Harmonic Patterns
Sui (SUI): Possible Pump Incoming | Bullish TrendSui coin is having smaller correctional movement while still holding bullish momentum inside the trend. Just like on 25th of October we are seeing correctional movement, which might turn into a big bullish movement so we are keeping eyes on EMAs and as long as we are above them, we are keeping that bullish sentiment
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Latest Long - Short Trading Recommendations for Crude OilDuring Monday's Asian trading session, international oil prices fell, primarily due to the combined impact of eased geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and expectations of OPEC+ production increases, which raised market supply outlooks. Although the two major benchmark oil prices recorded their largest weekly decline since March 2023 last week, they are still set to post consecutive monthly gains for June, with increases exceeding 5% each. The market had previously surged due to Middle East tensions. Since Israel struck Iranian nuclear facilities on June 13, the situation rapidly deteriorated, and the U.S. subsequently air-raided Iranian nuclear targets, pushing Brent prices to briefly surge above $80 per barrel. Current oil price movements are clearly constrained by a dual influence of geopolitics and supply expectations. While geopolitical conflicts have temporarily eased, the long-term stability of the Middle East situation remains uncertain. On the other hand, the game between OPEC+'s orderly production increase and insufficient U.S. shale oil production momentum will determine the direction of oil price fluctuations in the coming months. Against the backdrop of a moderate global economic recovery, oil prices maintaining a range of $60-70 per barrel may become a short-term norm.
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Trading Strategy:
sell@66.3-66.9
TP:63.1-63.3
EJ WAITING GAME Price is settling at an all time high. Waiting to see what price action has n store for the next couple of days.
We are in a bullish market at this time.
A simple trade idea at this time is looking for a pullback to the monthly support before testing all time high resistance marked above in red.
Gold is trading in a narrow range, awaiting a breakout.During Monday's U.S. trading session, spot gold demonstrated certain resilience, reflecting the complex game between market risk aversion and risk appetite. This week, it will welcome the impact of the U.S. non-farm payroll report. At the beginning of Monday (June 30) trading, spot gold once fell 0.8% to $3,247.87 per ounce, a new low since May 29. However, geopolitical concerns still attracted bargain hunting to support gold prices, which have now rebounded to around $3,267.30 per ounce, as Trump said he would consider bombing Iran again and abandon the plan to lift sanctions. U.S. President Trump stated that the July 9 trade negotiation deadline is not fixed and hinted that it may be advanced or postponed. This statement injected more uncertainty into the market. Although U.S. Treasury Secretary Mnuchin optimistically stated that the Trump administration is expected to reach agreements with multiple major trading partners before Labor Day on September 1, the uncertainty of the negotiations may still provide some support for gold prices. The progress of trade negotiations will become one of the important variables affecting gold prices in the coming weeks.
In the 1-hour chart, the moving averages of gold continue to form a bearish alignment with a death cross, and there is a possibility of further downward divergence. The bearish momentum in gold remains extremely strong. After breaking below the previous low of 3,295, gold failed to stage a meaningful rebound and has been in a weak, range-bound decline under pressure. Therefore, the level of 3,295 remains a key inflection point for gold's short-term bull-bear dynamics. In the early session, with gold pressured below 3,295, shorting on rallies is recommended.
Trading Strategy:
sell@3300-3295
TP:3255-3260
Gold Rebound to 3,295🔍 XAU/USD (Gold) Technical Analysis – 30-Min Chart
🟦 Trend Overview:
The chart shows a clear descending channel (highlighted in red and blue), indicating a short-term bearish trend.
Gold price touched the channel bottom and is now showing signs of bullish reversal.
🔄 Pattern & Key Observations:
Triple Top Formation (circled in blue) around the 3,390–3,400 zone, followed by strong sell-offs.
Price respected the channel boundaries, making lower highs and lower lows until the recent breakout attempt.
📈 Current Move:
Recent bullish candles at the channel bottom suggest a reversal attempt.
A breakout from the descending channel is underway, aiming for the resistance at 3,294.
🎯 Targets & Levels:
Immediate Resistance (Target): 3,294
Support Zone: 3,245–3,250
Breakout Confirmation: Sustained price above 3,294 may lead toward 3,320+
🧠 Conclusion:
If momentum holds, gold may continue a short-term bullish retracement to 3,294.
Watch for a confirmed breakout and volume to support further upside.
Pepe (PEPE): Buyers Are Slowly AccumulatingPepe coin seems to accumulate currently where buyers are preparing to form a new local high. With that being said we do not see any strong rejection but near 0.022 area which we will be setting as a target for us (as long as price hold the area above EMA)
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Chainlink (LINK): Possible Buying OpportunityChainlink has had a smaller bounce since last time, when sellers then took over the area and led the price back to the local support area.
Now price is showing yet again some kind of bullish volume, which might give us another opportunity for upward movement from here.
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FCEL will back? 11 USD till September? Two moving averages are visible (likely a short-term and a long-term one). The short-term one (yellow) crossed the long-term one (green) from below around May/June, which is typically a buy signal (golden cross). Currently, both moving averages show an upward trend, and the price is above them, confirming a positive sentiment.
ndicators at the Bottom of the Chart (likely oscillators): These indicators (though difficult to definitively identify without a legend, they resemble a momentum oscillator, perhaps MACD or similar) show buy signals and a clear upward trend after a period of overselling. The signal lines (green and red) also indicate growth.
Rises and Corrections: After a strong decline, the current rise appears to be a correction, but the momentum suggests potential for further upward movement.
Potential Resistance Levels: Around 7-8 USD, earlier levels are visible that could act as resistance.
Potential TP 11 USD
XCUUSD - Bearish Gartley Pattern- if Gartley Pattern on EURUSD works, USD will be getting stronger over the next weeks
- HGN25 is ca 30% above the 5 year average for Jul contracts
- If tariffs don't come to effect - what I think will take place - the reduction in proce is possible
- then perhaps the Gartley Patter may work. Hopefully
Traders - have a good week!
Bitcoin H1 Reversal – Codex Arcanvm + Tactical Breakdown.⊢
⟁ BTC/USD – BINANCE – (CHART: 1H) – (Date: Jun 30, 2025).
◇ Analysis Price: $107,599.99.
⊢
⨀ I. Temporal Axis – Strategic Interval – (1H):
▦ EMA 9 – ($107,799.64):
∴ The 9-period EMA remains above the current price, signaling downward rejection from short-term momentum line;
∴ It recently crossed below the EMA21, reinforcing a weakening of bullish impulse.
✴ Conclusion: EMA9 now acts as intraday resistance, confirming that immediate market strength has decayed and volatility expansion may continue unless reclaimed.
⊢
▦ EMA 21 – ($107,861.93):
∴ EMA21 is sharply curved downward, validating loss of directional conviction from the previous bullish run;
∴ This level aligns with a former consolidation zone, now potentially serving as a resistance pivot.
✴ Conclusion: EMA21 confirms a short-term trend break, and the inability to reclaim this line would prolong corrective action.
⊢
▦ EMA 50 – ($107,703.87):
∴ The EMA50 was breached decisively in the previous candle cluster, now positioned above price;
∴ Slope is turning neutral-to-down, reflecting a transition from trend to turbulence.
✴ Conclusion: EMA50 shift implies structural vulnerability in the intermediate frame, amplifying bearish tactical weight if no recovery emerges swiftly.
⊢
▦ SMA 100 – ($107,007.08):
∴ SMA100 is currently positioned just below price, offering momentary support in case of further weakness;
∴ Horizontal alignment indicates a pause or inflection zone, lacking directional strength.
✴ Conclusion: SMA100 is a neutral-bullish support shelf, but could flip to active resistance if breached intraday.
⊢
▦ SMA 200 – ($105,890.26):
∴ The SMA200 remains firmly upward-sloping and untouched — a sign of medium-trend resilience.
∴ It defines the lower structural boundary for this time-frame.
✴ Conclusion: SMA200 still holds bullish structural integrity, but if reached, it would represent a full reversion of recent strength.
⊢
▦ Volume + EMA 21 – (Current Vol: 5.31 BTC):
∴ Volume shows an uptick during bearish candle clusters — indicative of active sell-side participation;
∴ The EMA21 on volume reveals a rising slope, confirming that volatility is not passive, but driven by conviction.
✴ Conclusion: Volume action supports the thesis of deliberate distribution, not merely rotational choppiness.
⊢
▦ VWAP (Session) – ($107,995.35):
∴ Price has broken decisively below VWAP, showing institutional disengagement or absence of bid reinforcement;
∴ VWAP now serves as magnetic resistance during any mean-reversion attempts.
✴ Conclusion: VWAP position confirms that price is under fair-value, and current path is dominated by tactical sellers.
⊢
▦ Bollinger Bands – (Lower Band: $107,007.08):
∴ Bands have widened, with price hugging the lower edge - a hallmark of volatility expansion;
∴ Mean price ($107,895.00) sits significantly above spot, reinforcing downside pressure.
✴ Conclusion: BB's suggest momentum breakdown, with price entering statistically stretched, yet uncorrected territory.
⊢
▦ RSI + EMA 9 – (RSI: 87.06 | EMA: 92.92):
∴ RSI has sharply fallen from extreme overbought, but remains above the 70-level — reflecting ongoing exit from euphoric levels;
∴ The EMA over RSI is crossing below, signaling loss of short-term strength and potential trend reversal.
✴ Conclusion: RSI behavior implies a momentum peak has passed, though correction may still be in early phase.
⊢
▦ MACD – (MACD: 1.87 | Signal: -99.46 | Histogram: 101.33):
∴ MACD histogram turned sharply positive following a steep drop, suggesting a potential pause in bearish acceleration;
∴ Lines are converging but remain well below the zero axis - no bullish crossover yet.
✴ Conclusion: MACD reflects oversold relief, but not reversal. Current state favors tactical caution rather than confidence.
⊢
▦ ATR (14, RMA) – (315.31):
∴ ATR remains elevated, confirming ongoing high volatility and larger-than-average candle bodies;
∴ This level sustains a risk zone scenario, where price swings may be unpredictable.
✴ Conclusion: ATR indicates volatility expansion persists, further validating the need for defensive tactical posture.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight – Technical Oracle:
∴ The technical constellation on the 1H chart reveals a clear breakdown of short-term bullish structure, now transitioning into a tactically bearish phase;
∴ The rejection from VWAP and convergence of all EMA's above price confirm that any recovery must reclaim the 107.800–108.000 cluster to negate downside bias;
∴ The current support rests on SMA100, yet its flat orientation and proximity to price suggest fragility, not strength. Meanwhile, SMA200 at 105.890 represents a more significant structural floor - its breach would mark a deeper tactical deterioration;
∴ Volatility metrics (BB and ATR) indicate that the market is no longer coiled - it has entered expansion, and directional bias is momentarily controlled by sellers. RSI exiting overbought and MACD’s unresolved negative zone further support the thesis of ongoing correction, not mere pause;
✴ Conclusion: In essence, the market has shifted into a correctional pulse, guided by structural breakdowns and expanding volatility. Tactical recoveries remain possible, but fragile and likely limited unless EMA's are reclaimed with force.
⊢
∫ II. On-Chain Intelligence – (Source: CryptoQuant):
▦ Exchange Netflow Total – (All Exchanges) – (Last Recorded: +2.1K BTC):
∴ Recent spike in netflow reveals a sudden influx of Bitcoin into centralized exchanges, marking the first positive divergence after a long series of outflows;
∴ Such inflows historically precede tactical distribution events or profit-taking phases, especially following extended rallies.
✴ Conclusion: Netflow confirms that holders are actively preparing to sell, giving real on-chain weight to the price rejection seen on the 1H chart.
⊢
▦ Short-Term Holder SOPR – (Latest Value: 1.012):
∴ SOPR sits slightly above 1.0, but descending - indicating a transition from profit realization to potential break-even or loss selling;
∴ If the trend continues and dips below 1.0, it marks capitulation from recent buyers — often a trigger for volatility spikes or local bottoms.
✴ Conclusion: Current STH SOPR signals weakening conviction among short-term holders, supporting a corrective narrative rather than trend continuation.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight – On-Chain Oracle:
∴ The on-chain substrate aligns precisely with the tactical weakness shown in the chart. The positive exchange netflow acts as a material indicator of sell-side readiness;
∴ This inflow, breaking the historical trend of outflows, marks a shift in intent - from holding to liquidation;
∴ Simultaneously, the Short-Term Holder SOPR sits on a critical edge. Its descent toward the 1.0 threshold implies that recent buyers are either approaching breakeven or beginning to capitulate;
∴ This fragile posture typically amplifies local corrections, especially when coupled with rising volatility;
∴ On-chain momentum no longer supports bullish continuation. Instead, it reflects hesitation, rotation, and distribution - all hallmarks of a short-term correction phase, in alignment with the temporal analysis;
✴ Conclusion: The on-chain field confirms that the technical breakdown is not speculative - it is supported by active internal dynamics, signaling a pause or reversal in trend strength at a structural level.
⊢
⧈ Codicillus Silentii – Strategic Note:
∴ The current H1 formation is a textbook example of post-euphoric fragility. What appeared as steady accumulation has now transitioned into a volatile de-leveraging phase. The confluence of bearish momentum, increased volume, and netflow reversal suggests the market is entering a tactical contraction zone;
∴ No structural collapse is yet confirmed - but the absence of bullish defense at VWAP and EMA clusters denotes reduced resilience. Until these are reclaimed, all attempts at recovery must be viewed with caution.
✴ Conclusion: Silence in structure signals preparation - not passivity. The next move shall emerge not from noise, but from the void left by exhaustion.
⊢
𓂀 Stoic-Structural Interpretation:
∴ Structurally Bearish – Tactically Suspended ;
∴ The 1H chart shows a break below short-term momentum zones (EMA's, VWAP), confirming structural fragility;
∴ Despite momentary support on SMA100, the loss of upward slope across the EMA's and RSI reversal validate a structural bearish bias;
✴ Conclusion: Tactical direction remains suspended until one of two pivots is breached: either VWAP (~107.995) reclaimed, or SMA200 (~105.890) broken.
⊢
⧉
⚜️ Magister Arcanvm – Vox Primordialis!
𓂀 Wisdom begins in silence. Precision unfolds in strategy.
⧉
⊢
Bitcoin/TiqGPT Setup1D Timeframe: The daily chart shows a bullish momentum with recent green candles indicating a strong upward push. The price is currently near the high of the recent range, suggesting potential resistance or profit-taking levels.
4H Timeframe: The 4-hour chart reveals a more detailed view of the bullish momentum. There are signs of a pullback with the latest candle forming a small body, which could indicate a temporary exhaustion in buying pressure.
1H Timeframe: On the hourly chart, the price action shows a sharp decline followed by a recovery, indicating a volatility spike. This could be a reaction to a liquidity grab below prior lows, which is a common institutional maneuver to eliminate stop-loss orders before a directional move.
15M Timeframe: The 15-minute chart displays a recovery phase with the price moving upward steadily, suggesting that the earlier drop was likely a liquidity sweep.
5M Timeframe: This timeframe shows continued upward movement with consistent green candles, supporting the recovery narrative seen in the 15M chart.
1M Timeframe: The 1-minute chart shows a very granular view of the bullish momentum. The consistent upward ticks suggest strong buying interest at these levels, possibly from retail following the institutional cue.
INSTITUTIONAL THESIS:
Institutions appear to be in a phase of accumulation after a liquidity sweep, as evidenced by the sharp drop and subsequent recovery. The goal seems to be to push the price higher after successfully capturing liquidity below recent lows.
LEARNING POINT:
"1H Liquidity Sweep followed by a 15M and 5M bullish recovery indicating institutional buying pressure."
SIGNAL: BUY
SYMBOL: BTC/USDT ENTRY PRICE: $107,800 STOP LOSS: $107,400 TARGET PRICE: $108,600 CONDITION: Buy limit order post-1M confirmation of continued bullish momentum. RATIONALE: The setup aligns with a liquidity sweep followed by a bullish recovery across multiple timeframes, indicating strong buying interest. The entry is set above the current 1M high to ensure momentum continuation, with a stop placed just below the recent 1H low to minimize exposure to another potential liquidity sweep. STRATEGIES USED: Liquidity Sweep Recovery, Multi-Timeframe Bullish Alignment URGENCY: HIGH TIMEFRAME: Short-term CONFIDENCE SCORE: 85% RISK/REWARD RATIO: Calculated as follows:
Risk: $107,800 (Entry) - $107,400 (Stop) = $400
Reward: $108,600 (Target) - $107,800 (Entry) = $800
Ratio: 800 / 400 = 2:1
Pudgy Penguins PENGU Bullish Reversal Taking Shape🐧 Pudgy Penguins BINANCE:PENGUUSDT has bounced twice from the $0.009–$0.008 buying zone, showing resilience despite the choppy structure. As long as the June low holds, the setup favors a higher low formation next month, potentially setting the stage for the next impulsive leg higher.
Momentum is building — now it’s about follow-through and confirmation.
TAOBOT Bullish ReversalWill UNISWAP:TAOBOTWETH_8FE920.USD outperform BINANCE:TAOUSD ?
After the failed early June bounce, price completed a double correction into the $0.195–$0.12 equal legs zone, triggering a sharp 90% reaction higher.
As long as $0.19 holds, the setup favors continuation to the upside, with a break above the May peak in focus.
FARTCOIN Bullish Reversal in Progress
CRYPTO:FARTCOINUSD 3-swing correction from the May peak appears complete, even though price didn’t quite tag the $0.75 entry zone.
Now, the spotlight’s on the bulls — can they deliver an impulsive rally off the lows to invalidate a potential double correction next month?
Non-agricultural week gold long and short game!From the 4-hour trend of gold, the key position of 3300 is the core basis for judging the short-term trend. The current 4-hour watershed is in the 3300 area. The gains and losses of this position will determine the direction of the short-term trend. Before it breaks through effectively, the short-term pressure judgment is maintained; if it breaks through, it is necessary to turn to the daily resistance level. The MACD indicator crosses and the short-term momentum column continues to increase, indicating that the price has further downward momentum. The price of the 4-hour cycle runs along the downward channel. Although the MACD indicator forms a cross below the zero axis, the short-term energy column shows a shrinking trend. There is a technical oversold rebound demand in the short term.
#APTUSDT | Bullish Breakout from Descending ChannelBINANCE:APTUSDT has broken out of a 3-month-long descending channel, indicating a shift in momentum and a potential bullish reversal.
Entry: $5.64 - $5.10
🎯 Targets:
• TP1 – $6.77
• TP2 – $8.40
• TP3 – $9.94 (final target)
Stop Loss: $4.48
📌 Notes:
• EMA resistance sits around $6.10 — a daily close above this would further confirm strength.
• Consider moving SL to entry once TP1 is reached.
• Setup offers strong R:R with clear invalidation.
Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Manage your risk.
#Crypto #APT #Altcoins #CryptoTrading #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #BullishSetup #TradingView #Bybit #ChartPattern #SwingTrade #AltcoinSeason #RiskManagement
Cardano (ADA): We Are In Bullish Trend | Reaching Pressure PointCardano is in the bullish trend where, on smaller timeframes, we are seeing a good small scalp that can be taken, but be careful...on the 4-hour timeframe, we are approaching the pressure point between the resistance, EMAs, and bullish trend.
More in-depth info is in the video—enjoy!
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