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Hangsengindex

How to identify a TREND or RANGE market early in DaytradingTrading and Price Action can be broken down into tow simple terms...a 'range bound' market and a 'trend' market. Being able to identify the price action early is key to successful daytrading. In the video I discuss how I like to daytrade Indexes and especially how I look to identify a RANGE or a TREND market. As there really is only TWO WAYs to trade....ie/ reversion to the mean or continuation trading...it is important to identify the market conditions early to get on the right side of the market and take full advantage of a move up or down. I discuss my basic approach to trading and what I look for to identify the market conditions. I talk about my trading style and general entry criteria. Any comments or questions welcome below.
HKEX:HSI1!Education
by TradeTheStructure
HANG SENG BUYIncreasing confidence for global economic resilience in 2023. Global growth for 2023 has continued to improve. The U.S. has started the year with a degree of momentum, even if activity could wane as the year progresses. Chinese activity is bouncing back as the economy reopens, while the Eurozone is likely to benefit as energy prices have receded and headline inflation has slowed. While banking and financial sector strains have clouded the outlook to some extent, we ultimately believe authorities will do whatever is needed and will be successful in containing those difficulties. Against that backdrop, our upwardly revised forecast means we now expect the global economy to avoid recession this year.
HKEX:HSI1!
by thunderpips
Hang Seng bounced strongly! Is the China bull back?Something bullish is happening in China, potentially primarily due to the reopening and all the liquidity injections by the PBoC. China never raised rates while slowly adding liquidity to markets. We saw a significant capitulation when Xi became emperor for life by removing everyone that could potentially cause trouble to him from the CCP, as well as when we first saw the first sanctions on China by the US. It's clear that the US and China are in a cold war, and the US will keep imposing sanctions on China... Many of which might come back to bite it. Now there is talk about capital controls, yet China holds many US bonds and has been part of why inflation stayed low for so long. Of course, China has many issues, but so does the US, and what they both have in common is that they will have to print a ton of money. What's critical here is that the Hang Seng has been trending lower for a while, especially since China started taking 'back' Hong Kong, but then started bottoming around peak China fears (never reopening + Taiwan invasion). For now, an invasion seems unlikely, and all the concerns about capital controls could not have the result everyone thinks they will. The market is incredibly oversold, and Chinese investors may be forced to repatriate their capital and start investing there. ''The Hang Seng Index can be used as a bellwether for markets worldwide. If the gain in Hang Seng holds, that would be a bullish indicant for markets worldwide. If the low is violated, that would suggest continued decline in other markets as well. We say this because the late January and early February market peaks were a worldwide phenomenon. Stocks, Bonds and Commodities all peaked in tandem, suggesting a shift in the underlying perception of the fundamentals from one of continued growth and declining inflation to one of slower growth or recession accompanied by persistent inflationary pressures.'' Milton W Berg CFA @BergMilton I agree with Milton, and to me, this looks special. First, HSI bounced right at the Yearly pivot. The bounce came to a massive rally from the lows, which swept the double top, hit resistance, and had a decent pullback. The bounce straight into the monthly pivot, which usually acts as a magnet. So we have gone from pivot to pivot very quickly. When looking at CN50, we get an extra confirmation that something bullish is happening. Again, massive rally, significant pullback, bounce at support, reclaim yearly pivot, a break above the monthly pivot, slight pullback, and sit right above the monthly pivot. Technically both look bullish to me. Only a close of 2% below the recent lows would make me think that the market is about to keep going lower. Until then, I assume that both these markets are in a bull market and that China isn't as uninvestable as many make it seem to be. Of course, if you are a US investor, you shouldn't be investing in China, but for most of the rest of the world, China seems fine (for now). They keep getting cheap oil from Russia, they are politically stable (nobody to go against Xi), won't invade Taiwan anytime soon (based on what they saw in Ukraine), and Japan also kept printing and didn't raise rates (capital flows into China)
TVC:HSILong
by BitcoinMacro
Hang Seng: Wait for It… ☝️Hang Seng is still busy in the magenta-colored zone between 20 867 and 18 707 points. On the one hand, the index has slowed the descent and could very well have completed wave (4) in magenta by now, readying itself to take off. After all, the requirements for the current movement’s conclusion have already been met by touching at the magenta-colored zone. On the other hand, Hang Seng still has got some room to expand wave (4) a bit deeper and could indeed make use of the whole magenta-colored zone. As soon as this low is established, though, the index should turn upwards and climb above the resistance at 22 798 points. However, there is a 36% chance that Hang Seng could develop wave alt.A and alt.B in turquoise first, the latter leading it out of the magenta-colored zone. In that case, wave alt.C should push the index back down into this area, where it should finish wave alt.(4) in magenta as well before moving northwards again.
HKEX:HSI1!
by MarketIntel
1
Nowhere to HideEmerging markets have made some terrific gains in the past month, but I would caution with the path ahead. Take a look at the past year's performance of the Hang Seng, KOSPI, IBOVESPA. I've included a chart of the Tadawul, the Saudi stock index, which is significantly weighted in EEM, the emerging market ETF. These are not healthy charts, and rallies provide opportunities for shorting in my opinion. EEM's breakout from its downtrend will be tested as it compresses between the 50 & 150 EMA's. As of right now, it needs to close above $39.20 to invalidate a daily Head & Shoulders pattern.
AMEX:EEMShort
by sdeutsch95
Tracking the China reopening basket: HSI, Copper, KRW and AUDSince early November, when China initially hinted at lifting statewide Covid restrictions, a basket tracking assets linked to the Chinese reopening story has surged by 22%. In the last 11 weeks, the China reopening basket, which is equally weighted with copper , Korean won , Australian dollar , and the Hang Seng index , has outperformed a global stock market (MSCI ACWI index) benchmark considerably. The China reopening portfolio has gained 22.3% versus a 6.8% gain of the MSCI All-Country World index since November 1st. Because the total volatility of the China reopening basket has been lower (19.2% compared to 21.8%), the Sharpe ratio has been even more positively skewed (9.61 vs 1.89). The Hang Seng index, which has climbed by 45% since November, has been the portfolio's best contributor with a weighted return of 11%, followed by copper with a weighted return of 5.3%.
NASDAQ:ACWI
by Capitalcom
2
Hang Seng: Just do it 💪The chinese Index isn't kidding around when it comes to fulfilling those New Year's resolutions and is using all its power to climb all the way North. We're expecting the Hang Seng to rise further into the turquoise target zone to complete the red wave (3). After completion, the course should fall back into a correction in order to finish the red wave (3). In case the Hang Seng can't carry on with its recent upwards pulses, we're expecting it to drop below the support line at 18 917 points. This would indicate the activation of our alternative scenario with a chance of 27%.
HKEX:HSI1!
by MarketIntel
C stands for China - updateHang Seng index had a perfect backtest of monthy trendline, I think it's a short here and if you look at the news, the fundamental reasons are there as well. Common targets for the C wave would be equal to the previous A wave (around 12k) or, if things get really ugly 1.272 of A - which would be around 6500. Both areas have strong horizontal support. The Monthly BB was the area for the recent bounce (not shown), but the Monthly Slow Stochastic will likely close with an embedded bearish reading.
TVC:HSIShort
by the_sunship
1
Hong Kong Stock Index (The rebound is in the making)Hong Kong Stock Index (14 Nov 2022) HK index is in the pull back phase and I reckon it shall continue for quite some time. 18,000 is a good strong resistant but the pull back down shall be mild. The nearest strong support is 16,000 and it shall go higher and higher again. 19,000~20,000 will be the strong resistant region. Then, we will talk about what's next. Legal Risk Disclosure: Trading foreign exchange or CFD on margin carries a high level of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. The high degree of leverage can work against you as well as for you. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. The possibility exists that you could sustain a loss of some or all of your initial investment and therefore you should not invest money that you cannot afford to lose. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor. DISCLAIMER: Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices or other information discussed in this presentation or linked to from this presentation are provided as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. Sonicr Mastery Team does not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance on such information.
OANDA:HK33HKD
by SonicDeejay
$HSI Hang Seng Index Can Rise Up - Inside and FCP Zone NowTraders, I have been covering indices in depth latetly and what I see a common pattern is that US Indices has started to bounce back. US3 has been gaining for last 3 weeks or so, SnP500 is lower but gaining and NASDAQ is the only one which gained slowest. Hang Send Index (HSI) has reached 2008 levels but forming an M pattern. It is now inside an FCP zone which can push it upwards. Now think about the consequences of that. Please support this analysis by liking and sharing. 👍🙂 Rules: 1. Never trade too much 2. Never trade without a confirmation 3. Never rely on signals, do your own analysis and research too ✅ If you found this idea useful, hit the like button, subscribe and share it in other trading forums. ✅ Follow me for future ideas, trade set ups and the updates of this analysis ✅ Don't hesitate to share your ideas, comments, opinions and questions. Take care and trade well -Vik ____________________________________________________ 📌 DISCLAIMER The content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of education only. Not a financial advice or signal. Please make your own independent investment decisions. ____________________________________________________
TVC:HSILong
by vikinsa
2
Hang Seng Index - When will it bounce?Over the weekend, a lot of synchrony and less optimistic outlook was posted. So, here we take the opposing view and look for when the Hang Seng Index might bounce off what it finds as a bottom. From the weekly chart, it is very clear that the HSI has had two consecutive hard years, since 2021. An early January rally fizzled out and downdrafts take over for the rest of the year. This end of 2022 however, appears to hold a rather oversold HSI, and with the TD Sequential almost ending, it might be worth to look at possible TD Flips and then a good effort to bounce. While the TD Sequential buy Setup is almost complete, the index is now also far out of the 3.5 SD on the Bollinger Bands. Like an overstretched rubber band, this appears deeply oversold. MACD is not yet letting up so there is some downside to dowside consolidation to occur before a bounce can be mounted. Upon re-entry within the 3.5SD band, that is where a TD Flip and a bounce might occur. This is projected to be about 15,500-16,000; about another 1000 points from where it is today. Any close below the red support line means that the bull case rebound is further extended, and may need a relook. Otherwise, a spike down and then a consolidation might happen, with a break above the resistance line (green) to indicate an about turn from bear trend to bull trend. This event should take place about mid-November up to Decemnber. By then, there should be enough follow through... Watch for these first: 1. TD Seq Setup completion and perfected, with a following TD Flip; 2. A re-entry into <3.5 SD of the BB band; 3. a set of higher lows and once broken the resistance line; and 4. MACD crossover on the Signal line, and then above zero. Wait for it... PS. Note the green ellipses that go back to 2016. These are times of downtrend that see a reversal from the bottom.
HSI:HSI
by Auguraltrader
Hong Kong Hang Seng Index at 30-year supportThe Hang Seng absolutely melt down on Monday, most people explained the selloff as the disappointment in Xi and his royalists taking complete control of the CCP, or the market is disappointed because there is no lifting of COVID restrictions after the 20th party congress....IMO, both of these are or should be well expected, the people's daily actually published the importance of COVID zero for like 3 days in a row ahead of the 20th party congress....anyway If we zoom out, we can see the HSI is at a historical upward trend line support, and below it at the moment (this is a monthly chart). Valuation does not make sense, because the Index is trading at 0.6 PB, and each time the index traded below 1 in history, it resulted in significant return over the next 2 years (and I believe the PB never went below 0.9). However, the index now has more tech companies in it and the price to book is inflated a bit? However, given how oversold and undervalue the index is, this looks more like a final capitulation than a "start" of another round of bear market. If we just simplify things, if the index level climb back up above this 30-year trend line, there is a high chance that the bottom is in like previous bear markets circled in red (given no new black swan event happen to the world). Volume also picks up significantly today (not available on tradingview somehow), consistent with typical capitulation at market bottom where everyone loses hope and just give up and shut down their computers... meanwhile, theres energy crisis, war, inflation and protests going on in Europe, but European equities are up as much as 2% today and US futures up 0.5-0.8% pre market, no one cares about China selling off...interesting divergence...
HSI:HSI
by timhku