GBP/USD Longs from 1.28000 as a retracement. This counter-trend idea comes from the fact that price is currently reacting at an old supply zone. However, if this supply fails, I wouldn’t be surprised to see price move up and take out the trendline liquidity above. Ideally, I’d prefer to wait for price to come down to the demand zones to mitigate before aiming for a move up to capture the liquidity pool.
I’ll be watching for signs of Wyckoff accumulation within my points of interest, particularly at the 55-minute or 18-hour demand zones, depending on how price behaves.
Confluences for GBP/USD Buys:
- Significant trendline liquidity to the upside that could be targeted.
- Demand zone has led to a break of structure on the upside.
- Price has been heavily bearish and may be due for a pullback.
- Several untouched Asian session highs above.
P.S. With upcoming news, including NFP and election events, I’ll likely stay on the sidelines unless a very clear setup emerges, and even then, I’ll keep risk minimal.
Gulong
GBP/USD Longs from1.32000 back up This week's analysis for GBP/USD (GU) focuses on a potential retracement back to the 6-hour demand zone I've identified. Currently, the price is at one of my points of interest (POI) from last week, and we're already seeing signs of rejection. This suggests that the price may start moving downward from its current level. We’ll wait for mitigation at the demand zone before considering long positions again.
However, if the price breaks through the supply zone and continues upward, there's an unmitigated weekly supply zone that could trigger a reversal. We'll have to monitor this, but for now, I’m aligned with the current bullish trend and hope to see a retracement, providing an optimal entry for buys.
Key confluences for a potential GU buy:
- The price has broken significant structure to the upside, indicating a desire to continue upward.
- There’s a clean, unmitigated 6-hour demand zone, my main point of interest for potential long opportunities.
- This analysis is in line with the prevailing bullish trend we're observing.
- The dollar is showing bearish tendencies, which further supports a bullish outlook for GU.
P.S. If the price suddenly drops and breaks through the demand zone, we can expect a major reaction at that level.
GBP/USD Longs from 1.29400 back up This pro-trend idea aligns with the current bullish momentum, as we see price break structure once again. The recent impulsive move broke the previous supply, creating a new demand zone. I will now await a pullback to this demand zone, specifically a promising 3-hour demand.
However, I won't be surprised if price continues to climb, reaching a supply area and then dropping to a deeper demand level. This could occur as price fills the imbalances left from the impulsive move.
Confluences for GU Buys:
Price has been very bullish, breaking structure to the upside.
The current trend is bullish, matching the dropping DXY.
There is significant liquidity to the upside, with strong bullish candles on the higher time frame.
Demand zones have been created near the current price, indicating potential for another rally.
P.S. I won't be surprised if price opens with volatility. A major incident involving Donald Trump in the USA could cause price gaps. Therefore, I will patiently wait for the market to settle before making any moves.
GBP/USD Longs from 1.24800 up towards 1.26600My analysis for GBPUSD this week is to uphold the bullish trend we've observed over the past week. With a newly established 1-hour demand zone and a nearby 5-hour demand zone, I anticipate price to decline from the current supply and head towards the demand zone.
This move is expected to occur mid-week as price retraces and forms a Wyckoff accumulation within the demand zones. Presently, I maintain a bullish stance until price reaches the daily supply zone. Upon reaching this zone, I will seek significant selling opportunities as it represents a high-quality zone.
Confluences for GU Buys are as follows:
- Price has been bullish in the recent price action as you can see via the market structure.
- Two demand zones in close proximity has caused a break of structure to the upside.
- lots of liquidity in the form of Asia highs above to target as liquidity.
- Unmitigated daily supply that price needs to go towards.
- Dollar is also dropping so it makes sense with this bias. as they move opposite.
P.S. If price breaks through the current supply, I anticipate it will target the liquidity above and possibly head straight for the supply zone above.
Have a great trading week!
GU One More Impulse Up before the carnage beginsGU and the rest of the xxx/usd assets have been forming obvious corrections this month
Why is it a correction and not a major top.
Well, corrections...
1. begin with very little consolidation (vs peaks that contain big periods of consolidation before reversing).
As you can see GU only consolidated for 2 days before coming down.
2. they usually contain 1-3 corrective bounces. We got 1 arguably 2 from this correction
I marked the corrective bounces up on the chart.
3. They end with a bottom pattern (usually a double bottom or inverse head a and shoulders)
We re looking at a pretty clean inverse head and shoulders...with us being in the process finishing up the second shoulder now.
This pattern will lead us to new highs above 1.32 in the coming weeks..before assets peak and with a market downturn that will be accompanied by a recession and possibly a credit event
I will publish an Idea for the big short when the time comes.
Follow me to make sure you don't miss that and other big opportunities coming.
Thanks!
Potential Long Opportunity on CableBased on my past experience in the market, the price action algorithm has given us a potential long opportunity for GBPUSD.
When price begins to reach into my POI at this area, I will be watching price action for signs of exhaustion and absorption.
If I see the type of price action discrepancies that I like to see before entering a setup, I will be pulling the trigger on this move here for a low risk, high reward setup of over 1:10.
I do my best to keep all my setups beyond 1:10 so I can ensure myself as many opportunities to profit as possible.
A high reward typically trumps a high accuracy in the long run.
Never risk more than what you can stomach losing on any one trade. The game is based on capital preservation 1st and risk management 2nd. Trade wisely.