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Harmonic Patterns

EURUSD Downtrend Holds Steady: Time to Go ShortEURUSD experienced a sharp decline earlier today, following the release of key economic data that spurred renewed bearish momentum. The market reaction was swift, with sellers overwhelming buyers and driving the price lower. After this initial move, the pair is now staging a pullback, attempting to recover some ground as it approaches a critical resistance zone. This retracement presents a significant technical setup that could dictate the pair’s next major move. The current pullback is bringing the price closer to the resistance zone around 1.04300, a level that has proven pivotal in the past. Historical price action highlights this area as a confluence zone, marked by prior reversals and intensified trading activity. As the price approaches this region, signs of exhaustion are becoming increasingly evident. On closer examination of the candlestick patterns, rejection candles—characterized by long upper wicks and small bodies—are forming near this resistance level. These candles suggest that buyers are struggling to push the price higher, while sellers are beginning to regain control. A deeper look at the 1-hour chart reveals a clear ABCD pullback pattern, a widely recognized harmonic structure in technical analysis. This pattern indicates a measured retracement within a broader downtrend, providing traders with potential entry points for the continuation of the trend. In this case, the "AB" leg represents the initial bearish impulse, the "BC" leg corresponds to the current corrective move, and the anticipated "CD" leg signals the likely continuation of the downward movement. If the pattern completes as expected, the price is likely to reverse from the resistance zone near 1.04300 and resume its descent. The broader market sentiment further supports a bearish outlook. Macroeconomic conditions, combined with the technical dynamics of the pair, point to continued selling pressure. The recent news release acted as a catalyst, intensifying the downward momentum, and this sentiment is unlikely to change unless there is a significant shift in market fundamentals. Additionally, the lack of follow-through by buyers in the pullback phase underscores the strength of the prevailing bearish trend. From a technical perspective, the resistance zone around 1.04300 holds immense importance. Not only does it align with the upper boundary of the ABCD pattern, but it also coincides with a key Fibonacci retracement level and a psychological price barrier. These overlapping factors create a strong confluence area, increasing the likelihood of a reversal. If the price fails to break above this zone, the bearish momentum is expected to accelerate, targeting the next significant support zone around 1.03260. The support zone at 1.03260 represents a critical area where buyers may reenter the market. This level has acted as a demand zone in the past, providing temporary relief from selling pressure. However, given the strength of the current bearish trend, a test of this level seems increasingly likely. Traders should watch for additional confirmation signals, such as bearish candlestick formations or increased selling volume, as the price approaches the resistance zone. It’s also worth considering potential invalidation levels. Should the price manage to break and sustain above the 1.04300 resistance, the bearish scenario would need to be reassessed. Such a move could indicate a shift in market dynamics, opening the door for a potential bullish reversal. However, until that happens, the dominant trend remains bearish. In conclusion, EURUSD continues to exhibit strong bearish momentum, with the current pullback offering an opportunity to position for the continuation of the downtrend. As the pair approaches the 1.04300 resistance zone, the technical and fundamental landscape suggests that the bearish trend is likely to resume. My primary target remains the support zone at 1.03260, which aligns with prior swing lows and key technical levels. Traders should remain cautious and monitor key levels closely, ensuring that their risk management strategies are firmly in place.
Short
by lonelyPlayer0
WAHN - PSX - LONG SWING Trade OpportunityFundamentally company is growing as it is producing chemicals used in ammo manufacturing of POFs; besides it is Commercial Selling front-end of POFs products. Backing by Min of Defence Production is another plus; therefore, no shortage of Cash Flow (despite what their Financial Statement says). On going war in Europ is very beneficial for this company as it has huge number of orders pre-hand. Last year company gave huge dividends and once again it has given 100% dividend as well due in Oct 2024. Technically, on Monthly TF Cup & handle formation is in making which indicates a bull run condition. The Bull run on Daily TF has also begun. On Daily TF AB=CD pattern has been drawn for taking quick profits in a couple of weeks. Therefore, instant Buy at around 220 can be initiated and TP be set at around Rs 270 ~ 280. However, it is expected that it should be reaching previous all-time high of Rs 369 by May~Jun 2025. One can book profit at that time and re-enter in Buying once price drops to Fib 0.382 level on Monthly TF (Rs 280.91). Then next Bull run is expected to take its price to Rs 600 by end Sep 2026. Disclaimer : This is not a financial advice; it is being shared for the education purposes only. Take trade as per your own analysis.
PSX:WAHNLong
by Golden_Spur
Rates Are Down, So Why Isn’t Gold Shining?Gold Prices Drop to 2581 Amid Market Turmoil: What's Driving the Decline? Gold prices, as reflected in the XAU/USD pair, have slumped to 2581, marking a significant dip in the market. While many anticipated that falling interest rates would bolster gold, the reality has turned out to be more complex. Yesterday’s developments weighed heavily on the precious metal, and surprisingly, the negative impact isn’t directly tied to rate cuts. Instead, a mix of economic uncertainty and technical market dynamics has pushed gold into bearish territory. The Core Reason Behind Gold’s Decline The primary driver of this downward movement is the Federal Reserve’s cautious approach regarding future rate cuts. While the Fed followed market expectations by reducing the benchmark interest rate by 0.25%, bringing it to a range of 4.25% to 4.50%, its projections for next year surprised many. The central bank’s forecast of just two rate cuts in 2024 falls significantly short of market expectations, signaling a more hawkish stance than anticipated. This hawkishness has rippled through global markets. The U.S. dollar, buoyed by the Fed’s cautious tone, has strengthened, creating headwinds for commodities like gold that are priced in dollars. A stronger dollar makes gold more expensive for international buyers, diminishing its appeal as a safe-haven asset. Meanwhile, broader market indices have also faced selling pressure, reflecting heightened concerns about the economic outlook. Technical Factors Amplify the Bearish Sentiment From a technical perspective, gold’s price action underscores the bearish sentiment dominating the market. The XAU/USD pair has decisively broken below a critical support level, exiting a global ascending channel that had been intact for weeks. This breakout has confirmed the downward momentum, with gold setting a new low at 2581. Key support and resistance levels now define the boundaries of potential price movements: Resistance Levels: 2620, 2630, 2636 Support Levels: 2616, 2612, 2603 After breaking below the support, the price has moved into an imbalance zone, signaling a possible retest of the previously broken channel boundary. This retest could serve as a pivotal moment for market participants. If the price fails to reclaim the resistance zones at 2620 or 2630 and consolidates below these levels, it could pave the way for further declines. False breakouts, where the price briefly breaches a resistance level before reversing, are another factor to watch closely. A failed attempt to break key resistances like 2620 or 2630 could reinforce the bearish trend and lead to further downward pressure on gold. Macroeconomic Data in Focus Today’s trading session brings additional catalysts that could shape gold’s trajectory. Market attention is firmly fixed on the release of U.S. GDP data and initial jobless claims. These indicators will provide fresh insights into the health of the U.S. economy and could either reinforce or challenge the Fed’s cautious stance. A stronger-than-expected GDP reading or lower-than-expected jobless claims could further support the dollar, adding to gold’s woes. Conversely, weaker economic data might rekindle hopes for more aggressive rate cuts, potentially offering some relief to gold prices. Broader Implications for Gold Investors The recent price action in gold highlights the complex interplay between macroeconomic fundamentals, central bank policies, and technical market dynamics. While gold has traditionally been viewed as a safe haven, its performance is not immune to shifts in interest rate expectations and currency fluctuations. For investors, the key question is whether gold’s current bearish trend represents a short-term correction or the beginning of a more sustained decline. Much will depend on how the Federal Reserve’s policy unfolds in the coming months and how global economic conditions evolve. In the short term, traders should monitor key technical levels closely. A decisive break above resistance at 2636 could signal a reversal of the bearish trend, while a sustained move below support at 2603 would likely confirm further downside potential. Until then, gold remains under pressure, navigating a challenging and uncertain landscape.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by lonelyPlayer0
2
Interest Rates Are Falling, So Why Is the EUR/USD Declining?Hello everyone, Currently, the EUR/USD pair is trading with a slightly negative bias around 1.0360 in early Friday’s Asian session. The major currency pair remains defensive as the US Federal Reserve adopts a less dovish stance despite cutting interest rates by 25 basis points at its December meeting on Wednesday. In summary: The Fed’s hawkish tone has delivered its intended impact: the dollar has strengthened, and markets have weakened. Today, all eyes are on the November Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Index, the Fed’s preferred measure of inflation. Meanwhile, the EU will release its preliminary estimate of December Consumer Confidence. Technical Perspective: After the initial decline, the price attempted to recover but faced resistance at key levels, highlighted by the blue liquidity zones on the chart. If the price fails to break through the liquidity zone at 1.03894, we could see further bearish pressure. The first target lies at 1.03502, and a break below this level could drive the price toward 1.03000, marking a significant move for the pair. Wishing you all successful trades and great profits!
Short
by Trader-Briannnn
My Best analysis I have analyzed the recent price movement of gold (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe, and here are my observations: 1. Downtrend: The price is currently following a downward trend, indicating a bearish market sentiment. 2. Resistance Level: A strong resistance zone has been identified near the 2,598 level. 3. Potential Breakout: If the price manages to break above this resistance, an upward move can be expected. However, failure to break the resistance might result in a further decline toward the 2,560 level. 4. Bearish Target: A potential bearish target around 2,560 has been highlighted based on the current trend.
TVC:GOLD
by LunaTrader_SingnalsProvider
BTCUSDT: Consolidation After Uptrend Break. What's Next?Hello, dear traders. Brian here! When analyzing the 4-hour chart, we can see an intriguing setup that indicates the possibility of continued bearish momentum if critical support levels fail to hold. Let’s dive deeper into the analysis. Currently, Bitcoin is trading at $97,547, reflecting a slight pullback from recent highs. The price has recently broken the ascending trendline, which had provided support for a prolonged period. This break, combined with the rejection at the Fibonacci retracement zone, signals a potential trend reversal. Traders should closely monitor the $95,713 level and the EMAs to confirm the next move. If Bitcoin continues to decline, the next major support levels are at: $95,713 (1.0 Fibonacci Extension) $93,085 (1.272 Fibonacci Extension) $89,742 (1.618 Fibonacci Extension) Wishing you all great profits in the coming days!
Short
by Trader-Briannnn
1
PAYTM- Analysis If closes above 474 for 2 -3 days then only Buy strict stoploss of day closing below 365 or 314 use as per your comfort/risk management Targets to watch T1- 601 to 613 or 661 to 673 T2- 924 to 936 or 985 to 997 T3 1248 to 1260 or 1309 to 1321 Please do your due diligence before trading or investment. *Comment or message me if you wish to see my analysis for any stocks. **Disclaimer -  I am not a SEBI registered analyst or advisor. I does not represent or endorse the accuracy or reliability of any information, conversation, or content. Stock trading is inherently risky and the users agree to assume complete and full responsibility for the outcomes of all trading decisions that they make, including but not limited to loss of capital. None of these communications should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities, nor advice to do so. The users understands and acknowledges that there is a very high risk involved in trading securities. By using this information, the user agrees that use of this information is entirely at their own risk. Thank you.
NSE:PAYTMLong
by PrashantTaralkar
1
GOLD --> The Downtrend Persists. What’s the Next Target?Dear Friends, Gold has seen a modest rise amidst a broader bearish trend, currently trading around $2,617, up 1.27% on the day. This slight uptick can be attributed to sellers pausing their pressure, coupled with the fundamental appeal of gold increasing. As the opportunity cost of holding the non-yielding precious metal decreases due to lower interest rates, gold becomes more attractive. However, the Federal Reserve's cautious outlook on rate cuts—suggesting smaller reductions than expected next year—could weigh on gold's upward momentum. Additionally, US Treasury yields edged higher on December 18, with the 10-year yield reaching its highest level since May. Treasuries, often considered a direct competitor to gold due to their interest-bearing nature, could diminish gold's appeal if yields continue to rise. Ben personally advises waiting for a decisive candle close below the 2636 liquidity zone before taking further advantage of the market trend.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Bentradegold
GOLD - Should I sell?Brian, hello everyone! Gold prices “plunged” and fell more than 2% to a one-month low in mid-week trading after the Fed decided to cut interest rates as expected, but noted that it would slow the pace of borrowing cost reductions in the near term. The Fed’s stance boosted the USD and bond yields. Based on the performance of gold on the 4-hour time frame, along with indicators from EMA and RSI, a bearish trend is expected in the coming period. With the current unfavorable situation for gold, the price of gold is likely to reach $2,537 in the near future.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Trader-Briannnn
GBPUSD - continue its downward trendDear Investors, The GBP/USD pair has rebounded after losing over 1% following the Federal Reserve's aggressive rate cut on Wednesday, currently trading around 1.2590 during Thursday's Asian session. From a technical perspective, this recovery is likely to be short-lived, stemming from the strong support zone at 1.2567, rather than signaling a sustained rebound. Sellers could easily regain control, especially after breaking below the key level of 1.2645. Moreover, the 34-period EMA shows no signs of a significant reversal, suggesting the price might accelerate towards the next support level at 1.2486. Attention remains on the immediate resistance at 1.2615, as any failure to hold this level could lead to an earlier-than-expected decline. Stay alert and plan accordingly!
Short
by Trader-Briannnn