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BTC negating breakout could mean impending correctionINVESTMENT CONTEXT The epicenter of the Ukraine conflict is now Severodonetsk, where 70% of the strategically important eastern city had been captured by Russia, until a Ukrainian counterattack claimed it back The World Health Organisation (WHO) reported that there have been 780 confirmed monkeypox cases over the past three weeks in countries where the disease is not endemic The WTO dubbed the global risk for monkeypox as "moderate" U.K. sales in May fell 1.1% on a yearly basis, as consumers cut down on big-ticket items like furniture and electronics A global rush to secure lithium, nickel, cobalt and other key battery minerals from a handful of nations is sending commodity and battery prices to all-time highs Goldman Sachs senior chairman Lloyd Blankfein urged investors to "dial back" on negativity, seeing a rather possible "soft landing" for the economy PROFZERO'S TAKE ECB policy makers are clashing about when to stop reinvesting into the continent's government bonds, with some positing to act as early as this week. ProfZero keeps ECB - and now also Bank of England, BoE - policy making high on its radar, as but parts of the impending quantitative tightening have been priced by market In a rather choppy session, equities gave up much of the earlier gains on June 6 as bear momentum persisted. ProfZero concurs with The Economist on a recession in the making for 2023 or even 2024, as higher interest rates trickle down into costlier mortgages and liquidity dry-up for "zombie" corporates (i.e. firms that can't generate sufficient cash flow to make up for interest payments). Yet near-term breathers like China's reopening and the resilience of U.S. economy point to a rather mild crash. Will that be enough to absorb also the surge in commodity prices? Much of the answer lies in China, where Goldman Sachs just boosted forecasts May 20, June 1 and June 6: ProfZero called all BTC sell-offs indicating insufficient buy-side pressure. Now that the triangle trade is restored, a potential correction is brewing - a new call on leg (C) of short-term Elliott wave PROFONE'S TAKE ProfOne’s sees it about time to dig into container shipments, given that 90% of the world's goods are seaborne. Port bottlenecks, shortage of empty containers and land transport delays, worsened by Ukraine-Russia war and Chinese lockdowns, caused the well-known supply chains disruptions of 2021. Freight rates are in average five time higher now compared to pre-pandemic levels. While global carriers are enjoying the sixth straight quarter of record-high profits, prices do not see signs of abating. ProfOne agrees that China reopening and decline of consumer demand like in the U.K. could ease the situation, but there is no optimism about steep freight rates reduction just ahead of peak delivery season and ports congestion still at historically high levels PROFTHREE'S TAKE Building on China's Premier Li Keqiang warning in May that the economy is now facing bigger difficulties than those in 2020, ProfThree points out a contraction of China’s services activity for the third month in a row. In May, the Caixin gauge rose to 41.1 points after plunging to 36.2 in April, yet remained well below the 50.0 points level which separates growth from contraction. Referring to ProfZero’s recent reflection on the deflationary nature of services consumption, ProfThree is worried about the growing unemployment the sector is facing due to COVID-induced restrictions, and its effect on the economy. Profs are awaiting Chinese data on inflation due June 10, both PPI and CPI (Producers’ and Consumers’ Price Index, respectively). The print is considered one of the key factors in the People's Bank of China's decision on interest rates expected by the third week of June
CME:BTC1!
by ProfZero
Real economy beating expectations yet markets trading in red 🤔INVESTMENT CONTEXT President Vladimir Putin said that Russia was not blocking Ukrainian wheat from being exported, and that the grain could be dispatched via ports controlled either by Russia or Ukraine. Before the war, Russia and Ukraine accounted for ca. 29% of international annual wheat sales U.S. economy added 390,000 jobs in May, beating analyst expectations (325,000) and showing resilient real economy in the face of rampant inflation and higher interest rates Crude oil inventories in the U.S. fell to 414.7 million barrels in the wake of strong demand, yet limiting chances of further releases to cool domestic energy prices Goldman Sachs COO John Waldron followed JPMorgan's CEO Jamie Dimon saying “This is among if not the most complex, dynamic environment I’ve ever seen in my career". On a similar tone, in a leaked Tesla email, Elon Musk cited having a "super bad feeling" about the economy as the main reason for shedding 10% of the company's workforce PROFZERO'S TAKE When good news are met with S&P 500 dropping more than 1.50%, and Nasdaq doing even worse at 2.47% in the red, we know something is off. That's what happens when bears are in control, and policy makers are desperate to understand how far can they move with tightening before the backlash. A remarkably strong U.S. economy just added 390,000 jobs in May, beating analyst expectations and reassuring the Fed it could maintain the trajectory of 50bps rate hikes in July and August. ProfZero clearly welcomes Main Street's resilience and rising wages - yet, as anticipated in Step99 podcast, it cautions against the forward-looking effects of monetary policy vs. the actual state of the economy. As pointed out by The Economist, "A recession in America by 2024 looks likely" - today's strength of the real economy may at best soften its blow Citigroup CEO Jane Fraser sees "three R" whiplashing EU economy - rates, Russia and recession, this latter happening in Europe ahead of the U.S. because of "the energy side (...) really having an impact". ProfZero has made energy a key theme of this Parlay, with potentially more decisive effects on the real economy than monetary policy. With Brent testing again USD 120/boe and fading cushion inventories from the U.S., it is hard to imagine how the EU will cope with the next cold season without rationing output, hence slashing GDP growth. Regasification plants and last-generation nuclear are definitely tools of the future; but by then, are seaborne imports going to be enough? Equities are definitely off the lows witnessed in April and early May - perhaps Musk's "super bad feeling" and Mr. Dimon's "hurricane" are rather looming on the real economy? Not an inch less worrying... BTC once again confidently breaking up the mid-term triangle pattern and trying to regain 32k after trading below 30k on June 4-5 - and yet ProfZero's eyes are set on the lurking death cross on 200MA PROFONE'S TAKE After sharing about lithium and nickel, ProfOne completes the overview of rare minerals that are crucial for the production of batteries setting its eyes are on cobalt. Cobalt prices soared from USD 30k/ton in January to USD 52k in May - on top of the 2x surge in 2021 vs. 2020. According to the Cobalt Institute, in the next five years cobalt demand is expected to hit 320k/ton, up from 175k/ton in 2021. ProfOne argues that meeting such demand won’t be operatively easy. For once, cobalt is yet another highly concentrated resource: about 70% of world’s cobalt comes from the Democratic Republic of Congo, where production is dominated by Chinese companies and commodities trader Glencore (GLEN). Adding to it that world's second supplier of cobalt is Russia, the metals puzzle turns out to be a fairly intricate one
CME:BTC1!
by ProfZero
Daily US Stocks Volatility Forecast 27 May 22 APPL, AMZ, GOOGLApple 27 May 2022 For today, the current expected volatility is going to be below 2.75% with a chance of probability of 80% This is going to be translated in a movement of +- 3.96$ from opening candle Taking into account the close candle price which was around 143.78 we can consider our daily channel the next TOP 147.75 BOT 139.8 For today we have no big fundamental news which can affect the price of the asset. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ AMAZON 27 May 2022 For today, the current expected volatility is going to be below 3.61% with a chance of probability of 80% This is going to be translated in a movement of +- 80$ from opening candle Taking into account the close candle price which was around 2221 we can consider our daily channel the next TOP 2301 BOT 2141 For today we have no big fundamental news which can affect the price of the asset. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ GOOGLE 27 May 2022 For today, the current expected volatility is going to be below 2.67% with a chance of probability of 80% This is going to be translated in a movement of +- 57$ from opening candle Taking into account the close candle price which was around 2155 we can consider our daily channel the next TOP 2214 BOT 2098 For today we have no big fundamental news which can affect the price of the asset. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Goldman Sachs 27 May 2022 For today, the current expected volatility is going to be below 2.67% with a chance of probability of 75% This is going to be translated in a movement of +- 8.6$ from opening candle Taking into account the close candle price which was around 323.6we can consider our daily channel the next TOP 332 BOT 315 For today we have no big fundamental news which can affect the price of the asset. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NASDAQ:AAPL
by exlux
GS Fibonacci Circle Price Positions There are two positions we are either in The white rectangle which is the beginning of a rejection pattern along the circle, or a green circle which is a bullish pattern that finds support on the circle I am leaning more towards the green circle position (bullish state) due to the position price being quite highly above the circle and it is more comparable to the green circle on the yellow fib ring Being above the green trend line adds to this bullish assumption This is the Weekly chart for GS (Goldman Sachs)
NYSE:GS
by Bixley
$GS Goldman Sachs - Key Levels, Analysis, & Targets$GS Goldman Sachs - Key Levels, Analysis, & Targets This is a very long view, taking GS from the bottom of 2008 until today…. I’m expecting another 35% drawdown from here, but not necessarily by the end of the year which I have pictured… I was just running out of room so I didn’t want to push it further out. I’d say by the end of 2023. Around 210 I’d be comfortable truly going long again. Until then, it’s trader country. Every target is a good target to add for a swing, and personally, I’m just going to continue selling puts at the bottom of the expected range until we’re at least under the 250 level. Trade setup 1 at 308.04 1 at 292.99 2 at 248.98 4 at 210 8 at 185.52 (Then multiply by your multiplier (x5, x10, x100, x1000, etc to find your position size) --- I am not your financial advisor. Watch my setups first before you jump in (or go back and review my past setups)… My trade set ups work very well and they are for my personal reference and if you decide to trade them you do so at your own risk. I will gladly answer questions to the best of my knowledge but ultimately the risk is on you. I will update targets as needed. GL and happy trading. IF you need anything analyzed Technically just comment with the Ticker and I’ll do it as soon as possible…
NYSE:GSShort
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
Goldman losing its pile of Gold. GSImmediate targets 344, 325, 301. Invalidation 467. We are not in the business of getting every prediction right, no one ever does and that is not the aim of the game. The Fibonacci targets are highlighted in purple with invalidation in red. Fibonacci goals, it is prudent to suggest, are nothing more than mere fractally evident and therefore statistically likely levels that the market will go to. Having said that, the market will always do what it wants and always has a mind of its own. Therefore, none of this is financial advice, so do your own research and rely only on your own analysis. Trading is a true one man sport. Good luck out there and stay safe
NYSE:GSShort
by Rykin_Capital
3
More correction in banks..!It seems Banks will correct in the coming days..! Considering their weight it will affect the S&P 500 and Dow! You can see the most important support(green line) and resistance (red line) levels. Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NYSE:GSShort
by Moshkelgosha
1
Banks could experience a bullish rally..!it seems Banks stocks have finished their correction and started a new rally! Keep them in your portfolio during high inflation times! You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NYSE:BACLong
by Moshkelgosha
6
Integrity is Important!Please review the analysis published on November 4th, 2021: Title: Negative days ahead for banks! You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NYSE:BACShort
by Moshkelgosha
2
Negative days ahead for banks!It seems Banks have run out of steam and in the near future, they will make a correction or go sideways! BAC: Fails to close above 48.50 WFC: Got rejected from resistance level and may retest 46 in the coming days C: struggling at the support line MS: pure consolidation between 96-106 JPM: 2-3% correction is expected! GS: could retest 370 level once again! You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NYSE:BACShort
by Moshkelgosha
3