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Upwork price weakness could be a gift for its 5 year growth Upwork is at fair value now, cheap for next year, and potential could grow to a 50-100$ stock over 5 years. Upwork is a freelancer marketplace and recently partnered with Open ai (chat GPT) to provide enterprises access to ai freelance experts and learning. Better value then megacaps: Upwork roughly has a earnings yield of 3% plus for this year 2023, which is not over yet but coming to a close. This price to earnings of 31 is similar to the megacap stocks like Apple, Microsoft, Google, and Facebook. Thats a high PE for any business, and usually inplies a high growth rate in order to command that premium valuation. Upwork, however, isnt a megacap, has more room to rise, and has a higher growth rate potentially than the megacaps. Next year 2024: Next year Upwork is expected to earn 64 cents per share, almost doubling its earnings from this years .37 cents. Using a multiple PE of 25 could land the stock in the 16 dollar range or higher. 25% a year growth in earnings could also command a higher premium if investors anticipate continued year over year growth in the future. 5 year growth potential: Through 2028, over the next 5 years, analysts believe the stock could grow to 1.90 per share (earnings expectations pulled from seekingalpha). Using the same 25 multiple x the 1.90, we estimate a potential valuation of 47.50 for 2028. As we see today many stocks trading at twice the growth rate for PE multiple, and in order to motivate long term investing, we can estimate a 2x growth rate multiple of 95 potential for 2028. In good times, growth stocks commonly trade at 2x multiple for their growth rates in anticipation of further growth in coming years. So now we have 47.50 and 95 as a potential 5 year upside price. Low debt and already free cashflow positive: Many growth or speculative stocks arent even profitable or require too much capital as they scale. Upwork doesnt have that problem, they are already free cashflow positive and have low debt. 8 to 10 price possible in weakness: Based on its price action this year, and with the help of a weak broad market, it wouldnt surprise me to see upwk fall back to the 10 level or even lower to the 8 price in a major sell off. In that event, the earnings yield on UPWK could go from the 3% range to potentially a near 5% earnings yield for this year 2023. A high 4% or near 5% earnings yield would be very interesting for a stock with 20-25% annual growth potential. The compounding of growth at that price entry would be attractive. Summary: Upwork has major growth potential over next 5 years, so keep track of it in case of weakness in the broad market. 50 to 100 in 5 years is possible, so the more it falls now could help open a discount to future value. Hope for a sell off in the 8-10 range.
NASDAQ:UPWK
by optionfarmers
IRDM : POSITION TRADEIridium Communications: A Great Company At A Fair Price NASDAQ:IRDM - Iridium Communications has done really well in recent months between landing another large contract and increasing financial guidance. - This has sent shares roaring higher, but this has a downside to it as well. - The stock seems to be more or less fairly valued at this time, even though the firm remains excellent for long-term investors seeking stability. ...As revenue has risen, profitability has also increased. Net income of $4.6 million in the latest quarter was higher than the $3.8 million reported the same time one year earlier. Operating cash flow in the latest quarter came in at $99.8 million. That's 32.7% above the $75.2 million generated just one year earlier. Meanwhile, EBITDA for the company expanded from $94.8 million in the second quarter of 2021 to $105.9 million the same time this year. Naturally, this strong bottom line performance has had a positive impact on the company's results for the first half of the year as a whole. Due to how things are turning out so far this year, the management team at Iridium Communications decided recently to increase their guidance for the current fiscal year. Read more on: seekingalpha.com Daniel Jones, Seeking Alpha, Aug. 02, 2022 11:15 PM ET
NASDAQ:IRDMLong
by TradingMavericks
adA IS BUllISh YESSSSSSSSSSSSSSSTL;DR Synopsis Cardano price analysis reveals a bullish trend, with ADA/USD facing rejection at $0.4478. Support for ADA is present at $0.4296. Cardano price analysis is providing us with strong optimistic signs for the day. The bullish tide has been quite strong, as price levels have been growing at a regular and consistent rate. The price is currently at $0.4402, which is a significant victory for purchasers. More positive movement is predicted as support at $0.4296 is stabilized.] All in all, Cardano price research reveals that the currency has been able to make a strong rebound today and buyers have been successful in pushing prices over $11.4402. However, the bulls must watch for the resistance at $10.4478, which could pose a barrier to further gains. The strong bullish momentum suggests that Cardano's price may rise above the given level if buyers maintain market pressure. dm for more info
KRAKEN:ADAUSDLong
by DEinvestment
SIVB: A Cautionary Tale for Investors Following Stock BloggersAfter SVB has failed, which has raised concerns about the stability of US banks, as recent news reports indicate, I have questions about the reliability of stock bloggers/vloggers. Especially those telling you about “the best growth stock to buy right now”, “this stock is down by 50%, is it a buy now?” First, I would like to remember these four key events marked in the chart: 1. On March 16, 2022, after the war in Ukraine had begun in February, the fears of rising inflation led the Fed to start hiking federal funds benchmark rate by 25 basis points for the first time since 2018. While FOMC stated that “The implications for the U.S. economy are highly uncertain, but in the near term the invasion and related events are likely to create additional upward pressure on inflation and weigh on economic activity.” 2. Additionally, on 13 June, 2022, S&P 500 slipped into the bear market territory by dropping more than 21% from its all-time record on 3 January, 2022. 3. On July 5, the spread between the 10-Year/2-Year US government bonds yield breached the negative area (until present), signaling to a potential recession. 4. Finally, on February 3, 2023, nonfarm payroll employment rose by 517,000 in January 2023, smashing the expectation of 185,000, and indicating the persistence of inflation as well as the possibility of rate hikes for longer periods. Beyond that, the unrealized losses of the total available for sale securities – which include T-bills and mortgage-backed securities – has nearly doubled during 2022. SVB reported unrealized losses for AFS securities of $2.533 billion as of December 31, 2022, comparing to $1.303 billion at March 31, 2022, with total assets of $220.355 and $211.793 billion respectively. Some of these losses are attributed to the tumbling bond market. Along that way, SIVB has tumbled so heavily. From my point of view, with my little experience, these losses of SIVB would have not made any buying opportunity, taking into account the previous events and the bank business model. However, many stock bloggers published so many articles advising to buy SIVB as, for example, “one the best growth stocks”, “safest banking stock”, “it is time to buy the dip” and so on, with a deep confidence in the management of the bank and its businesses. Eventually, SIVB trading is halted and “pending the release of material news.” No one knows now what is coming after. The question is now for those well-known stock bloggers, how did you not see that coming and why are you giving such advice of buying growth stocks in the middle of the rising recession likelihood environment at the first place? One answer that they might give you is that this advice for investors who seek to hold the stocks for 3 to 5 years or more, year after a year. Stock bloggers won’t stop publishing articles about “the best growth stock to buy right now” even if the great depression itself is back. So, back to the best advice of all time, do your own research and take nobody’s word for your investment decisions – especially those bloggers. If you are unable to do your research properly, avoid making investment decisions based on general ideas and do not buy or sell any stocks without sufficient information.
SEducation
by SamerHa
using ARKK as an indicator to carcass pick stocks $snap $arkk If and when stocks finish the bear market, there will be deals at fair prices. snap is a good example of a once over valued and over exuberant stock whos earning guidance and result kept coming down after peak 2021. If arkk and the rest of the growth stocks keep trending lower as we may or may not be already in recession, I'm checking my favorites list to see what value Id be happy to grab deals. Happy hunting.
NYSE:SNAP
by optionfarmers
United Rentals (URI): Stock is overbought and due for pullbackI am bullish on United Rentals (URI) for the long-term looking 3 to 5 years ahead. The company has great fundamentals and is holding up well in this environment where we could see a recession in the U.S. in 2023. URI just reported a positive Q4 earnings with a strong outlook. The technicals show an overbought condition on the 1 day chart. So, I am anticipating a decline in the stock which could be triggered by the Fed meeting on 1/31 & 2/1 depending on actions taken and what is said about future rate increases. Action: wait for a decline, then buy The link contains an article with a detailed discussion.
NYSE:URI
by Zman1175
YOU : POSITION TRADEClear Secure: Talk About A Bullish Economic Moat • Clear Secure is capturing strong demand for its identity verification platform as a service to save time at security checkpoints. • Partnerships with airports, airlines and even the Transportation Security Administration highlight competitive advantages to drive growth. • An outlook for accelerating earnings can send the stock higher. • Looking for a helping hand in the market? Members of Conviction Dossier get exclusive ideas and guidance to navigate any climate. Clear Secure, Inc. (NYSE:YOU) offers a secure identity verification platform. If you've recently traveled through one of 46 major airports, you'll likely have seen the "Clear" checkpoints as a separate lane in the security process. Clear Pass focuses on the ID verification side of the airport screening process. The other step is the actual security area where travelers and carry-on luggage are checked for contraband. With the company's history going back more than a decade, the game changer now is a belief that the operation has finally reached a critical mass with enough locations where the service can make sense to a wide range of travelers. This concept is related to the network effect where the value of the service grows as its user base expands. Furthermore, the platform is being utilized in other applications where security screening is a requirement and there is room to capture efficiencies in the process. Members of Clear Plus also have the option to use the features at entertainment venues and stadiums where a security line often forms. Clear also offers a Health Pass which gained prominence during the pandemic with validation of COVID testing results and digitization of vaccine status that many types of business in certain areas embrace. Notably, this feature now integrates with Apple Inc.'s (AAPL) "Health App". YOU Key Metrics YOU released its Q3 earnings in mid-November with EPS of $0.05, which beat estimates by $0.05 as consensus was looking for a flat result. Revenue of $116 million climbed by 72% year-over-year, with the strength largely driven by the recovery of the airline industry compared to pandemic disruptions at the start of 2021. Management notes success with in-airport and various partner channels driving memberships captured in a climbing number of bookings along with retention of customers. On the financial side, keep in mind that there was a GAAP loss of -$65.6 million although this mostly reflected share-based compensation and the timing of the vesting from previously issued warrants. More favorably, the underlying shift towards profitability is evidenced by the adjusted EBITDA measure which reached $11.9 million compared to negative -$14.5 million in the period last year. The company also reported a positive free cash flow of $5.3 million. The expectation is that earnings will maintain this more positive momentum going forward. For Q4, management is guiding for revenue of around $124 million, implying a growth rate of 54% compared to Q4 2021, and up 7% on a quarter-over-quarter basis. Finally, we can mention Clear Secure maintains a solid balance sheet, ending the quarter with $700 million in cash and cash equivalents against effectively zero long-term financial debt. The position is strong enough that the Board of Directors declared a special $0.25 dividend which was paid in December. Are There Risks? The key for the company will be to maintain the pace of signups for new members while finding success in international markets. Longer-term, Clear Secure will need to become the global standard for secure identity verification not just in travel, but also leisure, and other industries with a visible presence in more and more countries as part of the bullish case. The other side to the discussion would be the risk that growth simply begins to disappoint while the expected earnings fail to materialize. One concern is that the company may have already captured the "low-hanging fruit" of hard-core heavy business travelers where the Clear Pass makes the most sense, at least from the U.S. market. By this measure, doubling the number of cumulative platform users from here will be more difficult. There is also an argument that if "everyone" is using Clear/TSA PreCheck, it begins to defeat the purpose of a priority security lane membership. It's not there yet but could become a problem at certain airports if the platform is too successful. Going further, a skeptic would also point to the regulatory risks where the service no longer becomes viable based on changing laws in the future or even in a scenario of a headline-making failure in the system that would undermine confidence in the company's security protocol. Read more on : seekingalpha.com Dan Victor, CFA, Seeking Alpha, Jan. 05, 2023 3:19 PM ET
NYSE:YOULong
by TradingMavericks
ANET - Resting for a WhileANET is resting for a while in its accumulation zone. This cloud-computing company experienced a boom in 2021 when its price doubled. However, by the start of 2022, it has entered accumulation stage after witnessing a brief failed decline. FUNDAMENTALS OF ANET ANET has impressive fundamentals. Its financial results are better in every quarter than its previous quarter - a key indicator for a multi-bagger company. Its revenue grew 42 % in TTM while its net income saw a rise of 48% in TTM. Company has high margins and negligible debt, making it resilient to deteriorating financial conditions and interest rate hikes. WHEN TO BUY Once ANET is out of accumulation zone with increasing volumes, that's best time to buy it.
NYSE:ANETLong
by starringinvestors
Anant Raj Limited fundamental and technical analysis Anant Raj showed excellent quarterly results (As posted by company quarterly results till September 2022). Expectations of continued growth in the quarterly results can be observed ( to be released on 19th January 2023. for December 2022 results) Revenue growth (QoQ) is +23.14% (Till September 2022 quarter and growth expected more in December 2022 Quarter results) Earnings growth (QoQ) is +14.28 (Till September 2022 quarter and growth expected more in December 2022 Quarter results) Net Profit Growth (QoQ) is +21.80 (Till September 2022 quarter and growth expected more in December 2022 Quarter results) By technical analysis SMA day 200 is Below SMA day 150 and SMA day 50 is below price, which is a very excellent condition to buy the stock. December 2022 quarter results will be released on 19th January 2023 and expecting a great growth for the realising Quarter results. Considering fundamentals and technical analysis (Trend following) this stock (Anant Raj) is sure to turn into a multi bagger stock (by holding long term).
NSE:ANANTRAJLong
by MadhuVamsi
TSLA Pre-Earnings RunPre-earnings run setting up. Big volume beginning to come in, mostly on up days, which I interpret as accumulation by institutions at favorable prices for a company that isn't trading at nosebleed valuations anymore & still has pretty solid growth & is a leader in their industry. TSLA has been beaten down hard, shorts are likely to cover going into earnings to book some or all of their pretty sizable gains. Short interest not as high as I had anticipated, but could still aid in the rally. Additionally, there was an undercut & rally on 1/6/23 that closed near highs on big volume.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by apaqu
Feels like the market is coiled up like a spring Bulls take a position, get trapped; bears jump in and get trapped as well. A coil. Stops are placed. As they should. If the coil breaks out, half the crowd will quickly be wrong and bail. The market will eventually pick a way, discover price. Up down, cant do sideways forever. Crypto is rising, cpi is slowing. gasoline is cheaper. Cnn sentiment index is at 'greed". Percentage of stocks above moving averages is elevated. Vix is in downtrend and low end of range. Valuation is still above historical 15 PE and shiller PE is near 29. Many stocks are at 20 plus PEs, especially large caps, despite analyst show slower growth. old trader sayings: "from failed moves come fast moves" "stocks move in the direction that hurts the most people" "stocks always go up" "buy high and sell higher" Sound financial guidance recommends you only invest money you wont need for 5 years or more. Good luck and dont risk money you can't afford to lose. QQQ RTY IWM
TVC:NDQ
by optionfarmers
6
LKNCY - Breakout Entered Advance StageLKNCY has made a powerful breakout from its accumulation zone. This breakthrough came on the back of strong quarterly earnings, positive net income, and growing revenue. INTRODUCTION: LKNCY is a strong rival of Starbucks in China. It is rapidly adding new stores, reaching the nationwide number of nearly 8,000. In contrast, Starbucks has 6,000 stores in China despite its decades-long presence. BREAKOUT & ADVANCE STAGE: When a stock enters Advance Stage (called as Stage-2), its movement gets fast particularly when it is supported by strong earnings. LKNCY stayed in Accumulation Zone (Stage-1) rangebound for almost 2 years while the company did not post positive earnings for many years. But now, it has broken the resistance of accumulation stage, and entered advance stage on the back of impressive quarterly earnings. EARNINGS GROWTH Luckin's post-quarter revenue is up 18% while post-quarter earning has expanded a whopping 561%. Its earning trend and footprint growth in China shows it to be a truly growth stock. It has had negative margin for the past few years which kept its price growth lurking and slow. However, its revenue growth has never slowed down because of its rapid expansion and widening customer base. FUTURE PROSPECTS Although not enough data is available about the future growth of LKNCY, its current growth trend reveal good prospects for the future. Its technicals are sound and financials are rapidly improving.
OTC:LKNCYLong
by starringinvestors
3
STNE - Preparing for a Parabolic MoveBoth the chart pattern & recovering financial performance show that STNE is preparing for a parabolic move. I was wondering why this Brazilian Fintech Company, which had stunning financial performance in the previous years, nosedived from 90 to 10 in hardly one year. A decrease of almost 90% - that's scary for every investor. The reason I found is the bad debts - when macroeconomic situation of Brazil worsened people couldn't pay their debts. But now the STNE is recovering on the back surprising quarterly results and whopping estimates about future earnings. Let's discuss important strengths of STNE: TECHNICALS: Stock entered accumulation zone in March 2022 and is swinging between price range of 12 to 7 for the last 7 months. It is forming ascending triangle but still breakout hasn't occurred and Golden Cross is also awaited. Average volume has increased but big spikes which show institutional buying are also not yet witnessed. FUNDAMENTALS: Recent quarter has been tremendously good for STNE. Its post quarter income increased 140% and its revenues increased 10%. One surprising aspect about STNE is that its topline growth has never stopped despite negative incomes in many trailing quarters. Company's revenues increased 110% in Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) because of increasing number of customers and inspiring performance of its core payment-processing system. Its earnings estimate of $0.35 per share represents a change of +191.67% from the year-ago number. Another positive aspect is that Warren Buffet has this stock in his portfolio due to its high risk-reward potential. Hence, I am keeping this stock in strict monitoring and waiting for breakout and golden cross. Another good quarter of earnings can be real fuel for its market performance.
NASDAQ:STNELong
by starringinvestors
7
Long Rekor Systems REKR - micro cap tech, low debt, low float31 million share float. 20% short at time of post. book value quote $2.55 mkt cap 205m Rekor Systems Inc is a United States-based company. It is engaged in providing real-time roadway intelligence through AI-driven decisions. Rekor bridges commercial and government sectors with actionable, real-time vehicle recognition data. The firm uses artificial intelligence to analyze video streams and transform them into AI-driven decisions. Its machine learning software can turn most IP cameras into accurate vehicle recognition devices used to help protect lives, increase brand loyalty, and enhance operations and logistics Its geographical segments are the United States, Canada, and Other, of which the majority of its revenue comes from the United States.
NASDAQ:REKRLong
by noam_chom