NVIDIA on Bear Market territory. Will the 1W MA100 save the day?NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) has officially entered Bear Market territory as it has declined by almost -45% from the January 2025 All Time High (ATH) and just hit its 1W MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time since the week of January 30 2023.
This is the strongest correction the stock has seen since the 2022 Inflation Crisis and based on the Time Cycle Indicator of the last two Cycle Tops, the week of Jan 06 2025 falls indeed on the third count. This high degree of symmetry isn't only present on the price action but on the 1W RSI sequence itself as the current time range from the RSI High (March 18 2024) to today's Low is fairly consistent (54 weeks, 378 days) with the top-to-bottom range of the previous two Bear Markets, 2022 and 2018 (red Channel Down patterns).
So far the current correction looks similar to the September - December 2018 as not only their RSI counts are similar but both are more aggressive and fast than the 2022 Inflation Crisis. The 2018 correction though didn't top on the 1W MA100 but almost reached the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) before making a bottom, but it did so in less than 2 months and declined by -57.40%. The current correction is already running for 3 months.
So what remains to be seen is if the 1W MA100 will manage to hold and kick-start a bullish reversal on its own, despite this correction being 'only' -43.39%. The 1W RSI dropped close enough to 30.00 (the oversold limit) though, which has historically been a very reliable indicator for a long-term buy on NVDA.
If those work in favor of the 1W MA100 holding, expect to see a strong rebound, that will confirm the new Bull Cycle with a break above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and can technically aim for at least a +1000% rise from the bottom, as both previous Bull Cycles did.
If the 1W MA100 fails, we expect a bottom by the end of June 2025 around the 1W MA200 between $65-60. Again a +1000% rise from that level is technically plausible, potentially giving a Target estimate of at least $660.
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Harmonic Patterns
MUBARAK/USDT – Accumulation Ending? Double Bottom Signals Revers📊 Technical Overview: After a prolonged downtrend and descending wedge, MUBARAK has entered a consolidation range — clear signs of accumulation. The price has now bounced twice off the key support level at $0.003484, forming a textbook double bottom.
📈 Key Bullish Signals:
✅ Strong horizontal support holding at $0.003484
✅ Double bottom formation within the range
✅ Decreasing sell volume suggests sellers are drying up
✅ Break above $0.0400 range resistance could trigger rapid upside
📌 Bullish Target:
Short-term: $0.0500
Mid-term: $0.0700 (if momentum confirms breakout)
⚠️ Risk Management:
Breakdown below $0.00348 = invalidation
Consider tight stop-loss just below support
Gold selling plan!Wave 1 'Impulse Move' has moved very nicely to the downside & more is yet to come. So far the Wave 1 sell off has consisted of a 2,100 PIP move to the downside.
I'm now waiting on a Wave 2 correction of some sort, weather that's a 'Simple 3 Sub-Wave' or 'Complex 5 Sub-Wave' correction. During this correction I can enter more sell positions on behalf of my Gold Fund investors.
USDJPY BUY📈 USDJPY: Potential Rebound Setup on M15/M5 🕒🔁
Looking at USDJPY on the 15-minute and 5-minute charts, there's a promising rebound setup forming that could align with the ongoing bullish move.
📍 Target: A possible price rebalancing toward the 150 zone.
🔸 Let’s not forget, I already have a running position on this pair, so I’m keeping a close eye on this short-term action.
💬 What do you think? Possible rebound or just a pause before more downside? 👀
4.8 Gold Strategy4.8 Gold Strategy
4-hour level: Bollinger open state, while driving the moving average to turn downward. The rebound failed to continue, the high point gradually moved down, and the key resistance area (3015-3024) was under pressure, and the support below was 2950-2953.
Today's operation strategy
Short order: 3015-3024 area, stop loss 3030, target 2950-2953, break can be held below 2930.
Long order: around 2960, stop loss 2955, target 2980 fast in and out
REVERSAL ENTRY MODEL TARGETING SSLGBP/USD – 30M
Reversal Entry Model
During the London session, price swept the Asian highs, triggering buy-side liquidity. A clear change of character to the downside followed, signaling a potential reversal.
Now I'm in a sell position after price tapped into my Supply Zone and showed a clean rejection.
I’m expecting price to continue lower and sweep the sell side liquidity resting below!
REVERSAL ENTRY MODEL TARGETING SSLEUR/USD – 30M
Reversal Entry Model
During the London session, price swept the Asian highs, triggering buy-side liquidity. After the sweep, we had a clear change of character to the downside, indicating potential bearish intent.
I’m now expecting a pullback into my Supply Zone, where I have a SELL LIMIT order set.
Target: Liquidity resting below recent lows.
USD/CHF NEXT MOVESell after bearish candle stick pattern, buy after bullish candle stick pattern....
Best bullish pattern , engulfing candle or green hammer
Best bearish pattern , engulfing candle or red shooting star
NOTE: IF YOU CAN'T SEE ANY OF TOP PATTERN IN THE ZONE DO NOT ENTER
Stop lost before pattern
R/R %1/%3
Trade in 5 Min Timeframe, use signals for scalping
ETHUSD - Bullish Reversal Expected from Key Demand ZoneEthereum (ETH/USD) has reached a critical demand zone around $1,550 - $1,580, where strong buying interest has previously shown support. After a consistent downtrend, the price is now showing early signs of bullish reversal on the 2-hour chart.
If this level holds, a potential move towards the target area of $1,920 - $1,970 is likely. This area aligns with previous structure resistance and could act as a take-profit zone.
Key Highlights:
Entry Zone: $1,550 - $1,580
Target Zone: $1,920 - $1,970
Timeframe: 2H
Setup Type: Trend Reversal / Swing Trade
Risk Management: Always use a tight stop-loss below the demand zone
Idea: Wait for a bullish confirmation (like a strong bullish candle or pattern) before entering. This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio if the support holds.
eth buy midterm "🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
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Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫
Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭
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Cup & Handle Formation in process but..Cup & Handle Formation in process but Yes, there is a Bearish Divergence
on Weekly Tf.
Resisted exactly from the mentioned level around 116-117.
Could not Sustain this level.
Now Weekly Closing above 104 - 105 is important.
Next Support lies around 96 - 97
If 118 is Crossed & Sustained, we may Target around 145 - 146.
USDCHF PoV - Long POINT 0.82$!Currently, the USD/CHF pair is going through a bearish phase, influenced by several economic and geopolitical factors.
Influence of US Trade Tariffs: Recent trade tariffs imposed by the United States have strengthened the Swiss franc, creating pressure on Switzerland's export-oriented economy. This scenario could push the Swiss National Bank (SNB) to consider introducing negative interest rates to counter the appreciation of the currency and support the economy.
Monetary Policy of the SNB: In June 2024, the SNB reduced interest rates by 25 basis points, bringing them to 1.25%. Inflation forecasts were revised downward, indicating 1.3% for 2024 and 1.1% for 2025. These adjustments reflect economic challenges and the SNB's intent to avoid deflation.
Swiss Franc Forecast: Analysts from Bank of America have expressed doubts about the sustainability of the Swiss franc's weakness in 2025. Despite expectations of lower interest rates, the SNB may be reluctant to implement unconventional measures, given the limited effectiveness of such policies in the past.
Technical Analysis: The daily chart shows a range between a maximum of 0.82 and a minimum of 0.92, which has been respected for the past three years. Currently, the price is approaching the upper limit of the channel, suggesting a possible downward correction. However, a break above 0.92 could indicate an extension of the bullish movement.
Conclusion: The bearish trend of USD/CHF is influenced by both internal and external factors, including SNB policies, US trade tariffs, and market dynamics. Investors should closely monitor SNB decisions, international trade policies, and key economic indicators to assess potential developments in the USD/CHF exchange rate.
[_] ONENTRYONENTRY
GBP/JPY - ONENTRY ' 2Fib Strategy '
Timeframe: 30 Minutes
Session: London Pre-Market (00:00 - 06:30 +2GMT)
Step 1: Identify the Overnight Range
Mark the high and low of the price range between 00:00 - 06:30 (+2GMT).
Wait for a clear breakout with a candle closing above (for longs) or below (for shorts) this range.
Step 2: Apply Fibonacci Levels
After the breakout, use the Fibonacci retracement tool:
Anchor Point 1: Start at the close of the breakout candle.
Anchor Point 2: Drag to the start of the impulse move (first candle of the range).
Key level for entry: 0.5 and 0.35 retracement.
Step 3: Trade Execution
Entry: Enter on a pullback to 0.5 and 0.35 Fib level after the breakout.
Stop Loss :
Long trades: Below the low of the breakout candle’s body.
Short trades: Above the high of the breakout candle’s body.
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 1.0 Fib (1:1 risk-reward).
TP2: 1.25 Fib extension.
TP3: 1.6 FIB extension
TP4: 2.3 Fib extension (runner position).
Step 4: Trade Management
Move SL to breakeven when price hits TP1.
Confluence at 65KBTC seems to be developing a bullish Gartley pattern, currently evolving within a potential bear flag.
The pattern would complete at point D, around $64,600–65,000, where multiple confluences meet:
- 78.6% retracement of XA
- 141.4% extension of BC
- Lower boundary of the flag
- Retest of former resistance trendline
- Saylor’s average entry price 😏
A key condition: we need to break below the current wedge to increase probabilities of reaching point C.
Until then, the pattern remains a setup in progress.
Letting it unfold, one leg at a time.