Anant Raj Limited fundamental and technical analysis Anant Raj showed excellent quarterly results (As posted by company quarterly results till September 2022). Expectations of continued growth in the quarterly results can be observed ( to be released on 19th January 2023. for December 2022 results)
Revenue growth (QoQ) is +23.14% (Till September 2022 quarter and growth expected more in December 2022 Quarter results)
Earnings growth (QoQ) is +14.28 (Till September 2022 quarter and growth expected more in December 2022 Quarter results)
Net Profit Growth (QoQ) is +21.80 (Till September 2022 quarter and growth expected more in December 2022 Quarter results)
By technical analysis SMA day 200 is Below SMA day 150 and SMA day 50 is below price, which is a very excellent condition to buy the stock. December 2022 quarter results will be released on 19th January 2023 and expecting a great growth for the realising Quarter results.
Considering fundamentals and technical analysis (Trend following) this stock (Anant Raj) is sure to turn into a multi bagger stock (by holding long term).
Growthstocks
TSLA Pre-Earnings RunPre-earnings run setting up.
Big volume beginning to come in, mostly on up days, which I interpret as accumulation by institutions at favorable prices for a company that isn't trading at nosebleed valuations anymore & still has pretty solid growth & is a leader in their industry.
TSLA has been beaten down hard, shorts are likely to cover going into earnings to book some or all of their pretty sizable gains. Short interest not as high as I had anticipated, but could still aid in the rally.
Additionally, there was an undercut & rally on 1/6/23 that closed near highs on big volume.
Feels like the market is coiled up like a spring Bulls take a position, get trapped; bears jump in and get trapped as well. A coil.
Stops are placed. As they should.
If the coil breaks out, half the crowd will quickly be wrong and bail.
The market will eventually pick a way, discover price. Up down, cant do sideways forever.
Crypto is rising, cpi is slowing. gasoline is cheaper.
Cnn sentiment index is at 'greed".
Percentage of stocks above moving averages is elevated. Vix is in downtrend and low end of range.
Valuation is still above historical 15 PE and shiller PE is near 29.
Many stocks are at 20 plus PEs, especially large caps, despite analyst show slower growth.
old trader sayings:
"from failed moves come fast moves"
"stocks move in the direction that hurts the most people"
"stocks always go up"
"buy high and sell higher"
Sound financial guidance recommends you only invest money you wont need for 5 years or more.
Good luck and dont risk money you can't afford to lose.
QQQ RTY IWM
LKNCY - Breakout Entered Advance StageLKNCY has made a powerful breakout from its accumulation zone. This breakthrough came on the back of strong quarterly earnings, positive net income, and growing revenue.
INTRODUCTION:
LKNCY is a strong rival of Starbucks in China. It is rapidly adding new stores, reaching the nationwide number of nearly 8,000. In contrast, Starbucks has 6,000 stores in China despite its decades-long presence.
BREAKOUT & ADVANCE STAGE:
When a stock enters Advance Stage (called as Stage-2), its movement gets fast particularly when it is supported by strong earnings. LKNCY stayed in Accumulation Zone (Stage-1) rangebound for almost 2 years while the company did not post positive earnings for many years. But now, it has broken the resistance of accumulation stage, and entered advance stage on the back of impressive quarterly earnings.
EARNINGS GROWTH
Luckin's post-quarter revenue is up 18% while post-quarter earning has expanded a whopping 561%. Its earning trend and footprint growth in China shows it to be a truly growth stock. It has had negative margin for the past few years which kept its price growth lurking and slow. However, its revenue growth has never slowed down because of its rapid expansion and widening customer base.
FUTURE PROSPECTS
Although not enough data is available about the future growth of LKNCY, its current growth trend reveal good prospects for the future. Its technicals are sound and financials are rapidly improving.
STNE - Preparing for a Parabolic MoveBoth the chart pattern & recovering financial performance show that STNE is preparing for a parabolic move.
I was wondering why this Brazilian Fintech Company, which had stunning financial performance in the previous years, nosedived from 90 to 10 in hardly one year.
A decrease of almost 90% - that's scary for every investor. The reason I found is the bad debts - when macroeconomic situation of Brazil worsened people couldn't pay their debts. But now the STNE is recovering on the back surprising quarterly results and whopping estimates about future earnings.
Let's discuss important strengths of STNE:
TECHNICALS:
Stock entered accumulation zone in March 2022 and is swinging between price range of 12 to 7 for the last 7 months. It is forming ascending triangle but still breakout hasn't occurred and Golden Cross is also awaited. Average volume has increased but big spikes which show institutional buying are also not yet witnessed.
FUNDAMENTALS:
Recent quarter has been tremendously good for STNE. Its post quarter income increased 140% and its revenues increased 10%. One surprising aspect about STNE is that its topline growth has never stopped despite negative incomes in many trailing quarters. Company's revenues increased 110% in Trailing Twelve Months (TTM) because of increasing number of customers and inspiring performance of its core payment-processing system. Its earnings estimate of $0.35 per share represents a change of +191.67% from the year-ago number.
Another positive aspect is that Warren Buffet has this stock in his portfolio due to its high risk-reward potential.
Hence, I am keeping this stock in strict monitoring and waiting for breakout and golden cross. Another good quarter of earnings can be real fuel for its market performance.
qqq nadaq still in bear trend, battle for next move #qqqsp500 growth and nasdaq growth assumptions for next year are coming down. We have only seen slight earnings revisions. So the declines we have seen now are only from reduced growth rates expectations.
Long Rekor Systems REKR - micro cap tech, low debt, low float31 million share float. 20% short at time of post. book value quote $2.55 mkt cap 205m
Rekor Systems Inc is a United States-based company.
It is engaged in providing real-time roadway intelligence through AI-driven decisions. Rekor bridges commercial and government sectors with actionable, real-time vehicle recognition data.
The firm uses artificial intelligence to analyze video streams and transform them into AI-driven decisions.
Its machine learning software can turn most IP cameras into accurate vehicle recognition devices used to help protect lives, increase brand loyalty, and enhance operations and logistics
Its geographical segments are the United States, Canada, and Other, of which the majority of its revenue comes from the United States.
GOOG will reach 88.80 fast unless it recovers 102 this week.GOOG, after doing a bear flag, was since rejected by 102 volume profile zone. It has entered into a low volume space & the next volume support level at 88.80 will be fast unless GOOG recovers 102 after Thursday’s CPI data. Some earnings report from banks this week are also catalysts. A small oversold bounce expected this week but may not last.
Not trading advice
ADBE higher high higher low; Target of Inv H&S id 555ADBE just broke above some resistance lines as shown in the chart. Here I used GANN lines.
It broke above a small resistance zone & the downward channel. If the huge inverse H&S pattern plays out, there
Will be a huge upside with TP at 555.
A fundamental very good company with a lot of moat.
Not trading advice
Home Depot to continue the growth trendHorizon: 1-2 months
Target: $350
Technical analysis
The current correction reached more than 90% of the previous movement. Such values are standard within the uptrend and mark its continuation.
Fundamental factor
The Home Depot is an American retailer that is the world's largest retailer of repair tools and building materials. The U.S. Consumer Confidence Index averaged 103.2 points in August compared to 95.7 points in July. This indicates a shift in consumer sentiment toward secondary consumption (including repairs and construction), which may have a positive effect on the company and sales.
Boeing Company continues to grow and no trend change is expectedHorizon: 1 month
Target: $190
Potential of the idea: 20.41%
Entry volume: 10%
Stop order: $148
Technical analysis
The upward trend continues, the entry on the correction is relevant. With the volume of the position of 10% and placing a stop order at $148, the risk on the portfolio will be 0.62%. The profit/risk ratio is 3.29.
Fundamental factor
The Boeing Company is the world's leading aerospace corporation and the largest manufacturer of passenger aircraft. Q2 2022 reports showed that the company has been able to significantly reduce losses. Going forward, a return to profit generation could serve as a driver of the company's value growth.
ARRY - Array TechnologiesTop notch stock in the best group in the market right now (solar). Holding up well during the recent pullback in the broad market. It won't be able to buck the trend forever, but if the market as a whole begins to bounce or even just stabilize itself, it could allow this (and the other solar stocks) to really take off. The other two solar stocks on my focus list are SHLS & ENPH which arguably have cleaner setups, but the massive growth numbers draw me back to ARRY.
16 Year Cycle of Growth and Consolidation 1948 to 2022I think I have found a pattern of growth and consolidation of the economy and thereby of the stock market, where growth happens for almost 16 years and then it cools down for another 16 years.
Growth Phase 1 - 1948 - 1968
After World War 2 from 1948 there is huge growth in the world economy causing the SP500 to surge hugely from a low of 14.5 in 1949 to 108 in 1968 a massive growth of 660% over a period of almost 20 years, which means if you have invested 100$ in 1948 after 20 years you would have 760$ a 7.6x return.
Consolidation 1 - 1966 - 1983
With massive growth comes massive stagnation, and consolidation is a part of the economic cycle, from 1966 to 1983 SP500 only grew by 97%, 97% for a period of almost 17 years, if you have invested 100$ in 1966 after 17 years of wait you would only have 197$ which only 2x return.
Growth Phase 2 - Tech - 1982 - 2001
Integrated circuits, the tech that revolutionized the way we live, on the way of changing our lifestyle they have also created an enormous amount of wealth, from 1982 to 2001 sp500 grew by almost 1350% over a period of 19 years, if you have invested 100$ in 1982 you would have 1450$ 2001 which is a whooping 14.5X returns.
Consolidation 2 - 1996 - 2013
Consolidations are the time when if you are unlucky you wouldn't have made a dime in return even after waiting for 15 years in SP500, from 1996 to 2013 SP500 only grew by 120%, which means a 100$ invested in 96 only gives you 220$ in 2013 after waiting for almost 17 years all you would have is 120$ extra a measly 2.2X.
Growth Phase 3 - 2009 - ongoing
Finally, we have reached the phase we are currently living in, this is the phase where the dot com companies have become the blue-chip stocks that decide the fate of our economy, since 2009 SP500 has grown tremendously from 733 to the peak of Jan 2022 of 4750 which is almost 550% in growth, meaning if you have invested 100$ in 2009 you would have almost 550$ at the peak of Jan 2022 a huge 5.5X return in 13 years.
Since I don't have pro membership I couldn't add images to the post.
IMGN - ImmunoGen, Inc.Setup - simple base breakout after a solid 70% move off the lows followed by 5 weeks of consolidation. Earnings during consolidation were below expectation. However, after a slight selloff, shares were gobbled back up and volatility was squeezed out right below the breakout level. Half size because the broad market is running a bit hot and could be due for a pullback relatively soon.
earnings on deck for $RIVN beaten down growthFundamentally we all know that RIVN was overvalued from day one and was in many ways a poster child for the growth at all costs movement of 2020/21. However, after shedding 80% of its value perhaps it is finding some interest. Like most growth names it has picked up in recent weeks but still faces overhead supply on any large bull run.
All that said I have seen a fair number of their trucks on the roads of Colorado this summer and sales will eventually broaden. As long as they can keep up on both manufacturing and company management this may in the long run prove to be a good buy. I will be waiting for earnings before making a move myself.
not full blown recession... yetWatching the 3 mo and 2 year very closely. I think this is an indicator for a recession and not the 2 and 10's because it shows more that the short term risk is outweighing anything mid term.
Everything is is wishy washy with definitions now a days lol but this is going to be the icing on the cake for confirmations.
Looking at the dollar strength we had a little pullback buts its ready to resume higher putting more weakness on emerging markets and currencies and also US equities.
Looking at UVXY and the VIX i think that the 20 range for the vix is a newer normal in this market environment though UVXY is going really low now and almost oversold on the daily compared to where we are at in this little "recovery" thats been taking place.
a lot to digest in the macro perspective and we'll see what the terminal rate will end up being for the FED. exciting times.
That's all folks.
AMZN targets the 92-82 pandemic D.bottom low & Vol Profile zone?AMZN has been making an ABC correction since the 188 ATH. The decline was very fast once it failed
to hold the 150 volume profile zone. It has retraced exactly to 101, the 0.854 FIB of the 82 pandemic low to ATH. There was a little bounce but AMZN basically is just hovering around the 2016 TL while consolidating inside my red box without breaking the downtrend line.
LOOKING BEARISH. I think AMZN will target the pandemic low at 82 to make a double bottom ending hew
ABC correction. 82 is also the 0.618 FIB retracement from 14.20 (2015 low) to ATH. 82 is also the 1.618
Fib Extention of the ABC correction, making it a very strong support.
WARNING: There may still be a 20% downside from latest low at 101 as consumer discretionary will be the
first to suffer during an economic downturn.
Not trading advice
Do not fade the growth (risk on) trade above this levelThe ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) is the poster child for growth appetite in this market environment. It's been left for dead in a cascade of selling throughout 2022, but most recently, it's been showing some relative strength, bottoming price action, and is in the process of breaking out to 2-month highs.
As long as ARKK is > 46.50, the growth (risk on) trade is on and should not be faded.
The best hedge - is growthINVESTMENT CONTEXT
In the wake of robust demand despite mounting recession fears, Saudi Aramco hiked its crude oil prices for Asia's market to near record on July 5. In August Arab Light crude price will sit at USD 9.30/boe above the regional benchmark
For the first time since May 11, WTI crude oil fell below USD 100/boe. According to Citigroup, oil price could plunge to USD 65boe by the end of this year, while JP Morgan forecasts oil at “stratospheric” USD 380/boe
On July 5, the ambassadors of 30 NATO States signed Accession Protocols for Finland and Sweden, effectively kicking-off the ratification process, which usually takes one month
Inflation in the U.K. hit a fresh 40-year high, standing at 9.1% in June compared with 9.0% in May. The political stability of the country has come under pressure after Chancellor of the Exchequer Rishi Sunak and Health Secretary Sajid Javid quit the Cabinet, citing divergences with Premier Boris Johnson in the matter of economic policy-making
Prices of corn, soybean, wheat, and several other agricultural commodities fell by more than 20% in recent weeks, largely reverting to pre-pandemic levels as financial players unmounted bearish speculative positions
Italy declared state of emergency for Northern regions facing the worst draught in 70 years, threatening 30% of Italian agriculture output.
PROFONE'S TAKE
Following the considerations about record high electricity prices in Europe, ProfOne's eyes are now set on nuclear plants, the development of which matches well with Europe's ambitious plan of energy transition and reduction of the reliance on Russian gas. Yet, as anticipated by ProfZero, a full-scale energy rotation will take time, and relevant capital investments, to happen. The nuclear plant of Olkiluoto in Finland entered construction phase in 2005 while that of Flamanville in France in 2007; both projects haven't been delivered yet, yet costs already exceeded original budgets by up to 3 times. With that in mind, and recalling that costs of renewable technologies based on solar and wind energy are declining, ProfOne understands why nuclear projects have become less attractive for investors. Nuclear requires the elaboration of new financing models and scaling strategies. Some near-term relief may be achieved through expansion of new small reactors, which are faster and easier to build; yet the vast majority of these assets have not fully come online yet.
PROFZERO'S TAKE
Robin Brooks, chief economist at the Institute of International Finance, aptly summarized what does it concretely mean to change economic paradigm: "Germany's growth model has been to import cheap energy from Russia, use that to assemble manufactured goods and export those goods to the rest of the world". Now that Russian natural gas deliveries are sputtering, Germany has posted its first monthly trade deficit since 1991, and the country has entered phase 2 of its 3-step energy emergency plan. ProfZero prefers to resist the urge of calling for capitulation; after all the country can re-activate coal-fired while it speeds up the construction of much-needed LNG regasification assets. Yet zooming out, the theme of energy independence is what actually is making the whole difference between the U.S. and the EU - and shall be a likely recurring theme for the next growth paradigm of the entire Western world
Seeing crude oil plummeting 10% in one single trading session can only mean that markets are bracing for a recession. Fundamentals don't lie: according to EIA, the world in 2022 will produce more crude oil than it really needs, with forecasted supply at 100.1mboe/d, and demand at 99.6mboe/d. ProfZero points out that one of the virtues of commodity markets lies in price-formation mechanisms strictly tied to basic supply-demand interplay. Sadly, the disruptions in European natural gas are preventing the same from happening; yet should frictions be erased, it is all too rational to expect also TTF to briskly retrace
Can give 20% return in 30 daysPlease refer chart for detailed explanation on technical analysis .
Find buying opportunity at/near support zone.
If you think my analysis is helpful than please do like my idea. For future reference do follow me so that you do not miss any of my analyses.
You can also check my other analysis where we achieved 15 to 20% return in short term. Link is shared below or else you can visit my profile and check all the Ideas which I have shared.
Feel free to leave any questions you have in the comments! I will gladly respond to them.
Hopefully, this helps you out a little bit. Please make your own research before investing.
P.S: This is not an investment advice. This chart is meant for learning purposes only. This is my personal viewpoint so please Invest your capital at your own risk
Best two wheeler stockPlease refer chart for detailed explanation on technical analysis .
If its breaks 600 level than there are chances it will go down to support 1 and 2
If you think my analysis is helpful than please do like my idea. For future reference do follow me so that you do not miss any of my analyses.
You can also check my other analysis where we achieved 15 to 20% return in short term. Link is shared below or else you can visit my profile and check all the Ideas which I have shared.
Feel free to leave any questions you have in the comments! I will gladly respond to them.
Hopefully, this helps you out a little bit. Please make your own research before investing.
P.S: This is not an investment advice. This chart is meant for learning purposes only. This is my personal viewpoint so please Invest your capital at your own risk