XAUUSD – Weakening signals, growing risk of breakdownGold is trading around $3,273 after a clear drop from the $3,314 resistance zone. On the H8 chart, price has approached the long-term ascending trendline and is hovering near the EMA 89 – a very critical confluence area.
At the moment, price is forming a sideways pattern just above the trendline, but the recovery momentum remains weak. If gold breaks below this zone, the uptrend will officially be invalidated, and the next target could be the $3,135 technical support.
On the news front: The market is closely watching the upcoming U.S. Core PCE data this weekend. This is the Fed’s preferred inflation metric, and if the reading comes in stronger than expected, expectations of prolonged high interest rates could return – which would put significant pressure on gold.
Harmonic Patterns
SPX500 H4 I Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 6001.65, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 5849.37, a pullback support.
The stop loss is set at 6153.88, a swing high resistance.
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XAUUSD H1 Bearish Reversal Based on the H1 chart, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 3287.34, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 3245, an overlap support.
The stop loss is set at 3323.49,an overlap resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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Gold strategy today, I hope it will be helpful to youRecently, there have been no new major crises or further deterioration of conflicts in geopolitics. The market's expectations of geopolitical risks have been digested, and the funds that flowed into the gold market due to risk - aversion demand have begun to flow out, leading to a decline in gold prices. For example, the progress in Sino - US trade negotiations and the signs of détente in the Russia - Ukraine conflict have both weakened geopolitical risks. In 48 hours, the net capital outflow exceeded $12 billion.
The ruling of the US Trade Court on Trump's tariffs has boosted market risk sentiment. US stock index futures have risen, and investors' preference for risky assets has increased. Funds have flowed out of safe - haven assets such as gold, leading to a decline in gold prices.
Gold strategy today, I hope it will be helpful to you
XAUUSD SELL@3275~3265
SL:3290
TP:3250~3255
XAUUSD is currently displaying a classic upward trend structure
Welcome back, traders, to today’s gold market update!
XAUUSD is currently displaying a classic upward trend structure within a rising channel, signaling sustained bullish momentum. The price continues to form higher highs and higher lows—clear evidence that the uptrend remains intact. The recent pullback appears to be a healthy correction, potentially setting the stage for another leg higher.
At the moment, price is approaching a key support zone, marked by the lower boundary of the channel and a previous demand area. If this zone holds, it could present a strong re-entry opportunity for buyers, with the next bullish target projected around $3,450—aligning with both the midline of the ascending channel and a prior resistance level.
As long as the price remains above this support area and the rising trendline, the bullish scenario stays valid. However, a breakdown below this level could invalidate the setup and increase the likelihood of a deeper retracement.
Gold’s consolidation below $3,350 is partly due to the optimism following Trump’s decision to delay tariffs on EU goods, which has acted as a short-term drag on this safe-haven asset. Nonetheless, lingering U.S.-China trade tensions, persistent geopolitical uncertainties, expectations of Fed rate cuts, and broad weakness in the U.S. dollar continue to provide underlying support for gold in the medium term.
Thank you for tuning in, and wishing you successful and disciplined trading!
XAUUSD BULLISH SETUP. GOLD GOES 'PREPARING FOR SUMMER'Gold spot prices have experienced significant volatility and notable technical developments over the past several months. Since the start of 2025, gold surged by over 25%, reaching an all-time high of $3,500 per troy ounce in April before retracing to hover near $3,300 by late May.
This rally was fueled by persistent geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East, and a weaker US dollar, which made gold more attractive to international buyers.
Technically, gold entered a parabolic upswing earlier in the year, becoming extremely overbought before breaking below its parabolic trend, signaling a potential top and the start of a corrective phase.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has recently dropped below 52, its lowest since February, reflecting weakening bullish momentum. The Average Directional Index (ADX) near 15 also indicates a lack of strong trend direction.
Key support levels are identified at $3,196 (55-day SMA), $3,120 (May low), and $3,031 (100-day SMA), while resistance sits at $3,350.
We are looking forward to further Gold accumulation, ahead of scorching hot summer months.
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Best wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team 😎
Gold hit bottom at 3250 and started to rebound?Gold opened at 3250 as expected and began to rebound. Gold opened at 3288, and rebounded after hitting the lowest level at 3250. So far, it has hit the highest level at 3260. The support below gold is still relatively strong, but the pressure above is also relatively large, and the volatility of gold is very large. We continue to pay attention to the support at 3250. In terms of operation, we will continue to buy if it does not break.
CLSK / 2hNASDAQ:CLSK
The 17.5% market sell-off, since the May high >> 11.04
may be considered as an initial development of correcting down
in Minute degree wave ii (circled).
Wave Analysis >> As depicted on this 2h frame, exceeding the boundary line of the leading diagonal will highly confirm that the correction in wave ii (circled) should be underway.
The first retracement target >> 7.93
#CryptoStocks #CLSK #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BTC
Bullish rise?AUD/JPY is reacting off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance, which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 92.87
1st Support: 92.06
1st Resistance: 94.07
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bearish drop?AUD/CAD is rising towards the pivot and could drop from this level to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.89626
1st Support: 0.87895
1st Resistance: 0.90356
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USOIL Today's Trading Strategy Hope this helps you
### Factors Influencing Long Positions in Crude Oil
#### Seasonal Demand Growth
Summer typically sees a surge in crude oil demand as increased travel and industrial activities drive up consumption. For example, gasoline demand in the U.S. rises significantly during summer due to higher public travel, providing support for crude oil prices and creating opportunities for long positions.
#### Geopolitical Factors
Conflicts, political instability, or sanctions in major oil-producing regions can disrupt or reduce crude oil supply, pushing prices higher. Although Middle Eastern tensions have eased recently, news of a potential Israeli attack on Iranian nuclear facilities previously caused oil prices to jump 3%. Escalating geopolitical tensions would favor long positions in crude oil.
#### Inventory Levels
A decline in crude oil inventories signals tighter supply, which may drive price increases. When inventory data falls below expectations, market concerns about supply shortages intensify, pushing prices higher and creating opportunities for long positions.
USOIL Today's Trading Strategy Hope this helps you
USOIL BUY@60.5~61
SL:59.5
TP:62~62.5
Bullish rise?NZD/JPY has reacted off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 86.01
1st Support: 85.40
1st Resistance: 87.07
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Gold strategy today, I hope it will be helpful to youFrom a long-term perspective, the trend of global central banks continuously increasing their gold holdings has not changed, providing a solid foundation for gold prices. Additionally, there remains significant uncertainty regarding the future direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. If subsequent economic data underperforms, the Fed may potentially restart accommodative monetary policies, such as interest rate cuts or expanding asset purchase programs. In the event of such a scenario, the U.S. dollar would depreciate due to increased money supply, and gold prices denominated in U.S. dollars would rise accordingly. Going long within the key support zone of 3275-3285 allows for advance positioning to await the fermentation of these potential positive factors that could drive price increases.
Gold strategy today, I hope it will be helpful to you
XAUUSD BUY@3275~3285
SL3265
TP1:3300~3310
Meta Platforms - The rally is clearly not over!Meta Platforms - NASDAQ:META - can rally another +30%:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Some people might say that it seem counterintuitive to predict another +30% rally on Meta Platforms while the stock has been rallying already about +750% over the past couple of months. But price action and market structure both tell us, that this will soon turn into reality.
Levels to watch: $850
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Gold 3325 Spell SuppressionFrom a technical perspective, the short-term bearish trend of gold is significant. On Wednesday, gold prices failed to hit the 3325 line several times, highlighting the strong resistance level in this area. In the four-hour analysis, the 3280-3270 range constitutes a key support. If it effectively falls below it, it may open up a deeper correction space; on the contrary, if it stands firm, it will maintain a volatile pattern. The current operation strategy is mainly high-altitude, focusing on short-selling opportunities after the rebound.
Nasdaq - The final bullrun breakout!Nasdaq - TVC:NDQ - might break above all structure:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
It is quite incredible how volatile stocks have been lately, especially considering that fact that the Nasdaq is about to create new all time highs again. Consequently, we are about to witness a significant structure breakout, which would ultimately lead to another rally of about +30%.
Levels to watch: $21.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
$RIOT / 2hThere is no change in my NASDAQ:RIOT 's analysis. The rising leading diagonal ended with an ending diagonal inside!!
Trend Analysis >> Respecting the wave structure of the leading diagonal in which the 5th wave has revealed an ending diagonal and decline by 12% since the May high, all quite well indicate that the anticipated correcting down should be a relatively deep retracement. And it will take the coming few weeks.
The first retracement target >> 7.68
#CryptoStocks #RIOT #BTCMining #Bitcoin #BTC
$ZB - 30y Treasury Futures Sell off in Equity Risk OnThe 30-Year Treasury Bond Futures (ZB) sold off notably, driven by a combination of macro headlines and technical positioning. A key catalyst was the European Union’s decision to postpone the implementation of retaliatory auto tariffs until July 9th, which temporarily eased geopolitical tensions and triggered a risk-on rotation into equities — at the expense of duration-heavy fixed income assets.
From a technical standpoint, ZB fell sharply from the upper 3 standard deviation Bollinger Band and found support near the 2 standard deviation band, where it stabilized. It then retraced roughly 50% of the move, tagging the 20-period simple moving average. Market participants are now closely watching whether the contract completes a full measured move lower to 111'19, a level that represents:
The 100% Fibonacci extension of the prior decline
A test of the lower 3 standard deviation band
A notable inefficiency zone on the hourly chart
While the MOVE Index has declined and is now tracking sideways — signaling reduced bond market volatility — traders remain focused on long-end supply, fiscal slippage, and global rate re-alignments. Until these themes settle, technical levels like 111'19 may continue to act as magnets for price discovery in long-dated Treasuries.