Oil Prices Set to Soar: Will $100 per Barrel be the New Normal?According to the Elliott wave principle, the XTIUSD 4-hour chart appears to have completed a primary degree impulsive wave 1 followed by corrective wave 2. The current price action suggests that wave 3 of an ascending impulse is now underway.
It is anticipated that XTIUSD will face resistance around the 73.88-72.84 range, and as a result, is projected to climb higher over the upcoming period in 5 internal impulses, potentially reaching above $95/barrel.
Furthermore, a bullish batman harmonic pattern on the M15 further confirms this analysis. It is worth noting that if this forecast is accurate, it may trigger a rise in the dollar index as the analysis unfolds.
My medium term target will be $90/barrel , while my ultimate target will be $100/barrel of oil.
Harmonic_pattern
Symmetrical Triangle - Sympathy PlayEyeing the entire solar sector here as ENPH heads into earnings tomorrow after retracing back down to the 220 range. Intend to play both, however, SEDG is unique in the sense that there was not the usual retrace back to its respective 200-day MA and has been trading rangebound for quite some time now. Some slight hidden bullish divergence on the RSI, a big symmetrical triangle, a bullish gartley harmonic pattern, and increasing buyer volume relative to seller volume. Bullish and will be looking for a breakout from this triangle (Broader Market Conditions Permitting). Just some support and resistance levels to watch along with some RSI-based supply and demand zones to keep an eye on in the meantime- Price Targets & Previous charts are attached below
PT1- $325.71
PT2- $328.88
PT3- $334.29
PT4- $341.68 +
--Previously Charted--
GOLD: PERHAPS WE ARE AT THE END OF THE CORRECTIONOver the past week, the Gold market has undergone a bullish rally, as evidenced by its rise from 1806.85 to 1857.49. However, a notable correction occurred in the last two days, resulting in a decline of over 250 pips. At present, indications suggest that this correction has likely reached its terminus, with a potentially favorable zone emerging for buyers to accumulate additional contracts.
Specifically, the zone encompassing 1831.44 to 1825.20 presents an opportune moment for buyers to enter the market. Traders may watch this zone closely in the coming days.
Conversely, a contrary stance (sell position) might be considered if this zone is broken to the downside with momentum.
Ascending Triangle Forming- BullishEyeing SE here as it heads into earnings as it's been trading sideways for quite some time now after finding a bottom stemming from a big downtrend. SE has formed an inverse head and shoulders on the 4-Hour and daily timeframes, along with holding a massive bullish shark harmonic pattern on the weekly timeframe with the neckline between 62.45 and 63.95 (See Attached Chart Below). Additionally, SE has some nice bullish hidden divergence on the weekly timeframe along with its Bollinger Bands Squeezing. With buyer volume ramping up relative to seller volume, definitely will be keeping a close eye on this one. Bullish & will be watching closely for a breakout if buyers continue to step in (broader market conditions permitting)- Just some FIB levels along with some RSI-based supply and demand zones to keep an eye on in the meantime- Price Targets & Previous Charts Attached Below
PT1- $65.44
PT2- $66.88
PT3- $67.51
PT4- $69.02+
--Weekly Timeframe--
--Previously Charted--
Falling Wedge- BullishAfter holding a long downtrend since the beginning of 2022, GOOG is finally looking ready to breakout here as Google is approaching the end of a nice falling wedge, testing the 20-day EMA while also hovering at a weekly low, heading into earnings.
Bollinger bands are squeezing (Not Pictured), a bullish shark harmonic pattern, and a MACD golden cross have formed on the daily timeframe. This is accompanied by a massive falling wedge on the weekly timeframe (See Attached Chart Below), along with some bullish hidden divergence on the RSI. Bullish and will be looking for a breakout from this wedge (Broader Market Conditions Permitting)- Just some support and resistance levels to watch along with some RSI-based supply and demand zones to keep an eye on in the meantime - (See Attached PT's &Charts Below)
PT1- $91.86
PT2- $92.54
PT3- $96.23
PT4- $96.23+
--Weekly Timeframe--
DAVA- Falling Wedge BreakoutEyeing DAVA here after closing last week reclaiming its respective 50-day EMA. DAVA's been holding a massive falling wedge on both the daily and weekly timeframe. This is accompanied with its Bollinger bands squeezing on the weekly timeframe and a Bullish Cypher Harmonic Pattern as it heads into earnings. Additionally, on the daily timeframe DAVA is holding the same falling wedge, an ABCD harmonic pattern has formed, a MACD Golden Cross, and is sitting right on its 50-day EMA with the 100-day and 200-day starting to curl upwards. Bullish and will be looking for a breakout from this wedge (broader market conditions & earnings permitting)- Just some FIB levels along with some RSI-based supply and demand zones to keep an eye on in the meantime.
--See Below for Weekly Timeframe & Price Targets--
PT1- $79.54
PT2- $81.03
PT3- $86.76
PT4- $90.71+
--Weekly Timeframe--
- Falling Wedge
- Bollinger Bands Squeezing
- Bullish Cypher Harmonic Pattern
Flagging on the 5-YearAAPL is looking quite nice here after reclaiming its 50-Day SMA. AAPL is currently testing the upper trendline of this falling wedge on the daily timeframe, while simultaneously flagging on the weekly timeframe, accompanied by a bullish butterfly harmonic pattern, a MACD golden cross, and a double bottom (See Attached Chart Below). While all signs point to bullish, personally, I would like to see some consolidation prior to scaling into some Feb 2023' Calls to play the run-up to its earnings in January. Nevertheless, AAPL is still looking primed for a breakout on the daily timeframe holding a falling wedge with buyers stepping in as depicted on the RSI along with some bullish hidden divergence. Bullish and will be looking for a breakout from this wedge (Broader Market Conditions Permitting). Just some support and resistance levels to watch along with some RSI-based supply and demand zones to keep an eye on in the meantime- Price Targets & Previous charts are attached below
PT1- $152.48
PT2- $154.12
PT3- $156.98
PT4- $160.14+
Weekly Timeframe
Previously Charted
Symmetrical Triangle - Watching closelyWatching LAC and the lithium sector closely here- LAC is currently holding a massive symmetrical triangle on the daily timeframe while holding an even larger falling wedge on the weekly timeframe (See Attached Charts Below). Additionally, LAC is sitting right on its 100-day SMA, which, is has been acting as a strong support level for quite some time. LAC's EMAs are starting to curl upwards as well (Not Pictured), accompanied with a bullish cypher harmonic pattern on the daily timeframe, and lastly some bullish hidden divergence on the RSI on the weekly timeframe. Bullish and will be looking for a breakout from this triangle (Broader Market Conditions Permitting)- Just some support and resistance levels to keep an eye on along with some RSI-based supply and demand zones in the meantime
-- Price Targets & Previous Charts Attached In Description -
PT1- $27.69
PT2- $28.56
PT3- $29.96
PT4- $31.15
--Weekly Timeframe--
--Previously Charted--
SPY- Bullish Reversal - UpdateThe SPY closed out the week strong after finally getting some strong bullish momentum as a result of the CPI & Jobless Claim Data that came out on Thursday. If CPI continues to decrease as it did, I can certainly see the SPY gaining even more traction and finally breaking out of the bearish megaphone that it has been holding since November 2021. Subsequently, the SPY closed on Friday reclaiming both its 50, and 100-Day SMA's, as well as having the EMA's starting to curl upwards.
The SPY is currently flagging on the weekly timeframe and couldn't look better at the moment, while there's a potential for a slight rising wedge to have formed, the plethora of bullish technical, and fundamental indicators will invalidate this wedge even if it does fully form (See Attached Chart Below). On top of this, there is a considerable amount of hidden bullish divergence on the RSI as well as a bullish ABCD Harmonic Pattern Forming. The coming week will undoubtedly be a make-or-break type of week with the SPY going to test its 200-day SMA, which has been acting as strong resistance, especially considering all of the economic data coming out throughout the week.
Personally, am bullish here and looking for a breakout on the upside, in my opinion, the drop in CPI could've been the catalyst for the markets to start heading upward and break the downtrend they've been holding. Some RSI-based supply and demand zones to keep an eye on in the interim, Bullish and hedged for the time being, which I hope to cut- --See Previous Charts Attached Below--
--Weekly Timeframe--
--Previously Charted--
Falling Wedge - BreakoutDDOG starting to look quite nice here as buyers are starting to step in so long that the broader markets don't pullback. DDOG has been holding a big falling wedge for quite some time, getting rejected by the 20-day SMA, however will be keeping a close eye on DDOG with buyer volume starting to increase relative to seller volume. Bullish and will be looking for a breakout from this wedge (Broader Market Conditions Permitting)- Just some support and resistance levels to watch along with some RSI-based supply and demand zones to keep an eye on in the meantime
**(See Attached PT's &Charts Below)**
Daily Timeframe
- Bullish Hidden Divergence on the RSI
- Falling Wedge
- Bollinger Bands Squeezing
4-Hour Timeframe
- Bollinger Bands Squeezing
- Falling Wedge
- Bullish Gartley Harmonic Pattern
PT1- $89.90
PT2- $95.37
PT3- $99.34
PT4- $103.39+
Falling Wedge- Bullish (Long) - UpdatePosting a quick update here on SQ as buyer volume finally picked up and SQ closed the day breaking above strong resistance at the $68.84 mark while also reclaiming its 20-Day EMA. SQ has been trading sideways for quite some time and is seemingly breaking out of this falling wedge heading into earnings on 9/22' and with quadruple witching this coming Friday. Additionally, SQ closed out the weak with a golden cross on the MACD. On top of that, SQ's RSI is finally out of oversold territory on the weekly timeframe, accompanied by a massive bullish harmonic pattern and its Bollinger bands squeezing. Personally am bullish and am looking for a breakout, however, will add some downside protection due to how long SQ's been trading sideways. Nevertheless, bullish and will be watching closely for a breakout from this wedge as buyers continue to step in (broader market conditions permitting- earnings & quadruple witching)- Just some support and resistance levels along with some RSI-based supply and demand zones to keep an eye on in the meantime.
**See Below for Price Targets, Weekly Timeframe, and Previous Charts**
--Weekly Timeframe--
- Falling Wedge
- Bullish Harmonic Formed on the Daily & Weekly Timeframes
- Bollinger Bands Squeezing
- Closed Friday Breaking Above Strong Resistance
- RSI Finally Out of Oversold Territory
PT1- $78.82
PT2- $81.03
PT3- $86.76
PT4- $90.71+
SPY- Bearish Megaphone - UpdateJust posting another update here on the SPY as it closed out the week with a hard rejection off of its 200-Day SMA & a significant RSI-Based supply level. Additionally, it would appear that a bearish megaphone is still playing out as it was simultaneously rejected off the upper trendline (See previous charts below). On top of this, a bearish butterfly harmonic pattern has formed on the daily timeframe accompanied by some slight bearish hidden divergence on the RSI. On another note, the RSI is now in overbought territory & it would look like the MACD is about to form a death cross; with buyer volume decreasing relative to seller volume increasing, it will be interesting to see where the SPY goes from here, especially heading into a big week economically speaking. Just some FIB levels and RSI-based supply and demand zones to keep an eye on in the meantime- (Previous Charts Attached Below)
--Previously Charted--
Symmetrical Triangle - Watching closelySEDG has been holding this symmetrical triangle for quite some time now, broader market conditions permitting, will certainly be looking for a breakout to the upside going into earnings and as a sympathy play for ENPH, which has earnings on 7/26'. SEDG has some nice bullish divergence on the RSI as buyer volume increases relative to seller volume. SEDG is flagging on the weekly timeframe (See attached chart below), Bollinger bands are also squeezing on the daily and weekly timeframes in addition to a bullish harmonic pattern forming on the daily timeframe. Bullish and will be looking for a breakout from this triangle (Broader Market Conditions Permitting). Just some support and resistance levels to watch along with some RSI-based supply and demand zones to keep an eye on in the meantime- Price Targets & Previous charts are attached below
--Weekly Timeframe--
--Previously Charted--
PT1- $277.62
PT2- $281.27
PT3- $286.34
PT4- $293.14 + Breakout
AAPL- Falling Wedge - UpdateAfter selling off along with the rest of big tech over the passed few weeks, AAPL has seemingly found a bottom here. Will be watching AAPL closely for a run-up into earnings on 7/26'- AAPL is usually a classic case of "Buy the Hype, Sell the News" as it usually has a nice runup to earnings and proceeds to selloff as everything is already priced in.
However, that is most certainly not the case this go-round. AAPL is holding a nice falling wedge on the daily & 4-Hour timeframes and closed the week sitting right on its 20-day EMA. Additionally AAPL closed on the daily timeframe with a MACD golden cross, some bullish divergence on the RSI on the 4-hour timeframe, as well as a holding a bullish Gartely Harmonic pattern formed on the (See Attached Charts Below). Bullish and will be looking for a breakout from this wedge (Broader Market Conditions Permitting). Just some support and resistance levels to watch along with some RSI-based supply and demand zones to keep an eye on in the meantime- Price Targets & Previous charts are attached below
--4-Hour Timeframe--
--Previously Charted--
PT1- $142.51
PT2- $145.39
PT3- $147.96
PT4- $150.10+
ENPH- Triangle Breakout - UpdateThe solar sector has been leading the broader markets for some time now, very much eyeing ENPH along with some others in the sector for a run-up & breakout prior to, and after their earnings. ENPH is holding a big symmetrical triangle on the daily timeframe after closing on Friday sitting on its 20-Day SMA. ENPH additionally has some nice bullish divergence on the RSI on the daily timeframe, as well as holding an ascending triangle on the 4-Hour timeframe after forming a bullish butterfly harmonic pattern (See Attached Chart Below). Bullish and will be looking for a breakout from this triangle (Broader Market Conditions Permitting)- Just some support and resistance levels to watch along with some RSI-based supply and demand zones to keep an eye on in the meantime- See previous charts attached below for previous price targets.
4-Hour Timeframe
--Previously Charted--
PT1- $198.17
PT2- $200.85
PT3- $203.22
PT4- $206.60 +
Falling Wedge- Bullish - UpdateJust posting a quick update here as GS has gotten beaten down as the broader markets pulled back but has seemingly found some support after reclaiming its 20-Day SMA. GS is lagging the XLF at the moment, however, looks to be setting up nicely for a big breakout. GS is holding within a nice falling wedge on the daily timeframe accompanied with some bullish hidden divergence on the RSI. Additionally, Bullish Gartley harmonic pattern on the 4-Hour timeframe along with Bollinger bands are squeezing, and a golden cross on the MACD to top it off (See Attached Chart Below). Bullish and will be looking for a breakout from this wedge (Broader Market Conditions Permitting). Just some support and resistance levels to watch along with some RSI-based supply and demand zones to keep an eye on in the meantime- Price Targets & Previous charts are attached below
PT1- $314.20
PT2- $323.73
PT3- $329.81
PT4- $337.64 + Gap Fill
--4-Hour Timeframe--
--Previously Charted--
SPY- Bearish Megaphone - UpdateJust posting another update here on the SPY- Bearish megaphone is playing out as previously charted. The SPY rejected its 200day SMA the other day and now the 50-day SMA has crossed under the 200-Day SMA (Death Cross). The SPY formed a bearish butterfly harmonic pattern on the Hourly timeframe as well as a big head and shoulders on the weekly timeframe (See Attached Chart Below).
Some FIB levels and RSI-based supply and demand zones to keep an eye on in the meantime, bearish and hedged- (Previous Charts Attached Below)
-- Weekly Timeframe --
-- Hourly Timeframe --
-- Previously Charted --
Flagging- Bullish - UpdateSQ catching my eye here after finally picking up some momentum after taking a beating along with the rest of the fintech stocks of the likes of UPST ROKU AFRM PYPL etc. However, with buyers stepping in and reclaiming the 50-day EMA, will certainly be eyeing SQ in the coming weeks for another leg up. Buyer volume is steadily increasing relative to seller volume, hidden bullish divergence on the RSI on nearly every timeframe, bullish ABCD harmonic pattern on the daily timeframe as well (Not Pictured). Falling wedge accompanied with a MACD golden cross on the weekly timeframe, bullish hidden divergence on the RSI, and a bullish Gartley harmonic pattern formed (See Attached Chart Below). Bullish and will be watching closely for another push up as buyers continue to step in (broader market conditions permitting)- Just some FIB levels along with some RSI-based supply and demand zones to keep an eye on in the meantime-
Previous charts & Price Targets attached in the description below
PT1- $138.47
PT2- $142.49
PT3- $145.15
PT4- $146.81
--Weekly Timeframe
--Previously Charted
Falling Wedge- Bullish - UpdateJust posting a quick update here as GS has gotten beaten down as the broader markets pulled back but has seemingly found some support after reclaiming its 20-Day SMA. GS is lagging the XLF at the moment, however, looks to be setting up nicely for a big breakout. GS respected support nicely with a triple bottom around the $228 mark. GS is holding within a nice falling wedge along with forming an inverse head and shoulders & bullish Gartley harmonic pattern on the hourly timeframe. Additionally, Bollinger bands are squeezing along with some bullish hidden divergence on the RSI on the 4-hour timeframe, and a golden cross on the MACD on the daily timeframe. Bullish and will be looking for a breakout from this wedge (Broader Market Conditions Permitting). Just some support and resistance levels to watch along with some RSI-based supply and demand zones to keep an eye on in the meantime- Price Targets & Previous charts are attached below
- Falling Wedge
- MACD Cross on the Daily Timeframe
- Sitting on the 20-day SMA
- Bullish Gartley Harmonic Pattern Formed on the Hourly Timeframe
- Bullish Hidden Divergence on the RSI on the 4-Hour Timeframes as well
PT1- $340.23
PT2- $342.28
PT3- $344.08
PT4- $345.73+
4-Hour Timeframe
Hourly Timeframe
Previously Charted
Falling Wedge- BullishDDOG starting to look really nice here. Starting to breakout of a big falling wedge it's been holding for quite some time now after bouncing right off the 200-day EMA. Bollinger bands are also squeezing (Not Pictured), MACD golden cross on the daily timeframe, bullish bat harmonic pattern formed on the 4-Hour timeframe along with some bullish hidden divergence on the RSI. Will be watching DDOG closely for a breakout here (Broader Market Conditions Permitting). Just some support and resistance levels to watch along with some RSI based supply and demand zones to keep an eye on in the meantime- Bullish and looking for a breakout from this wedge
- Falling Wedge
- MACD Golden Cross
- Bollinger Bands are squeezing (Not Pictured)
- Bullish Hidden Divergence on the RSI on the 4-Hour Timeframe (See Attached Chart Below)
- Bullish Bat Harmonic Pattern on the 4-Hour Timeframe (See Attached Chart Below)
PT1- $146.33
PT2- $148.60
PT3- $150.35
PT4- $154.86 +
--4-Hour Timeframe--
Symmetrical Triangle - UpdateHD catching my eye here after it bounced off the long-term uptrend it has been holding- Currently sitting right on its 200-day EMA, seemingly looking to reclaim and close above the .786 FIB level, MACD cross on the 4-hour, forming a big symmetrical triangle while also starting to break out of a falling wedge on the hourly timeframe. Additionally, HD formed a massive bullish shark harmonic pattern- Personally am bullish and will be looking for a breakout here (Broader Market Conditions Permitting) Just some FIB levels & RSI-based supply and demand zones to keep an eye on in the meantime - Previous charts are attached below
- Bullish Shark Harmonic Pattern
- MACD Golden Cross on the 4-Hour Timeframe (Not Pictured)
- Breaking out of a falling wedge on the hourly timeframe (Not Pictured)
- Sitting on the 200-day EMA as well as the .786 FIB level
- RSI starting to get out of oversold territory with buyer volume picking up
PT1- $360.68
PT2- $361.17
PT3- $362.12
PT4- $354.20
--Previously Charted--
ETH- Double Top at Supply Level- UpdateMixed emotions on ETH here- Double top formed on the daily timeframe right at an RSI-Based supply level as well as a bearish ABCD Harmonic pattern formed on the 2 and 4-hour timeframes (2-hour Chart Below). RSI overbought on every timeframe besides the daily timeframe, which is nearing overbought territory as well. However, does seem to be forming a larger ascending triangle, likely will see a bit of a pullback and some consolidation before another push to new highs. Bearish short-term, very bullish long-term- Just some FIB levels and RSI-based supply and demand zones to keep an eye on **See Previous Charts Below**
2-Hour
Previous Charts
SPY- Potential reversal & key levels to watch (Update)SPY looking pretty bearish here (See Previous Charts Below)- Some FIB levels and RSI-based supply and demand zones to keep an eye on-
- Bearish Butterfly Harmonic Pattern Formed
- Decreasing Volume on the 4 hour, daily, and weekly timeframe
- RSI in Overbought Territory
Previous Charts-