S&P500 Tariff comeback may be starting a whole new Bull Cycle!The S&P500 index (SPX) is making a remarkable comeback following the non-stop sell-off since mid-February as, following the tariff 90-day pause, it is staging a massive rebound just before touching the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
Since that was almost at the bottom of its bullish channel while the 2W RSI hit its own Higher Lows trend-line, this can technically initiate a 2-year Bull Cycle similar to those that started on the October 2022 and March 2020 bottoms (green circles).
The fact that the current correction has been almost as quick as the March 2020 COVID crash, may indicate that the recovery could be just as strong. In any event, it appears that a 7200 Target on a 2-year horizon is quite plausible, being close to he top of the bullish channel, while also under the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, which got hit during both previous Bullish Legs.
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Harmonic Patterns
80K pullback is done, but it is not for selling anymoreMorning folks,
So, the upside bounce to 80K resistance that we were watching is done now. It has happened even twice. D. Trump so efficiently tarrifying markets, and them provides them the relief that BTC mostly is just a hostage of this so called "news stream". Actually as well as all other markets.
Once 90 day tariffs postpone has been provided, stocks jumped and liquidity returns, supporting all other things around. It might be temporal? Sure. But nobody knows what in the old Donny's head.
By looking at current action, it seems that 80K support is more reasonable to use for long entry with 85.5 target at least. Definitely it would be better to not sell by far...
Bitcoin Selling Opportunity!Bitcoin is currently consolidating just below the psychological $85,000 level after a historic bull run that pushed price to fresh all-time highs. The market is cooling off — not crashing — with price action forming a high-tight flag, often a continuation signal after a vertical move.
However, with momentum slowing and volatility compressing, traders must prepare for a major breakout or breakdown in the coming days.
📈 Trend Structure:
BTC/USD remains in a strong bullish trend. Since the breakout above $69,000 (previous ATH from 2021), the rally has been aggressive and directional — barely giving bears a chance to breathe.
Price has formed a series of higher highs and higher lows, respecting a steep ascending trendline since early February. But now, the pair is coiling near the highs, forming a tight range between $80,000 and $83,500.
🔹 Key Resistance Zones:
$83,500 – $85,000: Immediate resistance; this area has capped price multiple times in recent sessions. A daily close above this zone could trigger the next leg higher.
$88,000: Near-term bullish target based on measured move from recent consolidation.
$90,000 – $92,000: A psychological milestone — and a possible magnet for price if bulls break out cleanly.
🔸 Key Support Zones:
$80,000: Round number support — the floor of the current consolidation.
$76,500: Previous breakout zone and minor demand area.
$72,000 – $74,000: Major support and ideal re-test level if BTC corrects — where many sidelined bulls are likely waiting to buy in.
📐 Technical Pattern:
Bitcoin is forming a high-tight flag — a bullish continuation pattern typically found after strong vertical rallies. The range is tightening, volume is dropping, and volatility is compressing — classic signs that a volatility expansion is coming soon.
A breakout above $83,500–85,000 would confirm the flag and likely ignite a sharp move to
88K
or higher. On the flip side, a breakdown below $80K could send price to retest $76.5K or even $74K — which would still be healthy within the broader trend.
🧭 Scenarios to Watch:
✅ Bullish Scenario:
A breakout and daily close above $85,000 would confirm the continuation pattern, targeting $88,000 first, then $90,000+. Volume and candle structure will be key to confirming the move.
❌ Bearish Scenario:
If price fails to break out and instead drops below $80,000, a correction could unfold toward $76,500 or even $74,000 — presenting a potential re-entry opportunity for long-term bulls.
📌 Conclusion:
Bitcoin is trading near all-time highs in a classic consolidation phase. Price action favors the bulls, but the breakout hasn’t confirmed — yet. Whether BTC breaks above $85K or drops below $80K will likely define the next major swing.
XAUUSD – Buy Setup from Strong Support ZoneGold is reacting from a strong support zone around . Price formed a bullish candle and showed rejection from this area, which has acted as demand before.
Entry: Above
Stop Loss: Below
Take Profit: and based on previous resistance levels
Reason for Entry:
Support zone holding
Bullish price action
RSI near oversold
Trend still bullish overall
Note:
This is a low-risk, high-reward setup. Always use proper risk management and avoid over-leveraging. I personally use small lot sizes for safety.
The movement of Bitcoin!Let's have a look at the following chart made up of eight waves (five heading up and three trending downward) labeled 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, A, B, and C.
Waves one, two, three, four, and five form an impulse, and waves A, B, and C form a correction. The five-wave impulse, in turn, forms wave one at the next-largest degree, and the three-wave correction forms wave two at the next-largest degree.
The corrective wave normally has three distinct price movements—two in the direction of the main correction (A and C) and one against it (B). In the figure above, waves two and four are corrections.
GOLDChart Analysis for Gold (XAU/USD) – April 10, 2025
Key Observations:
1. Price Action and Trend:
- Gold has been moving within a downtrend pattern, indicated by the blue trendlines. The price has been forming a series of lower highs and lower lows, which is characteristic of a bearish trend.
- Currently, the price is approaching resistance near 3,132.06. It recently made an upward movement towards this level, but it seems to be facing rejection at the resistance zone.
- The support level is positioned near 3,026.30, marking an important point for potential price reversal or further decline.
2. Order Block and FVG (Fair Value Gap):
- There is a strong order block around 3,082.15, which seems to have held as support during previous price action. This order block is also positioned above the Fair Value Gap (FVG), making it an important zone for traders to watch.
- The FVG gap around 3,082.15 indicates an area where there is an imbalance in the market, potentially suggesting that price will return to fill this gap before continuing in the direction of the trend.
3. Target and Potential Movements:- Target for this setup is 3,082.15, where the price is expected to retrace after reaching the resistance level. This target indicates a potential bounce upwards from the support and a possible test of the order block.
- If the price breaks above the resistance, the next major level of interest is 3,132.06 (the top of the range).
- If the price fails to hold at the support zone or breaks the order block, further downward movement towards 3,026.30 could occur, signaling a continuation of the bearish trend.
4. Volume Analysis:
- Volume has been declining, which suggests that the price action may lack sufficient momentum to continue trending in either direction. This could imply that a breakout or significant reversal is expected soon, but traders should wait for confirmation of the breakout or breakdown.
- A volume surge near the resistance zone would provide confirmation of a potential move towards the target at 3,082.15.
Price Action Scenarios:
1. Bullish Scenario:
- If gold manages to break above the resistance at 3,132.06, we may see a further push towards 3,150 or even higher targets. This would confirm a bullish reversal and might signal a new trend upward.
2. Bearish Scenario:
BITCOIN Are we back in business?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) made a miraculous comeback yesterday as it rebounded with force almost +12% from its session Low, following the 90-day tariff pause news. This rebounded has been performed on both the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been the key long-term Support of this Bull Cycle, but also on the previous High line, which is the trend-line coming from the previous Higher High of the Bull Cycle that has now turned Support.
As you see, during every Bull Cycle correction, this previous High line held both times before and it is doing so this time also. This justifies the incredible symmetry of this Bull Cycle but it doesn't only stop on the uptrend structure but goes back to the downtrend structure of the Bear Cycle. As you see, the extension of those previous High lines intersect the Lower Highs of the Bear Cycle. Symmetry at its very best.
At the same time, back to the current Bull Cycle, we see that the Vortex Indicator (VI) has already diverged, which has been consistent to both previous bottoms.
As far as what the target of this potential rebound/ rally can be, both previous main rallies hit at least the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. That sits now at $175000.
So do you think this Double Support rebound combo is putting BTC back in Bull Cycle business for a rally to $175k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Dive into the Wild Waves of Gold and Silver!treasure hunters! Ever feel like the gold and silver markets are like surfing big waves?
The fluctuations in precious metal prices are often likened to the contrasting behaviors of wild crabs; gold prices soar upward, akin to a crab climbing, while silver prices plunge into the depths, reminiscent of a crab diving beneath the waves.
Such dynamics illustrate the volatility and unpredictable nature of the commodities market, where various factors can influence the trajectory of these valuable resources.
Understanding these movements is essential for investors aiming to navigate the complexities of financial markets effectively.
Gold Jumps 3% on U.S.-China Tariff BattleGold jumped over 3% to above $3,095 per ounce on Wednesday as U.S.-China trade tensions escalated. President Trump announced a 90-day tariff pause and a reduced 10% rate for all but China, which now faces a 125% tariff. Treasury Secretary Bessent said the lower rate would apply during talks, excluding China and some sectors. In response, China raised tariffs on U.S. goods to 84%, and the EU approved levies on €21 billion worth of American exports. Fed minutes showed policymakers expect higher inflation from tariffs but remain uncertain about its scale and duration.
Supporting gold’s rally further, the World Gold Council reported that gold-backed ETFs attracted 226.5 metric tons in inflows during Q1, totaling $21.1 billion in value.
Key resistance is at $3,135, followed by $3,165 and $3,200. Support stands at $3030, then $3010 and $2956.
EURUSD LIVE TRADE EDUCATIONAL BREAK DOWNEUR/USD holds gains below 1.1000 ahead of US CPI release
EUR/USD is tirmimng gains while below 1.1000 in the European session on Thursday. The Euro gains on the German coalition deal and Trump's 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs. Meanwhile, the US Dollar finds demand on profit-booknig ahead of the US CPI data release.
Bitcoin H4 | Approaching an overlap supportBitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 80,285.10 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 74,000.00 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support.
Take profit is at 88,532.50 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
BTC Update... What To Expect Now??Currently BTC is facing resistance of major trendline (Blue line)+ wedge resistance+ bearish OB resistance...
For bullish trend, currently Bitcoin have to break above all these resistances along with 89k level for confirmation of bullish trend....
If it fails and retraces back inside Monday high range, then we can expect price dropping below Monday lows where major support level is present+ Bat Harmonic Potential Reversal Zone+ 61.8 Golden Fib Level around 72000-70500 levels.
Gold range: 3160-3135Gold range: 3160-3135
As shown in the figure: Four-hour cycle
Gold's current range: 3110-3130
Key pressure range: 3130-3135
The bottom price of this wave of strong rise is: 2970, which is the strong support area of the double bottom structure.
Yesterday, the gold price adjusted around 3050, and started to rise strongly around 3060.
Next, we have to consider two high-probability trends
(1)
Oscillating repair: 3160-3130 range oscillation
(2)
V-shaped structure break: Direct breakthrough after a short adjustment: 3130-3135, target 3200-3300
Then the strategies brought by the two high-probability trends are very clear:
1: Go long at low prices.
2: Above 3060, the bullish attitude is all over.
3: When the gold price pulls back, look for a suitable low price and use 3050 as the stop loss.
So what we need to do today is: wait for a pullback and fully test the stability around 3060-3080. Adopt a strategy of buying more on a low-price pullback.
Stop loss 3050.
Target 3200
Silver H4 | Pullback resistance at 61.8% Fibonacci retracementSilver (XAG/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 31.98 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 33.30 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 30.49 which is a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
XAU QUICK SHORT TRADE LIVE TRADE AND EDUCATIONAL BREAKDOWN Gold price (XAU/USD) touches a fresh weekly top, around the $3,132-3,133 area heading into the European session as concerns about escalating US-China trade tensions continue to drive safe-haven flows. Moreover, fears that tariffs would hinder economic growth and boost inflation turn out to be another factor that benefits the precious metal's status as a hedge against rising prices. Apart from this, bets for multiple interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) push the non-yielding higher for the second successive day.
BTC in the range of day📊 Bitcoin Update - Quick Analysis
On the 15-minute chart, Bitcoin is moving between two key horizontal zones and two dynamic trendlines:
✅ The green zone marks a price gap — a great spot to look for buying opportunities.
❌ The red zone acts as a supply area and could slow down or reverse the price.
🔎 A green trendline on the lower timeframe is supporting bullish momentum.
🚨 Meanwhile, the red trendline on the daily timeframe is a major resistance area.
If Bitcoin can break above this red trendline, the bullish scenario will become much more likely! 🚀
Stay tuned! 📈
Kiwi H1 | Falling to an overlap suppportThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 0.5648 which is an overlap support.
Stop loss is at 0.5605 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 0.5746 which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USD/CHF H1 | Heading into a multi-swing-high resistanceUSD/CHF is rising towards a multi-swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.8617 which is a multi-swing-high resistance that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 0.8685 which is a level that sits above a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 0.8480 which is a pullback support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.