Positive Economic Data and ECB's Interest Rate OutlookThe strength of the Euro (EUR) is supported by positive economic data from the Eurozone, reducing the likelihood of the European Central Bank (ECB) making significant interest rate cuts in December. Eurostat reported that the region's economy grew faster than expected in the third quarter, prompting traders to adjust their expectations regarding interest rate cuts in the upcoming meeting. Additionally, inflation pressure increased by 2% in October, further reinforcing the likelihood that the ECB will maintain interest rates.
EUR/USD is fluctuating around the resistance level of 1.0896 during the European trading session on Monday. With support at 1.0778, the upward momentum of this currency pair is solidified, and it is likely to test the resistance level of 1.0896 again. Moreover, this upward trend may continue and break through that resistance, especially as the EMA 34 and 89 have reversed to an uptrend.
What do you think about the outlook for this currency pair? Let me know!
Harmonic Patterns
Bitcoin will trap everyone! 78k then 20% crash! (must see)Bitcoin is currently very bullish; that's clearly visible and soon will hit a new all time high. That's exactly the point where a lot of people will start buying with the belief of going to 100k - 130k. But you may know that Bitcoin is under extreme manipulation by BlackRock and other institutions. This is not a stock market, so they will not let Bitcoin go up, and instead they will trigger a massive crash back to 63k. Nobody likes Blackrock, but it's how it is.
So what is the plan? First, I expect Bitcoin to go up and reach 78k. Then, when everyone buys, the price will crash to 63k. Do not forget that we also need to see a successful retest of the bullish flag. There is no retest yet. Bitcoin needs to confirm this uptrend, so do not FOMO in. I have been bullish since 60k or so, and I predicted the majority of Bitcoin movements in past months.
Why is 63k important? We have a 200 daily moving average and FVG (Fair Value GAP) around this level. Also, the RSI indicator is starting to be overbought; you want to buy low when everyone is bearish.
Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
Bump and Run Alert! Gold on the Verge of Correction?The “Bump and Run” pattern is emerging on XAUUSD's 4-hour chart, signaling a potential correction phase after its impressive rally. Without fundamental support or fresh positive news, XAUUSD could be heading back to test key support zones in the near term.
Key Support Zones to Watch:
First Support Zone: $2,675
Second Support Zone: $2,605
Ethereum (ETH): 200EMA Holding Buyers Strongly / Possible Short?We are back with Ethereum, where we are seeing the great work from 100&200EMA.
Despite us trading currently in some kind of sideways tunnel, we are seeing that buyers are struggling with breaking out of this path, where EMAs are pressuring the price down, which could lead to a possible breakdown of the local support zone.
We are looking here to see a break of that support rather than a break of EMAs, and once we get it, we will wait out for a confirmation re-test (good zone to open short).
Swallow Team
Bitcoin (BTC): Sellers Taking Control / Possible Drop Incoming!Daily timeframe showed us a good dominance from upper zones, where last time we mentioned that we were looking for a rejection from that resistance zone.
Now that sellers are showing dominance and price is almost back below resistance zone, we are looking for that blue line to be touched and broken in order to see a bigger movement to EMAs and then of course another liquidity grab on lower zones!
Swallow Team
Gold Prices Rise, Promising Recovery After the ElectionHello everyone,
The price of gold has risen slightly to $2,735 per ounce in the morning trading session on Monday after a slight adjustment over the weekend due to profit-taking pressure and a strong US dollar.
The main driving force behind the increase in gold prices remains the political instability, particularly the ongoing election between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris, which is prompting investors to turn to gold as a safe-haven asset. Additionally, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and prolonged inflation forecasts are also contributing factors supporting gold's upward trend.
It is expected that gold price will continue to increase in the near future. The political instability and the need for deep assets in the context of global tensions will be the main driving force of this increase. If the economic indicators from the US are unfavorable, the gold trend may be further strengthened.
Gold prices continue to rise from $2750What do you think about gold today? Let's discuss and strategize for the day!
Gold (XAUUSD) fell significantly yesterday, with prices falling below $2,780 and now hovering around $2,750 — marking its best recovery since mid-October. So, what's driving the metal?
Key drivers:
Gold's uptrend is supported by fundamentals, especially the possibility of the Fed pausing rate hikes if inflation continues to slow. Additionally, geopolitical tensions and a weaker US dollar are boosting gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset.
XAUUSD's new outlook:
If gold holds within its current rising channel and breaks above the key resistance level of $2,790, we could see gold prices reach new highs, heading towards $2,820 or higher.
Short-term levels to watch:
Major support: $2,740 - $2,750
Major resistance: $2,780 - $2,790, with the next target at $2,820 - $2,830
SPX500 H1 | Overlap resistance at 38.2% Fibonacci retracementSPX500 is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 5,769.26 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 5,804.00 which is a level that sits above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement and an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 5,727.17 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
WTI Oil H4 | Resistance overheadWTI oil (USOIL) is trading close to a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 71.05 which is a swing-high resistance.
Stop loss is at 72.50 which is a level that sits above an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 68.61 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USD/CHF H1 | Falling to multi-swing-low supportUSD/CHF is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 0.8631 which is a multi-swing-low support.
Stop loss is at 0.8614 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support.
Take profit is at 0.8676 which is a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
USDJPY Analysis: Anticipating a Slight Bearish Bias on November USDJPY Analysis: Anticipating a Slight Bearish Bias on November 4, 2024
Introduction
On November 4, 2024, the USDJPY (US Dollar to Japanese Yen) currency pair is showing signs of a potential slight bearish bias. A mix of fundamental factors, including recent economic data from the United States and Japan, is influencing the current outlook for USDJPY. In this article, we’ll analyze the latest drivers and market conditions impacting USDJPY today to help traders make informed decisions. To ensure visibility on TradingView and search engines, we’ve included essential keywords for better SEO optimization.
Key Drivers Impacting USDJPY Today
1. US Dollar Weakness Following Economic Data
- The US dollar has shown signs of weakening after recent economic reports painted a mixed picture of the US economy. Non-farm payroll data released last week fell short of expectations, suggesting a slowdown in job growth. Additionally, the latest PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index) data came in weaker than forecasted, hinting at a potential softening in the manufacturing sector. This weaker data weighs on the USD, allowing for a possible downside in USDJPY.
2. Bank of Japan’s Stable Policy and Economic Outlook
- The Bank of Japan (BoJ) has maintained a steady approach to monetary policy, signaling no immediate changes. With inflation remaining below target, the BoJ has resisted pressures to tighten rates aggressively. However, Japan’s economy has recently shown slight signs of improvement, with better-than-expected GDP and consumer spending data. This stability may lend some support to the Japanese yen, creating downward pressure on USDJPY.
3. Interest Rate Expectations
- Interest rate differentials remain a significant factor for USDJPY. While the Federal Reserve recently suggested that it will maintain interest rates in the near term, markets are beginning to price in potential rate cuts in 2024 due to softening US economic data. This shift in sentiment could favor the Japanese yen over the US dollar, as investors seek safe-haven assets like the yen amid concerns over slower US growth.
4. Geopolitical Factors and Safe-Haven Demand
- Recent geopolitical developments have increased demand for safe-haven assets, with the Japanese yen benefiting as a result. Investors tend to turn to the yen in times of uncertainty, and with global tensions on the rise, the yen may see an uptick in demand. This safe-haven appeal could contribute to a bearish outlook for USDJPY as investors look to reduce exposure to the USD.
5. Technical Analysis and Key Levels
- Technically, USDJPY shows signs of potential downside pressure. The currency pair is approaching a support level near 147.50, with resistance around 149.00. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates a near-neutral level but is trending downward, signaling possible bearish momentum. Should USDJPY break below the 147.50 support, it could pave the way for further declines.
Conclusion
Given the above factors, USDJPY is likely to experience a slight bearish bias today. The combination of weaker US economic data, stable policies from the Bank of Japan, changing interest rate expectations, and rising safe-haven demand supports a bearish outlook. As always, it’s essential to keep a close watch on any new economic releases or geopolitical developments that could influence USDJPY in the coming hours.
Stay tuned to TradingView for real-time updates and in-depth USDJPY analysis.
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SEO Keywords for USDJPY Article
SEO-KEYWORDS:
#USDJPYforecast
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USD/JPY H1 | Fill the gap before running into resistance?USD/JPY is rising towards a multi-swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 152.96 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
Stop loss is at 153.72 which is a level that sits above a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 151.62 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Sell eurcadHere's the deep analysis of eurcad
Remember what i am saying from September about this pair, don't look and open buy trade , a big fall will come soon
And also remember we already made 400 pips from this pair in selling 2 times each (200)pips
Monthly daily and weekly oversold pair
Just wait a little more confirmation and then we will enter in selling
Minimum target 500 pips
Gold price continues the long -term trend from 2700Hello market warriors! In today's session, XauUSD is gradually looking for a potential area to buy about 2700 USD. This adjustment is not a coincidence, but because Gold witnessed the leaps of last week, largely due to instability revolving around the race of the US president, escalating tensions in Middle East and Kha Kha's expectations. Fed interest rate decreases.
This week, the focus of the market will focus on the US election, decide the interest rate from the Fed and a series of important economic data, from the requirements of unemployment benefits to the psychology of consumers. use. These will be big wave factors for gold prices!
Currently, gold is still surrounded by $ 2750 per ounce, continuing to strengthen the long -term increase.
I wish you a successful transaction!
GOLD-Trade Plan-04/11/2024Dear Traders,
Gold prices continue to exhibit a downward trend on both the 1-hour and 4-hour charts. Considering the significant selling pressure experienced last week, it is highly probable that the price will dip to test the 2700 level. If this level acts as a support, we can anticipate a minimum price rebound of 600-700 pips. However, if the 2700 level is breached, the subsequent targets would be 2660 and 2600. Given the ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, I anticipate a period of price consolidation rather than a sustained price decline.
Dont Forget like&Comment please !
Regards,
Alireza!
LTCUSD BUY 65.0On the 4-hour chart, LTCUSD has a chance to form a bullish Gartley pattern in the short term. Currently, we can pay attention to the support near 65.0. If it falls back and stabilizes, we can pay attention to buying opportunities. The upward target is around 71.0. If the price falls below the support near 62.0, the pattern will be declared a failure.
Watching for market reactionMorning everybody,
So, recent sell-off on stock market and rally of the US yields have made pressure as on Gold as on BTC but thankfully it was short term.
Still, BTC has dropped to the level that we've discussed last time - 67.5-68K. Why is it so special? First is, it stands around the all-time trend line resistance that recently has been broken up. Second is - the K-support level, which makes it rather strong and a great indicator of market's power.
From bullish point of view, we do not want BTC to drop back below it, breaking 65K lows down. At the same time, with elections hysteria environment we suggest to not take any position without confirming patterns. So, our trading plan is to wait for market response to this level. Once we get more or less clear patterns, we could act...