XAU/USD 11 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
On Tuesday 20 August 2024 price printed all time high.
Thursday 22 August 2024 price printed a bearish CHoCH which indicated bearish pullback phase initiation. Printing of bearish CHoCH has also confirmed internal range.
Thus far, over a period of 12-days, price has been unable break weak internal high which is an indicator that price may seek further liquidity before attempting to target weak internal high again.
I would expect price to either react at discount of internal 50% EQ or Daily demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Due to several factors such as geopolitical tensions and many macroeconomic factors XAU continues to surge.
Nonetheless, I will continue with systematic rules of analysis.
Technically price should target weak internal low, therefore, my bias will remain unchanged until M15 candle break and close above swing high.
Price is currently reacting at an M15 supply zone.
Intraday expectation: Price is close to extreme premium of internal 50% EQ. Price to target weak internal low. My bias will remain unchanged until and unless M15 candle close above strong swing high.
M15 Chart:
H4gold
XAU/USD 10 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 August 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback.
Price has printed bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms bearish pullback phase initiation
Intraday expectation: Whilst price did continue bearish as part of bearish pullback phase, I am concerned that price has not, as yet, pulled back deep enough into either H4 demand zone or discount of 50% EQ, therefore, it is my view that price will seek further liquidity before a sustained bullish move to target weak internal high.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 05 September 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Due to several factors such as geopolitical tensions and many macroeconomic factors XAU continues to surge.
Nonetheless, I will continue with systematic rules of analysis.
Technically price should target weak internal low, therefore, my bias will remain unchanged until M15 candle break and close above swing high.
Price has targeted weak internal low but the move was not sustained which indicates that price may be seeking further liquidity.
We are seeing a secondary reaction to previous M15 supply zone.
Intraday expectation: Price is in premium of internal 50% EQ. Price to target weak internal low. My bias will remain unchanged until and unless M15 candle close above strong swing high.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 9-13 September 2024 Weekly AnalysisWeekly Analysis:
Swing Structure: Bullish.
Internal Structure: Bullish.
Price has continued to print all time highs with no indication of bearish pullback phase initiation.
The first indication of pullback will be for price to print a bearish CHoCH which is denoted with a blue dotted line.
I have previously mentioned that price could print further highs which would bring CHOCH positioning closer to current price and this is what price printed again in last week's weekly analysis, However, CHoCH positioning remains the same.
Weekly Chart:
Daily Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
On Tuesday 20 August 2024 price printed all time high.
Thursday 22 August 2024 price printed a bearish CHoCH which indicated bearish pullback phase initiation. Printing of bearish CHoCH has also confirmed internal range.
Thus far, over a period of 12-days, price has been unable break weak internal high which is an indicator that price may seek further liquidity before attempting to target weak internal high again.
I would expect price to either react at discount of internal 50% EQ or Daily demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
Daily Chart:
H4 Analysis:
Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 August 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback.
Price has printed bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms bearish pullback phase initiation
Intraday expectation: Whilst price did continue bearish as part of bearish pullback phase, I am concerned that price has not, as yet, pulled back deep enough into either H4 demand zone or discount of 50% EQ, therefore, it is my view that price will seek further liquidity before a sustained bullish move to target weak internal high.
H4 Chart:
XAU/USD 06 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 August 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback.
Price has printed bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms bearish pullback phase initiation
Intraday expectation: Whilst price did continue bearish as part of bearish pullback phase, I am concerned that price has not, as yet, pulled back deep enough into either H4 demand zone or discount of 50% EQ, therefore, it is my view that price will seek further liquidity before a sustained bullish move to target weak internal high.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 05 September 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Due to several factors such as geopolitical tensions and many macroeconomic factors XAU continues to surge.
Nonetheless, I will continue with systematic rules of analysis.
Technically price should target weak internal low, therefore, my bias will remain unchanged until M15 candle break and close above swing high.
Price has targeted weak internal low but the move was not sustained which indicates that price may be seeking further liquidity.
We are seeing a secondary reaction to previous M15 supply zone.
Intraday expectation: Price is in premium of internal 50% EQ. Price to target weak internal low. My bias will remain unchanged until and unless M15 candle close above strong swing high.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 03 September 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 August 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback.
Price has printed bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms bearish pullback phase initiation
Intraday expectation: Whilst price did continue bearish as part of bearish pullback phase, I am concerned that price has not, as yet, pulled back deep enough into either H4 demand zone or discount of 50% EQ, therefore, it is my view that price will seek further liquidity before a sustained bullish move to target weak internal high.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Price is stuck within an internal range and is most probably awaiting a catalyst (macroeconomic or geopolitical)
Technically price should target weak internal low and is currently reacting at premium of internal 50% EQ, however, price has ben printing low volume bars with no clear internal range direction.
Intraday expectation: Price is in premium of internal 50% EQ with strong high remaining protected. Price to target weak internal low. My bias will remain unchanged until and unless M15 candle close above strong internal high.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 02 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 August 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback.
Price has printed bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms bearish pullback phase initiation
Intraday expectation: Whilst price did continue bearish as part of bearish pullback phase, I am concerned that price has not, as yet, pulled back deep enough into either H4 demand zone or discount of 50% EQ, therefore, it is my view that price will seek further liquidity before a sustained bullish move to target weak internal high.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 27 August 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As mentioned in previous analysis whereby we needed to be mindful that H4, following bullish iBOS, has yet to initiate bearish pullback, therefore, it would not be unexpected if strong internal low was to be targeted. This is exactly what price printed, printing a bearish iBOS.
Price has printed bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation.
Intraday expectation: Price is in premium of internal 50% EQ with strong high remaining protected. Price to target weak internal low.
M15 Chart:https://www.tradingview.com/x/JBvjXAlC/
XAU/USD 30 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 August 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback.
Price has printed bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms bearish pullback phase initiation
Intraday expectation: Whilst price did continue bearish as part of bearish pullback phase, I am concerned that price has not, as yet, pulled back deep enough into either H4 demand zone or discount of 50% EQ, therefore, it is my view that price will seek further liquidity before a sustained bullish move to target weak internal high.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 27 August 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As mentioned in previous analysis whereby we needed to be mindful that H4, following bullish iBOS, has yet to initiate bearish pullback, therefore, it would not be unexpected if strong internal low was to be targeted. This is exactly what price printed, printing a bearish iBOS.
Price has printed bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation.
Intraday expectation: Price is in premium of internal 50% EQ with strong high remaining protected. Price to target weak internal low.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 29 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 August 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback.
Price has printed bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms bearish pullback phase initiation
Intraday expectation: Whilst price did continue bearish as part of bearish pullback phase, I am concerned that price has not, as yet, pulled back deep enough into either H4 demand zone or discount of 50% EQ, therefore, it is my view that price will seek further liquidity before a sustained bullish move to target weak internal high.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 27 August 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As mentioned in previous analysis whereby we needed to be mindful that H4, following bullish iBOS, has yet to initiate bearish pullback, therefore, it would not be unexpected if strong internal low was to be targeted. This is exactly what price printed, printing a bearish iBOS.
Price has printed bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation.
Intraday expectation: Price is in premium of internal 50% EQ with strong high remaining protected. Price to target weak internal low.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 28 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 August 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback.
Price has printed bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms bearish pullback phase initiation
Intraday expectation: Whilst price did continue bearish as part of bearish pullback phase, I am concerned that price has not, as yet, pulled back deep enough into either H4 demand zone or discount of 50% EQ, therefore, it is my view that price will seek further liquidity before a sustained bullish move to target weak internal high.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 27 August 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As mentioned in previous analysis whereby we needed to be mindful that H4, following bullish iBOS, has yet to initiate bearish pullback, therefore, it would not be unexpected if strong internal low was to be targeted. This is exactly what price printed, printing a bearish iBOS.
Price has printed bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation.
Intraday expectation: Price is in premium of internal 50% EQ with strong high remaining protected. Price to target weak internal low.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 27 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 August 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback.
Price has printed bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms bearish pullback phase initiation
Intraday expectation: Whilst price did continue bearish as part of bearish pullback phase, I am concerned that price has not, as yet, pulled back deep enough into either H4 demand zone or discount of 50% EQ, therefore, it is my view that price will seek further liquidity before a sustained bullish move to target weak internal high.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As mentioned in previous analysis whereby we needed to be mindful that H4, following bullish iBOS, has yet to initiate bearish pullback, therefore, it would not be unexpected if strong internal low was to be targeted. This is exactly what price printed, printing a bearish iBOS.
Price has printed bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation.
Intraday expectation: Price is in premium of internal 50% EQ with strong high remaining protected. Price to target weak internal low.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 26 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remains the same as analysis dated 23 August 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback.
Price has printed bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms bearish pullback phase initiation
Intraday expectation: Whilst price did continue bearish as part of bearish pullback phase, I am concerned that price has not, as yet, pulled back deep enough into either H4 demand zone or discount of 50% EQ, therefore, it is my view that price will seek further liquidity before a sustained bullish move to target weak internal high.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As mentioned in previous analysis whereby we needed to be mindful that H4, following bullish iBOS, has yet to initiate bearish pullback, therefore, it would not be unexpected if strong internal low was to be targeted. This is exactly what price printed, printing a bearish iBOS.
Price has printed bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation.
Intraday expectation: Price is currently positioned almost in extreme of internal 50% EQ. Strong high to remain protected. Price to target weak internal low.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 23 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback.
Price has printed bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms bearish pullback phase initiation
Intraday expectation: Whilst price did continue bearish as part of bearish pullback phase, I am concerned that price has not, as yet, pulled back deep enough into either H4 demand zone or discount of 50% EQ, therefore, it is my view that price will seek further liquidity before a sustained bullish move to target weak internal high.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
As mentioned in previous analysis whereby we needed to be mindful that H4, following bullish iBOS, has yet to initiate bearish pullback, therefore, it would not be unexpected if strong internal low was to be targeted. This is exactly what price printed, printing a bearish iBOS.
Bullish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line which is in premium of 50% EQ, therefore, if price reaches 50% EQ I will be happy to confirm internal low.
Price is reacting from M15 supply zone.
Intraday expectation: I would expect price to print into premium of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal low, however, price is reacting to an M15 supply zone.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 22 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback.
Price has printed bearish CHoCH which indicates, but not confirms bearish pullback phase initiation
Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish pullback phase, react at M15 demand zone, perhaps as deep as H4 or D demand zone to then target weak internal high.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
Intraday expectation, analysis and bias remain the same as yesterday's analysis dated 21 August 2024
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Previous Intraday expectation was met and price has printed a bullish iBOS.
Price has printed bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Internal structure has been established and price reacted at discount of 50% EQ, however, price has also failed, as yet, to target weak internal high, therefore, price could potentially be seeking further liquidity and could be targeting M15 demand zone.
Intraday expectation: Technically price should target weak internal high but thus far has failed, therefore, price is perhaps seeking further liquidity (M15 demand zone) to fuel. bullish continuation.
Alternative scenario: We need to be mindful that H4, following bullish iBOS, has yet to initiate bearish pullback, therefore, it would not be unexpected if strong internal low was to be targeted.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 21 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Analysis/Intraday expectation to remain the same as analysis dated 18 August 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback.
Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
H4 demand zone is positioned the same as bearish CHoCH positioning.
Intraday expectation: On a candle-to-candle view since iBOS, price is printing higher highs, therefore, wait until price indicates pullback.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Previous Intraday expectation was met and price has printed a bullish iBOS.
Price has printed bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Internal structure has been established and price reacted at discount of 50% EQ, however, price has also failed, as yet, to target weak internal high, therefore, price could potentially be seeking further liquidity and could be targeting M15 demand zone.
Intraday expectation: Technically price should target weak internal high but thus far has failed, therefore, price is perhaps seeking further liquidity (M15 demand zone) to fuel. bullish continuation.
Alternative scenario: We need to be mindful that H4, following bullish iBOS, has yet to initiate bearish pullback, therefore, it would not be unexpected if strong internal low was to be targeted.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 20 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Analysis/Intraday expectation to remain the same as analysis dated 18 August 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Price has printed a bullish iBOS.
After an iBOS (Internal Break of Structure) we expect a bearish pullback.
Bearish CHoCH positioning is denoted with a blue dotted line.
H4 demand zone is positioned the same as bearish CHoCH positioning.
Intraday expectation: On a candle-to-candle view since iBOS, price is printing higher highs, therefore, wait until price indicates pullback.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 19 August 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As mentioned in my analysis dated 16 August 2024, whereby internal structure was bearish. We needed to be mindful that H4 internal structure was bullish.
Price has printed a bullish BOS and iBOS.
Price has printed bearish CHoCH to indicate bearish pullback phase initiation.
Intraday expectation: Price to react at discount of 50% EQ, or M15 demand level to target weak internal high. Price may seek liquidity at M15 supply level to confirm bearish pullback phase initiation.
Alternative scenario: Price to target weak internal high.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 16 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Analysis/Bias to remain the same as yesterday's analysis dated 15 August 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As per previous intraday expectation, price was approaching internal high, however, due to US CPI data, and traders trimming rate-cut bets due to US CPI data, price had a bearish reaction, nonetheless, bullish structure remains intact.
Intraday expectation: Price to continue to target weak internal high.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Yesterday's intraday expectation was met with price targeting weak internal low printing a bearish iBOS.
Bullish CHoCH positioning and strong internal high are positioned at the same level, however, as price has pulled back to discount of 50% internal EQ, I am happy to confirm internal low.
Price has reacted at H4 supply zone.
Intraday expectation: Price to target weak internal low, however, and as per yesterday's intraday expectation, we need to be mindful that H4 internal structure is bullish.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 15 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As per previous intraday expectation, price was approaching internal high, however, due to US CPI data, and traders trimming rate-cut bets due to US CPI data, price had a bearish reaction, nonetheless, bullish structure remains intact.
Intraday expectation: Price to continue to target weak internal high.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Yesterday's intraday expectation was not met due to US CPI data release and traders trimming rate-cut bets which saw XAU print bearish price action.
Price has printed bullish CHoCH to indicate bullish pullback initiation.
Price has also reacted at 50% EQ of the internal structure.
Intraday expectation: Price to target weak internal low, however, we need to be mindful H4 TF remains bullish.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 13 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Analysis/Bias remains the same as yesterdays analysis dated 11 August 2024
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Following price printing bullish BOS price pulled back to discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high.
As previously mentioned, bullish momentum and pro swing/internal structure was unable to break and close above weak internal high, which could be an early indication that bearish pullback phase is incomplete and price will seek further liquidity before targeting weak internal high. This is what price printed according to my analysis.
Intraday expectation: Price has reacted at an H4 demand level, therefore, price to target weak internal high.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
As per previous analysis, particularly alternative scenario, which was: We need to bear in mind that internal H4 structure is bullish with bearish pullback phase currently underway and could potentially be complete after reacting at H4 demand level.
This is exactly how price printed.
Price has printed a bearish CHoCH following bullish iBOS which indicates bearish pullback initiation.
Internal structure is substantial, therefore, I have had to to zoom out so you may obtain a better view.
Intraday expectation: Price to continue bearish, react at either discount of 50% EQ or M15 demand level before targeting weak internal high.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 12 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Analysis/Bias remains the same as yesterdays analysis dated 11 August 2024
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Following price printing bullish BOS price pulled back to discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high.
As previously mentioned, bullish momentum and pro swing/internal structure was unable to break and close above weak internal high, which could be an early indication that bearish pullback phase is incomplete and price will seek further liquidity before targeting weak internal high. This is what price printed according to my analysis.
Intraday expectation: Price has reacted at an H4 demand level, therefore, price to target weak internal high.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
I will keep my analysis/bias the same as dated 06 August 2024 in order to demonstrate alternative scenario and how the HTF's will always hold more weight over LTF's.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Yesterday's intraday expectation was met, assisted by dovish US economic news.
Price has printed a further bearish iBOS followed by a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation.
Indication of pullback initiation started by reaction at H4 demand level.
Price is currently hovering around 50% EQ printing low volume rangebound price action.
Intraday expectation: Price to react at premium of 50% internal EQ or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low.
Alternative scenario: Whilst intraday expectation is technically correct, we need to bear in mind that internal H4 structure is bullish with bearish pullback phase currently underway and could potentially be complete after reacting at H4 demand level.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 09 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Bias/Analysis remains the same as analysis dated 04 August 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Following price printing bullish BOS price pulled back to discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high.
However, bullish momentum and pro swing/internal structure was unable to break and close above weak internal high, which, much like the daily TF, could be an early indication that bearish pullback phase is incomplete and price will seek further liquidity before targeting weak internal high.
Intraday expectation: Technically, price should target weak internal high, however, price has made one failed attempt, therefore, price could continue bullish, react at H4 supply level, print bearish price action, react at H4 demand level before targeting weak internal high.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
Analysis/Bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 06 August 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Yesterday's intraday expectation was met, assisted by dovish US economic news.
Price has printed a further bearish iBOS followed by a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation.
Indication of pullback initiation started by reaction at H4 demand level.
Price is currently hovering around 50% EQ printing low volume rangebound price action.
Intraday expectation: Price to react at premium of 50% internal EQ or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low.
Alternative scenario: Whilst intraday expectation is technically correct, we need to bear in mind that internal H4 structure is bullish with bearish pullback phase currently underway and could potentially be complete after reacting at H4 demand level.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 08 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Bias/Analysis remains the same as analysis dated 04 August 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Following price printing bullish BOS price pulled back to discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high.
However, bullish momentum and pro swing/internal structure was unable to break and close above weak internal high, which, much like the daily TF, could be an early indication that bearish pullback phase is incomplete and price will seek further liquidity before targeting weak internal high.
Intraday expectation: Technically, price should target weak internal high, however, price has made one failed attempt, therefore, price could continue bullish, react at H4 supply level, print bearish price action, react at H4 demand level before targeting weak internal high.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
Analysis/Bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 06 August 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Yesterday's intraday expectation was met, assisted by dovish US economic news.
Price has printed a further bearish iBOS followed by a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation.
Indication of pullback initiation started by reaction at H4 demand level.
Price is currently hovering around 50% EQ printing low volume rangebound price action.
Intraday expectation: Price to react at premium of 50% internal EQ or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low.
Alternative scenario: Whilst intraday expectation is technically correct, we need to bear in mind that internal H4 structure is bullish with bearish pullback phase currently underway and could potentially be complete after reacting at H4 demand level.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 07 August 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
Bias/Analysis remains the same as analysis dated 04 August 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Following price printing bullish BOS price pulled back to discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high.
However, bullish momentum and pro swing/internal structure was unable to break and close above weak internal high, which, much like the daily TF, could be an early indication that bearish pullback phase is incomplete and price will seek further liquidity before targeting weak internal high.
Intraday expectation: Technically, price should target weak internal high, however, price has made one failed attempt, therefore, price could continue bullish, react at H4 supply level, print bearish price action, react at H4 demand level before targeting weak internal high.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
Analysis/Bias remains the same as yesterday's analysis dated 06 August 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Yesterday's intraday expectation was met, assisted by dovish US economic news.
Price has printed a further bearish iBOS followed by a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation.
Indication of pullback initiation started by reaction at H4 demand level.
Price is currently hovering around 50% EQ printing low volume rangebound price action.
Intraday expectation: Price to react at premium of 50% internal EQ or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low.
Alternative scenario: Whilst intraday expectation is technically correct, we need to bear in mind that internal H4 structure is bullish with bearish pullback phase currently underway and could potentially be complete after reacting at H4 demand level.
M15 Chart:
XAU/USD 06 April 2024 Intraday Analysis H4 Analysis:
Bias/Analysis remains the same as analysis dated 04 August 2024.
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Following price printing bullish BOS price pulled back to discount of 50% EQ before targeting weak internal high.
However, bullish momentum and pro swing/internal structure was unable to break and close above weak internal high, which, much like the daily TF, could be an early indication that bearish pullback phase is incomplete and price will seek further liquidity before targeting weak internal high.
Intraday expectation: Technically, price should target weak internal high, however, price has made one failed attempt, therefore, price could continue bullish, react at H4 supply level, print bearish price action, react at H4 demand level before targeting weak internal high.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Yesterday's intraday expectation was met, assisted by dovish US economic news.
Price has printed a further bearish iBOS followed by a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation.
Indication of pullback initiation started by reaction at H4 demand level.
Price is currently hovering around 50% EQ printing low volume rangebound price action.
Intraday expectation: Price to react at premium of 50% internal EQ or M15 supply zone before targeting weak internal low.
Alternative scenario: Whilst intraday expectation is technically correct, we need to bear in mind that internal H4 structure is bullish with bearish pullback phase currently underway and could potentially be complete after reacting at H4 demand level.
M15 Chart: