DJI a FAILED 5th Wave and right shoulder Head n shoulder TOP The chart now can be seen as A 5th wave Failure . as we have entered the 6 spiral window. the last 5 /6 spirals called the TOP to the day major turn 11/29 to 12/5 in the dji it was 11/29 and the MATH was near perfect . Now what ?? the drop in my view was wave 4 of the Supercycle peak . since then cycles turned up and the 5th wave started . based on the 80 day cycle due mid dec . so why am I calling this a Failed 5th wave reason is the last low was one of the longest days down in US history and breaking the long term trendline support The High Hit the trendline at the peak going back to the sept 2nd 1929 high . The fact that the sp 500 is now the only index to print a new record high is a warning . I started to move into puts on friday jan 17th and moved to a 110 % long puts today at 6100 in the spx cash and 533 in the QQQ , The market can still trace out a small 4 nad 5 and 4.5 and the DJI could still print a minor new High but today and this week are a grouping of 6 spirals Golden ratio . the DJI has only rallied to almost .786 the drop 44370 target I started buying puts at 43800. 2025 is a very bearish cycle see my forecast DEC 8th 2024 . Best of trades WAVETIMER
Harmonic Patterns
EurUsd - This Will Impact Your Trading In 2025!EurUsd ( OANDA:EURUSD ) is heading much lower:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For basically an entire year, EurUsd has been retesting a massive previous support which was then turned resistance. Over the past couple of months, we then saw a significant drop breaking all structure towards the downside and it is quite likely that this won't stop soon.
Levels to watch: $1.090, $0.970
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
GOLD BULLISH 2774Hey there On 15mTF Gold looking for bullish continue
For some reversal point maybe come back at the 2752-2750 level
And we may see continue bullish side break ath 2762-2766-2770
So we can see now gold will stop tomorrow 2774 and maybe we can see 2780
Good luck
And do follow and hit the like button on my analysis
Potential bullish rise?EUR/CAD has reacted off the support level which is an overlap support and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.4921
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.4842
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.5043
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bollinger Bands — Enhanced Classic Tool for Technical AnalysisBollinger Bands — Enhanced Classic Tool for Technical Analysis
Bollinger Bands are a classic technical analysis tool designed to identify short-term trends and gauge market volatility. We’ve upgraded their functionality to make them even more intuitive and precise for trading decisions.
What’s New in Our Bollinger Bands:
Color-Coded Trend Identification
The band color automatically shifts with short-term trend reversals. This allows traders to quickly spot trend direction and decide when to enter trades.
Band Width
Reflects current volatility levels and price momentum. Narrow bands signal consolidation (accumulation/distribution), while wide bands indicate high volatility and potential trend initiation.
Dynamic Support & Resistance Levels
The outer bands, calculated as standard deviations from the moving average, act as dynamic reference points for entry and exit levels.
Gradient Zones
The bands are divided into four gradient zones, highlighting optimal areas for position sizing. Buy near the lower zones, sell near the upper zones—simple yet effective.
How to Use Bollinger Bands in Trading:
1. Identify Short-Term Trends
Bullish Trend: Green bands signal a bullish market.
Bearish Trend: Red bands indicate bearish sentiment.
2. Assess Volatility & Choose Strategies
Wide Bands: High volatility, strong trend initiation. Consider breakout strategies.
Medium Bands: Range-bound markets. Trade bounces from band boundaries.
Narrow Bands: Consolidation (accumulation/distribution), often preceding strong price impulses.
Pro Tip: A sharp band contraction often precedes explosive price movements.
Volatility Assessment Examples
High Volatility + Trend:
Wide band expansion signals a strong bullish trend (green bands).
Medium Volatility + Range:
Moderate band width and frequent color shifts suggest choppy markets—ideal for boundary bounce trades.
Low Volatility + Breakouts:
A narrow band breakout (green bands) confirms a strong bullish impulse.
Trading Bounces from Band Boundaries
Prices tend to revert to the moving average (midline). This makes Bollinger Bands a powerful tool for swing traders:
Lower Band (Support): Oversold zone—consider long positions.
Upper Band (Resistance): Overbought zone—consider short positions.
Bounce trades work best in sideways markets or unclear trends. Avoid bounce strategies during band expansion (new trend formation).
Example Trades
Short on Upper Band Rejection:
Price stalls at the upper band in a bearish macro trend, offering a high-probability short entry.
Long on Lower Band Rebound:
Price bounces from the lower band in a bullish macro trend, confirming a long opportunity.
Additional Confirmation Tips
Combine Bollinger Bounce signals with:
Midas Multi-Indicator: Whale activity detection, trend ribbon reversals.
Oscillator Overextension: RSI, Stochastic, or MACD divergence.
Price Momentum: Volume spikes or candlestick patterns.
Refine entries by aligning band signals with broader market context and multi-timeframe analysis.
Netflix Caught in a Bearish Crab.The Netflix stock exhibited robust growth in 2024, primarily driven by a surge in subscribers and expansion into new markets.
However, a bearish Crab harmonic pattern has been identified on the chart, suggesting a potential significant price correction.
The pattern indicates that the stock price might initiate a decline from the 1029 level.
The XA, AB, BC, and CD legs of the pattern, defined by Fibonacci ratios, clearly outline the bearish formation. When coupled with other technical indicators, this pattern provides a compelling bearish signal for Netflix. Nevertheless, it's essential to remember that technical analysis alone is insufficient for investment decisions.
Fundamental factors, such as increasing competition, content costs, and changes in consumer preferences, should also be considered. Investors are advised to conduct thorough research and potentially consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions based solely on this technical analysis.
SEYED.
ema for checking trendema for checking trend
What Is an Exponential Moving Average (EMA)?
An exponential moving average (EMA) is a type of moving average (MA) that places a greater weight and significance on the most recent data points.
1
The exponential moving average is also referred to as the exponentially weighted moving average. An exponentially weighted moving average reacts more significantly to recent price changes than a simple moving average simple moving average (SMA), which applies an equal weight to all observations in the period.
Beginner tips! My next trade. 🚀 In today’s lesson, we dove into the next trades you can take, analyzed potential setups, and discussed strategies to improve your edge. 🧠 We also explored some crucial aspects of trading psychology, emphasizing the importance of staying disciplined and managing emotions. ✍️ Lastly, we highlighted the importance of journaling your trades to track progress, identify patterns, and refine your strategy over time.
Let’s keep building those skills—every step counts!
EURGBP BEARISH FOR 70PIPSTrail the Stop Loss: If you're in profit, you could move the stop loss up to a break-even point or closer to the current market price to secure some of your gains while allowing the trade to develop further.
Partial Exit: If you're comfortable with the current profit, you could exit part of the position to take some profits while leaving the rest to run.
Monitor Market Conditions: Keep an eye on any economic events or news that could affect the EUR/GBP pair and adjust your strategy accordingly.
AUDJPYAUDJPY on demand floor could potentially reach buy target ,The price action of AUD/JPY today, January 22, 2025, is showing a slight increase. As of the current time, the exchange rate is around ¥98.214, The pair has been consolidating, moving back and forth, and is likely to continue this trend until the Bank of Japan's interest rate decision on Friday
BOJ Policy Rate
Monetary Policy Statement
BOJ Outlook Report
BOJ Press Conference.
this will give a clear directional bias as to where AUDJPY is going to.
iota long midterm"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎
Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫
Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭
Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
HBARUSDT Preparing for a long moveEllipse has been identified looking for a pull back area.
Get ready for this trade...
If the pull back area shows bullish pattern... Close your eyes and hop on this ride with me..
Will keep you updated...
why am i saying to long at this area... as the ellipse has been identified and its breaking down so it might be a fake out before the big move...
The pull back area needed to show bullish patterns...
DYOR
HYPE Intraday Highlights (Thesis Prediction)
Market Position:
Current Price: $25.57, up +9.8% from recent lows.
Resistance: $27.00 | Support: $25.00.
Trend: Bullish recovery, breaking previous resistance levels, with potential for continuation or consolidation.
Key Technical Indicators:
RSI: 56.44, neutral with room for further price action.
MACD (30-min): Positive crossover, indicating building bullish momentum.
Bollinger Bands: Price near the upper band, signaling potential short-term overbought conditions or continued bullish tests.
On-Chain Insights:
Trading Volume: Up +59.34% to $622.47M, signaling heightened market interest.
Funding Rate (Bitget): 0.0288%, slightly bullish, reflecting market optimism.
Open Interest: Increased by +10.23% to $581.85M, suggesting accumulation by large traders or institutions.
Market Sentiment:
Sentiment: Strongly positive, fueled by the "HYPE Frenzy" event in December 2024.
Long/Short Ratio: 1.0396, indicating more long positions, aligning with bullish sentiment.
Scenarios:
Bullish (60%): Continuation above $27.00, potentially reaching $28.00+, driven by FOMO and sustained buying pressure.
Bearish (30%): Profit-taking or sentiment shift could pull prices back to $25.00 or $24.00 if support fails.
Sideways (10%): Consolidation between $25.00–$27.00 if sentiment cools or traders lock in profits.
Note: Keep an eye on resistance at $27.00 for a breakout or rejection, and monitor funding rates and volume for signs of momentum shifts. Always apply disciplined risk management.
$TDOC sling shot to $35-50 | 400-500% return- Fundamentals are improving, people shorted it because they thought pandemic boosts virtual care but there will always be demand for virtual care & reference when it comes to getting medicine.
- There's huge shortage of doctors and wait times at hospital is awful.
- This stock is getting accumulated by whales. I believe longer the base, higher in space.
PT 1: 35
PT 2: 50
AUDCAD Bullish Setup: 0.618 Fib Buy ZoneAUDCAD is trending bullish on the 1-hour timeframe, moving steadily within an ascending channel. No significant bearish divergence is observed, indicating potential for further upward momentum. A buy opportunity may emerge at the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level.
NASDAQ, Will it shock everyone? GBEBROKERS:USTEC / 1D
Hello Traders, welcome back to another market breakdown.
NASDAQ is showing strong bullish momentum, after failing to break bellow support levels and signaling a potential continuation to the upside. However, I recommend waiting for a pull-back to the previous daily range instead of jumping in at current levels.
If the pullback holds and buying confirms, the next leg higher could target:
First Resistance: Immediate levels formed during prior consolidation.
Last swing high
Stay disciplined, wait for the market to come to you, and trade with confidence!
Trade safely,
Trader Leo
UK 100 Index- Breakout or Fake Out Above Range Highs?While other UK markets, like GBPUSD or Government bonds have been under pressure recently, the UK 100 index has been outperforming due to its composition of multi-national companies.
In fact, the fall in the GBPUSD exchange rate back towards 14-month lows (1.2099 Jan 13th) and a more dovish repricing of market expectations towards a Bank of England rate cut when they next meet in February have helped the UK 100 hit new all-time highs above 8,500.
However, since the break higher last week, the index hasn’t exactly raced away as investors remain cautious around President Trump’s plans for global trade tariffs, tax cuts and spending.
So, with that in mind let’s take a moment to analyse the potential upside and downside scenarios from this point by looking to what the Pepperstone charts and technical indicators show.
Technical Update:
Since the May 2024 highs, the UK 100 index has been caught within a choppy sideways price range, reflecting a search by traders for the next directional themes. This type of activity often suggests balance between buyers and sellers, with neither side dominant and able to overcome the other.
In this set up, buying support is strong enough to hold and reverse price weakness back to the upside, while selling pressure continues to be found at the upper extremes of the range, which proves to be strong enough to reverse any price strength and prompt fresh declines.
Within the UK 100 index, buyers have been found at lower range extremes marked by the trendline dating back to August 5th 2024 extremes at 7906. However, it was the downtrend from the May 2024 highs at 8477 that has highlighted the upper range extremes that have held previous attempts at price strength and prompted fresh weakness.
This balance between buyers and sellers can remain for a prolonged period and it is only when one side is able to produce a successful closing break of either the support or the resistance, that the range ends and potential then turns towards a new trend.
For the UK 100 index, January 17th may prove a breakout session, where buyers may have finally gained the upper hand, prompting closes above the upper extremes of the 8 month sideways range.
Clearly, the question now is, does this represent a positive breakout, or a fake upside move?
Historically, it could be suggested that previous upside breaks from similar sideways ranges, have resulted in further price strength. However, this is no guarantee of a similar move for the UK 100 index this time around, and much will still depend on future price trends.
That said, the upside break and subsequent shift to new all-time highs this week may lead to a more sustained period of price strength, and ultimately the development of a positive trend.
That said, it is possible within this type of technical pattern to see a ‘pullback’ to retest the old trendline, which having previously been a resistance area, potentially should now become a support zone. This currently stands at 8350, so it’s possible a correction in the price of the UK 100 index can still be seen back towards this level.
However, it is important to note, any breaks and closes back under this support zone might suggest the latest push to new all-time highs was a false upside break, which could in turn lead to further price declines back into the recent range again.
The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.