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Hangseng

HANG SENG: Buy signal on the bottom of the Channel Down.Hang Seng got rejected on the 1D MA50 two weeks ago and is headed again to the bottom of the Channel Down pattern. The 1D timeframe turned red again on its technical outlook (RSI = 41.280, MACD = -221.700, ADX = 20.498) and this is becoming a buy opportunity again. Every prior rise inside this Channel Down has been at least +10.90% so the one that started on the August 22nd low isn't technically completed. Buy and attempt contact with the 1D MA200 (TP = 19,400). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
HKEX:HSI1!Long
by InvestingScope
1
NIO - Why Are You Long On Another Shanghai Disaster?So NIO makes electric cars and is a company from Mainland China, which means that by default it's a Chinese Communist Party state-run enterprise because of the realities of Chinese law and living under the CCP's jurisdiction. Earnings are tomorrow morning and IV on options are juiced to 150% at the money expiring September 1 and 75% expiring January '24. It might be pretty easy for this company to print a beat considering estimates are only $1.2~ billion compared to the $1.7, $2.5, $1.8, and $1.5 billion in the prior segments. But as we've seen with earnings on stuff like AMD AMD - Greed Doth Bad Habits Breed Target Target - Why Is Everyone Desperate To Long Disasters? Snowflake Snowflake - Is It Time To Stop Gambling On Chop? and Disney Disney - Is Your Compass Upside Down? That a short lived earnings-linked climax has been the optimal moment to enter short and ride the move towards the bottoms. The problem with companies rooted in Shanghai is that Shanghai is the toad's den, the headquarters of the faction of former Chairman Jiang Zemin, who died, and is solely responsible for the 24-year-long persecution and organ harvesting campaign against Falun Dafa's 100 million spiritual practitioners. But even if the company were rooted in Shenzhen, Beijing, or Guangzhou, the problem would be that any company that relies on Mainland Chinese demand to fuel sales, including companies as big as Apple, are in big trouble. The reason is simple. If you look at Our World In Data and examine how many people died from Coronavirus Disease 2019, the Chinese Communist Party under Xi Jinping claims that 121,563 people have died since the pandemic began. The United States with less than 1/4th the population has reported over 1.2 million deaths by comparison. And on top of that, everyone knows how the CCP covered up and lied to the world about the 2003 SARS pandemic. So let's say for a minute, considering China's population of 1.4 billion compared to America's 355 million people, and that China is the epicentre of the pandemic, that as few as 10 million people actually died. Now, consider the number of people counting as eligible buyers who have died in China is even higher than this number because of the huge amount of flooding, natural, and manmade disasters that have occurred over the same period of time. Let's be generous and say that only 15 million people have died. How does that impact the sales of companies like NIO, Tesla, Apple, and everyone else who has become reliant on the Chinese market? Perhaps it isn't enough to cause a 2008-style bubble deflation yet, but we're certainly seeing the impact on the balance sheets, aren't we? And yet people are telling you to get long on NIO. Technically speaking, the monthly bars show us that since the October dump, every candle, no matter how big the retrace has been, has simply respected the gap created by the dump. And this is significant because that dump was an astonishing 63 percent in two months. And at today's prices of $11 this company is still claimed to be worth $15 billion, even while Evergrande has become a penny stock, the Yuan is in huge trouble, and the entire Chinese economy is on the brink of collapse. Something I have enlightened to in recent times is that reversal patterns are not reversal patterns unless the market has traded to its true bottom. This was the problem everyone who was trying to long Tesla, Meta, and Amazon all the way down kept running into. If you buy too early then you have to sit there in drawdown waiting for 25% miracle candles just to break even for a single day. And so you always have to ask yourself if the market has traded to its true bottom before you decide to donate your retirement funds to the Party longing a retrace. On the weekly, the breakout to $16 would be bullish, if $7.5 were the bottom But the problem is that the most meaningful gap on weekly bars was never retraced to after it broke up and it ran away towards $60, and that gap starts at $5.59, almost 50% away from where we traded today. So is NIO a long? Social media wants you to get long because every dumpster pattern that looks like a disaster is a long, for some reason. But NIO is not likely to be a long, no matter how nice of a car and how much of a Tesla killer they may arguably make. But with a $1.2 billion earnings estimate, that's pretty beatable, and so we may see a real retrace tomorrow, however short lived, that could see smart call buyers who exit early or immediately bagging a nice profit. For everyone else, perhaps it really is worth buying puts at $14 expiring in March of 2024 and closing them off at $5.5 Because NIO is a Shanghai dumpster fire, this thing can go down and down and down and down in accordance with the Hang Seng Tech even if the Nasdaq and the SPX rallies in Q4. In the meantime, perhaps September will be a bit of an early autumn for the markets, and perhaps for the world-at-large. Be careful. Shanghai is the "Babylon" spoke of in The Book of Revelations. Babylon is a city, not a person. And everyone who put roots there is dirty, perhaps including Tesla and Elon Musk, the man who wants to turn Twitter into the CCP's social credit keystones Wechat/TikTok.
NYSE:NIOShort
by LordWrymouth
1
Hong Kong50 Hang Seng Short Bears Remain in Controlbearish start to the week, with hawkish central banks and growth fears continue weighing on investor sentiment ahead of a busy week. The theme remained the same, with investor jitters over the economic outlook weighing on investor sentiment. There were no economic indicators from the region to change the mood. Market Overview It was a bearish morning session for the Asian markets. The ASX 200 led the way down, with the Hang Seng and the Nikkei also struggling. The Asian equity markets tracked the US equity markets into the red, with fears of central banks sending the global economy into a recession weighing. Hawkish Fed Chair Powell testimony continued to resonate this morning. Last week’s Bank of England 50-basis point interest rate hike was a reminder of central bank commitments to tame inflation. Despite softer US private sector PMI numbers on Friday, the markets are still betting on a Fed 25-basis point interest rate hike in July. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a 25-basis point July Fed rate hike stood at 71.9% versus 74.4% one week ago. Significantly, the chances of the Fed lifting rates to 5.75% in September stood at 11.5%, up from 8.9% one week earlier. Bank stocks also had a mixed morning. HSBC Holdings PLC and The Industrial and Commercial Bank of China (HK:1398) saw losses of 0.33% and 0.24%, respectively, while China Construction Bank (HK: 0939) rose by 0.40%. Strategy Bearish Short RSI confirming permanent trend continuation Bulltraps can be used to sell more and stronger Trendlines shold be used in 2 ways: bearish breakout of the trendlines should be sed to new bearish enries or position sizing only. Bullish breakouts should be used as profit taking or trading the 2nd wave only. Bullish breakouts are often traps.
CAPITALCOM:HK50Short
by DaveBrascoFX
Hang Seng: Thumbed 👍Exemplarily, Hang Seng has thumbed our target zone and turned upwards from there. Thus, we classify wave 2 in turquoise as complete. Now, wave 3 in turquoise should carry Hang Seng above the resistance at 21 056 points. The counter movement of wave 4 in turquoise should then push the index back toward this mark before the ascent can be resumed once again. However, there is a 39% chance that Hang Seng could interrupt the current upwards movement, shifting southwards to develop the new low of wave alt.2 in turquoise, which should then be established before the support at 17 948 points.
HKEX:HSI1!
by MarketIntel
HANG SENG: Inverted Head and Shoulders aiming for the 2021 High.Hang Seng is supported on the 1W MA50 with technicals both on the 1D and 1W time-frames (RSI = 51.130, MACD = 75.500, ADX = 25.377) neutral. This shows the high accumulation effect that is taking place as the huge Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern (whose Head formed the October bottom) is near to complete the Right Shoulder. Even though there are several Resistances on the way to the February 2021 High (R4 = 31,160), Inverted Head and Shoulders patterns technically target Fibonacci 2.0 from the neckline and that is at 30,900, just a fraction under the 2021 High. The action now is a buy (TP = 30,900). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
HKEX:HSI1!Long
by InvestingScope
5
HANG SENG BUYIncreasing confidence for global economic resilience in 2023. Global growth for 2023 has continued to improve. The U.S. has started the year with a degree of momentum, even if activity could wane as the year progresses. Chinese activity is bouncing back as the economy reopens, while the Eurozone is likely to benefit as energy prices have receded and headline inflation has slowed. While banking and financial sector strains have clouded the outlook to some extent, we ultimately believe authorities will do whatever is needed and will be successful in containing those difficulties. Against that backdrop, our upwardly revised forecast means we now expect the global economy to avoid recession this year.
HKEX:HSI1!
by thunderpips
Hang Seng bounced strongly! Is the China bull back?Something bullish is happening in China, potentially primarily due to the reopening and all the liquidity injections by the PBoC. China never raised rates while slowly adding liquidity to markets. We saw a significant capitulation when Xi became emperor for life by removing everyone that could potentially cause trouble to him from the CCP, as well as when we first saw the first sanctions on China by the US. It's clear that the US and China are in a cold war, and the US will keep imposing sanctions on China... Many of which might come back to bite it. Now there is talk about capital controls, yet China holds many US bonds and has been part of why inflation stayed low for so long. Of course, China has many issues, but so does the US, and what they both have in common is that they will have to print a ton of money. What's critical here is that the Hang Seng has been trending lower for a while, especially since China started taking 'back' Hong Kong, but then started bottoming around peak China fears (never reopening + Taiwan invasion). For now, an invasion seems unlikely, and all the concerns about capital controls could not have the result everyone thinks they will. The market is incredibly oversold, and Chinese investors may be forced to repatriate their capital and start investing there. ''The Hang Seng Index can be used as a bellwether for markets worldwide. If the gain in Hang Seng holds, that would be a bullish indicant for markets worldwide. If the low is violated, that would suggest continued decline in other markets as well. We say this because the late January and early February market peaks were a worldwide phenomenon. Stocks, Bonds and Commodities all peaked in tandem, suggesting a shift in the underlying perception of the fundamentals from one of continued growth and declining inflation to one of slower growth or recession accompanied by persistent inflationary pressures.'' Milton W Berg CFA @BergMilton I agree with Milton, and to me, this looks special. First, HSI bounced right at the Yearly pivot. The bounce came to a massive rally from the lows, which swept the double top, hit resistance, and had a decent pullback. The bounce straight into the monthly pivot, which usually acts as a magnet. So we have gone from pivot to pivot very quickly. When looking at CN50, we get an extra confirmation that something bullish is happening. Again, massive rally, significant pullback, bounce at support, reclaim yearly pivot, a break above the monthly pivot, slight pullback, and sit right above the monthly pivot. Technically both look bullish to me. Only a close of 2% below the recent lows would make me think that the market is about to keep going lower. Until then, I assume that both these markets are in a bull market and that China isn't as uninvestable as many make it seem to be. Of course, if you are a US investor, you shouldn't be investing in China, but for most of the rest of the world, China seems fine (for now). They keep getting cheap oil from Russia, they are politically stable (nobody to go against Xi), won't invade Taiwan anytime soon (based on what they saw in Ukraine), and Japan also kept printing and didn't raise rates (capital flows into China)
TVC:HSILong
by BitcoinMacro
Hang Seng: Wait for It… ☝️Hang Seng is still busy in the magenta-colored zone between 20 867 and 18 707 points. On the one hand, the index has slowed the descent and could very well have completed wave (4) in magenta by now, readying itself to take off. After all, the requirements for the current movement’s conclusion have already been met by touching at the magenta-colored zone. On the other hand, Hang Seng still has got some room to expand wave (4) a bit deeper and could indeed make use of the whole magenta-colored zone. As soon as this low is established, though, the index should turn upwards and climb above the resistance at 22 798 points. However, there is a 36% chance that Hang Seng could develop wave alt.A and alt.B in turquoise first, the latter leading it out of the magenta-colored zone. In that case, wave alt.C should push the index back down into this area, where it should finish wave alt.(4) in magenta as well before moving northwards again.
HKEX:HSI1!
by MarketIntel
1
Hangseng Index Rallying in Nesting Impulse Elliott Wave StructurCycle from 10.31.2022 low in Hangseng Index is in progress as a nesting 5 waves impulsive Elliott Wave structure. Up from 10.31.2022 low, wave ((1)) ended at 18414.09. The 45 minutes chart below shows pullback in wave ((2)) ended at 16833.68. Wave ((3)) is currently in progress as another impulse in lesser degree. Up from wave ((2)), wave ((i)) ended at 19237.45 and dips in wave ((ii)) ended at 18530.82. Wave ((iii)) ended at 19737.31, pullback in wave ((iv)) ended at 18799.81 and final leg wave ((v)) ended at 19926.48. This completed wave 1 in higher degree. Wave 2 pullback ended at 18878.64 with internal subdivision as a zigzag structure. Down from wave 1, wave ((a)) ended at 19130.53, rally in wave ((b)) ended at 19786.29 and wave ((c)) lower ended at 18878.64. This completed wave 2 in higher degree. The Index has resumed higher in wave 3. Up from wave 2, wave ((i)) ended at 20098.23 and pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 19303.73. Index then extended higher in wave ((iii)) towards 21396.09, and pullback in wave ((iv)) ended at 20862.77. Expect Index to end wave ((v)) of 3 soon, then it should pullback in wave 4 to correct cycle from 12.20.2022 low before the rally resumes. Near term, as far as pivot at 18878.64 low stays intact, expect pullback to find support in 3, 7, 11 swing for more upside.
TVC:HSI
by Elliottwave-Forecast
HK50 - Price action looks to be forming a topHK50 - Intraday - We look to Sell at 19560 (stop at 19821) We are trading at overbought extremes. A Doji style candle has been posted from the high. Price action looks to be forming a top. This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower. Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 19560 level. Our profit targets will be 18755 and 18540 Resistance: 19480 / 20635 / 22510 Support: 18540 / 17605 / 16450 Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
VANTAGE:HK50Short
by VantageMarkets
Joe Gun2Head Trade - Top pattern on HK50Trade Idea: Selling HK50 Reasoning: Top pattern on HK50 Entry Level: 17641 Take Profit Level: 16980 Stop Loss: 17796 Risk/Reward: 4.25:1 Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
CAPITALCOM:HK50Short
by Signal_Centre
1