Why we don't use indicators?Many traders apply indicators for their analysis in their next trade.
However, indicators formulate with historical price movement to tell us what is happening right now. It is not so much of telling us what is going to happen.
The reason is simple, it is like economic policies, can manipulate the economy figure. But it doesn't tell us exactly the expectation of the market, such as big players or hot money flow.
If you are using bollinger band on HSI the past 1 week, you would have made huge losses. Because the indicators is just using the average of previous price to plot the possible oversold point.
HSI has been in the oversold 5 days including the moment we are posting here.
Therefore, it is less efficient in telling us what is happening right now. Which is very important for trader to know what is the current big players sentiment. Rather just based on what happened before that could affect the present.
What we eat few days back doesn't mean the output will be the same as what we had few days back. (unless is constipation)
Hangsengindextrade
Hang Seng: Just do it 💪The chinese Index isn't kidding around when it comes to fulfilling those New Year's resolutions and is using all its power to climb all the way North. We're expecting the Hang Seng to rise further into the turquoise target zone to complete the red wave (3). After completion, the course should fall back into a correction in order to finish the red wave (3). In case the Hang Seng can't carry on with its recent upwards pulses, we're expecting it to drop below the support line at 18 917 points. This would indicate the activation of our alternative scenario with a chance of 27%.
Hang Seng Cup and Handle upside to comeCup and Handle has formed on Daily with Hang Seng.
The breakout was strong, and if we weren't in, we'd wait for a bit of a pull back for a consecutive entry level.
7>21 < 200 Moving Average which gives it a Bullish bias.
With the Covid restrictions lifting slowly and things finally showing a recovery to come for the economy, this could be the helpful catalyst for upside for the index.
HSI1! 2022 MAR 28 Week
HSI1! 2022 MAR 28 Week
Continue to watch reaction at 22703.
Weakness expected, market may test 20241.
Do note that downtrend remains since trendline has yet to be broken
and higher low has not yet formed.
Weekly: Ultra High Volume very wide spread up bar rejecting lower prices,
followed by average vol down bar closing off low, level with previous bar
= some strength
Daily: Declining volume as price was marked up = weakness
H4: Topping off, temporary weakness
Entry will be based off the price reaction to levels
Short on Test and Reject) | Long on Test and Accept
Have a sane trading week for Hang Seng : )
HSI1! 2022 MAR 21 Week
HSI1! 2022 MAR 21 Week
18037 support returned strongly.
Wait for reaction at 22703 as market returns to test previous breakdown and
channel area.
Weekly: Ultra High volume up bar closing on high =
possible weakness
Daily: Very high volume reversal followed by average
volume up bar = strength
H4: Market up on reducing bullish volume =
weakness
Entry will be based off the price reaction to levels
Short on Test and Reject) | Long on Test and Accept
Have a sane trading week for Hang Seng : )
HSI1! 2022 MAR 14 Week
HSI1! 2022 MAR 14 Week
With the break of 21000, next level to test will be
18XXX region.
Weekly: High volume down bar closing at low = weakness
Daily: High volume down bar closing at low = weakness
H4: Low vol down bar closing at low =
weakness
Entry will be based off the price reaction to levels
Short on Test and Reject) | Long on Test and Accept
Have a sane trading week for Hang Seng : )
HSI1! 2022 MAR 07 Week
HSI1! 2022 MAR 07 Week
Lat week market broke 22389 support and headeed
to 2000's high volume region. Should 21000
support be broken, it may see 18000 region
Weekly: Ave vol down bar closing at low = weakness
Daily: Ave vol down bar closing at low = weakness
H4: Average vol down bar closing off low =
some demand
Entry will be based off the price reaction to levels
Short on Test and Reject) | Long on Test and Accept
Have a sane trading week for Hang Seng : )
HSI1! 2022 FEB 28 Week
HSI1! 2022 FEB 28 Week
Short preference last week proved very fruitful.
The spring over the last daily bar shows rejection
of lower prices and demand overcoming supply (D/S).
Scenarios:
1) Long on dip opportunity in the 22389-23000 region
as temporary strength returns
2) Should Support 22389 fail, short opportunity on test
of break down area to next demand region
Weekly: High volume down bar closing off low = strength
Daily: Average volume down bar closing at high = strength
H4: Average volume shakeout bar closing at high = strength
Entry will be based off the price reaction to these levels
Short on Test and Reject) | Long on Test and Accept
Have a sane trading week for Hang Seng : )
HSI1! 2022 FEB 21 Week
HSI1! 2022 FEB 21 Week
Again at 24140 support
if this is a formation of a new zone 25244 - 23304, would
exoect market to test 23304
As such preference will be to short on retracement, and
also at the failure of 24140 support.
Weekly: Average volume down bar closing at low
(also appearing like reversal bars) = weakness
Daily: Average volume down bar closing on low = weakness
H4: No result from bullish volume = weakness
Entry will be based off the price reaction to these levels
Short on Test and Reject) | Long on Test and Accept
Have a sane trading week for Hang Seng : )
HSI1! 2022 FEB 14 Week
HSI1! 2022 FEB 14 Week
Market tested again previous supply area.
- No higher high was made
- No commitment as market nears recent high.
Temporary weakness expected for long opportunity
on retracement.
Weekly: Average volume up bar closing off high = weakness
Daily: Average volume down bar closing on low = weakness
H4: Temporary weakness
Entry will be based off the price reaction to these levels
Short on Test and Reject) | Long on Test and Accept
Have a sane trading week for Hang Seng : )
HSI1! 2022 FEB 07 Week
HSI1! 2022 FEB 07 Week
Temporary weakness expected as market is resisted at 24600.
Preference is to long on retracement.
Weekly: Very Low Volume up bar closing near high = weakness
Daily: Very low volume up bar closing near high = weakness
H4: Temporary weakness
Entry will be based off the price reaction to these levels
Short on Test and Reject) | Long on Test and Accept
Have a sane trading week for Hang Seng : )
HSI1! 2022 JAN 24 Week
HSI1! 2022 JAN 24 Week
Last week scenario2 played out as price pull back
below 24391 to test supply before uptrend continuation.
Market may return to test breakout area
Long on pullback preferred.
Weekly: Average volume Up bar closing off high = Weakness
Daily: Average volume Upthrust bar = weakness.
H4: Price came down on reduced volume = No supply
Entry will be based off the price reaction to these levels
Short on Test and Reject) | Long on Test and Accept
Have a sane trading week for Hang Seng : )
HSI1! 2022 JAN 17 Week
HSI1! 2022 JAN 17 Week
Last week scenario 1 played out - HS exited trend line,
breakout was tested and now price is at a previous
supply zone. (24391 and HTF brown dashed trend line)
Possible scenarios are mapped out
1) Break of 24391 and resistance becomes support
2) Pullback below 24391 to test for supply before
continuing on the uptrend
3) Do note the possibility of a formation of a larger
rotation area 24391 - 22663,of which testing of the
bottom of the range will not be a surprise.
Daily: Average volume down bar closing off low =
demand is present. Next bar should close higher
in order for strength to continue.
H4: Weak closes may see price heading lower
temporarily, leading to scenario2.
Entry will be based off the price reaction to these levels
Short on Test and Reject) | Long on Test and Accept
Have a sane trading week for Hang Seng : )
HSI1! 2022 JAN 10 Week
HSI1! 2022 JAN 10 Week
If breakout of 23695 and is supported, this may signify change in trend.
Possibility of demand returning as price has been peeling away from the
lower trend line (black).
Fresh trend line (brown) scenarios will be
1) bounce from trend line and breaking upward and supported by 23695
could lead to change in trend.
2) Oversold and market re-enters the asymmetrical price boundary
between the brown and black trend line.
Daily: Downtrend. Approached trend channel on low volume
and closing off high = weakness
H4: Up bar closing off high on low volume = weakness.
Entry will be based off the price reaction to these levels
Short on Test and Reject) | Long on Test and Accept
Have a sane trading week for Hang Seng : )
HSI1! 2021 Dec 06 WeekHKEX:HSI1!
HSI1! 2021 Dec 06 Week
Trade remains guided by trendline.
Market trading in a 500pt rotation, will it be accumulation or a pause?
If long, wait for price to come down on low volume and find support.
If market rotates, stay out
If market breaks resistance and turns support = long
If market breaks resistance and closes below it, will short when resisted.
Weekly: Low volume down bar closing on low = Supply weakening, BUT
not change in behavior yet.
Daily: Low volume down bar closing near off low = some support BUT
no change in trend yet
H4 = High volume down bar closing near low = weakness
Entry will be based off the price reaction to these levels
Short on Test and Reject) | Long on Test and Accept
Have a sane trading week for Hang Seng : ) HSI1!
HSI1! 2021 Nov 29 Week
HSI1! 2021 Nov 29 Week
This week's trade plan will still be guided by the trendline.
If long, wait for price to come down on low volume and find support.
If market rotates, stay out
If market breaks resistance and turns support = long
If market breaks resistance and closes below it, will short when resisted.
Weekly: Average volume down bar closing near low = weakness
Daily: High volume down bar closing a little off low = sone demand
Entry will be based off the price reaction to these levels
Short on Test and Reject) | Long on Test and Accept
Have a sane trading week for Hang Seng : )
HSI1! 2021 Nov 22 Week
HSI1! 2021 Nov 22 Week
Market again tested 247XX. It was not ready to go up . Trade will be guided
by the trend line and will only long if market exits trend line and is supported.
If long, wait for price to come down on low volume and find support.
If market rotates, stay out
If market breaks resistance and turns support = long
If market breaks resistance and closes below it, will short when resisted.
Weekly: Average volume down bar closing near low = weakness
Daily: High volume down bar closing off low, some demand present.
Market came down on lower bearish volume, supply may be exhausted.
H4: Friday's market came down on relatively higher volume, but no result,
there is some support / bears are exhausted at the moment.
Entry will be based off the price reaction to these levels
Short on Test and Reject) | Long on Test and Accept
Have a sane trading week for Hang Seng : )
HSI1! 2021 Nov 15 WeekHSI1!
HSI1! 2021 Nov 15 Week
Market took out temporary support 24737 before making a
recovery. 24737 again provided a long opportunity. Market should
next be trying for 26000 which is the upper end of the rotation zone.
If long, wait for price to come down on low volume and find support.
If market rotates, stay out
If market breaks resistance and turns support = long
If market breaks resistance and closes below resistance, and resisted, will short
Weekly: Average volume up bar closing off low = weakness. Supply is present
Daily: Narrowing of spread, and up bar closing in middle = Undecisive.
Wait for next bar for demand/supply to surface.
H: Friday's market came down on bullish volume, smart money buying as
price comes down.
Entry will be based off the price reaction to these levels
Short on Test and Reject) | Long on Test and Accept
Have a sane trading week for Hang Seng : )
HSI1! 2021 Nov 08 WeekHSI1!
HSI1! 2021 Nov 08 Week
Per analysis, market has come to test the rotation area (grey box) and
found 24737 as temporary support, could be a long opportunity
If long, wait for price to come down on low volume and find support.
If market rotates, stay out
If market breaks resistance and turns support = long
If market breaks resistance and closes below resistance, and resisted, will short
Weekly: Average volume down bar closing on low = weakness
Daily: Exit of downtrend line on strong bullish volume.
Tested previous rotation zone, market may be presenting a long opportunity.
H: Friday's market came down on bullish volume, smart money buying as
price comes down.
Entry will be based off the price reaction to these levels
Short on Test and Reject) | Long on Test and Accept
Have a sane trading week for Hang Seng : )
HSI1! 2021 Nov 01 WeekHSI1!
HSI1! 2021 Nov 01 Week
Market was resisted at 26227 and theme of the week was short. No sign of
strength yet. Probably may test previous rotation (grey area).
If long, wait for price to come down on low volume and find support.
If market rotates, stay out
If market breaks resistance and turns support = long
If market breaks resistance and closes below resistance, and resisted, will short
Weekly: 2 bar Bearish reversal, Average volume down bar = Weakness
Daily & H: Market came down on reduced volume, bearish momentum may be waning.
But no confirmation of strength yet.
Entry will be based off the price reaction to these levels
Short on Test and Reject) | Long on Test and Accept
Have a sane trading week for Hang Seng : )
HSI1! 2021 Oct 25 Week
HSI1!
HSI1! 2021 Oct 25 Week
Weakness as price approached previous resistances.
If long, wait for price to come down on low volume and find support.
If market rotates, stay out
If market breaks resistance and turns support = long
If market breaks resistance and closes below resistance, and resisted, will short
Weekly: Average volume wide spread up bar closing off high = weakness
Daily: Average volume down bar, previous bar saw price rejection,
shortening of thrust = weakness
Entry will be based off the price reaction to these levels
Short on Test and Reject) | Long on Test and Accept
Have a sane trading week for Hang Seng : )
HSI1! HK33HKD 2021 Oct 11 WeekHSI1!
HSI1! HK33HKD 2021 Oct 11 Week
Weekly: Wide spread up bar closing at high, volume is low = no demand. Weakness TBC
Daily: High volume up bar closing on high = Strength.
H3: Narrow spread as price approached top of range. Could be trapping longs if
rotation is not over yet.
Entry will be based off the price reaction to these levels
Short on Test and Reject) | Long on Test and Accept
Have a sane trading week for Hang Seng : )