Gu
GBPUSD is Undecided, Probably BullishGBPUSD has been in a range since mid 2016. Therefore long-term trending strategies may not work at the moment. Also when price is at support or resistance of this range, you have to be careful with the direction of your trades. Counter swings are very powerful there. A lot of directional trades may not work. This will be so until GBPUSD breaks out of this range or leaves the extremes. It's currently at the resistance. If it does break out, there will be nice swing and position trading opportunities in the long side. It's a major resistance so I would wait for another strong bullish weekly candle to confirm a break out.
GBPUSD - PREDICTIONCould you find a more volatile pair right now between DXY and Brexit?!
I favour longs on this retest of the daily support, especially with the minor bullish trend line to consider and the fact we have a perfectly lined up fib area.
As always we prepare for buys and sells, so sells we have below the support and retesting the 61.8% fib and longer term descending channel which would give us a very tasty 1:7 which is very doable with Brexit deadline inching closer.
We will send a signal out later this week should we take entry.
Could This Be A Momentum Changer For GU?What's up traders,
GU has reached a strong resistance at 1.35000 which price has gotten to a few other times and immediately turned around just like this go around. Could this be the start of a downtrend for GU? I set a sell stop which has already activated, and i'm going to take profits around the consolidation structure price broke out of a few hours ago.
Leave a comment below, and like if you agree!
GBPUSD - SELL OPPERTUNITYLooking at GBPUSD (Cable) - I think we will be in a Bearish market for the first part of the week, commencing 30th December 2020.
Using Fibb Retracement from last weeks high/low points, we're currently sat in the 'Golden Zone'. A second confirmation candle has confirmed price has broken the Ascending Trend.
We are targeting the 23.60% Fibb level which sits just above our previous Support Zone (1.32426).
So why are we taking this trade?
- Broken trend with a third confirmation candle on the 4 hour chart
- Price currently in the Golden Zone
- Relative Strength Index (RSI) is sat at 60 on the 1 Day chart. (Indicating the market is overbought)
Target Pips: 62
Risk to Reward: 1.30
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Bearish Gartley (Daily)The Gartley Pattern , is a harmonic pattern discovered by H M Gartley and outlined in his book 'Profits in the Stock market', published in 1935.
The pattern was further defined using specific Fibonacci levels by Scott Carney which he outlined in his book 'The Harmonic Trader', published in 1998.
The pattern incorporates the 78.6% retracement of XA, as the defining element in the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ).
The B point must be at the 61.8% retracement of XA. The Gartley utilizes a minimum 127.2% projection of BC .
In addition, the pattern should possess a distinct AB=CD pattern that converges in the same area as the 78.6% retracement of XA and the BC projection.
Bearish Bat Pattern (DAILY)The Bat Pattern , is a precise harmonic pattern discovered by Scott Carney in 2001
The pattern incorporates the 88.6%XA retracement, as the defining element in the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ).
The B point retracement must be less than a 61.8%, preferably a 50% or 38.2% of the XA leg. The Bat utilizes a minimum 161.8%BC projection.
In addition, the AB=CD pattern within the Bat pattern is extended and usually requires a 127% AB=CD calculation. It is an incredibly accurate pattern and requires a smaller stop loss than most patterns.
Bearish Deep Crab (4H)“The Deep Crab pattern evolved from two patterns—invalid Bat patterns and a specific type of Crab pattern that Scott Carney developed as a further refinement of the basic structure. The Deep Crab is similar to the original Crab pattern, as it is a 5-point extension structure that utilizes exclusively a 161.8% XA projection for the defining level in the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ).The difference can be found at the B point which must be an 88.6% retracement of XA. In fact, the Deep Crab pattern usually possesses a B point that is beyond the 88.6% level but it does not violate the initial point (X).
$GBPUSD - False Breakout - Going ShortAs it was nearing the highs, I put a small lot size on at 1.33104 for 10 pips to 1.33204 and got a short 10 pip scalp on the way up. Just because I knew it would break the highs to trigger the smart money stop runs and clear out tight stop losses people already had on sells. Now that it's above the Highs, I believe this is a false breakout as it's holding steady, letting people believe it will breakout, putting in their buy bids or waiting for it to retest the last high, or putting their stop losses just below the last high and already buying. I think Smart Money knows this and will go short to take out that liquidity that is building up at the current moment.
Secondly, On a 4-hour chart, this is historically a great support/resistance level between 1.332 and 1.336. It's also at about the 80% retracement level on a Daily Chart (which is where you see most reversals occur). Now, It could turn to support and buy, but that's where I turned to the COT (Commitment of Traders) indicator. The Commercial Banks, you know like JP Morgan, IMF, Deutsch Bank, etc. decided to add more shorts last week. Not a lot more, but enough to be noticeable, that the shorts would've only netted about 116 pips. I believe if they were going to be adding shorts they're looking for more than 116 pips that only took about a day to achieve. (See Chart)
On Barchart.com the COT report has commercial banks adding about 2,000 short positions as of 11/17. I believe they're looking for a much shorter move in the short term. But long term I do expect this resistance area to be broken within the next few months.
Additionally, I always like to compare GU to EU as they move similarly. And EU is definitely looking like a swing sell. The Pound is definitely much stronger than the Euro, which is why I think the Euro will sell off much more, but in the short term, I think we'll see the Pound sell with it. I'm not 100% it will reach 1.32000. So I'm looking for take profit zones to shave off some earnings on the way down. The first about 25 pips, the second about 65 pips, the third about 115 pips, and I always leave a trailer at the end to see if I have a miracle drop below that.
But then again, I could be completely wrong. This is just my analysis and I'm just some guy that likes to post his ideas.
Good Luck and Good Trading.