hit like & Follow 🔔 We thank you for your support ! CryptoCheck
Long
by CryptoCheck-
28
Speculating on CNY .. from a "distance"Looking at the CNY and its highest probable and most immediate index levels that we can theorize and speculate (using fundamentals and reason) the currency reaching in the seemingly distant future. This is one, if not the most fascinating markets and charted data I have ever studied. As the most powerful and fastest growing economy on earth, market performance in China will play increasingly more influential roles in the global marketplace and its participants. As the post-world war II global economy continues its evolution in the early 21st century, I will certainly be keeping my eye on the Juan. On this publishing I am showing the theoretical levels on what would be a full retracement to the .618 of the already completed impulse down from the CNY's all-time high of 8.74. In order for this fibonacci retracement to be properly placed at these levels, the CNY would need to continue the monthly bullish uptrend to the golden pocket zone of around 7.7, where it would then need to break the trend or significantly consolidate. Its not my most traditional, or most immediately useful piece of work, but, hopefully this is interesting to you like it is to me. Happy trading, and good luck!
by Bobbyusesfib
Stellantis: combine the short and the long-term strategy!STLA: The company is huge! It's french-american and combines PSA (Peugeot, Citroen), Fiat, DS Automobiles, Chrysler with Jeep, Dodge, and many many others. This company has a great future if the next generation products will arrive. Electrification will boost revenue and margins. Short it the next weeks, you will see a correction based on no current model issues and probably less demand in China as well as supply chain issues. But don't miss the right moment to invest after this correction ended. - Owner earnings are >20% of current price => the company is cheap. - Quick ratio = 0.98 - Current ratio = 1.15 - Cash change +8.5 - ROE = 0.254 - EPS 4,71 - No stock compensation -> very good value sign - P/E = 2.8 The stock is cheap and undervalued.
NYSE:STLALong
by visoris
Housing Market Boom / Crash Statistical AnalysisHousing market's median home value (for new homes) peaked 2 months ago at $457k. Total growth leading up to that point over the last 59 years, since 1963, was $439.3k. The last two years accounts for a significant portion of all growth, while the last two growth periods displayed more growth than all of which occurred during the 44 year period between 1963 and 2007 12.4% of all growth has been lost in the last 61 days, or 37% of what was gained in the last 2 years. Following the bailouts in 2008 we began to see recovery across markets, but starting around 2010 an exaggerated period of growth began. After the covid pandemic flash crash, that exaggerated growth skyrocketed, leading to an unsustainable market economy, especially in housing. The losses we've seen over the last 61 days may indicate the beginnings of an extended period of severe loss if markets are left to correct naturally, if not artificially bailed out yet again.
FRED:MSPNHSUSShort
by dudebruhwhoa
1