GBPUSD: Big Fundamentals - New Brexit Deal this weekend?We could be a kicking off the week with a lot of GBP movement if there is a new trade deal reached between the UK and Europe over the Northern Ireland Protocol. Today, Dominic Raab (the UK Deputy PM) told the BBC that the 'UK is on the cusp' of securing a new Brexit deal on Northern Ireland.
I'm also seeing GU decline slowing and possibly at the end of it's retracement, DXY also seems to be slowing (it doesn't seem to matter how well their economy is doing, the bears seem to be in control for now), so I'm looking for longs on this pair at the start of next week. We should test recent highs around 1.24 and a break through would open the door to test the 1.26's.
If a new Brexit deal is reached this weekend I expect a quick uplift, but I think 'being close to a deal' is enough to see this pair grow over the coming days.
This trade gives a 1:3 RR minimum if it works out, I'll be keeping a close eye on the news and the Asian open later!
Gu
ASIA: GBPUSD BREAK & RETEST - DEPLETIONWe can see sellers have been depleted over the past hour and price has qualified for playbook setup B&R using our depletion entry. Good probability of reaching 1:2 RR. Lets see what happens over the rest of ASIA and check back in during London. Safe trading everyone, see y'all soon!
Aspects to Market Maker Modeling from a Retail Perspective 3Market makers' provision of liquidity is a complex system that involves managing an aggregate of securities
and derivatives that are readily available to be cashed on spot.
Market makers use different market approaches to manage their inventory, such as bid-ask spread, order flow, and algorithmic trading strategies.
These approaches allow market makers to make a profit by providing liquidity to the market, while also mitigating risk
and ensuring that they have enough inventory to meet the demand of market participants.
Market making is a highly competitive business, market makers need to be able to generate a profit in order to remain in the market.
They also need to be able to anticipate and respond to changes in market conditions, economic conditions,
and regulations in order to remain profitable in the long term.
Market makers can create inventory artificially by using a variety of strategies.
One common strategy is to use algorithmic trading systems
to generate large numbers of buy and sell orders in the market.
These orders can create the appearance of increased demand for a particular security,
which can push prices higher.
Another strategy is to use derivatives such as options or futures contracts to create synthetic positions in a security.
This allows market makers to take a position in a security without actually owning the underlying asset,
creating the appearance of increased demand and driving prices higher.
It's worth noting that creating inventory artificially is not illegal, but it is heavily regulated by the financial authorities,
and market makers are subject to strict rules and regulations to ensure that these practices do not harm the market or its participants.
In summary, market makers can create inventory artificially by using algorithmic
trading systems to generate large numbers of buy and sell orders in the market,
or by using derivatives such as options or futures contracts to create synthetic positions in a security,
this allows market makers to take a position in a security without actually owning the underlying asset,
creating the appearance of increased demand and driving prices higher, but it is heavily regulated by the financial authorities,
and market makers are subject to strict rules and regulations
to ensure that these practices do not harm the market or its participants.
Still Bearish On The Pound, Check my Last Idea for ProofMarket makers' provision of liquidity is a complex system that involves managing an aggregate of securities
and derivatives that are readily available to be cashed on spot.
Market makers use different market approaches to manage their inventory, such as bid-ask spread, order flow, and algorithmic trading strategies.
These approaches allow market makers to make a profit by providing liquidity to the market, while also mitigating risk
and ensuring that they have enough inventory to meet the demand of market participants.
Market making is a highly competitive business, market makers need to be able to generate a profit in order to remain in the market.
They also need to be able to anticipate and respond to changes in market conditions, economic conditions,
and regulations in order to remain profitable in the long term.
Market makers can create inventory artificially by using a variety of strategies.
One common strategy is to use algorithmic trading systems
to generate large numbers of buy and sell orders in the market.
These orders can create the appearance of increased demand for a particular security,
which can push prices higher.
Another strategy is to use derivatives such as options or futures contracts to create synthetic positions in a security.
This allows market makers to take a position in a security without actually owning the underlying asset,
creating the appearance of increased demand and driving prices higher.
It's worth noting that creating inventory artificially is not illegal, but it is heavily regulated by the financial authorities,
and market makers are subject to strict rules and regulations to ensure that these practices do not harm the market or its participants.
In summary, market makers can create inventory artificially by using algorithmic
trading systems to generate large numbers of buy and sell orders in the market,
or by using derivatives such as options or futures contracts to create synthetic positions in a security,
this allows market makers to take a position in a security without actually owning the underlying asset,
creating the appearance of increased demand and driving prices higher, but it is heavily regulated by the financial authorities,
and market makers are subject to strict rules and regulations
to ensure that these practices do not harm the market or its participants.
LONDON: GBPUSD ABCD/EXT LIMIT ATRPrice has pumped to a very strong key level and neckline of higher timeframe double top. Now we may see the dump play out and have entered using our ABCD/EXT setup which calls for a SL using our ATR on our trading timeframe. Big potential for downside if price does fall
GBPUSD Sell SetupVery nice, Price gave a different form of bearish pattern.
At this point, everyone can clearly see this is a reversal pattern: Head and shoulder. Price will make a pullback to go lower, so no, we haven't missed the sell opportunity for the end of the week. The 2 scenarios are possible, but with H&S pattern, it is more likely for price to retest the neckline and then give a 350pip drop. 5mins to 15mins CHoCH is the key for a good entry to sell after the retest. I would also be watching for an opportunity to buy to the sell zone.
**As always, Trade cautiously.
GU two trades completeGU provided two decent trade opportunities recently.
first being the retracement to the 61fib of the previous move down. this also has another confluence as it rejected the recent broke support trend line.
The next solid move was taking a buy at the previous low made this is currently running 50 pips
dollar could be heading higher so GU could be taking a hit
GBPUSD - ShortGU is following the flow, being a bit more resilient thant euro, but still, it's beeing hit pretty hard by dollar strenght.
But, this trade could be taken just looking at TA, I entered it last thursday night after the wick that came to retest the 50% Fib level and the trendline, but, I still believe an entry could be made on the last daily candle. For those working on smaller TF, just look for retracement, break and retest, make sure you gat a 2:1 RR at least and go!
Like every trade, it might not make it but hey, if you're being consistent on your entries rules then, probabilities will fall in your favor with time. I think this trade is falling into my requirements.
Why am I shorting GU :
1) Strong selling pressure on GBP/strong buying pressure on USD
2) GBP made a strong downward movement,
3) it retraced to 50% FIB
4) it broke and retested the trendline it was in since last october.
5) my TP is above next support @ 1800ish + level
Let's keep on riding this one!
Cheers and safe trading!
Leave your comments!
GbpUsd - Manipulation Point TradingBias: Short
Market Cycle: 2
Big news move yesterday, we have 2 MP's to trade from if the short bias is to continue,
1.2104 is maybe the weaker of the two..
1.2054 is daily and weekly level and also asian high
**Ive also added 1.2080 as a valid MP,, usually i don't like 2 MP's so close together, so decided to go with a 'sell-zone' for todays trading..
GBPUSD Running as expectedShort looking good for this pair.
I'm expecting a retrace back-up to the ascending dynamic trendline, then down to the previous low, retrace and then if we can break the neckline of the previous low a drop down to at least 1.165, but with the H&S I expect a bigger move, probably down to 1.137 area.