Dow Stocks Goldman Sachs (GS)A look at Goldman , this is a younger company than most and seem particularly vulnerable to a financial crash
I used mostly monthly resistance, very rare will weekly matter in this case
GS
Goldman Sachs: Nice H&S ReversalBack to the low 170's? Seems reasonable. Poor sector performance, nice H&S pattern. We're going for it...
Decision Time for Goldman SachsThe H&S target has been reached, leaving GS at the rising trend line of the large rising wedge that has been in play since the 2008 crash. The RSI is showing that GS is oversold while the MACD is still taking a plunge. A MACD recovery and bullish cross would be a good sign. If the price closes under the rising trend line, I expect a large plunge to the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement. If the support holds, expect return to the top of the rising wedge .
GS Approaching Support, Potential Bounce!GS is approaching support at 171.75 (61.8% Fibonacci extension, 76.4% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support) where it could potentially rise to its resistance at 209.46 (horizontal pullback resistance).
Stochastic (89, 5, 3) is approaching support at 3.1% where a corresponding bounce could occur.
Autonomous AI Vision Fund Upgrades Goldman Sachs to Sell $179.5Autonomous AI Vision Fund Upgrades Goldman Sachs to Sell $179.5
Strong Sell Rating $270
GS Approaching Support, Potential Bounce!
GS is approaching support at 171.75 (61.8% Fibonacci extension, 76.4% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support) where price could bounce up to its resistance at 209.46 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback resistance).
Stochastic (89, 5, 3) is approaching its support at 3.15%.
Goldman Sachs : Bearish SignalGoldman Sachs is in head and shoulders (s1 h s2) validated configuration in weekly. The break ok the neckline has confirmed the configuration and the bearish signal. From now, a pullback over the neckline is expected before the start of the strong bearish phase. Objective is 160$.
GOLDMAN H&S CONFIRMEDWe are witnessing a softening in the market. The Dow Jones Industrials appear to be a mixed bag. Buying blind is NOT the strategy at this point - it worked for 10 years, now the easy money has been made.
As suspected, the mid-term elections have not been without incident, and investors are naturally cautious. Many big stocks are confirming bearish topping patterns - including Goldman. I shorted today, with a target below.
This is telling me that the rally in the indicies has stalled for now, and an extended period of consolidation is perhaps on the cards. On the other side, we will see a bullish continuation, in anticipation of a Trump 2020 win.
With that said, I am buying any low in the Dow, yet cautious for now, and net short.
Wells Fargo has formed a pretty nice H&S. NYSE:WFC
Fanning through some charts and saw this pretty nice H&S on WFC. Setting alerts on this one.
Happy trading!
Oversold Conditions Deepen In Stock Market As Breakdowns WorsenAT40 = 11.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (oversold day #2)
AT200 = 31.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs ()
VIX = 23.0 (an increase of 44.0%)
Short-term Trading Call: bullish (change from neutral)
Commentary
The market sell-off is unfolding quickly. AT40 (T2108), the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs), plunged ever deeper into oversold territory. This time AT40 fell from 16.7% to 11.2% to end the day at closing levels last seen during the epic January, 2016 sell-off.
{AT40 (T2108) fell off a cliff these past two trading days!}
Now that AT40 is so low, AT200 (T2107), the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 200DMAs, becomes a lot more important to monitor as an indicator of longer-term health. The weekly chart below shows the multi-year overall downtrend is well-intact. So just like almost every other rally from oversold levels, I expect the next rally to end at an even lower AT200 high. For now, the question is just how much lower will sellers push AT200.
{AT200 (T2107) last closed this low in early 2016. Sellers still have plenty of room for pressing their points downward.}
As the breadth indicators continue to drop deeper into oversold territory, the major indices are following gravity into new or worse breakdowns. The S&P 500 (SPY) wasted little time in breaking down below its 200DMA. The index stretched further below its lower Bollinger Band (BB) as it neared flatline with its 2017 closing price.
{The S&P 500 (SPY) lost 2.1% to close with a 200DMA breakdown and a 3-month low.}
Note well that for 2018 there has only been ONE Fed meeting where the S&P 500 did not tumble soon thereafter. The February swoon was of course the worst incident as the panicked selling started the day after. This time around, the panic took six trading days to get started.
The NASDAQ extended its 200DMA breakdown with a 1.3% loss. The Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) gave up its 200DMA support with a 1.2% loss.
{The NASDAQ closed at a 5-month low as it confirmed its 200DMA breakdown.}
{The Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) closed at a 3+ month low as it broke down below its 200DMA for the first time since June, 2016.}
Small caps are leading the way in erasing 2018’s gains. The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) lost another 1.9% and closed just one point above its 2017 close.
{The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) closed at a 5-month low and is nearly flat year-to-date. IWM confirmed its 200DMA breakdown.}
Much to my dismay, the volatility index continued higher today. The VIX gained 8.8% and was up as much as 25.6%. While the volatility faders were active for the 5th of 6 trading days, the VIX’s momentum is clearly higher. I added to my put options on ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures (UVXY) by rule, but the prospects for profits by next Friday are dimming.
{The volatility index, the VIX, closed at a near 7-month high with an 8.8% gain.}
I made my first purchase of call options on SPY soon after the index broke down below its 200DMA. Per the aggressive oversold trading strategy, I will continue adding to this position during the oversold period. However, I started with an expiration for next Friday, so it is possible I will be forced to reset my strategy (likely for November expiration). Until then, I will only add after the VIX has spiked at least 10% from my last purchase. At some point (soon?), I will also buy shares of ProShares Ultra S&P500 (SSO) to hold through the extent of the recovery from oversold conditions. Given the extent of the technical damage across the entire market, I have to assume a new bearish phase is unfolding where I will be setting price targets for taking profits at important resistance levels. Still, shorting at key resistance will be very case dependent.
Goldman Sachs head and shoulders on monthly about to play outH&S about to break down, target is to support line around $200
BITCOIN YOU CAN DO IT 6900-7300Possible move up if it breaks 200 MA.
Respecting the trendline.
We need to see the volume come, come on boys lets pamp it, so we ca short better price.
Resistance for GoldmanThere is resistance right above here for $GS. I would consider it positive if we consolidate right here before trying to break through it again. If it makes it through, looking at $255-260 imo.
GS Long SetupPrevious resistance acting as support and closed above 100 EMA . Target 244
XLF telling a different story. Stay cautious.
XLF Has Its Pre Financial Crisis High In SightsThe popular ETF, XLF follows the financial sector and after weeks of selling, it looks to have found support and be gearing up for a big move indicated by the Weekly Squeeze coiling for the past 8 weeks, with the momentum shifting to bullish this week. If you take a look at C (Citigroup), it too has a Weekly Squeeze. If you take a look at it on a Daily it also has a Squeeze which looks like it will fire long. If this move for the financial sector plays out long, I would expect a retest of its high back from January (30.33) then a retest of it's high of 30.84. This high (30.84 - May 28, 2007 - 11+ year ago) is an important one because this was the peak of the financial sector ETF ( XLF ) before the financial crisis of 2008.
Sellers Reward A Weak Stock Market Bounce With A Bearish FadeAfter a gap down to start the week, the S&P 500 (SPY) pivoted around its 50DMA. The week ended further confirming a bearish market turn.
Sellers Reward A Weak Stock Market Bounce With A Bearish Fade drduru.com $SPY $QQQ #T2108 #AT40 #VIX $UVXY $AAPL $AMZN $AXON $GS $CCS $PHM $TOL $KBH $MDB $PZZA $SNAP $TLT $ULTA $USO
Buy the Banks, Suckers!Every time I turn on CNBC, FBN, or the like, I hear a pundit or analyst pounding the table to "buy the banks." The go on to ramble a spiel about low valuation rations (P/B, P/E, P/FCF, etc), rising rate environments, yield curve inversions, and other reasons that they should outperform the markets going forward. But who's biting?
A quick glance at the SPDR financial ETF - XLF - and you will likely arrive at the conclusion that this is a sell, not a buy. We've broken short term trends (red dotted lines), intermediate term trend (orange dotted line) from 2016 lows, and are approaching a trend line (green dotted line) from the recession lows nearly a decade ago. Even worse, it looks to have formed a double top at the $30 level, the first peak coming in 2007.
Until there's a bid to reverse trend, this is a hard sell. Support looks to come in around $25. If that fails, the next support is around $21, but that's crash-level support.
Of course, one must ponder... if the banks are rolling over, how well can the broader markets hold up? Is this the warning shots of a larger correction in the markets? Hmm...
