We have 3 reasons to here
1. There is a megaphone pattern almost finished (A).
2. A broadening wedge is forming at a high level (B).
3. Another broadening wedge is nearing completion (C).
So, what I think is that Trump will announce something interesting to end the commercial conflict with everyone.
We will see a market recovery period and a new high.
Right now it looks bad, but it's not too bad.
Harmonic Patterns
Gold Attack and Defense GuideAfter the opening of the market on Monday, the three major U.S. stock index futures all fell sharply, with the Nasdaq futures falling by more than 5.5%, the S&P 500 index and the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling by more than 4.7% and 4% respectively, and crude oil prices also falling below $60 per barrel. Although gold and silver have rebounded after a sharp drop, they still cannot escape the selling pressure as a whole. The market panic is quite similar to the outbreak of the new crown epidemic in March 2020. The U.S. tariff policy and the trade war it has triggered have caused the biggest disruption crisis in the global supply chain since the epidemic.
As the new trading week begins, global risk aversion shows a significant sign of rising, and precious metal assets have ushered in a strong performance. U.S. officials announced on Monday that they would launch reciprocal tariff measures against global trading partners the next day, completely shattering the market's previous residual expectations that negotiations might ease at the last minute. As the deadline for policy implementation approaches, the tense atmosphere in the financial market has heated up sharply.
Against this background, mainstream banks continue to hold optimistic expectations for the medium- and long-term trend of precious metals. The current price is driven by two factors: one is the unexpected demand for reserve increases by central banks of various countries, and the other is the continued inflow of funds from gold-linked ETF funds. It is worth noting that the U.S. benchmark Treasury yield fell in a gap on Monday, and the yield curve is rapidly approaching the stage low of 4.172% set in March.
Technical patterns show that gold prices continue to rise strongly after breaking through the psychological barrier of $3,100, indicating that the current main trend is still expanding upward along the line of least resistance. If the price falls back and loses this integer, it may trigger a technical correction, and long position closing operations may push gold prices back to the key support of $3,000. Short-term trading needs to focus on the upward resistance band formed in the $3,148-50 range, which may become a new battlefield for long-short games. I suggest that gold should pay attention to the suppression of the 3080 line above and the 3000 integer mark below. The news has stimulated the recent volatility, and the recent high-altitude is the main focus. Long orders must be cautious.
Operation strategy:
1. Try the 3055-3060 line above the gold short order, and make a stop loss. The target is 15 US dollars.
2. The long order below the gold can be tried at the 3000 line, looking at 10-15 US dollars, and make a stop loss. No long orders can be participated without loss. The 2980 line below can be regarded as a position for replenishment.
BTC OutlookIn the volatile world of trading, uncertainty is the only constant. Could prices dip to 75k before surging to 115k? Is such a drop a brief pullback or the start of a prolonged downturn? What technical or fundamental signals might indicate a recovery toward 115k?
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always consult a professional before making any investment decisions.
#AUCTION/USDT#AUCTION
The price is moving within a descending channel on the 1-hour frame, adhering well to it, and is heading for a strong breakout and retest.
We are seeing a bounce from the lower boundary of the descending channel, which is support at 11.80.
We have a downtrend on the RSI indicator that is about to be broken and retested, supporting the upward trend.
We are looking for stability above the 100 Moving Average.
Entry price: 12.50
First target: 13.02
Second target: 13.93
Third target: 14.96
BTCUSDT: falling wedge, big money flowing in at support!!Join our community and start your crypto journey today for:
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BTCUSDT is currently forming a falling wedge pattern, a typically bullish setup. Recently, Bitcoin dropped to a low of $74,446, above the key support zone between $74,254 and $73,057. The strong rebound from this area suggests significant buying interest and possible whale accumulation. However, BTC must secure a daily close above the $81,250 resistance level for a confirmed bullish outlook. In the short term, BTC will likely consolidate between $74.5K and $ 80.5 K. A potential double bottom formation near the $ 73K level could occur before BTC attempts a decisive breakout above the wedge.
Accumulate BTC near the support zone.
Support Levels:
$74,254
$73,057
Resistance levels:
$ 80,500
$ 81,250
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How does tariff gold work?At the 4-hour level, the current market is shrinking and oscillating at a high level. The K-line is running above the middle track, and the oscillating and strong trend is maintained above the middle track. Focus on the 3100 support break. Only when it breaks below 3100 will the downward space be opened. There can be more at 3080-3060 below, and only when it stands above 3135 can it further hit a new high. Before the data, continue to see range oscillation, the small range is 3110-3135, and the large range is 3100-3150. In the short term, you can quickly enter and exit in the small range with high altitude and low long.
SPX In Free Fall. How Much More Pain Do We Have Coming?Hey my fellow traders and followers, hope all is well with you and your trading?
Let me shed some light on the dark times ahead.
I know some of you are asking ; How much more pain do we have to endure? Well, I'm here to give my opinion on what I see in the daily SPX/USD chart.
Like it or not we have another leg down to go. Sorry. We have on the chart a Head & Shoulder, or Inverted V pattern, Bearflag pattern after the first round of distribution. Second distribution will show in another leg down to 5343.4 area which will be our TP-1. TP-2 is ready for it?------
4981 area. Long ways to go yet. I see this playing out until anywhere from April 23 to April 30th.
Whether you want to believe this possibility or not, please be careful with your bias. Remember the Daily and Weekly are still bearish so understand the depth we can fall. My job is to tip you off on what is possible. Until next time please trade carefully if you choose as the market is in wide wide price swings that keep hitting retail trader's stops in both directions. If you are going to trade, trade the smaller TF's to avoid blowing up your account.
Best of luck in all your trades.
Cheers!
Gold is still weak, rebound can still be shortedThe 1-hour moving average of gold still continues to cross downwards, and the strength of gold shorts has not weakened; gold rebounds are still mainly short selling. Although gold rose after covering the gap for one hour, the upper shadow line soon fell. Gold is still weak overall, and gold is under pressure near 3050 in the short term.
Trading idea: short gold near 3042, stop loss 3052, target 3022
The above is purely a sharing of personal opinions and does not constitute trading advice. Investments are risky and you are responsible for your profits and losses.
GBP/USD Technical Analysis – Long Setup in Play!We’ve just received a fresh BUY signal on the GBP/USD pair following a bullish bounce from the 1.24600 (0.5 Fibonacci retracement) level.
🔍 Key Highlights:
✅ Fibonacci Retracement levels plotted from the 2020 low to the 2021 high show strong technical alignment.
📈 Buy Entry Triggered: Momentum turned bullish after price reclaimed the mid-Fib zone.
📉 Previous resistance near 1.28786 (Fib 0.618) could act as short-term resistance.
📊 VPAO, volume alignment, and trend indicators show rising accumulation.
🎯 Targets:
1.3180 — short-term
1.4234 — long-term retracement high
1.6426 — Fibonacci extension (1.618 level)
🛡️ Stop suggestion: Below recent swing low around 1.2460
This setup suggests growing confidence in GBP strength vs USD. We’ll be monitoring closely for volume confirmation and potential continuation into Q2 2025.
NASDAQ - Bounce here could mean strength.The chart is self - explanatory as always.
Nasdaq is sitting at a critical zone — the previous all-time high area — with the 200-week EMA just below.
📊 From a technical standpoint, a bounce here would signal potential strength.
⚠️ But when panic sets in, technicals can take a back seat.
Stay sharp. Manage risk.
Disclaimer: This analysis is purely for educational purposes and does not constitute trading advice. I am not a SEBI-registered advisor, and trading involves significant risk. Please consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
EURUSD reached a 20-month Resistance. Potential for heavy sell.The EURUSD pair has almost hit the Lower Highs trend-line that started on the July 18 2023 High and immediately got rejected. The Resistance Zone that connects the last 3 major Highs within a 20-month span, follows the same pattern, especially with the 1D RSI Lower Highs peak formation.
Right now we are on the Lower High rejection, which on the previous three peaks hit initially the Support 1 level and then at least the Higher Lows trend-line (if not lower). As a result, we expect heavy selling to start on EURUSD, targeting 1.0730 and 1.0500 in succession.
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XAUUSD under selling pressure: Will Gold’s downtrend continue?At the end of the last trading session, XAUUSD continued its downward trend, currently quoted at 3037 USD, corresponding to a 2.46% decline on the day.
The main reason for this decline is the escalating trade war, which has raised concerns about a global economic recession, leading to panic and a sell-off in gold to cover losses from other assets. Additionally, the recovery of the USD during the day also put pressure on gold.
Meanwhile, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell stated that President Donald Trump's new tariffs are "larger than expected" and that the new tax policies could have stronger-than-anticipated effects on the U.S. economy, increasing inflation and slowing economic growth.
Therefore, the current environment remains risky for XAUUSD, and as long as the resistance levels within the downward trend channel are protected by the sellers, our target price will be limited to the lower boundary of the descending channel.
What about you? Do you think gold will continue to fall?
XAUUSD Channel Up holding but be ready to short if broken.Gold (XAUUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up on the 4H time-frame, hitting today its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). That is the first time the price hits this trend-line since February 28 and the previous Higher Low of the pattern.
As long as it holds, expect a Bullish Leg similar to the previous one, to hit first the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at 3130 and then the 1.786 extension for a Higher High at 3280.
On the other hand, if we get a candle closing below the 4H MA200, we will be ready to take the loss and go short instead, targeting Support 1 (Feb 28 Low) at 2840, potentially also making contact with the 1D MA100 (red trend-line).
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GOLD --> Reducing "shock" makes many people bewilderedHello, dear friends, it's great to see you again to discuss gold today.
Yesterday, gold just experienced a "shocking" price drop. The precious metal plummeted vertically from 3136 to 3015 USD, equivalent to more than 800 pips in just a few hours when the market announced the news.
The recent continuous decline in gold is believed to be due to the release of the U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report. Specifically, the positive Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report with 228,000 jobs (forecast of 135,000) created optimism about the U.S. economy, strengthening the USD and pushing gold prices down. Escalating trade tensions due to Trump's announcement of new tariffs also made traders worry about a global economic recession, leading to panic and gold sell-offs to cover losses from other assets.
From a technical perspective, the decline in gold is marked by the formation of a price channel and signs of a reversal from the EMA 34, 89. The recent bottom formation is considered a short-term correction, and the current price adjustment is expected to continue until it reaches the Fibonacci retracement level of 0.5 - 0.618. We can expect gold to continue declining after this consolidation phase. Selling is the preferred option, my friends!
What about you? Do you think gold will continue to fall?
EURUSD: Struggling to maintain the 1.115 peak amid USD pressureHello dear friends!
Recently, EURUSD has faced difficulties in maintaining the peak of 1.115. The bullish momentum of EURUSD has been hindered by the Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report, which again shows that the strength of the U.S. economy has recovered, leading to an increase in the USD, putting significant pressure on EUR/USD.
As mentioned on the 4-hour chart, although the bullish trend on the fundamental basis is still technically supported, there are signs indicating a potential peak forming at 1.115. The current support level is around 1.095. If this level is broken, EURUSD may continue to decline, potentially reaching the 1.083 mark, coinciding with the EMA test of EURUSD.
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BTCUSD ChatGPT: This chart shows Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on a 4-hour timeframe with key price levels, trends, and targets identified. Let's break down the analysis and potential scenarios for the future price movement:
Key Observations:
1. Price Action & Trend:
- The price of Bitcoin has been in a downward trend, forming a descending channel (shown with blue trendlines). The price has been making lower highs and lower lows, indicating bearish market conditions.
- Recently, Bitcoin tested the resistance zone around 84,067, and after multiple rejections at this level, the price has started to decline.
2. Resistance Zone:
- The resistance zone is marked at 84,067, a key price point where Bitcoin has faced multiple rejections. This level represents a supply zone, and traders …
ChatGPT: 4. Bearish Price Action:
- The chart shows a sharp bearish drop after hitting the resistance zone, suggesting that the market is currently in a correction phase. The price has fallen from higher levels toward the support zone and is likely to experience further downside pressure.
5. Target Level:
- The target for the ongoing bearish move is marked as 78,885, which lies just above the support level at 77,082. This target indicates a potential continuation of the decline towards this support level, and if this support holds, it could be a buying opportunity for a bounce.
Potential Scenarios:
1. Bearish Continuation:
- If the price continues its decline and breaks below 77,082, it would suggest a bearish breakout, with the next target around 78,885 or eve…
ChatGPT: - If the price approaches the 77,082 support level and shows signs of rejection (such as forming a bullish engulfing candle or double bottom pattern), there could be a reversal towards the resistance level at 84,067. In this case, traders may look for a long position, targeting the resistance zone for profit-taking.
3. Consolidation and Range-Bound Behavior:
- There is also a possibility that the price could start consolidating between the resistance and support levels, moving in a sideways pattern. If the price repeatedly tests these boundaries without breaking through, traders can look for range-bound trading strategies with buy orders at support and sell orders at resistance.
4. Breakout Above Resistance:
- If the price breaks above the resistance zone…
ChatGPT: The current chart suggests that Bitcoin is in a downtrend, facing resistance at 84,067 and heading towards the support zone at 77,082. Traders should monitor price action at this support level for potential bounces or breakdowns. If the price rebounds at 77,082, it could move back to test the resistance at 84,067. Conversely, if the price breaks below the support, further downside movement may occur with a target around 78,885 or lower. The descending channel provides a structured view of the market, and a breakout could lead to a bullish reversal or continuation of the bearish trend.