(Key) Support and Resistance Points and Basis
(Key) If you set support and resistance points, you should consider the basis for it
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The 61099.25-61759.99 section is an important support and resistance section.
However, I think it is in an ambiguous position to proceed with trading.
The reason is that it is near the section where the M-Signal indicators of the 1W and 1D charts converge.
In this case, since the fluctuation range is likely to be large, when you proceed with trading, you may proceed with trading in the wrong direction.
Therefore, you should check whether there is an upward or downward movement in the 61099.25-61759.99 section, and then proceed with the transaction depending on whether there is support or resistance when the 61099.25-61759.99 section shows support and resistance.
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It is currently rising in the 61099.25-61759.99 section and has touched the 62856.30 point.
Therefore, it can be seen that there was an upward movement in the 61099.25-61759.99 section.
Now, you can proceed with the transaction by checking whether there is support in the 61099.25-61759.99 section.
While you are doing this check, it may rise like this.
However, it is recommended to proceed with the check because it is rare for it to rise at once.
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The StochRSI indicator is currently showing signs of moving out of the oversold section.
Therefore, it is necessary to check whether the state of StochRSI > StochRSI EMA can be created when a new candle is created.
This is because the StochRSI indicator often rises in the oversold zone and then fails to maintain the state of StochRSI > StochRSI EMA and falls.
Whether the state of StochRSI > StochRSI EMA can be maintained can be known to some extent by checking the movement at the support and resistance points of the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts drawn on the chart.
In addition, you can refer to the movement of BW, DMI, and OBV to help determine whether there is support and resistance.
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The 62856.30-65918.80 section is the section that indicates the box section of the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart.
Therefore, it can be said to be the section to check whether there is support and resistance at the HA-High indicator (64748.70) point on the 1D chart.
Therefore, a box section can be formed within the 62856.30-65918.80 section, and depending on which direction it deviates from this section, a trend can be formed.
Therefore, if it is supported near 62856.30 and rises,
1st: HA-High indicator point
2nd: HA-High indicator box top point
You can check whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd above and respond accordingly.
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I publish ideas in a different way than people who publish ideas on TradingView.
That is, I explain how to create a trading strategy for actual trading with a chart based on price movements.
Therefore, there are often cases where the content predicting the immediate movement is not expressed clearly.
The reason is that I explain the importance of the current price position in various ways.
I think that by explaining why that point is important, you will also be able to know how to evaluate the importance of the support and resistance points you have drawn.
I think that these settings are very important factors in conducting a transaction.
Even if you mark support and resistance points on the chart, if you cannot properly explain why that point is important, that point may be useless when conducting an actual transaction.
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If you have defined the basis for the importance of the support and resistance points you have drawn, you can create a trading strategy and conduct a transaction even if that point is incorrect.
This is because you can create an actual trading method for buying and selling in the 3. Trading method and profit realization method section of the trading strategy.
It is most important that the transaction ends successfully, but it is more important to what extent the transaction is conducted according to the trading strategy you have set.
If the movement is somewhat in line with your trading strategy, you can create a trading strategy again and conduct a transaction even if the transaction fails.
However, if you do not, it will be difficult to conduct the next transaction and you may even feel afraid.
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Continuity is important in trading.
Whether you are conducting an actual transaction or doing preliminary work to conduct a transaction, I think that as long as you have the will to start trading, the continuity of trading is maintained.
To do this, you should check the chart at least twice a day.
Otherwise, you should think that there is no continuity in trading.
This is because checking the movement of the real-time chart is a very important information gathering activity.
Therefore, if you do not have much time to look at the real-time chart, mark the support and resistance points on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts in advance as much as possible and set the minimum StochRSI indicator.
This way, you can save time looking at the movement of the real-time chart.
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It is more important to complete the trading strategy according to it than to check whether my chart analysis is correct or not.
This is because we need to quickly check the support and resistance points in the chart analysis and trade according to the trend at that point to make a profit.
Therefore, there is no need to be happy or sad that your chart analysis was correct.
It is better to make an effort to create a trading strategy at that time.
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The general setting value of the StochRSI indicator is set to 14, 7, 3, 3 (RSI, Stoch, K, D).
In other words, you can change Stoch from 14 to 7.
The good thing about this setting is that the StochRSI indicator's wave comes out almost in line with the price movement.
Therefore, you can see a faster movement than the basic StochRSI indicator setting value of 14, 14, 3, 3.
The other indicators included in the chart you are currently viewing are modified formulas, so you should not use the indicators included in this chart.
You can set the DMI+OBV indicator according to the explanation.
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that the full-scale uptrend will start when it rises above 29K.
The next expected range to touch is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to receive resistance in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this range is touched because it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting range.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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HA
The meaning of this volatility period
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If you look at the overall flow, you can see that the highs and lows are getting lower.
Therefore, we can say that this wave has an important meaning.
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However, what do you feel when you look at the current situation?
Don't you think it will go up soon?
Since the StochRSI indicator is showing an upward turn from the oversold zone, it feels like an upward wave will come out if it gets support near the current zone (61099.25-61759.99).
However, if it shows resistance near 61099.25, you will think that a downward wave will come out soon.
If you proceed with a transaction in advance at this time, it may only increase psychological anxiety due to the fluctuation range, so you need to be careful.
- In order for an upward trend to start, the price must rise above 64748.70-65920.71 and maintain it,
- In order for a downward trend to start, the price must fall below 56204.13 and maintain it.
Therefore, the current section, 61099.2-61759.99, can be seen as the middle section of the section where an upward and downward wave begins.
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We have one reference information for starting a transaction.
That is the BW indicator.
This is because when the BW indicator forms a horizontal line at the lowest point (0) or highest point (100), it can be judged as a signal that it is time to start a transaction.
Then, you can refer to the movements of the three auxiliary indicators, StochRSI, DMI, and OBV indicators to determine the trading time.
I will say this again, in order to talk about auxiliary indicators, the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts must exist near the price position.
If there are no support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts, it is better not to proceed with the trade.
Otherwise, if you start trading, it is highly likely that you will not be able to respond properly due to the fluctuations as the trade progresses.
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Currently, OBV is located at the 1.0 point.
This means that it is located between the middle point of the box section and the upper point of the box section.
Therefore, it also means that it is in a position where it can rise at any time.
However, since other auxiliary indicators (StochRSI, DMI) are not yet showing an upward trend, it is burdensome to start trading.
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Since the OBV of the 1M, 1W charts are showing a convergence, it seems likely that the direction in which it moves in the current section will determine the future trend.
Therefore, we need to check what kind of movement it shows after this volatility period (up to October 4-11).
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale upward trend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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Support range: 61099.25-61759.99
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As the volatility period began, the movement in the opposite direction as expected occurred.
Even if it rises, it was expected to be around 61759.99, but it has risen more.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can receive support around 61099.25-61759.99.
This volatility period is expected to be around October 5-10 (up to October 4-11).
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Since it has risen above 61759.99, you need to check if the StochRSI indicator rises in the oversold zone or switches to a state where StochRSI > StochRSI EMA.
If not, if you buy first, you are likely to feel psychologically uneasy.
Therefore, if it continues to rise, it is recommended to check if it is supported near 62856.30.
If you want to buy when the BW indicator or StochRSI indicator does not meet the purchase timing conditions, it is recommended to approach it with scalping or day trading.
Important support and resistance zones are marked with circles, so you should respond depending on how these zones are broken.
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points.
We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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Example of Conditions for Starting Trading
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I will publish in advance due to an external schedule tomorrow.
Accordingly, I will take time to provide additional explanations on the ideas published today.
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I will talk about the basis for indicating the direction of progress shown in the chart above.
In order to differentiate from other people's analyses, I am trying to explain the basis for indicating the support and resistance points or sections on the chart.
I think that if you understand why those points and sections were set, you will eventually be able to understand them without having to read the explanation all the way through.
For this, more support and resistance points are needed.
This is because we can select the volatility period by additionally drawing the trend line.
However, since all of these processes are displayed on the chart, there are many complaints that the chart is messy and confusing, so we are trying to reduce them as much as possible.
Therefore, there are cases where the chart is displayed in two versions.
The chart below is a chart that shows many support and resistance points and draws a trend line to select the volatility period.
Therefore, since the support and resistance points may be displayed differently, it is recommended that you refer to the points or sections that I have written.
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The conditions for starting a transaction are simpler than they look.
However, when these conditions are met, the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts must be displayed.
Therefore, even if the conditions for starting a transaction are met, if the support and resistance points are not displayed at the corresponding price, you cannot start a transaction.
Please read this carefully and thank you.
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(It would be good to see this as an example of how to find the conditions that fit you and how to utilize them.)
Conditions for starting a transaction are
1. Buying time conditions
- When the StochRSI indicator rises in the oversold range and maintains the state of StochRSI > StochRSI EMA
- When the BW indicator forms a horizontal line at the lowest point (0)
- When the OBV indicator rises below the 0 point
- When the DMI indicator rises below the 0 point
2. Selling time conditions
- When the StochRSI indicator falls in the overbought range and maintains the state of StochRSI < StochRSI EMA
- When the BW indicator forms a horizontal line at the highest point (100)
- When the OBV indicator falls above the 0 point
- When the DMI indicator falls above the 0 point
When the above conditions are met, check whether there is support at the support and resistance points drawn near the price. Confirmation is used to proceed with the transaction.
The current price position is 60672.0-61099.25.
Therefore, you can proceed with the transaction depending on whether there is support in this section.
Since it is currently falling below 60672.0, there is nothing you can do in spot trading other than cutting losses.
In futures trading, you can enter with a sell (SHORT) position.
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It is rare for all the conditions for starting a transaction mentioned above to be met.
Therefore, it is recommended to basically check whether the BW indicator forms a horizontal line at the lowest point (0) or highest point (100), and then proceed with the transaction by checking the movement of the StochRSI indicator.
Also, it is recommended to select a split sell section to make a profit by calculating the fluctuation range while checking the strength of the rise or fall with OBV and DMI.
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In summary of the above,
Since the StochRSI indicator has not yet risen from the oversold zone and StochRSI < StochRSI EMA, it is recommended to check whether a reversal is occurring.
Also, you should check whether the BW indicator has fallen to the lowest point (0) and formed a horizontal line.
If the OBV and DMI indicators rise below the 0 point without meeting these conditions, you should proceed with an aggressive purchase (a transaction that requires a quick response similar to scalping or day trading).
If you do not proceed with an aggressive purchase, you should wait.
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It is not a good idea to enter a current sell (SHORT) position in futures trading.
However, if you proceed with an aggressive transaction (scalping or day trading), you can start trading.
The reason why it is not a good condition for trading is because the price is located in the 1. purchase timing condition section among the conditions for starting a transaction mentioned above.
Therefore, the profit is small or you may even suffer a loss.
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If you are not currently trading, I think the section where you should trade is when it rises around 61K.
Before that, it is highly likely that you will not be able to purchase because it seems like it will fall further.
I think this point, or the section where you actually trade, is the psychological volume profile section.
This psychological volume profile section is the section where psychology applies that you must trade even now.
Since this point is ultimately a low or high point, it is a section where you are likely to incur losses if you purchase.
The 61K section that I mentioned earlier is a section where it is highly likely to be a low point, so it is a section where you are likely to incur losses if you cut your loss or enter a sell (SHORT) position.
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If it shows resistance near 60672.0, there is a possibility that a sharp decline will occur momentarily and touch 59K and then rise.
This phenomenon can be a fake or a sweep movement, so you need to be careful.
In order to avoid losses from this phenomenon, auxiliary indicators are necessary.
Since auxiliary indicators are lagging, they are unlikely to show large movements in sudden price fluctuations.
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What I am talking about is not a method of chart analysis, but an example of how to set a standard for trading.
Therefore, I hope you do not misunderstand the above as about chart analysis.
Since chart analysis and trading are different, what you see on the chart is also different.
In order to complement this difference, what is needed is the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
Since charts without support and resistance points are likely to be for chart analysis, there is no need to try to find a trading point on these charts.
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points.
We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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Next Volatility Period: Around October 5th - 10th
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The BW indicator is currently leveling off near the midpoint (50).
Therefore, I think it is not suitable to trade around 60672.0-61099.25.
If you want to trade around 60672.0-61099.25 depending on the support, you will need a short and quick response.
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When the BW indicator is leveling off at the lowest point (0) or highest point (100), a BW line is created on the price chart.
I think you can trade more stably by using this BW line as a support and resistance point.
Therefore, you can wait until the next BW line is created or check whether it is supported when touching the previous BW line (61759.99) and then trade.
At this time, the StochRSI indicator is also worth looking at.
Since the StochRSI indicator creates waves in any case, I think it is an indicator worth referring to when trading.
Therefore,
- If the StochRSI indicator rises in the oversold zone and maintains the state of StochRSI > StochRSI EMA, it is a time to buy,
- If the StochRSI indicator falls in the overbought zone and maintains the state of StochRSI < StochRSI EMA, it is a time to sell.
However, you should be aware that since you cannot know the size of the fluctuation range, you may see little profit or even a loss.
To prevent this, you need the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
Based on these support and resistance points, you should proceed with the transaction depending on whether the movement mentioned above is supported or not.
Then, since you can calculate the approximate fluctuation range, it will be a reference for deciding whether to proceed with the transaction.
Accordingly, if you display the rise and fall range based on the 60672.0-61099.25 section, it will be as shown in the chart above.
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When a new candle is created,
- Whether it will definitely enter the oversold section
- Whether there is a change in the slope of the StochRSI indicator
- Whether the StochRSI EMA falls below the midpoint (50)
You should check whether the above is satisfied and create a response strategy according to the next movement.
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the full-scale uptrend will start when it rises above 29K.
The next expected range to touch is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to receive resistance in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this range is touched because it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting range.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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Box range: 109.63-113.62 ~ 123.90-130.04
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(1M chart)
A gap has formed in the 109.63-113.62 range.
Therefore, I think it is possible to fall to around 109.63.
Since the StochRSI indicator is showing signs of entering the oversold range, I think the area around 109.63-113.62 shows that it is an important support and resistance area.
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(1W chart)
I think the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is passing through the 109.63-113.62 range, proving that this range is an important support and resistance range.
If it falls below 109.63, we should check for support near the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart or near the HA-Low indicator on the newly created 1W chart.
- The M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart is currently passing through the 83.13 range,
- and the HA-Low indicator on the 1W chart is at the 12.77 point.
Therefore, as the price falls, it is expected that the area near the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart will become an important support and resistance range.
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(1D chart)
The point of interest is in which direction it deviates from the 109.63-113.62 section ~ 123.90-130.04 section.
Currently, the HA-Low and HA-High indicators on the 1W and 1D charts are quite far apart.
Therefore, if it falls below 109.63, the HA-Low indicator on the 1W and 1D charts is expected to rise and be newly created.
The creation of the HA-Low indicator means that a low section has been formed.
Therefore, if the HA-Low indicator is created this time, it is expected that a movement to create a new wave will begin.
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If it falls from the HA-High indicator, it is likely to touch the HA-Low indicator.
The creation of the HA-High indicator means that a high section has been formed.
Therefore, in order for a full-scale uptrend to begin, the price must remain above the HA-High indicator.
Therefore, when a full-scale uptrend begins, the HA-High indicator will show a stepwise uptrend.
-
Have a nice time.
Thank you.
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Support zone: 16.02-17.52
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(BITO 1M chart)
As a spot ETF chart, the HA-Low indicator is formed at the 16.02 point.
Therefore, the key is whether it can receive support near or above 16.02 and rise above 19.50.
It seems that StochRSI will enter the oversold zone and the slope will change.
Accordingly, the area around 16.02 is expected to be an important support and resistance zone.
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(1W chart)
The point where the BW indicator of the 1W chart forms a horizontal line from the lowest point (0) is around 19.50.
Therefore, I think that it is likely to turn into an uptrend if it rises above 19.50 and is supported.
Since the M-Signal of the 1W and 1M charts is passing above 19.50, I think it supports the fact that it is an important point.
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(1D chart)
The BW line of the 1D chart is created at the 19.13 point.
Therefore, the key is whether it can be supported near 17.52, the HA-Low indicator point of the 1D chart, and rise above 19.50.
If not, you should check if it can be supported around 16.02.
If it shows support in the HA-Low (16.02) of the 1M chart ~ HA-Low (17.52) of the 1D chart, it is a time to buy.
The reason is that the HA-Low indicator has been created, which means that a low point has been formed.
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If it falls below 16.02, it is expected to rise around 13.79 or higher.
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Based on the current price position,
- In order to turn into a short-term uptrend, it must rise above 19.50,
- In order to turn into a medium- to long-term uptrend, it is expected to rise above 25.19.
- In order for a full-fledged uptrend to begin, the price must rise above the HA-High indicators of the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts and maintain the price.
Currently, the HA-High indicator of the 1D chart is created at 32.12.
-
Have a nice time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The area expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are the points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points.
We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
The key is whether there is support near the M-Signal on the 1W
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
It has entered the 2nd section (56K-61K) again.
The key is whether it can receive support near the 2nd section.
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(1D chart)
The key is whether it can receive support near 60672.0-61099.25 and rise above 61759.99.
When a new candle is created around 60672.0-61099.25, it is necessary to check whether StochRSI enters the oversold zone.
If it has entered the oversold zone, it seems likely to receive support near 59053.55 and turn upward.
If not, it is likely to continue to decline further.
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The volatility period is around October 5-10 (maximum October 4-11).
Therefore, the point of observation is whether it falls below 56150.01-56950.56 or rises above 66676.87-68249.88 after passing this volatility period.
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(BTCUSDT.P 1h chart)
As it fell below 5EMA on the 1D chart, HA-Low on the 1h chart was newly created.
However, it is showing a downward trend without being supported by HA-Low.
It is currently below 5EMA and M-Sigal on the 1D chart, and is located near M-Signal on the 1W chart.
Accordingly, based on the 60651.2-61149.5 section,
- Check for support near 5EMA or M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart when rising
- When falling
1st: 59409.3
2nd: 56975.0
Check for support near the 1st and 2nd above
You can create a trading strategy like the above.
If it rises above 61149.5, there is a possibility that HA-Low on the 1h chart will be created again.
At this time, whether HA-Low is supported is important.
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Currently, the point where the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart was created is 64716.7, so it is expected that the upward trend will continue if it rises above this point.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale upward trend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
The key is whether it can be supported at 64748.70
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
There is a content about the volatility period of the StochRSI indicator in the previous idea, so please refer to it.
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The HA-High indicator on the 1D chart is expected to be generated at the 64748.70 point.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can rise above 64748.70 and be supported.
If not, as I mentioned in the previous idea, we need to check the support in the above section
- 63118.62.64000.0
- 60672.0-61099.25
.
Since the M-Signal of the 1D chart is passing around 63118.62.64000.0, it is an important support and resistance section,
and since the M-Signal of the 1W chart is passing around 60672.0-61099.25, it is an important support and resistance section.
However, if the decline continues, the M-Signal of the 1W chart is expected to rise around 61759.99, so this area is also an important support and resistance section.
-
(1D chart)
Since the HA-High indicator of the 1D chart has been touched, if it fails to rise above the HA-High indicator, it is likely to touch the HA-Low indicator.
Therefore, as the price falls, we need to check where the HA-Low indicator is generated.
If it is not generated, it is likely to touch around the 56204.13 point.
However, as I mentioned earlier, there is an important section, so it is not expected to fall easily.
-
The volatility period is expected to be around October 5-10 (up to October 4-11).
Therefore, the point of interest is whether it will pass the 66676.87-68249.88 section or the 56150.01-56950.56 section after this volatility period.
If not, and it moves sideways, you need to check if the M-Signal of the 1D chart > M-Signal of the 1W chart can be maintained.
If the M-Signal of the 1D chart < M-Signal of the 1W chart is maintained, there is a possibility that it will converge near the M-Signal of the 1M chart.
I will explain this in detail again when there is movement.
-
(1M chart)
This is the day when a new moon candle is created.
Therefore, I will explain this after a new candle is created.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will start when it rises above 29K.
The next expected range to touch is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to receive resistance in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this range is touched because it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting range.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Before the new month beginsHello, traders.
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-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
There is now one day left until a new candle is created.
The current StochRSI indicator is rising below the midpoint (50).
We need to check what the StochRSI indicator will look like when a new candle is created.
I have marked three sections as important support and resistance sections on the 1M chart.
If it falls below the second section, it is likely to turn into a downtrend, and the strong support section at this time is the third section.
-
(1W chart)
The next volatility period is the week around October 7th.
So, September 30th - October 13th.
The important sections on the 1W chart are 69648.14, 65920.71, 61099.25, and the M-Signal on the 1M chart.
The StochRSI indicator has risen above the midpoint (50).
Therefore, it is necessary to check whether it will enter the overbought zone when a new candle is created.
Since the BW line is currently formed at 69648.14, it is important to check whether there is support near this point.
If it goes up a bit more, there is a possibility that a new BW line will be created, so if a new BW line is created, we need to check whether there is support near it.
-
(1D chart)
Among the volatility periods mentioned in the 1W chart, it is expected that full-blown volatility will likely occur between October 5th and 10th.
What is important to watch as this volatility period passes is whether it can fall below 56150.01 or rise above 66676.87-68249.88.
-
It is currently located near the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart.
As I mentioned in the previous idea as an update, the StochRSI EMA indicator has never touched the 100 point.
Therefore, there is a very high possibility that the StochRSI indicator will be reset somehow.
Therefore, it is an important point to watch how the StochRSI indicator is initialized.
Since it is overheated, even if it shows a slight decline, the StochRSI indicator shows a downward trend.
In this movement, buying because the price is rising will make your psychological state unstable.
Therefore, it is necessary to check whether it can be supported at the lower point of the HA-HIgh indicator box (65441.08) ~ 65920.71.
If it falls without support,
1st: 64179.08
2nd: 61099.25
You should check whether it is supported at the 1st and 2nd points above.
When the StochRSI indicator falls in the overbought zone, there are cases where it immediately shows a downward trend and cases where it does not.
Currently, it seems that volatility is likely to occur when the StochRSI indicator is located near the midpoint (50).
At this time, I think it is important to know where it is supported.
-
If it rises above 65920.71,
1st: 67614.25
2nd: 69648.14
We need to check whether it is supported near the 1st and 2nd above.
However, depending on whether the StochRSI indicator is initialized, there is a possibility that the upward trend will continue while creating a new wave, so we need to watch the situation.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale upward trend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
StochRSI EMA has never touched 100Hello, traders.
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-------------------------------------
Looking at past movements, there were cases where the current movement was shown near the peak of the uptrend.
In any case, when the StochRSI EMA rose to around 99 or above and then started to fall, the StochRSI indicator was reset after the additional rise occurred in most cases.
There were two cases where the StochRSI indicator did not reset after rising to the overbought zone and then rose to the overbought zone again.
In other words, if the StochRSI indicator did not reset and touched the overbought zone twice, you can see that the reset has mostly occurred.
If the current decline continues, it is likely to fall because it will become a double top.
The reason why it is so obsessed with this is because the StochRSI EMA has never touched the highest point (100) so far.
-
Therefore, looking at the current position, the important support and resistance zone is the 65920.71-67614.25 zone, so it is expected that the StochRSI indicator will be reset as it receives resistance and falls in this zone.
At this time, it is expected that the support near the 63118.62-64000.0 zone will be the key.
This is because the M-Signal indicator on the 1D and 1W charts is expected to rise to this area.
-
If it falls further, the 60672.0-61099.25 zone is expected to be a strong support zone.
The 61099.25 point is the HA-High indicator point on the 1M chart, so it is important to check whether it is supported.
-
The next important support and resistance area is around the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
Currently, the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart is rising around 52.1K.
Therefore, if there is a movement as I mentioned earlier, the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart is expected to rise around 56K.
-
There are fewer cases of a sharp downtrend immediately following a strong overheating of StochRSI than expected.
Therefore, it is expected that there will be time to respond depending on whether there is support around the area I mentioned above.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin after rising above 29K.
The area expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
BNB trying to reset the indicatorHello, traders.
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-------------------------------------
The StochRSI indicator is showing signs of falling below 50 even though it has not fallen much.
In order for the StochRSI indicator to be reset, it must touch the oversold zone.
When the StochRSI indicator is reset and rises in the oversold zone and becomes StochRSI > StochRSI EMA, it is expected to create an upward wave if it receives support and resistance points on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts drawn on the chart.
The point of view is how BTC will reset the StochRSI indicator.
-
Important support and resistance zones
- 578.4-595.0
- 496.0-498.3
The two zones above are important support and resistance zones.
-
If it falls below 595.0, the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is rising near 578.4, so you should check whether it can be supported and rise near this area.
Therefore, the key point is where the StochRSI indicator enters the oversold zone or the BW indicator touches the lowest point (0).
-
If it rises from 595.0,
1st: 606.7
2nd: 664.3
You should respond depending on whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd above.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points.
We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
The difference between buying on the chart and actual buyingHello, traders.
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-------------------------------------
#ETHUSDT
When ETH looks good to buy, it will rise near the section the finger is pointing to.
That's because if you wait any longer, you will feel like you've missed it.
However, the section we should buy is the section the arrow is pointing to.
The best position among these is when it goes beyond the section the arrow is pointing to after September 17.
The reason is that the DMI and OBV rose near the BW line and HA-Low.
Currently, OBV has risen above the High Line, but since DMI is at 0, I think it would be better to wait until DMI shows an upward trend.
If you couldn't wait and were going to buy, you should have bought it at the time when you should have bought it before.
-
The BW line has been created again near the current price.
Therefore, when it rises above the BW line and shows support, it is the time to buy.
However, since it was created at the highest point (100) of the created BW line, it is recommended to check whether it is supported even if it rises.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale upward trend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Overheated state of all timeHello, traders.
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-------------------------------------
The current situation is showing an overheated state of all time.
Accordingly, there seems to be a possibility of a sharp change in the StochRSI indicator.
Since it touched the expected rising range, there is a possibility that a price adjustment will begin to lead to an additional rise.
If it falls below 63118.62-64000.0,
1st: M-Signal on the 1D chart (current location 61759.99)
2nd: 59053.55
You should check for support near the 1st and 2nd above.
If the upward trend continues and rises to the 65920.71-67614.25 range, there is a possibility that the StochRSI indicator will show a reversal phenomenon, but I don't think that will happen because I don't think that has happened so far.
In other words, there is no phenomenon of divergence in the indicator due to excessive upward trend.
-
The StochRSI indicator was reset after February 18, but the price drop was not large.
I think that in order for the current overheated state to lead to additional rise, it should show at least the same movement as after February 18.
-
When you think that it might go up without doing anything, it is a high point and I think it is a good choice to watch the situation a little more.
---------------------------------------------
DMI is displayed as a line, and OBV is displayed as a column.
DMI is easy to interpret, but OBV can be a bit difficult.
The reason is that OBV is displayed by dividing it into 4 sections.
1. Above High Line: Dark Orange (#e65100)
2. Mid Line ~ High Line: Orange (#ff9800)
3. Low Line ~ Mid Line: Aqua (#00bcd4)
4. Below Low Line: Blue (#2962ff)
The above 4 sections are divided and the rise and fall are indicated based on the 0 point.
What you should pay attention to here is the state of DMI when each section is crossed.
This is because there may be a change in trend when OBV exceeds the range when DMI rises and falls based on the 0 point.
(In other words, the trend change occurs and DMI and OBV change, but I explained it the other way around for easier understanding.)
Accordingly, if we interpret the current state, it shows a strong upward trend.
- DMI is maintaining an upward trend above 0 point
- OBV is above the high line: a dark orange (#e65100) range has occurred
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale upward trend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The range expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Things to check when trading altcoinsHello, traders.
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-------------------------------------
I think it's good to check the upward turn on the Renko chart to trade altcoins.
Therefore, in the short term, if the price is maintained above 4.9, it can be interpreted that there is a high possibility of an upward trend.
Accordingly, I think it's good to trade from a short-term trading perspective in the current upward trend.
-
(NEARUSDT 1D chart)
Usually, coins (tokens) that are currently thought to have risen are likely to have already touched the HA-Low indicator and risen.
Therefore, the StochRSI indicator will mostly be in the overbought zone.
In this situation, if you feel like you have to buy now, you should be able to wait for that time to be the peak.
When the bottom zone, low zone, and rise are formed, it is more likely to create a 'W' pattern (double bottom pattern) or higher than the 'V'-shaped uptrend and rise.
Therefore, in order to gain additional upward momentum, it is essential to create a pull back pattern and rise.
Therefore, if you want to buy now, it is recommended to confirm that a pull back pattern is created and enter.
On the NEARUSDT chart, the M-Signal indicator of the 1D and 1W charts is passing around 4.675, so if a pull back pattern is created, I think that this area is likely to become the bottom zone.
Therefore, you should check how the StochRSI indicator is initialized, and when it is initialized, check whether there is support at the support and resistance points at that point and proceed with the transaction.
When rising
1st: 5.947
2nd: 7.008-7.369
You need to check for support near the 1st and 2nd above.
Among these, the section that can be converted to a mid- to long-term transaction is the 2nd section.
-
When purchasing, you need to make an effort to make the lowest average price possible by conducting a split transaction.
Otherwise, if you try to solve everything with a single purchase, you need to be able to wait as much as possible and be decisive.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale upward trend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The section that is expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Next Volatility Period: Around October 11Hello, traders.
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Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
It is showing sideways movement around 63118.62-64000.0.
Therefore, if it breaks out of this area,
- 65920.71-67614.25 when up
- 60672.0-61099.25 when down
You should check for support around the above area.
The StochRSI EMA is almost approaching the 100 point.
Accordingly, the possibility of volatility is increasing.
As I mentioned in the previous idea, I think we can predict the future trend depending on how the initialization of this StochRSI indicator proceeds.
-
(BTCUSDT.P 1h chart)
The section that the finger is pointing to is the section that fell below the 5EMA of the 1D chart, then touched the HA-Low indicator and rose.
When it fell below the 5EMA of the 1D chart this time, we need to check whether it touches the HA-Low indicator and rises.
The M-Signal indicator of the 1D and 1W charts is passing through the 60651.2-61149.2 section, so the key is whether it is supported around this area when falling.
When rising
1st: 65922.3
2nd: 67612.8-68215.5
You need to check whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd above.
-
It is not easy to know whether it will rise or fall right now.
However, you can predict the next support or resistance section depending on how it breaks through the support and resistance points of the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts drawn on the chart.
Therefore, I think it is a good idea to trade with a response strategy for rising and falling from the current position.
For this, you need to have your own trading strategy established.
-----------------------------------------
(USDT.D 1D chart)
USDT dominance is showing a decline in an important section.
Therefore, we need to watch whether it can fall after receiving resistance near the M-Signal indicator on the 1W, 1M chart.
I think that in order for the coin market to show an upward trend, the USDT dominance must show a downward trend.
Therefore, it is expected that we will be able to know whether the coin market can start an upward trend depending on whether the USDT dominance falls below 4.97 and is maintained or shows a downward trend.
--------------------------------------
The purpose of adding DMI and OBV is to find out the strength of the trend.
The final formula was changed accordingly.
Based on the 0 point,
- If it rises above 0, it means that the upward force is strong.
- If it falls below 0, it means that the downward force is strong.
The important thing to note here is when it touches the 2 or -2 point.
At this time, you can proceed with a transaction by checking the movement of the BW indicator and StochRSI indicator.
The trading time should be conducted depending on whether there is support at the support and resistance points drawn on the chart.
It is recommended to use the movement of the indicator only as a basis for judging whether it is supported at the support and resistance points.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start when it rises above 29K.
The area expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
If it is supported near 2531.05-2621.99, it is time to buyHello, traders.
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Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
ETH is showing a disappointing performance, falling more than BTC.
However, the current location, that is, near 2531.05-2621.99, is an important support and resistance area, so whether it can receive support and rise is the key.
We need to check whether it can receive support and rise to create a state where M-Signal on the 1D chart > M-Signal on the 1W chart > M-Signal on the 1M chart.
Therefore, ETH can be considered as a buy point at the moment.
If it falls, you should check for support near 2159.0.
-
This is because the section that must be supported in order to rise is the 1941.90-2159.0 section.
-
Since the BW indicator has touched the highest point (100), the BW line will be created soon.
Therefore, you should check for support at the newly created BW line and consider whether you can trade according to your trading style.
The stop loss point is when it shows resistance near 2531.05.
As I said again, the M-Signal on the 1W chart is currently falling just above.
Therefore, even if it is supported and rises now, it is highly likely to touch the M-Signal area of the 1W chart and fall, so you should think about a countermeasure for this.
-
The next volatility period is around September 30th (September 29th - October 1st).
Therefore, the point of observation is how the M-Signals of the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts are arranged based on this time.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The section expected to touch in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
How StochRSI is initialized is the point of interestHello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(USDT.D 1D chart)
USDT dominance is showing a decline below the important section.
Therefore, we need to check whether the M-Signal on the 1D chart can follow and create a state where the M-Signal on the 1M chart > M-Signal on the 1W chart > M-Signal on the 1D chart.
Since the StochRSI indicator has entered the oversold section, if it rises, the key is whether it can meet resistance near the M-Signal on the 1D chart.
In order for the coin market to start an upward trend, it is expected that the USDT dominance will have to fall below 4.97 and be maintained.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
In fact, even if the current price position, that is, 63118.62-64000.0, is supported and rises, I don't think it's a good idea to make new purchases.
From the perspective of a breakout trader, it is a position worth challenging, but it is a position that requires a quick response and decision.
StochRSI has not yet initialized.
Therefore, it is showing that it is not strange for a decline to occur at any time.
I have talked about the entry point to start trading several times, so I will not talk about it here.
-
If it is supported and rises near 63118.62-64000.0, it is highly likely to turn downward while touching near 65920.71-67614.25.
However, if StochRSI is initialized, it may show an upward trend as it continues to a new trend.
Therefore, what is important to look at now is how to initialize StochRSI.
Initializing StochRSI means that if StochRSI has entered the overbought zone, it must touch the oversold zone.
This initialization does not necessarily mean that it will lead to a large decline.
Therefore, it means that StochRSI may be initialized while showing support near 63118.62.
-
Therefore, the area near 61099.25 is an important support and resistance zone.
This is because the M-Signal of the 1D, 1W chart is currently passing by and the BW line is formed.
Therefore, the entry area is around 61099.25, that is, when it shows support near the BW line or the M-Signal of the 1D, 1W chart.
-
This volatility period is until September 29.
The next volatility period is around October 11.
Therefore, the point of interest is what kind of channel (rising channel or falling channel) the currently drawn trend line will create in the 'X'.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The area expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Chart Analysis and Trading StrategyHello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(Trend-related)
The M-Signals on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts have converged and are showing an upward trend, and are currently showing signs of converging again.
Therefore, if it falls this time, the key issue is whether there is support near the M-Signal on the 1M chart.
Currently, the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart is passing around 52K.
Before that, we need to check whether there is support near the M-Signal on the 1D and 1W charts, which are passing around 60K.
-
(Trading-related-1)
HA-Low, HA-High indicators are indicators created to conduct trading on the Heikin Ashi candle chart.
The creation of HA-Low means that a low point range has been formed.
Therefore, if it shows support near HA-Low, it is a time to buy.
If it falls below HA-Low, there is a high possibility that the low point will be renewed, so a step-down trend is likely to occur.
The creation of HA-High means that a high point range has been formed.
Therefore, if it shows resistance near HA-High, it is a time to sell.
If it rises above HA-High, there is a high possibility that a step-up trend will occur, so a step-down trend is likely to occur.
Therefore, you can receive a basic range to start trading.
-
(Trading-related-2)
In order to conduct a transaction, support and resistance points drawn on 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are required.
To do this, we used various indicators to display support and resistance points.
The support and resistance lines provided in this way indicate that the longer the horizontal line, the more faithfully it can perform its role as support and resistance.
The horizontal line displayed on the bottom chart among the three charts above is displayed by the BW indicator.
The BW indicator is an indicator that comprehensively evaluates the MACD, StochRSI, CCI, PVT, and suerTrend indicators.
Therefore, I think it is highly reliable.
-
(Trading-related-3)
The BW indicator mentioned near Trading-2 is actually an indicator included in the TS-BW DMI indicator.
This BW indicator is designed to draw a horizontal line on the price candle when it forms a horizontal line at the lowest point (0) or highest point (100).
Therefore, you can proceed with trading depending on whether there is support at this horizontal line.
If the BW indicator is created at the lowest point (0), it is likely to form a bottom section, and if it is created near the highest point (100), it is likely to form a high section.
At this time, you can check whether the StochRSI indicator is in the oversold or overbought section and the correlation between StochRSI and StochRSI EMA to gain time to respond to an uptrend or downtrend.
Since the BW line is currently created below the candle, it must fall below the BW line in order to turn into a downtrend.
Therefore, when it falls below the BW line, you need to check whether the StochRSI indicator has fallen in the overbought zone or is maintaining the state of StochRSI < StochRSI EMA.
If so, you need to determine that there is a higher possibility of a downtrend and create a response strategy.
-
(Trading-related-4)
The auxiliary indicators added this time are DMI and OBV.
However, it is not easy to check these two indicators separately.
When interpreting the two indicators, subjective thoughts are constantly added, leading to incorrect interpretations or taking a long time to interpret, making it difficult to respond quickly in real time.
Therefore, we have comprehensively presented the important interpretation methods of the DMI and OBV indicators.
If it rises from the 0 point, it means that the upward trend is strong, and if it falls, it means that the downward trend is strong.
Among them, the -2 ~ 2 section can be interpreted as forming a box section, that is, a sideways section.
Therefore, the newly added DMI+OBV can be considered as a method of interpreting the CCI indicator.
-----------------------------------------
Looking at the above, you may think that you can trade well, but when you actually trade, you may feel that it is not going well.
I think this is because you do not have a trading strategy that fits your investment style.
To create a trading strategy that fits you, you must have a concept of the three things above:
1. Investment period
2. Investment size
3. Trading method and profit realization method.
In other words, you start trading thinking that you will conduct day trading as the investment period, but as the trading time passes, the problem is that the investment period is gradually extended to the short term and beyond, not day trading.
In addition, you should distribute your investment funds according to your investment period, but if you do not do so, investing a lot of investment funds in one coin (token, stock) and creating an imbalance in your trading is also a problem.
The investment scale of scalping or day trading and the investment scale of the mid- to long-term are bound to be different, but by using the same concept, you will create a situation where you can no longer proceed with the transaction.
In other words, this refers to the phenomenon where you end up with 0 cash, which prevents you from proceeding with the transaction you intended and ends up proceeding with the wrong transaction.
To do this, you need to think about how to buy, sell, cut losses, etc. when trading and how to make a profit.
To do this, you need support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
Then, you use various auxiliary indicators or chart tools to check whether there is support at these support and resistance points and whether it is a time for trading.
The most commonly used ones are the price moving average, trend line, and Fibonacci ratio.
Since these indicators and chart tools are created after the price movement, they can all be considered lagging.
So, I would not say that auxiliary indicators such as RSI, StochRSI, MACD, CCI indicators are lagging indicators and therefore do not need to be used.
Ultimately, the decision to proceed with a trade is determined by how well it reflects your investment style.
Therefore, even if the chart analysis is interpreted in a completely different direction, you can reduce losses or even gain profits depending on your trading strategy.
Therefore, rather than investing a lot of time in chart analysis, you should figure out how it fits your investment style and think about how to reflect it in your trading.
So, rather than worrying about whether the current price will rise or fall, you should think about how to respond when you start trading at the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
-
Have a nice time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
The real uptrend is expected to start after rising above 29K.
The area expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Important Support and Resistance Points: 19582.6
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
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-------------------------------------
To summarize the explanation below,
The current strength to maintain the uptrend is weakening.
Therefore, the key is whether it can receive support and rise near 19582.6.
-------------------------------------
(1W chart)
A new week has begun.
The key is whether it can receive support and continue the uptrend near 19582.6.
1. Check if ADX can rise above 25
2. Check if OBV can rise above the High Line
3. Check if StochRSI enters the overbought zone
4. Check if BW can touch the highest point (100)
If 1 and 2 are satisfied, the upward trend is expected to continue.
If 3 and 4 are satisfied, the high point zone is expected to be formed.
It does not immediately fall when the high point zone is formed,
- Check if ADX shows a downward trend or falls below 25
- Check if OBV falls below the High Line or shows a downward trend
When the above two conditions are satisfied, the decline is likely to begin.
At this time, the important thing to look at is whether there is support near 19582.6.
If it falls below 19582.6, it is likely to fall to around 17854.8.
The Fibonacci ratio shown on the left side of the chart is drawn in the first rising wave.
The Fibonacci ratio shown on the right side of the chart is drawn in the second rising wave.
Therefore, if it touches the Fibonacci ratio 1 (21137.6) on the right side, it is expected to pick up the trend again.
The second rising section is expected to be around the Fibonacci ratio 2.618 (23557.7) on the left side.
The long-term uptrend resumed on the week of March 13th as it broke through the M-Signal on the 1M chart.
Therefore, if it starts to fall, it is expected to show significant volatility by touching the M-Signal on the 1M chart.
Currently, the M-Signal on the 1M chart is rising around 17854.8.
-
(1D chart)
StochRSI has touched the 100 point.
Accordingly, it is expected that even if it rises, it will eventually show a downward trend.
If it rises above 19582.6, I think it is highly likely to touch around 20313.8 and fall.
If not, it will turn into a downward trend.
At this time, what you need to check is
1. Whether ADX rises above 25.
2. Whether OBV is maintained above the high line or below the low line and remains.
If the above 1 and 2 are not satisfied, there is a possibility of forming a box section.
-------------------------------------------------
Sometimes, there are people who strangely say that indicators from coin charts are used in stock charts.
Most indicators on charts have been created and used in the stock market for a long time.
I hope you know that they can be applied to all investment markets.
-
Have a nice time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
To maintain the uptrend,it needs to be supported around 61099.25
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
I'm publishing in advance because I have a schedule.
I will explain the new 1W chart and 1D chart as soon as the schedule is over.
--------------------------------------
Since I have updated the necessary information for day trading, I will often explain the trading method for day trading.
(BTCUSDT.P 1h chart)
It is expected that volatility will occur as the 5EMA line of the 1D chart is touched.
Accordingly, if it falls below the 5EMA of the 1D chart, the key is whether it can receive support near 61149.5.
Since the M-Signal of the 1D chart and the M-Signal of the 1W chart are passing near 60651.2, I think it is a section that must receive support to start an uptrend.
- ADX is below 20.
- Since OBV is converging, there is a high possibility that a trend will be formed if it breaks through the low line (LL) or high line (HH) soon.
- You should check whether the StochRSI indicator rises in the oversold section and shows an uptrend with StochRSI > StochRSI EMA.
Since the trend strength has weakened as ADX falls below 25, there is a high possibility that a box section will be formed.
Therefore, you should check which section the box section is formed in and think about whether to proceed with a trade within the box section.
However, as I mentioned earlier, if you touch the 5EMA of the 1D chart, ADX can rise above 25, so you need to check what kind of movement it shows at that time.
The right time to proceed with a buy (LONG) is when it is supported and rising near the HA-Low indicator.
At this time, ADX should be rising above 25 and OBV should be rising along the high point line (HH).
The right time to proceed with a sell (SHORT) is when it is resisted and falling near the HA-HIgh indicator.
At this time, ADX should be rising above 25 and OBV should be falling along the low point line (LL).
------------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
The key is whether it can be supported near the 2nd section and rise to the 1st section.
To do that
- ADX must be maintained above 25 or show an upward trend.
- OBV must show an upward trend along the high point line (HH).
- StochRSI must change to a state where it is > StochRSI EMA and show an upward trend.
-
(1W chart)
The formula of the StochRSI indicator included in the TS-BW DMI indicator has changed, creating a different trend line than the previous idea.
Therefore, we should check the movement when a new candle is created.
Looking at the TS-BW DMI indicator,
- StochRSI appears to have changed to an oversold zone and StochRSI > StochRSI EMA.
- We should check if ADX can be maintained above 25.
A decline in ADX means that the trend strength is weakening.
If you look at the OBV indicator, you can see that OBV is converging.
Accordingly, you need to check whether it can maintain the uptrend by rising above the high point line (HH).
-
(1D chart)
The trend line has changed, and the next volatility period has changed from around October 7 to around October 11.
- ADX is below 25.
- OBV is showing signs of breaking out of the high point line and then entering within the high point line.
- StochRSI indicator is showing signs of changing the trend in the overbought zone.
It is judged that it is not easy to maintain the uptrend in the current state.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can receive support around 63118.62-64000.0.
If not, and it falls, it is important to see if it can be supported around 61099.25.
If the price is maintained above 61099.25, I think it will meet the conditions to start an uptrend because the M-Signal on the 1D chart > M-Signal on the 1W chart > M-Signal on the 1M chart.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will start when it rises above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Activate the alarm function when touching the set indicator
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
One of the good things about using TradingView charts is that you can use the alarm function.
This alarm function has a limit on the number depending on the plan you use, so please check it out.
I will take the time to explain the alarm function using my chart.
It is hard, boring, and tedious to just look at the chart until you meet the desired trading point or criteria.
If you do that, you may end up making a wrong trade or missing the trading period while doing something else.
If you create an alarm and change the Value section to the HA-MS_BW indicator, multiple indicators will be displayed.
The indicators currently activated on the chart are HA-Low, HA-High, BW, and M-Signal indicators on the 1D chart, so you can select BW or HA-Low, LH, LL and check if the alarm turns on when they cross.
When looking at the 15m chart, since it is moving sideways in the box section of the HA-Low indicator, if you set it to LH, LL indicator, the alarm will come when you touch the upper or lower point of the box.
Then, you can use it conveniently when you want to trade within the box section.
If you want to trade in a large trend, I think it would be good to set the alarm to turn on when you touch the 5EMA on the 1D chart.
Or, you can set the alarm to turn on when the OBV indicator breaks through the high (HH) or low (LL) line upward.
If you are a paid member of TradingView, I highly recommend using the alarm function.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
The real uptrend is expected to start after it rises above 29K.
The area expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Example of how to determine the timing of a tradeHello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
The following is an explanation of how to use the indicators included in the chart.
If you don't need to see how to use the indicators, you don't have to read it.
-
(15m chart)
Currently, it is moving sideways within the box section of the HA-Low indicator.
Therefore, in order for a trend to occur, it must break out of the box section of the HA-Low indicator.
When the support and resistance points indicated on the chart are touched, you should check the movements of the OBV, DMI, and StochRSI indicators and decide whether to proceed with the trade.
If the DMI rises above 25, there is a possibility that it will break through the box section of the HA-Low indicator upward.
At this time, you should check whether the OBV is rising along the high point line and the status of the StochRSI.
If not, you should decide whether to proceed with the trade within the box section.
--------------------------------------
I think that the indicators I used have been organized and modified, and now they are being used more in day trading.
If possible, it is good to draw support and resistance lines on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts and respond accordingly.
The most difficult part of any trade is whether it will go up or down right now.
For this, we refer to many things.
So, what I am going to explain is not necessarily correct, but I think it will reduce the fight with myself about whether to trade right now.
-
(1D chart)
(4m chart)
The most important thing in my chart is the MS-Signal indicator.
This MS-Signal indicator was created using the MACD formula.
Therefore, to see the trend, you can refer to the movement of the MS-Signal indicator (M-Signal on 1D, 1W, 1M charts).
Then, you can immediately see the current trend on any time frame chart.
For reference, the MS-Signal indicator is made up of the M-Signal line and the S-Signal line.
-
(15m chart)
(5m chart)
The next important indicator is the HA-Low, HA-High indicator.
The HA-Low, HA-High indicator is an indicator that shows the conditions for trading on the Heikin Ashi chart.
Therefore, the creation of the HA-Low indicator means that a low point range has been formed, and the creation of the HA-High indicator means that a high point range has been formed.
Therefore, if it is supported near the HA-Low indicator, it is a buying period, and the HA-High indicator is the first selling period.
A full-scale uptrend begins when it is supported by the HA-Low indicator and rises above the HA-High indicator.
On the other hand, a full-scale downtrend begins when it encounters resistance from the HA-High indicator and falls below the HA-Low indicator.
You can use this characteristic to determine the timing of trading.
-
The BW line is an indicator that is displayed when the lowest point (0) and highest point (100) of the BW indicator included in the TS-BW DMI auxiliary indicator form a horizontal line.
Therefore, the creation of the BW line means that a low point or high point section has been formed.
Therefore,
1. If the BW indicator is at the lowest point (0), it means that a low point section has been formed.
2. If the BW indicator is at the highest point (100), it means that a high point section has been formed.
However, rather than looking at the BW line in this sense, it is better to think of it as a support and resistance point and focus on whether you can proceed with trading depending on whether it is supported or not.
-
With the newly added OBV and DMI indicators, you can now check whether the current rise or fall will continue by following the correlation of the StochRSI indicator.
I think it was difficult to determine this with just the StochRSI indicator in the past.
The reason is that when the StochRSI indicator entered the overbought or oversold zone and tried to escape from that zone, it often led to additional rise or fall.
Therefore, your own chart analysis know-how was needed to determine this.
That does not mean that chart analysis know-how is not needed because the OBV and DMI indicators were added.
Please think of it as the concept that there is more reference material to determine this.
-
(OBV indicator)
In order for the price to rise or fall, trading volume must occur.
Therefore, it is good to see whether the current rise or fall occurs and whether the buying or selling force increases.
The indicator used to confirm this is the OBV indicator.
I will not explain the concept of the indicators I am explaining separately.
The reason is that it only increases the time spent studying the chart, so I am trying to explain only the core utilization methods of the indicator.
In that sense,
- If the OBV line rises above the high point and is maintained, it means that the buying force is increasing,
- If the OBV line falls below the low point and is maintained, it means that the selling force is increasing.
By utilizing this, it can be helpful in determining whether the current rise or fall is sustainable.
The color changes when the low or high line is broken, which means that it is the trading period.
-
(DMI indicator)
The DMI indicator is an indicator composed of D+, D-, and ADX lines.
Therefore, it is difficult to see and interpret it.
To compensate for this, three indicators were created as one.
The ADX indicator indicates the strength of the trend.
Therefore, an ADX line rising means that the current trend is getting stronger.
On the other hand, an ADX line falling means that the current trend is getting weaker.
Therefore, you cannot tell whether the current trend is rising or falling just by looking at the ADX line.
The correlation between the D+ and D- indicators tells you this.
The ADX line in the TS-BW DMI indicator is a comprehensive expression of this information.
If the color of the ADX line is pink (#e65100), it indicates an upward trend, and if it is aqua, it indicates a downward trend.
If the ADX line is located below 25, it is highly likely that a box section will form.
Therefore, at this time, you should check the movement of the indicators mentioned above and check whether there is support at the support and resistance lines displayed at the current price position to determine the trading point.
-
By checking the correlation between StochRSI and StochRSI EMA, you can determine whether the current trend is sustainable by checking whether the previously used StochRSI indicator has entered the overbought or oversold zone.
In other words, even if OBV and DMI show an upward trend, if the StochRSI indicator shows a downward trend in the overbought zone or declines, you should determine that it is difficult to continue the upward trend and find a way to respond.
In that sense, if you look at the 1D chart, you can immediately see that even if it rises further, it will eventually fall.
Therefore, I think it is a good idea to wait until the StochRSI indicator shows an initialization (if it has entered the overbought zone, it must fall and touch the oversold zone to be determined to have been initialized).
We do not know how much the StochRSI indicator will fall, but now we can determine it by looking at the OBV and DMI indicators together.
-
To comprehensively explain the OBV, DMI, and StochRSI indicators,
1. For an uptrend to continue
- OBV must show an uptrend along the high point line
- DMI must show an uptrend
- StochRSI must show an uptrend (better if it has not entered the overbought zone)
2. For a downtrend to continue
- OBV must show a downtrend along the low point line
- DMI must show an uptrend
- StochRSI must show a downtrend (better if it has not entered the oversold zone)
3. In the case of a box zone
- When OBV moves between the low point line and the high point line
- When DMI is maintained around 25 or below
- When StochRSI is maintained around 50
If you have not started a trade when a movement occurs at the support and resistance points drawn on the chart, it is recommended to check whether there is support by meeting the support and resistance points and then proceed with the trade.
Also,
- When OBV rises above the low or midline
- When DMI shows an upward trend
- When StochRSI rises in the oversold zone and becomes StochRSI > StochRSI EMA
When the above conditions are met, you can check whether there is support at the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts around the price and proceed with the transaction.
If you are using my chart to trade, it is recommended to draw at least the HA-Low and HA-High indicators on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
And, when the BW line is created, you can determine the trading point by looking at the movement of the indicators.
If you need more support and resistance points, you can activate the StochRSI-related (StochRSI < 80, StochRSI > 20), OBV, CCI-related (-100, +100), and RSI-related (RSI < 70, RSI > 30) indicators in the settings of the HA-MS_BW indicator.
In addition, 1, 2, 3, and 4 indicate the volume profile points by period, so they also play the role of support and resistance.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will start when it rises above 29K.
The area expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------