HSI1! 2021 Sep 27 WeekHSI1!
HSI1! 2021 Sep 27 Week
Rejection at about 24587, the 50% of the Feb 2016 - Jan 2018 uptrend provided short opportunity, besides rejection at previous H3 UHV bar high 24718.
Weekly: Down bar closing off low, a little demand, but no signs of strength. Weakness expected to continue.
Daily: Weakness. The last 2nd and 3rd bar appeared as bearish reversal, last bar is down bar closing at low.
H3: The most recent UHV bar A, buying effort but spread was narrow and market fell informed us of weakness.
Strategy for Short (Test and Reject)
Strategy for Long (Test and Support)
Entry will be based off the price reaction to these levels
Have a sane trading week for Hang Seng : )
Hangsengindextrade
HSI1! 2021 Sep 20 Week
HSI1!
HSI1! 2021 Sep 20 Week
Weakness played out last week and market was supported at about 24587, this is the 50% of the Feb 2016 - Jan 2018 uptrend.
If there is a breakdown and this becomes resistance, market would see more down side.
The last up move from 20 Aug - 08 Sep took more days and volume than the one before it while we see more ease of downward
movement.
Weekly: Wide spread down bar closing off low net change from previous down bar is narrow = some demand
Daily: Up bar closing off high = weakness
H3: The last wide spread UHV up bar is SOW. Market exited down channel. Will its demand line become resistance or will price
attempt to re-enter the channel?
Strategy for Short (Test and Reject)
Strategy for Long (Test and Support)
Entry will be based off the price reaction to these levels:
Have a sane trading week for Hang Seng : )
HSI1! 2021 Sep 13 WeekHSI1!
HSI1! 2021 Sep 13 Week
Last week's preference to keep to long last week was fruitful.
Weekly: Up bar close below 50% of bar = weakness
and a third off the high = weakness.
Daily: Price is attempting to test recent high in the red zone, nothing meaningful yet on
daily chart.
H3: Market moving up, but shortening of thrust. Effort no result = weakness
Long will be at the channel's demand line or when price is
marked down to test previous UHV wide spread bars.
Strategy for Short (Test and Reject)
Strategy for Long (Test and Support)
Entry will be based off the price reaction to these levels:
Have a sane trading week for Hang Seng : )
HSI1! 2021 Sep 06 Week
HSI1!
HSI1! 2021 Sep 06 Week
Last week's preference to keep to long last week was fruitful.
Weekly: Up bar broke previous week's high but close below its high
and a third off the high = weakness.
Daily: Upthrust + weakness in the background = weakness
H4: Upthrust and supply came in = Weakness has appeared. However
no follow through on the UHV down bar at the moment, with 25748 acting
as immediate support.
Opportunity for short should price return to test the high.
Long will be at the channel's demand line or when price is
marked down to test previous UHV wide spread bars.
Strategy for Short (Test and Reject)
Strategy for Long (Test and Support)
Entry will be based off the price reaction to these levels:
Have a sane trading week for Hang Seng : )
HSI1! 2021 Aug 30 Week
HSI1!
HSI1! 2021 Aug 30 Week
Last week's long preference worked well.
24306 was a previous high demand area, will buyers
come in to support should price reach there?
Daily: No Demand tiny spread, background = lower high.
Last 2nd and 3rd bar effort not result for the bears.
H4: 20 - 25 Aug we see the highest bullish volume emerged on
the background of this downtrend.
Also a spring in the 24780 - 26900 range.
Prefer to long on test of low.
Strategy for Short (Test and Reject)
Strategy for Long (Test and Support)
Entry will be based off the price reaction to these levels:
- 26900 - 26584
- 25955
- 25682
- 25330
- 24780
- 24306
Have a sane trading week for Hang Seng : )
Buyers to move. Is the triangle almost complete?For the flows here, buyers are clearly in control and have been over multiple decades - although since 2016 we have been inside a compression range which looks set to blow later in 2022. Strong support comes into play at 23,500 which should be enough to cap the outflows before continuation in a bull market towards a measure 40,000 breakout target.
↳ To the downside sellers are itching to test 23,500 and it looks within reach. It is dangerous to step in till we complete the moves, because the eye of the law is on it.
↳ After 23,500 comes the slingshot attempt towards 40,000, which will likely be a Q222 story, as will also reinstate the secular bull market and allow gains in confidence to play an important part in capital migration from West to East.
↳ To sum up, there is the following zig zag in play; 25,000 (current levels) -> 23,500 (strong support) -> 40,000 (strong resistance)
Of course on the fundamental side, the rocking of the cradle from the nanny state continues and we are entering into the final chapters of the handover. Naturally when choosing a map in equities you should take into account its elasticity with the currency and the threats it can deliver, highly recommend tracking the Chinese Yuan over the coming weeks and months for any signs of distress as we enter into strong support levels.
HSI1! 2021 Aug 16 WeekHSI1!
HSI1! 2021 Aug 16 Week
Gentle ascend, intermediate trend channel established.
High probability short trade from the upthrust.
Tested Historic UHV High from 27 Jul
Weekly: Up bar close above middle
(some strength, but supply still present)
Daily: Strength coming in
H4: Supply still present and Lower High
Strategy for Short (Test and Reject):
- 26900
- 26584
Strategy for Long (Test and Support):
- 25815
- 25560
- 24743 - 24930
- 26340 (ultimate confirmation if there is acceptance
at this price followed by strong bullish volume)
Have a sane trading week for Hang Seng : )
2021 Aug 02 Week
OANDA:HK33HKD
2021 Aug 02 Week
Last week a historically UHV down bar appeared. Strength always appears on UHV ultra wide spread DOWN bar.
Weekly: Market has rolled over with a wide spread down bar closing in middle (UHV) = Indecision.
Price bounced off Monthly channel demand line.
Daily: Shakeout + Reversal = Strength. Market was resisted at 26340 temporarily.
Given the UHV, there should still be supply to clear.
H4: Bar A UHV ultra wide spread bar closing off low = strength. Automatic reversal after climatic Bar A
has reasonably good bullish volume. Test of the lower region of bar A is to be expected.
Bar B test of low has off the low and level with bar A, some demand is present.
Strategy:
(1) Red/Green zones = preferred entry
(2) Dotted Red/Green is to indicate late entry, but risk will be higher since SL is further away
Remember to follow and like if you find this useful.
Have a profitable week ahead.
HSI1! 2021 June 21 Week (Intraday)
HSI1!
HSI1! 2021 June 21 Week (Intraday)
Market has made lower high and we can now visualize a down channel.
Intermittent support at 28441.
Scenario:
1) Short opportunity if price returns to test 28751 - 28655 region
2) Wait for price reaction at red/green zone before taking position.
HSI1! 2020 May 31 Week (Intraday)
HSI1!
HSI1! 2020 May 31 Week (Intraday)
Weekly = TBC | Daily = TBC | H4 = Bullish H1 = price rotation
Bar 1 = weakness, no result from effort
Bar 2 = Upthrust = weakness
Bar 3 = reversal = weakness
Red/Green zone = preferred entry
Immediate support = 28942
If price continues to peel away from the supply (upper line of the channel,
means upward momentum may be weakening / pausing.
HSI1! 10 May 2021 Week (Intraday)
HSI1!
HSI1! 10 May 2021 Week (Intraday)
Weekly | Daily = TBC, H4 and below = Bullish
03 May Week - Rejection scenario played out and green zone price target was reached.
After which Bar A dominated the market. The low volume wide spread down bar test of its low at A1 offered good long opportunity; and later climatic bar B as well.
Notice how the demand line of a previous channel (grey) acted as a resistance with the highs tracing that line.
Will market attempt to return to previous channel?
Scenario:
If 28663 is accepted, price may attempt 29820.
Else we may again see green zone as price target.
Have a good trading week ahead.
HSI1! 03 May 2021 Week (Intraday)
HSI1!
HSI1! 03 May 2021 Week
Weekly = Bullish, Daily = Pending, H4 and below = Bearish
Market was within the 29252 - 28440 range
Market currently is oversold as it went below the channel at the moment.
Market may attempt to return to the channel
Scenario:
Acceptance into channel price may try 29200
Rejection: the green zones may be the price target.
Have a good trading week ahead.
HSI1! 2021 Apr 26 Week (Intraday)
HSI1! 2021 Apr 26 Week (Intraday)
It looks like price will try to reach for 29318 and
possibly attempt the resistance level.
Immediate support = 28426 - 28484
Immediate resistance = 29243
Entry preference remains at SR zones.
Remember to like and follow if you find this useful.
Have a good trading week ahead.
HSI1! 2021 Apr 19 Week (Intraday)
HSI1! 2021 Apr 19 Week (Intraday)
Noticed that price weren't able to make its way past the midpoint of the channel.
Is the market weakening?
The support and resistance zone remains. No change to trade levels.
1) Use the range of previous ultra high volume bar as a guide for a immediate support/resistance.
Clue:
Ultra high volume, wide spread down bar is a sign of strength, WAIT for long opportunity in lower TF.
Ultra high volume, wide spread up bar is a sign of weakness, WAIT for long opportunity in LTF.
HSI1! 2021 Apr 12 Week (Intraday)
HSI1! 2021 Apr 12 Week (Intraday)
Bar 2 came down to test supply of Bar 1, and closed off its low.
Price may come back down to test for supply again before moving up.
Will wait for a reversal pattern, preferably at the supply line of the
channel, to long.
Or green/red zones cab be entry zones as well.
HSI1! 2021 Apr 05 Week (intraday)
HKEX:HSI1!
HSI1! 2021 Apr 05 Week (intraday)
Daily = bearish | H4 = bullish / H1 = bullish
Last week's short on test of high was only good for 29 Mar as
resistance turned support, after which we had to recognize and
adopt a long strategy.
Demand has weakened, foreseeing the holiday.
Strategy remains that green/red zones remain the preferred entry levels
Like and follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable trading week.
HSI1! 2021 Mar 22 Week
HKEX:HSI1!
HSI1! 2021 Mar 22 Week
Red/Green zone = preferred entry
H4 = price rotation
Daily / Weekly = bearish
Levels unchanged. Ultra high buy volume came 1, but are these to distribute?
Bar 2 sell doesn't yield result compared to previous down bars.
So either we continue to see price rotation or there may be long opportunity.
Remember to Like and Follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable trading week ahead.
HSI1! 2021 Mar 08 Week
HSI1! 2021 Mar 08 Week
Red/Green zone = preferred entry
Grey zone = price rotation, entry opportunities on breakout of zone
M / W/ D = bearish
Demand was present at bar 1, however no evidence of change in trend since
market is still making lower highs.
Will prefer to keep on the short side.
Remember to Like and Follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable trading week ahead.
HSI1! 2021 Mar 01 Week
HSI1! 2021 Mar 01 Week
Red/Green zone = preferred entry
What a mighty down move from 22 Feb's alert on selling.
On daily chart we see some buying, however note the low volume on buy, so let's watch
on 01 Mar to see if more buy volume will come in to support.
Otherwise we can see 28078-28168 as test of previous support
Previous peak demand zone was at 26414.
Have a profitable trading week ahead. HKEX:HSI1!
HSI1! 2021 FEB 15 Week
HKEX:HSI1!
HSI1! 2021 FEB 15 Week
Weekly, Daily, Current TF = Shortening of thrust
Last bar price advanced on weaker volume.
If story were to repeat itself, per price action at resistance
1) short if next bar close below high of bar A
2) breaks current resistance, rejected and comes back into resistance,
preferably below high of bar A
3) Immediate resistance comes into play and market comes down.
If long, possible scenarios
1) long on dip, volume declines as price comes down,
volume on advancing bars should be strong
2) immediate push up on reasonably strong volume with high of bar A
acting as the immediate support.
3) if push up is on ultra high volume, wait for test and enter.
Remember to Like and Follow if you find this useful.
Have a safe and profitable trading week.
GONG HEI FATT CHOI!
HSI1! 2021 Feb 01 Week
HKEX:HSI1!
HSI1! 2021 Feb 01 Week (Intraday)
"58" in cantonese means "no prosperity".
Coincidentally market went down from there lol
Immediate support = 28078 - 27168 (an auspicious number in Cantonese! Would this support hold?
Intermediate price levels = 27806 & 27548
Support 27108 - 17176
Remember to Like and Follow if you find this useful!
Have a safe and profitable trading week ahead
HSI1! 2021 Jan Week
HKEX:HSI1!
HSI1! 2021 Jan 25 Week
Red Greed zones = preferred entry levels
Grey box = price rotation
If we look at the daily/weekly chart, the high is nearing 30336, previous resistance.
Immediate price watch 29488, 29672
Resistant3 = 30336 (Previous high, supply area)
Resistant2 = 30098 - 30143
Resistant1 = 29857 - 29905
Support1 = 29323 - 29362
Support2 = 28970 - 29000
Trade Management
Profit target can be 30% / 50% / till next zone
Remember to Like and Follow if you find this useful.
Have a safe and successful trading week ahead.