Planning EURJPY IF there's a news spike. The JPY interest rates come out soon and this might cause a big move in the Yen.
Yen is on major supports and my bias has started to turn from always bearish (via long USDJPY) to feeling rather, potentially, bullish on the Yen.
Something I'd love to see for a trade entry would be a massive move into the resistance levels on the news. Maybe some bad news for JPY and JPY crashes.
That's the sort of thing that usually happens in currency reversals.
I don't have any positions on in Yen trades heading into the news. It's too much of a punt. But I plan to be active after it. Following a Yen rally or fading a crash if it hits my predetermined levels.
It's possible JPY could make a low in the crash move it has been in. While this is still very much contingent on what happens at support, the amount of money that could be made in XXXJPY shorts if this did happen is so extreme it seem wise to plan for it. Just in case.
Harmonic Patterns
Falling towards overlap support?GBP/JPY is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 194.73
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 193.14
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 198.45
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish drop?NAS100 has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 21,414.83
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 21,813.15
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 20,774.05
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
#ETHEREUM - BUY THE DIP LIKE A CHILL GUY ?Is now a good time to go long on Ethereum?
Looking at the Fibonacci levels, we can see that Ethereum has just bounced off the golden pocket. This could signal a strong potential for upward momentum.
Here’s my idea:
1. Enter a long position here and aim to hold until the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level.
2. Along the way, consider scaling into the trade at key retracements to maximize gains while managing risk effectively.
What are your thoughts? Would you take this trade, or do you see other opportunities forming? Let’s discuss below!
Long Bias Analysis for SOL/USDT (4H Chart):
Market Context:
Market Structure:
A clear Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside occurred, sweeping sell-side liquidity below $190.
The price is now trading in a Fair Value Gap (FVG), a common area where demand often re-enters the market.
Key Levels:
Support Zone: $185.79–$189.31, the FVG and demand zone, where buyers may step in.
Resistance Levels:
$209.09: First resistance and minor supply zone.
$212.73: A significant supply level and previous breakdown point.
$263.80: Ultimate bullish target if momentum sustains.
Indicators:
The price is below the EMA cluster, suggesting oversold conditions.
The imbalance (FVG) provides a confluence area for long entries with reduced downside risk.
Trade Plan:
Entry:
Look for entries around $189–$193, ideally after bullish confirmation (e.g., strong bullish candles or wicks rejecting the FVG).
Stop Loss:
Place the stop loss slightly below $185.79 to account for potential liquidity grabs while minimizing risk.
Take Profits:
TP1: $209.09 – Close to the EMA and minor resistance.
TP2: $212.73 – Significant supply zone and previous structural high.
TP3 (Stretch Target): $263.80 – The upper range and major supply level.
Risk-Reward Analysis:
Entry near $190, SL at $185, and TP2 at $212 provides a 4:1 Risk-to-Reward Ratio.
Reaching TP3 would significantly increase the reward potential.
Key Notes:
Confirmation:
Watch for reversal candlestick patterns or increased volume near the FVG.
A break and hold above $197 (current resistance) will signal a stronger bullish case.
Partial Profits:
Take partial profits at TP1 to secure gains, then trail the stop loss to breakeven for remaining positions.
Invalidation:
A clean break below $185 invalidates this setup and could lead to further downside.
SOL: Massive Bull Flag Formed!Now is the time to keep a close eye on SOL! A break above the bull flag could happen anytime now! If you're looking to trade SOL at the moment, here's a quick setup that you might find helpful!
The idea is: Buy when the price breaks above $233 and take profits at the levels shown in the chart.
Targets:
1. $240
2. $245
3. $251
4. $260
-------------------------------------------
About our trades:
Our success rate is notably high, with 10 out of 11 posted trade setups achieving at least their first target upon a breakout price breach (The most on TW!). Our TradingView page serves as a testament to this claim, and we invite you to verify it!
Bitcoin's road to 150,000 Bitcoin Halving 2024: A New Era
The fourth Bitcoin halving, expected on April 15, 2024, will cut the block reward to 3.125 BTC, increasing scarcity and reinforcing its deflationary nature. Historically, halving cycles drive three phases: a bullish uptrend in the first 70,000 blocks, a bearish retracement in the next 70,000, and sideways consolidation before the next halving. This cycle points to a potential peak of $150,000, supported by historical trends, logarithmic regression, and metrics like the MVRV ratio.
Current Market Position
Bitcoin has emerged from the sideways phase of the third halving era (2020–2024) and is poised for a bullish run. The MVRV ratio, currently at 2.24, signals fair value, with room for growth. Historical patterns show Bitcoin dominance surges above 70% during bullish phases, supporting price appreciation.
Halving Cycles and Projections
Bitcoin's logarithmic regression model aligns with these price phases:
Bullish Phase (0–70,000 blocks): Exponential growth; projected high of $150,000.
Bearish Phase (70,000–140,000 blocks): Retracement of 80%, with lows around $55,000.
Sideways Phase (140,000–210,000 blocks): Consolidation before the next cycle.
MVRV Ratio Insights
The MVRV ratio (Market Value to Realized Value) serves as a key valuation tool:
MVRV > 3.7: Overbought, market tops.
MVRV < 1: Undervalued, market bottoms. The current reading of 2.24 reflects equilibrium, signaling potential upside.
Timeline Overview
April 2024 (Halving): Demand rises, supply tightens, sparking bullish momentum.
2025–2026: Peak at $150,000 as the bullish phase matures.
Post-Bullish Phase: Retracement to $55,000, consistent with historical patterns.
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s cyclical dynamics, driven by halving mechanisms, position it uniquely in financial markets. Historical data and on-chain metrics suggest a bullish trajectory to $150,000, with an 80% drawdown to $55,000 post-peak. While short-term volatility remains, Bitcoin’s long-term appeal as a store of value persists.
Disclaimer: This analysis is educational and not financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are volatile, and past performance does not predict future results.
Sources
Coin Metrics
CryptoQuant
TradingView Data Analysis
XRP: Bullish continuation imminent! XRP has been on a massive upside move, and currently, the price is cooling off in a falling wedge pattern! If you're looking to trade XRP at the moment, here's a quick setup that you might find helpful!
The idea is: Buy when the price breaks above $2.51 and take profits at the levels shown in the chart.
Targets:
1. $2.6
2. $2.7
3. $2.8
-------------------------------------------
About our trades:
Our success rate is notably high, with 10 out of 11 posted trade setups achieving at least their first target upon a breakout price breach (The most on TW!). Our TradingView page serves as a testament to this claim, and we invite you to verify it!
BTC dump as BTC.D gears up to retest!!Join our community and start your crypto journey today for:
In-depth market analysis
Accurate trade setups
Early access to trending altcoins
Life-changing profit potential
Let's analyze BTCUSDT :
Bitcoin has broken below its previous trading channel and is testing lower support levels. This drop is largely attributed to Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) rising to retest the 59% level. BTC is presently around the $94,700 support. If this level holds, a significant price rebound is possible. However, if BTC dominance reaches 60% or higher, BTC could fall further to around $91,000.
Key Support Levels:
$94,700
$92,0500-$91,100
Key Resistance Level:
$98,500
If you find this analysis helpful, please hit the like button to support my content! Share your thoughts in the comments and feel free to request any specific chart analysis you’d like to see.
Happy Trading!!
BITCOIN Why Do you think I am long PUTS ???The chart from an ELLIOT WAVE Perspective I have now completed 5 of 5 or will need one last pop to 109100 But from a position trade the option are to be placed NOW .I am long In the money PUTS the decline that is about occur should be painful for LONGS in 2025 ,happy holidays WAVETIMER Look at the RSI