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Goldman Sachs (GS): Ready for a Big Correction?As we projected four months ago, Goldman Sachs ( NYSE:GS ) has reached our anticipated upside range between $516 and $575, touching $540 specifically. We've reinforced our analysis with a trend line dating back to 2016, which has been tested and validated three times. Combining this trend line, the Elliott wave count, and key Fibonacci levels, our outlook now points towards a significant pullback from current levels. Given that we're likely dealing with a larger Elliott wave cycle, we anticipate a substantial correction of around 28%. While a 28% decline sounds extreme, it's not unprecedented for $GS. The drop from the top of wave 3 to the bottom of wave 4 was 35%, and the decline from wave (1) to (2) was almost 50%. Even smaller corrections within these larger waves illustrate that major pullbacks are essential for long-term growth, especially as institutional investors take profits. With Goldman Sachs having gained 87% year-to-date—a remarkable rise in this sector—a correction is likely as big players start locking in their gains. We aren't sure yet how this correction will unfold, but we anticipate a sharper, quicker drop compared to the more prolonged wave (2) correction. A potential support level for wave A could be around $420. Meanwhile, wave C and the overarching wave (4) are expected to land between $366 and $264. We are not setting a limit order at the moment but have alerts in place for both scenarios: whether we call the exact top here or see NYSE:GS push higher before pulling back. Either way, we'll be ready and will update you as the situation evolves.
NYSE:GSShort
by freeguy_by_wmc
Arkham and Gatalasaray just signed a sponsorship deal$Arkm 1D chart; After signing a 2-year shirt sleeve sponsorship with Galatasaray, Arkham continues to move towards a narrowing trend line The existing bullish harmonic pattern is active as long as the stop level is not seen. Let's not forget the possibility that OB zones may work as resistance In order for the pattern to be completed, it is expected to make a rate of 222% from the current level. #arkm #galatasaray #turkey #turkiye #football
Long
by ugurtash
Goldman Sachs Rides High on AI Investments & Strong PerformanceAmidst a landscape of evolving financial markets and emerging technologies, Goldman Sachs ( NYSE:GS ) has strategically positioned itself to capitalize on the growing demand for AI-related infrastructure. The success of OpenAI's ChatGPT has invigorated investor confidence, leading to increased funding in promising AI startups. In the wake of the Federal Reserve's efforts to navigate the economy towards a 'soft landing,' Goldman Sachs has demonstrated resilience and adaptability. Despite the challenges posed by rising interest rates and inflationary pressures, the firm has reported robust performance across various divisions. Goldman's investment banking division witnessed a remarkable 32% surge in fees, driven by heightened activity in debt and equity underwriting, as well as advisory services for mergers and acquisitions. Additionally, revenue from trading in fixed income, currencies, and commodities (FICC) saw a notable uptick, buoyed by record financing revenue in mortgages and structured lending. Equities revenue also experienced a substantial increase, reflecting the firm's ability to capitalize on market opportunities. Meanwhile, the asset and wealth management division achieved record quarterly management fees and witnessed significant growth in assets under supervision. The Platform Solutions unit, which encompasses Goldman's consumer operations, reported a 24% increase in revenue. As the firm continues to streamline its consumer banking segment, investors are eagerly anticipating the potential for profitability in 2025. However, amidst the positive momentum, Goldman Sachs faces scrutiny over its consumer banking strategy. Concerns have been raised regarding the efficacy of CEO David Solomon's retail push, leading to calls for the separation of the chairman and CEO roles. Additionally, Goldman's co-branded credit card partnerships with General Motors have been discontinued, signaling potential challenges in its consumer-facing ventures. The bank's provisions for credit losses have also increased, reflecting uncertainties in its credit card and wholesale loan portfolios. Despite these challenges, Goldman Sachs ( NYSE:GS ) remains focused on optimizing its business model and enhancing shareholder value. With a strategic emphasis on traditional banking activities and continued investments in emerging technologies, the firm is well-positioned to navigate the evolving financial landscape."
NYSE:GSLong
by DEXWireNews
BAC setting up to thrive from rate - cuts LONGBAC is showed here on a 100R(ange) where price action from the Covid lows to the federal stimulus highs to the fade and consolidation of Summer 2022 to Summer 2023 and another fade and reversal from it are seen on the chart. At presen, BAC has reversed upside. With Uncles Powell and Sam announcing likely three rate cuts in 24Q3 and 24Q4, I see banks including BAC getting a break with more loan originations and less pressure for high payouts on savings accounts which may be the capital sources of those loans. I see this a an opportunity here and now to take long positions before those hypothetical cuts get baked into the price. The same may go for WFC, JPM, GS and others. My first target is 44 at the " neckline" of the 3,4Q21 triple top.
NYSE:BACLong
by AwesomeAvani
JPM a financial rockstar in stampede mode LONGJPM on the daily chart has plain and obvious consistent momentum albeit with corrections. The markets are expected to thrive in this lection year and three rate cuts are projected in the net 8 months. The best time to buy JPM was both March 22 and October 23. I suggest the next best time is now before the forecasted rate cuts are factored into price ahead of the cuts. I just got notified of unusual options volumes for a price of 220 for the July 24 expiration which is not a surprise and is the month of the presidential nominating conventions. That is 10% above current price and suggests the options buyers are expecting price to be in that money by July meaning maybe a target for price is 225-250. No matter, I am getting mine now before the prices rise.
NYSE:JPMLong
by AwesomeAvani
Goldman Sachs: Leap Over $500 or Just a Bubble?As we start into the Earnings Season, our focus turns to Goldman Sachs Group on the daily chart. Zooming out, we observe the completion of the higher-degree Waves III and IV, finalized at $290, marked by a Triangle where Wave E broke to the downside. Subsequently, an impulsive Wave (1) unfolded, reaching $390. Now, the anticipation is set for Wave (2), expected to retracement between 50% and 78.6%. This retracement aligns neatly with a retest of the Triangle's trendline. The exact internal wave structure of Wave (2) remains uncertain. Given Goldman Sachs' tendency for gradual movements, we'll maintain our focus solely on the daily chart for now. This retest, while possibly extended, remains a retest, suggesting the opportunity for positioning in wave (2), or the a wave (3). Consequently, we continue to anticipate a significant and prolonged rise above the $500 mark, should the conditions align.
NYSE:GSLong
by stromm_by_wmc
2
GRPN on a one month breakout LONGThis is to follow up my previous idea on Groupon. On the 2H chart, price is in a one month sustained breakout from the volume profile and into the upper VWAP band lines both anchored for end of 2023. The faster green RSI line crossed the 50 about the same time and basically has not looked down. The slower RSI line has slowly risen from 55 to 65. This is in the consumer discretionary sector and hot necessarily hinged to technology stocks. I see this as rock-solid as it gets. I will load more shares now and also load more ona dip There was a big earnings miss in November and then Goldman Sachs raised its target from 5 to 7.5 which seems like a big adjustment after an earnings miss. I suppose GS knows their stuff.
NASDAQ:GRPNLong
by AwesomeAvani
🏦💹 Goldman Sachs (GS) Analysis📈 Technical Overview: GS Price: Potential benefits in uncertain macroeconomic conditions. Resilience: Historical resilience, particularly noted during the 2008 financial crisis. Private Equity Capital: Significant capital in private equity firms ($1.3 trillion at the start of 2023). Potential Impact: Expected to benefit intermediaries like Goldman Sachs. 📊💼 Financial Outlook: M&A Deals: Expected to facilitate complex M&A deals, earning fees for the company. 📈🚀 Trade Sentiment: Sentiment: Bullish on Goldman Sachs (GS). Entry Range: Above $320.00-$325.00. Upside Target: Set in the $520.00-$530.00 range. 🔄💡 Note: Monitor macroeconomic trends for confirmation and adjust strategy accordingly. 📉💡 #GoldmanSachs #GS #FinancialAnalysis 🏦💼
NYSE:GSLong
by Richtv_official
GS Earnings and Institutional HoldingsNYSE:GS has had a sudden huge decline in its Institutional Holdings from last quarter--a whopping 12%. That's huge. This suggests that often the selling is from Buy-Side Institutions. Goldman Sachs has a buyback program of 30 billion dollars underway, approved end of February 2023. The Buybacks started in March and have continued until recently. I showed the buyback activity on the daily chart in this article earlier this month. The Support from corporate buybacks poses problems for selling short. The stock is also prone to HFT triggers with frequent gapping. The first Support level is just above the 2022 lows. The company reported earnings this morning and gapped down at open but is holding onto the sideways range it's been in for 2 weeks so far. However, Quarterly and Annual Reports are starting to show signs of weakness as this company struggles to reinvent. NYSE:GS is also facing loss of revenues from IPO underwriting as the NASDAQ Private Market is undermining the high income usually generated from IPOs by underwriters. IMO, the investment banking industry is slowly becoming obsolete as DeFi, Fintech, Blockchain technologies and Crypto currencies continue to advance and erode traditional revenue streams.
NYSE:GS
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
US30 event risk - a pivotal week of earnings ahead US Q2 earnings this week – Citi, JP Morgan, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, UnitedHealth This week we get the US big money centres out with earnings. The focus falls on asset quality, loan growth/contraction, net interest margins (NIM) and any commentary on the recent tightening of broad financial conditions. When we look at the companies included in the US30, there are only two banks (of the 30 constituents) - Goldmans and JP Morgan. However, the US30 holds an incredibly high relationship with the XLF ETF (S&P financial sector ETF), with a 10-day correlation of 93%. With so many of the major financial institutions reporting, assuming this relationship holds up, the US30 should mirror the movement in the US banks. Another important risk for US30 traders this week is how the market reacts to earnings from United Health (UNH - report on 13 October). UNH commands a massive 10% weight on the US30, arguably the biggest weight on the index. UNH is not a stock that CFD traders look at as closely as a say aTesla or Nvidia, given its more defensive price action. It’s one for the range traders, where buying into $460 and shorting into $520 has worked well over the past 12 months. However, given the weighting, US30 traders should be aware of the influence the stock can offer. The market prices an implied move of 2.6% move on the day of UNHs reporting, which is in fitting with the average price change over the past 8 quarterly reporting periods. UNH has seen some large percentage moves over earnings and recall in the last earnings report the stock rallied 7.2% - so a sizeable rally/decline would influence the US30 given the weight. While macro factors such as moves in bond yields, the USD and oil prices will influence the US30, one can see that earnings this week could also play a major role – time to buy the dip, or are we about to see a leg lower in the index?
PEPPERSTONE:US30
by Pepperstone
$GS Head & Shoulders Patternkeeping an eye on a potential Head & Shoulders pattern in the stock of Goldman Sachs (ticker symbol: NYSE:GS ). The Head & Shoulders pattern is a popular technical analysis pattern used by traders to predict potential trend reversals. It typically consists of three peaks: a higher peak (head) between two lower peaks (shoulders). The pattern suggests a potential reversal from an uptrend to a downtrend. Here are some key points to keep in mind when trading or investing based on this pattern: 1. **Confirmation**: A Head & Shoulders pattern is only confirmed when the price breaks below the "neckline," which is the line that connects the lows of the two shoulders. This breakout typically signals a bearish trend reversal. 2. **Volume**: Analyzing trading volume can be crucial. Ideally, you'd like to see declining volume as the pattern forms, followed by a noticeable increase in volume on the breakout below the neckline. This increase in volume adds more credibility to the pattern. 3. **Price Targets**: Some traders use the height of the head to the neckline to estimate a potential price target for the downward move after the breakout. 4. **False Signals**: Not all Head & Shoulders patterns work out as expected. Sometimes they can be false signals. It's important to consider other technical indicators, market conditions, and fundamental factors when making trading decisions. 5. **Risk Management**: Always have a clear risk management strategy in place. Determine your stop-loss levels to limit potential losses if the trade goes against you. 6. **Market Context**: Consider the broader market context and news related to the specific stock and industry. Market sentiment and external factors can impact the success of the pattern. 7. **Timeframe**: The effectiveness of this pattern can vary depending on the timeframe you're trading. It's often more reliable on longer timeframes, but it can also be applied to shorter ones. Remember that no trading or investing strategy is foolproof, and past patterns are not guarantees of future performance. It's essential to conduct thorough research and analysis before making any trading decisions. If you're not experienced with technical analysis or trading, consider consulting with a financial advisor or professional who can provide personalized guidance based on your financial goals and risk tolerance.
NYSE:GSShort
by AlgoTradeAlert
Goldman Sachs Group WCA - Symmetrical TriangleCompany: Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. Ticker: GS Exchange: NYSE Sector: Financials Introduction: In this analysis, we are examining Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS) on the NYSE, a key player in the financial sector. The weekly chart indicates a potential bullish reversal in the form of a classic Symmetrical Triangle pattern that has been forming over the past 287 days. Symmetrical Triangle Pattern: The Symmetrical Triangle is usually a sign of indecision, in this case, it seems to be acting as a reversal pattern after a downward trend. Analysis: Goldman Sachs' previous trend was downward, represented by the blue resistance line. However, this downward trend seems to have been interrupted by the symmetrical triangle pattern, suggesting a potential reversal. The price is above the 200 EMA, indicating a bullish environment. Currently, it appears that the price may close above the diagonal resistance. Confirmation of this should occur when the candle closes. If it does, a long position could be considered. The price target in the event of a successful breakout would be 453, corresponding to a rise of about 32%. A minor resistance could be encountered at 420. Conclusion: Goldman Sachs' weekly chart presents a promising bullish reversal setup. If confirmed by a breakout above the diagonal resistance, this could offer an attractive long trading opportunity. Please remember, this analysis should form part of your overall market research and risk management strategy, and is not direct trading advice. If you found this analysis helpful, please consider liking, sharing, and following for more insights. Wishing you successful trading! Best regards, Karim Subhieh Disclaimer: This analysis is not financial advice and is intended for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
NYSE:GS
by KarimSubhieh
8
GS The Goldman Sachs Group Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold GS here: Then analyzing the options chain of GS The Goldman Sachs Group prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 330usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2023-7-28, for a premium of approximately $5.55. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NYSE:GSLong
by TopgOptions
2
Will JPM higher after earnings ?JPM is in an uptrend since earnings the morning of July 14th at the end of the trading week. On the 1H chart with VWAP band lines anchored to a week before earnings as a dynamic support and resistance reference shows a rise from below the first standard deviation above the mean VWAP to above it with a pullback after the earnings and then a continuation at the depth of the pullback today July 17th. The two-time frame RSI indicator shows the lower TF blue line moving lower despite the uptrend today. This is suggestive of bearish divergence. The zero-lag MACD shows a cross of the lines above the histogram suggesting a reversal as does the green to red and positive to negative on the histogram. As a result, I will watch JPM for reversal and a put option or short sell stock trade.
NYSE:JPMShort
by AwesomeAvani
GS Pre Earnings LONGGoldman Sachs pivoted from a low on July 11th into a trend up until July 14th during which it pulled back. Since earnings are on July 19th, I see room now for a pre-earnings long entry. The MTF RSI indicator shows the lower TF RSI in blue reflecting the pullback while the higher TF RSI in black shows the longer trend up with the RSI holding support at 50. The zero-lag MACD shows a line cross under a slightly positive histogram suggesting the pullback will reverse to continuation. Overall, I see GS as being suitable for long entries which I will take as call options. I will zoom into the 5 or 15 minute chart and look for a pivot low as the ideal entry. I will set a stop loss of 10% while taking one contract as a strike $330 expiring July 21st and another $330 expiring July 28th. I have picked targets based on the upper standard deviations of the VWAP bands anchored back to the pivot low on July 11th. Overall, I am expecting a 100% ROI on the two contracts.
NYSE:GSLong
by AwesomeAvani
$GS Trade Idea - Bank Stress Test With the Bank Stress Test showing positive results, here's a possible trade gameplan for GS into qEnd provided conditions are met and we have a bullish reaction to GDP + Unemployment numbers in pre-market tomorrow. The path on the 15 min chart looks messy since that's the lowest resolution I can publish, so I've included a 5 min version in the screenshot below. Ideal Gameplan: 1. Price opens above risky area shown on chart and holds above the orange rectangle on the pullback 2. Long 6/30 $325C or $327.5C 3. Can cut some at 10 am if you wish, or hold for the push into 11:30 4. On the first decent pullback after 10 am, grab some $330C "lottos" if you've scaled out Cost Basis from the initial call position 5. By 11:30, price should've made an HH that will only be exceeded near the EOD or on Friday morning (can trim most/all of $330C here if you want) 6. If above conditions are met and price continues to base above $327.50-328 during the afternoon session, can look to re-enter $330C for the late-day push, holding final runners for Friday, but keep in mind there will be theta burn overnight Note: If price opens in the orange box shown, or enters orange box during the initial pullback after open, it's best to wait until the orange box is safely cleared, as there is a chance we backtest the afterhours PA under $320
NYSE:GSLong
by bullspacman
2