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Crude Oil Outlook: Key Levels Shape the Path AheadHello Traders, Trust you are doing great. Please take some moment to go through my analysis of USOIL and share your thoughts. Overview USOIL is currently trading at 70.08, with mixed trends across timeframes. On the H4 chart, the pair remains bullish, recovering from a recent correction. Meanwhile, the H1 chart shows a bearish trend in a corrective phase, with resistance emerging in the 70.19–70.90 region. Idea An impulsive rally from 67.045 on December 5th corrected to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level at 68.78 on December 13th, where support was established. This led to a bounce toward 70.19-70.21, which now acts as resistance. If this resistance holds, a downward move is expected, targeting 67.70 and 67.08, areas where a bullish bounce may likely occur. The short-term bias remains bearish unless price breaches the Friday high of 71.38, which would shift focus to the 71.66–72.21 zone as a potential turning point. Conclusion In the short term, the bearish outlook is dominant, with 71.38 as the key invalidation level and a stop-loss reference. A break below 69.65 would add confidence to the bearish scenario, while any move above 71.38 could signal further upside, targeting the 71.66–72.21 zone for a potential reversal. Cheers! Merry Christmas and Happy New Year in advance.
TVC:USOILShort
by Samuel124
BEARISH PRESSURE ON BTC to 56,282.5 priceGood afternoon traders, Trust you are doing great. Please find below my outlook on this cryptocurrency, BTCUSD. Type: Emerging Bullish Gartley Completion Point (D): Projected at approximately 56,282.5 Consider short positions as the pattern approaches this level. Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ): Range: 56,282.50 to 56,036.69 I expect to close short trades within this zone, anticipating a bullish reversal. Target Levels: These are my potential targets T1: 57,487 T2: 56,935 T3: 56,282.50 These are key Fibonacci levels for exiting trades as the price moves downwards. Entry Criteria: Though the trade is currently in play, as such this is a late analysis. But here was my thought line before the trade was triggered. I allowed the 60,298 price to be broken just to allow the market to show bearish commitment before entering short trades. Stop loss: The trade will be invalidate if price goes above leg A. However, because the trade is aggressively towards the D leg, 61,355 would be a decent SL position. Cheers and happy trading!
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PShort
by Samuel124
Power Finance CorporationHello & Welcome to this analysis It is now approaching a bearish Harmonic ABCD and it that process also forming a rising wedge suggesting some profit taking might come in. In the short term stock has support at 175-165 and below that near 150 where medium to long term investors would come in. It has resistance around 184-187, if it manages to breach above it then next resistance is near 210. Overall medium to long term has strong upside potential and could be a strong SIP candidate. Happy Investing
NSE:PFC
by Dinesh_C_Nagpal
Nordex's YoY losses up 133% and Debt/Equity ratio up 54%FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS Current liabilities increased 47% up to €3.4bn in 2022 from €2.3bn in 2021. Non-current liabilities decreased 37%. Debt to Equity ratio (2022) = 4.42x Debt to Equity ratio (2021) = 2.87x Losses YoY increased 133% to €522 million. EBITDA turned negative in 2022 to -€244 million from €52,672 million in 2021. Almost all Guidance provided in March 2022 was exceeded downwards except for Sales Guidance. Positive side: Sales increased 4.58%. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Since April 6, the company has entered into a downward trend that in Oct 2022 attempted to turn around. However, the banking crisis and inflation fears persist in a way that Nordex's stock performance graph experienced the appearance of a Bearish Bat pattern whose prophecy together with its recently issued FY 2022 results could materialise in the following days and weeks to come.
XETR:NDX1Short
by alexinve
S&P 500: Two Pattern to Trade in short termHi everyone! The trend is bullish on S&P 500 (Futures), and if we try to follow US Index on intraday chart, we have two important levels: 4,189.75 and 4,098.50. Potential resistance breakout should develop a harmonic structure with Target around 4,238.50, conversely, 4,098.50 failure should trigger bearish consolidation around 4,048.00 area. Technically, both setups are high risk, so using a small size should be a good choice. ...trade with care! 👍 If you think that my analysis is useful, please... "Like, Share and Comment" ...thank you! 💖 Cheers!
CME_MINI:ES1!
by TheAnonymousBanker
📊 Harmonic Patterns Cheat SheetHarmonic Patterns use the identification of quantified chart price action structures that have specific and consecutive Fibonacci ratio alignments that form the visual structures. Harmonic patterns calculate the Fibonacci levels of the price patterns to identify high probability reversal points on the charts. This method believes that harmonic patterns or cycles repeat on charts in cycles repeatedly. The key to using this strategy is to identify these patterns and to use them for creating good risk/reward ratio entries and to exit when a profit target is reached. Positions are taken based upon the odds that the same historic patterns will repeat after entry. 🔹 Butterfly The structure of the Butterfly pattern requires a specific alignment of Fibonacci measurements at each point within the structure. Most important, a mandatory 0.786 retracement of the XA leg as the B point is the defining element of an Ideal Butterfly Pattern and it acts as the primary measuring point to define a specific Potential Reversal Zone. In many ways, the Ideal Butterfly Pattern is like the Gartley Pattern because it requires a specific B point retracement and possesses a tighter array of Fibonacci ratios within the structure. Specifically, the Butterfly incorporates a 1.27 XA projection with a “tame” BC projection, which is usually only a 1.618. In addition, the Butterfly usually possesses an equivalent AB=CD pattern or an alternate 1.27AB=CD pattern. Although the equivalent AB=CD is a minimum requirement, valid Butterfly structures rarely exceed the alternate 1.27 AB=CD completion point. 🔹 Shark The Shark Pattern is dependent upon the powerful 88.6% retracement and the 113% Reciprocal Ratio, works extremely well retesting prior support/resistance points (0.886/1.13) as a strong counter-trend reaction. Represents a temporary extreme structure that seeks to capitalize on the extended nature of the Extreme Harmonic Impulse Wave. Demands immediate change in price action character immediately following pattern completion. Extreme Harmonic Impulse Wave utilized depends upon location of 88.6% level – these are minimum requirements. Requires an active management strategy to capture high probability profit segments. 🔹 Gartley The important features of the Gartley are the specific location of the various points: X,A,B,C and D. The X-A leg is the largest price move in the pattern. It is followed by a counter move of A to B. The first leg, A to B, sets up the potential AB=CD, which is crucial to the completion of the pattern and to the indication of the reversal zone. After a brief and smaller B to C retracement, the C to D leg is established. A precise calculation of the AB=CD will provide a significant potential reversal point. Ideal Gartley The ideal Gartley set-up will be defined by specific Fibonacci retracements. One of the most important numbers in the pattern is the completion of point D at the 0.786 of XA. Although the price action might exceed this number slightly, it should not exceed point X. The pattern is a nice set-up, especially with the convergence of an AB=CD. 🔹 Bat The Bat pattern is probably the most accurate pattern in the entire Harmonic Trading arsenal. The pattern possesses many distinct elements that define an excellent Potential Reversal Zone. The pattern typically represents a deep retest of support or resistance that can frequently be quite sharp. Quick reversals from Bat pattern PRZs are quite common. In fact, valid reversals from Bat patterns frequently possess price action that is quite extreme. The pattern incorporates the powerful 0.886XA retracement, as the defining element in the Potential Reversal Zone. The B point retracement must be less than a 0.618, preferably a 0.50 or 0.382 of the XA leg. The most ideal B point alignment is the 50% retracement of the XA leg. The B point is one of the primary ways to differentiate a Bat from a Gartley pattern. If a pattern is forming and the B point aligns at a 0.50 of the XA leg, it is likely to be a Bat. 🔹 Three Drive The three drives pattern consists of a series of higher highs or higher lows. It is similar to the ABCD pattern. The difference is that a Three drives pattern is made of 5 legs, while an ABCD pattern has only 4. Three-Drives is a reversal pattern, so it signals an upcoming change in a trend. Point A is at the 61.8% retracement of the drive 1. Point B is at the 61.8% retracement of the drive 2. Drive 2 is at the 127.2%-161.8% extension of A. Drive 3 is at the 127.2%-161.8% extension of B. You can enter the market when you are sure that the market has formed the point B (buy in a bearish Three-Drive and sell in a bullish Three Drive). Take Profit should be around the 127.2%-161.8% extension of B. 🔹 Cypher The Cypher pattern, which can be either bullish or bearish, has five points (X, A, B, C, and D) and four legs (XA, AB, BC, and CD). Like any other harmonic pattern, the theory behind the Cypher chart pattern is that there is a strong correlation between Fibonacci ratios and price movements. Eventually, the market is expected to reverse from point D after the four market swing wave movements – X to A, A to B, B to C, and C to D. B point retracement of the primary XA leg ranges between 38.2% to 61.8% Fibonacci levels. C point is an extension leg with a Fibonacci ratio that should be between 127.2% to 141.4% of the primary XA leg. D point should break the 78.6 retracement level of XC. 🔹 AB=CD In this pattern, the A to B leg is the first price move. After a brief retracement from point B to point C, the pattern will complete the C to D leg, which is the same length as AB. Simply, after the AB and BC legs have been established, you project the AB length from point C… Although the price action will not always be exactly equivalent, the AB=CD legs usually will be close enough to determine the reversal points. Sometimes, this pattern will be exact but I usually wait for the CD leg to at least equal the AB leg. The Fibonacci numbers in the pattern must occur at specific points. In an ideal AB=CD Pattern, the C point must retrace to either a 38.2% at a minimum to validate the structure. The maximum retracement of the AB leg is an 88.6% level that defines a less extreme AB=CD pattern formation but still valid. 🔹 Crab The Crab is a distinct 5-point extension structure that utilizes a 1.618 projection of the XA leg exclusively. This is the most critical aspect of the pattern and the defining level in the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ). The extreme (2.618, 3.14, 3.618) projection of the BC compliments the 1.618 XA extension. In addition, the Crab primarily utilizes an alternate AB=CD to compliment the PRZ. Although a minimum AB=CD completion is necessary for a valid structure, the alternate 1.27 or 1.618 calculation are the most frequent cases. The 1.618 AB=CD pattern is the most common alternate calculation utilized in the structure. It is important to note that the alternate AB=CD pattern within the Crab is the least important number in the PRZ. 👤 @AlgoBuddy 📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators ❤️ If you appreciate our work, please like, comment and follow ❤️
Education
by QuantVue
6
NiftyHello and welcome to this analysis Nifty today activated not one but two bearish reversal signals. First it activated a Bearish Harmonic Alt Shark (double confirmation if price sustains below 18350) for suggested downside levels of 17750/17250. This pattern would be considered negated above 18575. Second it coincided with an Ichimoku Price and Time axis equilibrium date - (double confirmation if price sustains below 18360. The reversal as per Ichimoku will become invalid if a daily candle close occurs above 18450. Downside targets for Ichimoku are also similar to Harmonic ones. Use the dips / correction to add stocks, corrections are healthy and a good opportunity to invest in growth stocks.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by Dinesh_C_Nagpal
2