Harmonic Patterns
BTCUSD Halving Pic Cycle next top at 140 000 in next 3 MonthsFirst Halving (Nov 28, 2012)
- Price at halving: ~$12.
- Peak price: ~$1,150 (Nov 29, 2013, ~366 days later). Multiple: $1,150 / $12 ≈ 95.83x
- Bottom after peak, before second halving (Jul 9, 2016): ~$185 (Jan 14, 2015, ~413 days after peak).Drop from peak: $1,150 to $185 = -83.9%.
Price relative to halving: $185 / $12 ≈ 15.42x the halving price.
Second Halving (Jul 9, 2016):
- Price at halving: ~$651.
- Peak price: ~$19,700 (Dec 17, 2017, ~526 days later). Multiple: $19,700 / $650 ≈ 30.31x.
- Bottom after peak, before third halving (May 11, 2020): ~$3,122 (Dec 7, 2018, ~355 days after peak).Drop from peak: $19,700 to $3,122 = -84.2%. Price relative to halving: $3,122 / $650 ≈ 4.80x the halving price.
Third Halving (May 11, 2020):
- Price at halving: ~$8,800.
- Peak price: ~$67,549 (Nov 8, 2021, ~546 days later). Multiple: $67,549 / $8,750 ≈ 7.72x.
- Bottom after peak, before fourth halving (Apr 19, 2024): ~$15,479 (Nov 21, 2022, ~378 days after peak). Drop from peak: $67,549 to $15,479 = -77.1%. Price relative to halving: $15,479 / $8,750 ≈ 1.77x the halving price.
Fourth halving (Apr 19, 2024):
- Price $65,000.
- Dipped to $49,577 on May 7, 2024 (18 days post-halving. Estimated multiple: ~2.21x (based on trend analysis).
- Projected peak price August-November 2025: $64,000 × 2.21 ≈ $140,000.
- Drop from peak: $30 000 August–September 2026
at 80% drop from peak and 0.5x of last Halving price
Price Fifth Halving April 2028 $123456
7.4 Gold shocks7.4 Gold shocks
Yesterday, the gold price plummeted, but did not fall below 3310. We have analyzed before that the bulls have the advantage above 3300. From yesterday's performance, we can see that the bulls are still in a dominant position.
Today is the last day of this week. At present, the gold price has not fluctuated much and is fluctuating in the range of 3320-3345. The fact that it can still fluctuate under the negative data shows that the bulls are strong and there is a high probability that it will rise next week.
Next, we will shift our focus to the tariff situation on July 9. If there is no definite intelligence report that it has been negotiated, then gold will still be the first choice for safe haven. If the tariff situation becomes tense, then the gold price may form a unilateral rise. If the situation eases, then the gold price may rise and then fall back.
Today, it is recommended to buy near 3320, with a stop loss at 3300. The target is 3340.
If my analysis can help you, I hope you can cheer me up and give me a thumbs up.
ABCD PatternGHNI Analysis
Closed at 738.08 (04-07-2025)
Monthly Closing above 648 would be
a positive sign.
784 - 785 is the Resistance for now.
It has the potential to touch 1000 - 1100
if it Crosses & Sustains 785 with Good Volumes.
On the flip side, 680 - 682 & then 657 - 660 may
act as a Support.
SPX : Next Stop @ 6800 :-)Since we are now expecting a delay in the FED cutting, there will be plenty of liquidity to spice things up.
The 'D' @ yellow had worked once before and since it has been 'used up' , its potency had been somewhat reduced.
But have no fear/worry, there would always be more 'D' ahead. The next one at 6,800
Good luck.
Making HH HL.NML Analysis
Closed at 131.93 (04-07-2025)
Making HH HL.
Breakout Done around 128 - 129
However Bearish Divergence on Daily
tf may bring some selling pressure.
Now 135 is the Resistance Level.
ABCD pattern is intact with initial Target
around 144 - 145 & then around 160 - 161.
It should not break 105 - 106 now.
Stance: Buy on Dips can be a Good Strategy.
Excellent profits on NFP & ISMH4 Timeframe Analysis
Yesterday we're totally on sell from 3355 to 3315 .
Gold is currently holding the Range of 3320-3345.
What's possible scanarios we have?
▪️As today bank Holiday in USA so we'll not see much volatility in US session although if h1-h4 Candle closes above 3345 then we'll see gold to tap 3355 then 3356 .
▪️If the H4 candle remains below 3330 then keep your eyes at 3320 .
#XAUUSD
Gold suffered a heavy blow from non-farm payrolls! Yesterday's decline in gold prices was mainly affected by news, and such declines usually do not last too long. From a technical point of view, gold prices received support near 3322 at night, which is the key support level today. It is worth noting that on Wednesday, gold prices were under pressure in the 3340-3344 area, while on Thursday, prices formed support in this range, indicating that the area is forming a top-bottom conversion, so 3340-3345 has become an important pressure level today. It is expected to fluctuate and consolidate in the 3322-3340/45 range during the day. The impact of news on gold prices is usually short-term. When the fundamentals and technical directions are consistent, price fluctuations will be more obvious; when the two are inconsistent, price fluctuations will weaken, but will not change the technical trend. The rebound pattern established at the beginning of the week is still valid. After a short-term shock, gold prices are expected to re-stand above 3345 and continue to maintain the rebound trend.
Important data such as non-agricultural are all negativeGold hourly chart;
Gold short-term analysis; Gold 4-hour analysis shows that the stochastic indicator is golden cross, which is a bullish signal; MACD indicator double lines stick together upward, which is a bullish signal; 4-hour bias continues to rise; 4-hour downward trend channel is temporarily suppressed, and the pressure position is around 3355-60.
Tariff tensions heat up againGold, the price rebounded quickly after the parallel attack and defense at 3245 at the beginning of the week. The article emphasizes that the short-term strength will continue. The high point of the week may appear around Thursday's non-agricultural data. The medium-term top idea of 3500-3452 is still maintained; on Tuesday, it actually hit 3358, and the daily K-line combination showed a long arrangement. In the morning, it was emphasized that it was still possible to follow the trend and wait for the non-agricultural data to break through on Thursday night;
The actual retracement rebounded from 3327 and is now reported at 3343, which is in line with expectations; the short-term support in the evening is 3340-3336, and the strong support is 3330; the short-term resistance is 3348, and the strong resistance is 3352-3358. If it breaks, it will look at 3365-3400;
7-star short update -we have received a short signal on DYDX. Short signal on 7-star is finding the top most eligible reversal point. so far so good. Expecting the target
For indicator access, you can contact me
D Y O R
Indicators only tell what happened to the market and should be used with utmost caution but they are good catalysts for entering a trade with stoploss
121Hello awesome traders! 👑✨
Hope you’ve enjoyed your trading week and caught some pips along the way! As we wrap up Friday, let’s spotlight NZD/USD (1H)—we’ve got a clean 121 Bearish Reversal forming on the hourly chart.
🧠 Setup Breakdown:
Price has built the 121 structure:
XA: 0.61061 → 0.60500
AB: 0.60500 → 0.60931
BC: 0.60931 → 0.60302
The Potential Completion Zone (PCZ) sits between:
78.6% BC retracement: 0.60641
100% XA extension: 0.60733
Price rallied into the PCZ, tagged D = 0.60824, and has since shown early signs of rejection under 0.60733.
🎯 Target in Sight:
TP1 Zone: 0.60065–0.60227 (100%–78.6% extension of BC)
Our playbook: Pattern → PCZ → Rejection → Measured Target. Risk is defined above D = 0.60824, with entry on a clear bearish candle close below 0.60641.
💡 What’s Next?
Entry: Short on bearish candle close < 0.60641 (lower PCZ boundary).
Stop: Above 0.60824 (just above D).
Take Profit: Scale into 0.60227–0.60065.
If price breaks back above 0.60733, we’ll stand aside and wait for the next high-probability setup.
Finish the week strong—stay disciplined, manage your risk like a pro, and let structure guide your decisions!
📊 Trade patterns like the pros.
📈 Let structure, not emotion, drive your trades.
— Your Friendly Harmonic Trading Guide
PRICE SYMMETRYHello awesome traders! 👑✨
Hope you’ve enjoyed your trading week and snagged some pips! As we wrap up Friday, let’s spotlight GBP/NZD (4H)—a textbook Bullish AB=CD built on perfect price symmetry.
🧠 Setup Breakdown:
AB: 2.25916 → 2.22415 = 351 pips
CD: 2.27417 → 2.23739 = 351 pips
That exact price equality between AB and CD gives us a high-probability reversal edge.
Potential Completion Zone (PCZ):
100% AB extension: 2.23916
78.6% CD retracement: 2.24665
Price dipped into the zone, printed a clean wick at D = 2.23739, and reversed—price symmetry in action.
🎯 Targets in Sight:
TP1 Zone: 2.26812–2.27647 (61.8%–78.6% CD extension)
TP2 Zone: 2.30063–2.31784 (127.2%–161.8% CD extension)
Blueprint: Pattern → Price Symmetry → PCZ → Trigger → Measured Targets. Risk is defined below 2.23739 (the D-point).
💡 What’s Next?
Entry: On a clean bounce back above 2.24665 (top of PCZ).
Stop: Below 2.23739 to respect our symmetry low.
Scale: Take half at TP1; let the rest run to TP2.
If price breaks below 2.23739, we’ll exit and hunt for the next symmetry setup.
Finish the week strong—stay disciplined, trade the structure, and let price symmetry lead the way!
📊 Trade patterns like the pros.
📈 Let structure, not emotion, drive your decisions.
— Your Friendly Harmonic Trading Guide