SPY | GuidanceJournal Entry
Bias: Positive.
Sentiment: Optimistic.
Emoji (emotion): Elegant 🤵♂️.
Null Hypothesis: Buy.
Alternative Hypothesis: Sell.
Signals: At support.
Position: Short term day trade.
Notes: SPY is in a neutral channel.
Barron's Company Overview: www.barrons.com .
Other: www.etf.com .
Tutorial: (Q/A) What exactly is the box labeled tolerance? The box labeled tolerance is a defined range of value & time that qualifies the right to exit the trade after profit is made; as long as the security is inside the box and above the trade's entry one could say the profit is within tolerance, likewise if the security is outside the box either because of value or time one could say the profit is not within tolerance. It's a way to add parameters to the future outcome (as a means to grade the journal entry) while simultaneously providing leniency in the ability to achieve success with said journal entry.
Disclaimer: My journal entry is not a complete prospectus, please consider it accordingly.
Social: I'm happy to hear from my readers/audience and I encourage constructive feedback; although I'm busy I will give my best effort to reply.
About the Author: I strive to become one of Tradingview's pinescript Wizards and Top Authors, as well as build a reputable reputation & following. I'm not a Wall Street retailer I don't have products or services for sale, although I am a financial scientist and my source of income is my trading; that is to say anything offered to the community is apart of my scientific journal or goodwill to mankind (you're very welcome).
About the Security: "SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust is an Exchange traded fund. The fund seeks to provide investment results that, before expenses, correspond generally to the price and yield performance of the S&P 500® Index. The S&P 500® Index is composed of five hundred selected stocks. SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust was founded on January 22, 1993 and is headquartered in New York, NY."
Guidance
CRWD | GuidanceJournal Entry
Bias: Negative.
Sentiment: Pessimistic.
Emoji (emotion): Stressed 😣
Null Hypothesis: Sell.
Alternative Hypothesis: Buy.
Signals: ...
Position: Short term day trade.
Notes: I'm anticipating the market will sell the earnings surprise 3/09/22 AMC: www.estimize.com .
Barron's Company Overview: www.barrons.com .
Other: ...
Tutorial: (Q/A) What exactly is the box labeled tolerance? The box labeled tolerance is a defined range of value & time that qualifies the right to exit the trade after profit is made; as long as the security is inside the box and above the trade's entry one could say the profit is within tolerance, likewise if the security is outside the box either because of value or time one could say the profit is not within tolerance. It's a way to add parameters to the future outcome (as a means to grade the journal entry) while simultaneously providing leniency in the ability to achieve success with said journal entry.
Social: I'm happy to hear from my readers/audience and I encourage constructive feedback; although I'm busy I will give my best effort to reply.
About the Author: I strive to become one of Tradingview's pinescript Wizards and Top Authors, as well as build a reputable reputation & following. I'm not a Wall Street retailer I don't have products or services for sale, although I am a financial scientist and my source of income is my trading; that is to say anything offered to the community is apart of my scientific journal or goodwill to mankind (you're very welcome).
About the Security: "CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. provides cybersecurity products and services to stop breaches. The company offers cloud-delivered protection across endpoints, cloud workloads, identity and data, and threat intelligence, managed security services, IT operations management, threat hunting, Zero Trust identity protection, and log management. CrowdStrike serves customers worldwide. CrowdStrike Holdings was founded by George P. Kurtz, Gregg Marston, and Dmitri Alperovitch on November 7, 2011, and is headquartered in Austin, TX."
Disclaimer: My journal entry is not a complete prospectus, please consider it accordingly.
ABM | GuidanceJournal Entry
Bias: Positive.
Sentiment: Optimistic.
Emoji (emotion): Jolly 🧑🎄
Null Hypothesis: Buy.
Alternative Hypothesis: Sell.
Signals: ...
Position: Short term day trade.
Notes: I'm anticipating an earnings surprise 3/08/22 AMC: www.estimize.com .
Barron's Company Overview: www.barrons.com .
Other: ...
Tutorial: (Q/A) What exactly is the box labeled tolerance? The box labeled tolerance is a defined range of value & time that qualifies the right to exit the trade after a profit is made; as long as the security is inside the box and above the trade's entry one could say the profit is within tolerance, likewise if the security is outside the box either because of value or time one could say the profit is not within tolerance. It's a way to add parameters to the future outcome (as a means to grade the journal entry) while simultaneously providing leniency in the ability to achieve success with said journal entry.
Disclaimer: My journal entry is not a complete prospectus, please consider it accordingly.
Social: I'm happy to hear from my readers/audience and I encourage constructive feedback; although I'm busy I will give my best effort to reply.
About the Author: I strive to become one of Tradingview's pinescript Wizards and Top Authors, as well as build a reputable reputation & following. I'm not a Wall Street retailer I don't have products or services for sale, although I am a financial scientist and my source of income is my trading; that is to say anything offered to the community is apart of my scientific journal or goodwill to mankind (you're very welcome).
About the Security: "ABM Industries, Inc. engages in the provision of facility services for commercial, industrial, and institutional buildings. It operates through the following segments: Business & Industry, Aviation, Technology & Manufacturing, Education, and Technical Solutions. The Business & Industry segment encompasses janitorial, facilities engineering, and parking services for commercial real estate properties and sports and entertainment venues. It also provides vehicle maintenance services to rental car providers. The Aviation segment supports airlines and airports with parking and janitorial to passenger assistance, catering logistics, air cabin maintenance, and transportation. The Technology & Manufacturing segment provides janitorial, facilities engineering, and parking services. The Education segment delivers janitorial, custodial, landscaping & grounds, facilities engineering and parking services for public school districts, private schools, colleges and universities. The Technical Solutions segment engages in mechanical and electrical services. The company was founded by Morris Rosenberg in 1909 and is headquartered in New York, NY.".
GWRE | GuidanceJournal Entry
Bias: Negative.
Sentiment: Pessimistic.
Emoji (emotion): Versatile 🏇.
Null Hypothesis: Sell.
Alternative Hypothesis: Buy.
Signals: At resistance.
Position: Short term day trade.
Notes: I'm anticipating the market will sell the earnings report: www.estimize.com .
Barron's Company Overview: www.barrons.com .
Other: ...
Tutorial: (Q/A) What exactly is the box labeled tolerance? The box labeled tolerance is a defined range of value & time that qualifies the right to exit the trade after profit is made; as long as the security is inside the box and above the trade's entry one could say the profit is within tolerance, likewise if the security is outside the box either because of value or time one could say the profit is not within tolerance. It's a way to add parameters to the future outcome (as a means to grade the journal entry) while simultaneously providing leniency in the ability to achieve success with said journal entry.
Disclaimer: My journal entry is not a complete prospectus, please consider it accordingly.
Social: I'm happy to hear from my readers/audience and I encourage constructive feedback; although I'm busy I will give my best effort to reply.
About the Author: I strive to become one of Tradingview's pinescript Wizards and Top Authors, as well as build a reputable reputation & following. I'm not a Wall Street retailer I don't have products or services for sale, although I am a financial scientist and my source of income is my trading; that is to say anything offered to the community is apart of my scientific journal or goodwill to mankind (you're very welcome).
About the Security: "Guidewire Software, Inc. engages in the provision of technology platform, which comprises software, services, and a partner ecosystem, for the global Property and Casualty insurance industry. Its products include InsuranceSuite, PolicyCenter, ClaimCenter, BillingCenter, InsuranceNow, Analytics, Ecosystem, Guidewire for salesforce, and Guidewire Cloud. The company was founded by Marcus S. Ryu on September 20, 2001, and is headquartered in San Mateo, CA."
JW.A | GuidanceJournal Entry
Bias: Positive.
Sentiment: Optimistic.
Emoji (emotion): Washed out🛀
Null Hypothesis: Buy.
Alternative Hypothesis: Sell.
Signals: At support.
Position: Short term day trade.
Notes: I'm anticipating an earnings surprise 3/08/22 BMO: www.estimize.com .
Barron's Company Overview: www.barrons.com .
Other: ...
Tutorial: (Q/A) What exactly is the box labeled tolerance? The box labeled tolerance is a defined range of value & time that qualifies the right to exit the trade after profit is made; as long as the security is inside the box and above the trade's entry one could say the profit is within tolerance, likewise if the security is outside the box either because of value or time one could say the profit is not within tolerance. It's a way to add parameters to the future outcome (as a means to grade the journal entry) while simultaneously providing leniency in the ability to achieve success with said journal entry.
Disclaimer: My journal entry is not a complete prospectus, please consider it accordingly.
Social: I'm happy to hear from my readers/audience and I encourage constructive feedback; although I'm busy I will give my best effort to reply.
About the Author: I strive to become one of Tradingview's pinescript Wizards and Top Authors, as well as build a reputable reputation & following. I'm not a Wall Street retailer I don't have products or services for sale, although I am a financial scientist and my source of income is my trading; that is to say anything offered to the community is apart of my scientific journal or goodwill to mankind (you're very welcome).
About the Security: "John Wiley & Sons, Inc. engages in the provision of research and learning materials. It operates through the following segments: Research Publishing & Platforms, Academic & Professional Learning, and Education Services. The Research Publishing & Platforms segment provides scientific, technical, medical, and scholarly journals, as well as related content and services to academic, corporate, and government libraries, learned societies, and individual researchers and other professionals. The Academic & Professional Learning segment provides scientific, professional, and education books in print and digital formats, digital courseware, and test preparation services to libraries, corporations, students, professionals, and researchers, as well as learning, development, and assessment services for businesses and professionals. The Education Services segment consists of online program management services for higher education institutions and mthree training, upskilling and talent placement services for professionals and businesses. The company was founded by Charles Wiley in 1807 and is headquartered in Hoboken, NJ."
EBAY | GuidanceJournal Entry
Bias: Positive.
Sentiment: Optimistic.
Emoji (emotion): Experimental 👨🔬
Null Hypothesis: Buy.
Alternative Hypothesis: Sell.
Signals: %B oversold, Bollinger Bands oversold.
Position: Short term day trade.
Notes: I'm anticipating an earnings surprise this evening A.M.C.: www.estimize.com
Other: ...
Tutorial: (Q/A) What exactly is the box labeled tolerance? The box labeled tolerance is a defined range of value & time that qualifies the right to exit the trade after profit is made; as long as the security is inside the box and above the trade's entry one could say the profit is within tolerance, likewise if the security is outside the box either because of value or time one could say the profit is not within tolerance. It's a way to add parameters to the future outcome (as a means to grade the journal entry) while simultaneously providing leniency in the ability to achieve success with said journal entry.
Disclaimer: My journal entry is not a complete prospectus, please consider it accordingly.
Social: I'm happy to hear from my readers/audience and I encourage constructive feedback; although I'm busy I will give my best effort to reply.
About the Author: I strive to become one of Tradingview's pinescript Wizards and Top Authors, as well as build a reputable reputation & following. I'm not a Wall Street retailer I don't have products or services for sale, although I am a financial scientist and my source of income is my trading; that is to say anything offered to the community is apart of my scientific journal or goodwill to mankind (you're very welcome).
About the Security: "eBay, Inc. operates as a commerce company. The company platforms include online marketplace and its localized counterparts, including off-platform businesses in South Korea, Japan, and Turkey, as well as eBay’s suite of mobile apps. The company technologies and services are designed to give buyers choice and a breadth of relevant inventory and to enable sellers worldwide to organize and offer their inventory for sale, virtually anytime and anywhere. The company was founded by Pierre M. Omidyar in September 1995 and is headquartered in San Jose, CA."
Barron's Company Overview: www.barrons.com
MTDR | GuidanceJournal Entry
Bias: Positive.
Sentiment: Optimistic.
Emoji (emotion): Processing 🤖.
Null Hypothesis: Buy.
Alternative Hypothesis: Sell.
Signals: %B Buying patterns, MA Buying patterns.
Position: Short term day trade.
Notes: I'm anticipating an earnings surprise this evening (A.M.C.) www.estimize.com .
Other: ...
Tutorial: (Q/A) What exactly is the box labeled tolerance? The box labeled tolerance is a defined range of value & time that qualifies the right to exit the trade after profit is made; as long as the security is inside the box and above the trade's entry one could say the profit is within tolerance, likewise if the security is outside the box either because of value or time one could say the profit is not within tolerance. It's a way to add parameters to the future outcome (as a means to grade the journal entry) while simultaneously providing leniency in the ability to achieve success with said journal entry.
Disclaimer: My journal entry is not a complete prospectus, please consider it accordingly.
Social: I'm happy to hear from my readers/audience and I encourage constructive feedback; although I'm busy I will give my best effort to reply.
About the Author: I strive to become one of Tradingview's pinescript Wizards and Top Authors, as well as build a reputable reputation & following. I'm not a Wall Street retailer I don't have products or services for sale, although I am a financial scientist and my source of income is my trading; that is to say anything offered to the community is apart of my scientific journal or goodwill to mankind (you're very welcome).
About the Security: "Matador Resources Co. is a holding company, which engages in the exploration, development, production, and acquisition of oil and natural gas resources. It operates through the following segments: Exploration and Production, Midstream, and Corporate. The Exploration and Production segment focuses on the exploration, development, production, and acquisition of oil and liquids-rich portion of the Wolfcamp and Bone Spring. The Midstream segment conducts natural gas processing, oil transportation services, oil, natural gas and produced water gathering services, and produced water disposal services to third parties. The company was founded by Joseph William Foran and Scott E. King in July 2003 and is headquartered in Dallas, TX."
WLK | Guidance Journal Entry
Bias: Positive.
Sentiment: Optimistic.
Emoji (emotion): Working 👨💼.
Null Hypothesis: Buy.
Alternative Hypothesis: Sell.
Signals: %B buying patterns, MA buying patterns.
Position: Short term day trade.
Notes: I'm anticipating an earning surprise tomorrow morning before the market opens.
Other:
Disclaimer: My journal entry is not a complete prospectus, please consider it accordingly.
Social: I'm happy to hear from my readers/audience and I encourage constructive feedback; although I'm busy I will give my best effort to reply.
About the Author: I strive to become one of Tradingview's pinescript Wizards and Top Authors, as well as build a reputable reputation & following.
About the Security: "Westlake Chemical Corp. manufactures and markets petrochemicals, polymers and fabricated building products. It operates through the following segments: Olefins and Vinyls. The Olefins segment manufactures ethylene, polyethylene and styrene and associated co-products at the manufacturing facility in Lake Charles and polyethylene at the Longview facility. The Vinyls segment manufactures and sells building products fabricated from polyvinyl chloride, including pipe, fittings, profiles, foundation, building products, fence and deck components, window and door components, film and sheet products. The company was founded by Ting Tsung Chao in 1986 and is headquartered in Houston, TX."
Forecast | AAPL | 5 week target priceBias:
Positive, Optimistic
Notes:
Following up from my previous journal entry (please see the link below).
Guidance:
Over the next few weeks I can see AAPL moving to retest its previous highs; I think the infographic is self explanatory (for the indicator, please see the link below).
Signals:
Bollinger Bands: late oversold.
About the Author:
I strive to become one of Tradingview's pinescript Wizards and Top Authors, as well as build a reputable reputation & following.
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Vox Royalty Just Doubled 2021 GuidanceFor those of you who haven't been following along, this is what was said in May at the end of Q1 2021.
GEORGE TOWN, CAYMAN ISLANDS – May 25, 2021 – Vox Royalty Corp. (TSXV: VOX) (“Vox” or the “Company”) is
pleased to announce its operating and financial results for the first quarter ended March 31, 2021. All amounts are in U.S. dollars
unless otherwise indicated.
Kyle Floyd, Chief Executive Officer stated: “The first quarter of 2021 marked another milestone for Vox as it reported record
revenues. The Company is well on track to achieve its previously announced 2021 royalty revenue guidance of C$1.7M to C$2.5M.
The embedded organic growth in our portfolio of 50 royalty assets continues to build. Every month our shareholders are benefiting
from exploration successes, fast-tracking of development and production increases on our royalty properties. The coming quarters
have strong potential to be the most productive in Vox’s seven year history.”
This is where they are end of Q2 2021
VOX ANNOUNCES RECORD REVENUE IN Q2 2021 AND INCREASES 2021 REVENUE GUIDANCE BY +100%
TORONTO, CANADA – July 27, 2021 – Vox Royalty Corp. (TSXV: VOX) (“Vox” or the “Company”), a high growth precious
metals focused royalty company, is pleased to announce that it has realized record preliminary quarterly royalty revenue of
C$1,628,600 (US$1,314,000)
for the three-month period ended June 30, 2021. During the quarter, the Company recognized inaugural royalty revenue from its Janet Ivy gold royalty, acquired on March 29, 2021, which is an uncapped A$0.50 per tonne royalty.
Quarterly revenue benefitted from increased royalty-linked production by Mineral Resources Limited (ASX: MIN) at Koolyanobbing, increased production by Karora Resources Inc. (TSX: KRR) from the Hidden Secret deposit at Higginsville covered by the Dry Creek royalty, inaugural royalty revenues earned from the Janet Ivy royalty, and increased production by the operator of the Brauna royalty.
Vox has successfully grown quarterly revenue figures exponentially since Q3 2020, which is summarized in the below chart:
Three months ended June 30, 2021
Royalty revenue (C$) == $1,628,600
Royalty revenue (US$) == $1,314,000
Royalty revenue % growth == 143%
# of producing assets == 4
Kyle Floyd, Chief Executive Officer stated: “This is the continuation of an exciting period in Vox’s growth as revenue and
profitability metrics start to reflect the true earnings power of the Vox royalty portfolio. We have consistently updated the market
with operator updates concerning our royalty assets and noted that our portfolio continues to grow ahead of expectations. The
coming quarters and years should continue to reflect a robust increase in revenues from both in production assets and development
stage projects we expect to come online.”
Taiwan Semiconductor guidance crushed Street estimatesI saw a couple articles this morning suggesting that maybe TSM sold off today because forward guidance disappointed Street expectations. That's nonsense. Revenue guidance came in about 7% above expectations, and earnings guidance came in about 15% above Street expectations. This company's guidance crushed it . The stock sold off for one reason only: it is overbought.
TSM does look a bit pricey, even with the strong guidance for Q3. Even after factoring in the strong forward guidance, I am calculating forward P/E at about 21 and forward P/S at a little below 8. That's about 20% more expensive in forward P/E terms and 34% more expensive in forward P/S terms than the stock's average valuation over the last three years. In this challenging macroeconomic environment, that seems like an unreasonable valuation. It's a reflection of how inflated tech valuations have gotten due to Fed liquidity and investors piling into tech as a safe haven.
Having said that, TSM has an extraordinarily strong growth narrative right now, as the company is set to take over chip production for Apple. Formerly Apple's chips were manufactured by Intel. TSM also makes chips for Qualcomm, among other large companies. Thus, I think TSM will continue to outperform the Nasdaq and is a buy on any significant pullback. Ideally, I'd like to see this stock pull back to the volume node near $53.50 before buying, but in truth I don't see that happening any time soon.
XLNX may be ready to break out after guidance raise$XLNX made a perfect trendline test yesterday on news that it raised its Q1 revenue guidance by 5%. Although revenue is still down 14% year-over-year, the XLNX guidance raise suggests to analysts at Moody's that "broad based demand could be in a bottoming phase." XLNX has a relatively secure market position, with only one real competitor (Altera) and high barriers to entry for new competition. Moody's expects the company to continue to generate strong cash flow despite the challenging macroeconomic environment. Look for another trend line test and possible breakout in the near future.
Trading plan: I will buy at $91 support, and then ride XLNX to the trend line. I will sell at the trend line, and then buy back in if it makes a decisive trend line cross.
SFIX buy the dip and hold for a couple quartersStitch Fix is down over 8% after hours. It beat analyst earnings estimates by 75%, although it slightly missed analyst estimates of revenue and customer growth (an almost negligible difference). The midpoint of its earnings guidance for 2020 was slightly above analyst estimates (again, an almost negligible difference).
The reason Stitch Fix is down is that on the conference call, the company CEO predicted a "soft" start in Q1 2020. Stitch Fix's marketing team noticed that summer is their strongest season, so they spent less capital marketing for the winter. To me this sounds like smart and efficient capital allocation, especially given Stitch Fix's steep marketing costs. In the short term, however, it means that Stitch Fix's stock price could languish this winter, and then recover in the spring and summer.
A couple thoughts. First, Stitch Fix has short-term support around 18.24, and I think tomorrow it will rally on the strength of its earnings beat. So this could be a great one-day swing trade if you can get an entry near the support level. Mid-term the price could fall as low as $15 per share during the slow winter season, which would be a great price to buy and hold for a couple quarters to benefit from the seasonal upswing in summer.
For free news analysis and educational videos, check out my new beginner investing channel on YouTube, "Wall Street Petting Zoo!"
ZScaler at volume support with possible upward catalystZScaler plummeted last week after the company issued 2020 earnings guidance well below Wall Street's expectations. The company's fourth-quarter earnings handily beat Street expectations and its revenue guidance is in line with expectations, but it forecast earnings of only 12-15 cents per share versus Street expectations of 19 cents per share. In part that's because of the high cost of sales and marketing, which account for a whopping 57% of revenue!
The stock has significant support around $49-50, and on Tuesday it announced a product collaboration with Crowdstrike. Like ZScaler, Crowdstrike also took a hit recently due to earnings guidance below expectations. The collaboration could serve as a catalyst for both companies, although it probably won't translate into revenue anytime soon. Analysts consider ZScaler's evaluation to still be pretty high, with a price-to-sales ratio of 16.
A break of my red trend line would be bullish for the stock, but I'd like to see a further pullback to the stronger volume support at 39.62 before entry.
AAPL Earnings Report Gap FailsAlthough Apple news claimed that the company “beat expectations,” the stock gapped up and quickly reversed, then moved down further. This is due to their Guidance for the next quarter. Many companies are able to beat the analysts’ estimates, but forecast lower for next earnings season.
Moog Strong Pullback Fundamental analysis
MOG.A dropped 15% in 2 days, after beating earnings, revenue, and reaffirms FY19 EPS guidance.
Analyst lowered price target from $102 to $92
Technical analysis
OBV did not fall below it's high since late June.
RSI(10) @30.5, not wanting to go into oversold territory.
*Note:
If the stock market rallies tomorrow with the fed announcement to cut rates. This stock will probably too.
Freeport-McMoran should fall on revised guidanceFreeport McMoran revised its guidance today. The news wasn't all bad, with better productivity than expected, but a lot of it was pretty bleak. The company expects lower copper revenues and higher costs to the tune of hundreds of millions of dollars. The stock broke its upward trendline today, then corrected above the line. It should fall again tomorrow and enter a mid-term downtrend.
I don't play short, but hopefully the short sellers among you will find this useful. Please do your own due diligence; this is just an idea as to how the market will move.
Possible USD/CAD short position!!SMP TRADING
SELF DEVELOPMENT/METHODOLOGY/PSYCHOLOGY
Chart time frame - H4
Timeframe - 1-2 days
Actions on -
A – Activating Event
Market will meet resistance in zone @1.333 - 1.3365 and fall to the @ 1.325. In order to enter, the pair MUST be in line with my Entry Procedure....
B – Beliefs
Market move towards the first Target 1 level @ 1.325
FX:USDCAD
Trade Management
Entered @ Sign up for mentoring
Stop Loss @ Sign up for mentoring
Target 1 @ 1.325
Target 2 @ 1.3200
Risk/Reward @ 3.1
Happy trading :)
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This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only!
$FB Buying oppertunity down here at these levels. FB
I would pick some up on $FB which got decimated on earnings and growth outlook. Would give it room down to 164 165ish to add. Take a small position this can drop fast. Need to have patience but I think this will bounce some back to the upside 180s.