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Harmonic Patterns

BITCOIN The March effect is about to kick-inTrump's inauguration took place yesterday and that's perhaps the one event that the markets have been waiting for to kick-start the year without distractions. On today's analysis we go through every January of Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) final year of its Bull Cycles and present to you what we will call from now on 'The March effect'. As you can see, the price action coming to those January months is fairly similar between that last 4 Cycles. The price finds Support below its 1D MA100 (green trend-line), then breaks above it and with that as its new Support, it rises towards January where it starts the first Consolidation Phase. After a new Low near (or on) the 1D MA100, the market resumes the uptrend and rise towards March where again it starts a second Consolidation Phase. As a result, January - March during the Bull Cycle's final year deliver this incredibly bullish sequence and we can claim that the phenomenon has already started as January 13 2025 was a close enough test for the 1D MA100. We are expecting a March peak around $130k. So do you think we will see the 'March effect' unfold once more and if yes is $130k a plausible target in your opinion? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
10
Ethereum (ETH/USD): Critical Pullback Phase Before a Major RallyEthereum (ETH/USD): Critical Pullback Phase Before a Major Rally Ethereum is currently navigating an important pullback phase, where it needs to retest and establish solid support levels to prepare for the next significant upward move. A key area to watch is the $2,800 level, which serves as both a psychological and technical pivot. Current Phase: Retesting Support at $2,800 Support Hunt: ETH is seeking to confirm support around the $2,800 zone. Successfully rejecting this level as a floor will signal that the pullback is nearing completion. Key Resistance Turned Support: Establishing $2,800 as a base is crucial for building the foundation for the next rally. Bullish Outlook: Rally to $6,400 by Mid-2025 Timeline: After rejecting the $2,800 level, Ethereum is positioned to begin a major rally. Target Range: ETH could surge from $2,800 to $6,400 by July–August 2025, marking a substantial upward trajectory. Market Dynamics: This rally could be fueled by improving macroeconomic conditions, broader crypto market strength, and increasing Ethereum adoption in decentralized applications (dApps) and institutional use cases. Key Levels to Watch: Support: $2,800 (critical for maintaining bullish structure). Resistance: $3,500 (initial barrier), $6,400 (potential rally target). Summary: Ethereum is in a pivotal pullback phase, with $2,800 emerging as the level to hold. A successful rejection of this zone as support could ignite a powerful rally, propelling ETH toward $6,400 by mid-2025. This setup underscores the importance of the current consolidation period in defining Ethereum’s next major bullish leg.
COINBASE:ETHUSDShort
by QuantumFusionWave
XAUUSDHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on GOLD? Gold has reached its price ceiling and currently shows signs of being unable to break above this resistance level. It is anticipated that gold will start a correction from the identified resistance zone and decline toward the specified levels. A downward correction is expected from the resistance area, potentially leading to a decline to key support levels. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by HAMED_AZ
19
February's Bitcoin Advantage: A Month Traders Can Count OnWhat Does February Tell Us? As we zoom in on February, it stands out as one of Bitcoin's strongest months historically. Positive Trend: Over the past 10 years, 90% of Februarys have been positive! This is one of the highest success rates across all months. Average Return: February has delivered an impressive average gain of +15.51%, making it a standout month for traders. Low Volatility: With a standard deviation of just 16.17, February tends to be less volatile compared to other months like March or October. What Can Traders Expect in February 2025? While no pattern guarantees future performance, February's strong historical record suggests a high probability of gains. Traders should watch for potential bullish setups and prepare to capitalize on upward trends. Keep an eye on broader market conditions and fundamental catalysts, as these could amplify February's seasonality advantage. With February just around the corner, this data offers a strategic edge—don’t miss the opportunity! Note: Studies are for educational purposes only. We will not be responsible for any of your Profits & Losses. Please trade with a proper risk management strategy to avoid huge capital loss.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by teakfinance
USD/JPY H4 | Pullback resistance at 61.8% Fibonacci retracementUSD/JPY is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 157.10 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 159.00 which is a level that sits above a swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 155.09 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
USDT Dominance (USDT.D)USDT Dominance (USDT.D) The USDT Dominance chart reflects the percentage of the cryptocurrency market capitalization held in Tether (USDT), providing insights into market sentiment and risk appetite. Here's an analysis based on the chart structure: Key Levels and Observations: Supply Zone at 6.50%: The 6.50% level acts as a critical resistance where the "Bull vs Bear Flip" is observed. This zone marks the upper limit of a supply area, where sellers are dominant. A rejection here could signal an increase in market risk appetite as funds flow out of USDT and back into crypto assets. Demand Zone at 3.63%: The 3.63% level serves as a strong demand zone, historically supporting USDT.D during bearish periods in the broader market. This is marked as the lower boundary of the "Bull vs Bear Flip," indicating increased caution if revisited. Median Level at 4.48%: The chart highlights the 4.48% level as the median point, balancing bullish and bearish sentiment. Current price action is hovering around this zone, signaling indecision and a potential breakout or breakdown. Harmonic Pattern Formation: A harmonic pattern is evident, with key retracement levels at 0.449 and 0.734 marking the price's journey from points X, A, B, C, and D. Point D, near 3.63%, aligns with the demand zone, completing the pattern and triggering a potential bounce. Rounded Bottom Formation: A rounded bottom is visible on the left side of the chart, indicating a previous reversal from bearish to bullish sentiment. This reinforces the importance of the 3.63% level as a long-term support. Bear Zone at 2.83%: Below the demand zone lies the 2.83% "Bear Zone," signaling extreme bearish sentiment for USDT dominance and likely strong risk appetite in the crypto market. Scenarios to Watch: Bullish Scenario: A breakout above the 4.48% median and sustained movement toward the supply zone at 6.50% would signal increased market caution as investors move to USDT. If the 6.50% level is breached with volume, USDT.D could trend higher, indicating market-wide fear or profit-taking in crypto. Bearish Scenario: A breakdown below the 4.48% median would confirm bearish momentum, with the next target being the demand zone at 3.63%. A fall below 3.63% could lead to a retest of the 2.83% "Bear Zone," indicating renewed bullish sentiment for crypto assets. Volume Analysis: Recent volume spikes during the recovery indicate significant interest at current levels. However, diminishing volume near resistance suggests hesitation among market participants, requiring confirmation of the next directional move. Conclusion: The USDT Dominance chart is currently in a state of equilibrium around the median level (4.48%), reflecting market indecision. The next significant move will likely depend on whether the supply zone (6.50%) or demand zone (3.63%) is tested first. Traders should watch for volume confirmation and macroeconomic catalysts for the next trend in risk sentiment.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D
by shyamnair
Gann Astro Trading: Psychology & Patience in Intraday Gold TradeIn this trading idea, I will provide a detailed breakdown of the live trade I executed on Monday, January 12, 2024, on gold, using advanced mathematical modules of Gann Astro. This trade was entered precisely at the market low, as I had calculated the timing of the low formation three hours in advance. While the trade setup was accurate, it took over 7 hours for the price to reach the target. In this breakdown, I will explain the complete trade analysis with supporting data, charts, and visuals. Additionally, I will dive into the psychological aspects of holding a trade for an extended period, maintaining patience, and interpreting price action as a delivery algorithm. I'll also discuss observing liquidity buildup in real-time and the mindset required to stay composed while navigating market movements. Significant points of this Gann Astro trade are as below - Detailed breakdown of the live gold trade executed on Monday, January 12, 2024, using advanced Gann Astro mathematical modules. - Trade entry was made precisely at the market low, calculated 3 hours in advance. - Explanation of the trade setup with supporting data, charts, and visuals. - Insights into the psychology of holding trades for an extended period (this trade took over 7 hours to reach the target). - Understanding price action as a price delivery algorithm and observing liquidity buildup in real-time. - Discussion on maintaining patience and composure during prolonged trades. As shown in the charts, the reversal time for gold was calculated 3 hours in advance using Gann Astro Trading principles and mathematical modules. The reversal occurred at 8:00 AM New York time, as observed on the 90-minute chart, where I anticipated the price to form a low. Now, you might wonder why the 90-minute timeframe was chosen. This ties into the universal concept that everything vibrates at a specific frequency, including markets, aligning with the significance of 3-6-9, as extensively discussed by Gann. Knowing the exact reversal time eliminates uncertainty in trading, which directly enhances trading psychology. This clarity allows for patience and composure, avoiding impulsive actions. The ability to stay calm and wait for a setup to align with your analysis is an art mastered by only a few traders. Most traders operate out of FOMO (Fear of Missing Out), often taking uncertain trades that fall under the category of gambling. True success in trading lies in patience, discipline, and the ability to observe the charts without acting prematurely. These traits separate professional traders from the majority who struggle to maintain consistency. BUY ENTRY IN GOLD LONG TRADE WITH GANN ASTRO After waiting for 3 hours, the market reached my calculated time and price level, aligning perfectly. As Gann emphasized, when time and price are equal, the market must reverse. With this principle, I executed a trade on gold using Gann Astro techniques in intraday trading. This is where the true challenge of trading begins—not in entering the trade, but in maintaining patience until the price either hits your stop loss or your profit target. Many traders fail at this critical stage due to a lack of discipline and risk management, trading without stop loss or proper planning. To trade successfully, one must approach the market with precision, patience, and a sound strategy. Key Points: 1. Stop Loss is Essential: - Trading without a stop loss is equivalent to gambling with hard-earned money. - A solid risk management strategy is non-negotiable for long-term success. 2. Risk Management Rules: - Always limit risk to 1% of your account per trade. - Never over-leverage or expose yourself to unnecessary risk. 3. Learn to Stay Patient: - Patience is a core skill in trading—waiting for the market to hit your levels and then staying disciplined in the trade. - Avoid impulsive decisions driven by fear or greed. 4. Avoid Common Pitfalls: - Many traders lose their entire capital within weeks due to poor risk management and lack of preparation. - Focus on learning proper risk management before entering live markets. By incorporating these principles, you can significantly improve your chances of success and build a sustainable trading career. Patience in trading is a skill that requires not just discipline but also a deep understanding of how to manage emotions while observing the market's algorithmic price delivery in real-time. One of the most effective ways to stay focused is by minimizing the psychological triggers that impact your decision-making. Colours like red and green can strongly influence your mood and perspective during trading, which is why I switched to black-and-white candles when I started trading back in 2019. This change eliminates the emotional bias caused by colour psychology. Additionally, hiding your profit and loss figures while trading is another powerful way to stay emotionally neutral. Seeing how much you are making or losing can trigger fear of loss or overconfidence, which may lead to impulsive decisions. Removing these distractions helps you maintain clarity and focus during your trading session. Key Points: 1. Eliminate Colour Psychology: - Switch to black-and-white candles to avoid emotional biases caused by red and green colours. - This reduces the impact of visual triggers on your mood and decision-making. 2. Hide Profit and Loss Figures: - Turn off the display of your profit and loss numbers on the trading platform. - This prevents emotional reactions like fear of loss or overconfidence from influencing your trades. 3. Stay Focused on Price Action: - Concentrate solely on the market's price delivery without distractions. - Train yourself to analyse the market algorithm objectively without emotional interference. 4. Build a Calm Trading Environment: - Create a setup that minimizes external triggers and focuses on clear decision-making. - Practice mindfulness and emotional control to remain patient and disciplined. By implementing these steps, you can enhance your trading psychology and improve your ability to read the market with greater clarity and precision. Once you master the foundational skills of managing emotions and maintaining patience, the real challenge begins—understanding the price delivery algorithms and their underlying intentions. The market operates on an algorithmic framework, where price delivery is designed to build liquidity and then seek it. To identify this process, you need to observe where liquidity is being left in real-time, which is often around old highs and lows. These areas act as targets for the algorithm as it seeks to capture liquidity. In the chart, I have marked the live formation of liquidity in the market, illustrating how the algorithm builds and targets these zones. By understanding this process, you gain an edge in predicting the market's next moves. Keeping a detailed record of every trade, you take is crucial for long-term success in trading. Use software tools to record live trades and store the data systematically. This practice allows you to review your past performance, analyse what worked, and identify areas for improvement. Journaling is an essential habit in trading, as it not only tracks your progress but also accelerates your learning curve. The most successful traders consistently review their past trades, assess their strategies, and refine their approach to stay ahead in the game. It’s been 6 hours since I entered the trade. I was patient and have mastered the art of trading psychology. With Gann Trading astro techniques and years of trading experience backed by data, I’ve honed my mindset for consistent success. For new traders, here are 10 ways to improve your trading psychology: 1. Cultivate Emotional Discipline. Mastering trading psychology begins with controlling emotions like fear and greed. Recognize emotional triggers and respond with logic, not impulsivity. 2. Develop a Trading Plan. A well-structured trading plan helps eliminate emotional decision-making. Include entry, exit, and risk management strategies to stay disciplined. 3. Practice Risk Management. Never risk more than a small percentage of your capital on a single trade. Knowing your maximum loss tolerance minimizes stress and preserves mental clarity. 4. Keep a Trading Journal. Record every trade, including rationale, outcomes, and emotions. Regularly review the journal to identify patterns and areas for improvement. 5. Focus on Process Over Outcome. Prioritize consistent execution of your strategy rather than obsessing over profits. This shift in mindset builds confidence and long-term success. 6. Learn to Accept Losses. Losses are a natural part of trading. Accept them as learning experiences rather than personal failures to maintain a positive mindset. 7. Practice Visualization and Mental Rehearsal. Visualize different market scenarios and how you will respond. Mental rehearsal prepares you for stressful situations and improves decision-making. 8. Stay Patient and Avoid Overtrading. Wait for high-probability setups that align with your strategy. Overtrading often stems from impatience and leads to unnecessary mistakes. 9. Maintain a Balanced Lifestyle. Take care of your physical and mental health. Regular exercise, proper nutrition, and adequate rest are essential for maintaining focus and emotional stability. 10. Seek Continuous Education. Stay updated with market trends, refine your strategies, and learn from experienced traders. An informed trader is a confident and less emotionally reactive trader. Once you follow all these steps, the market rewards you with good trading profits. Just like in this chart, I entered at the low and exited at the top by practicing patience and executing trades only with a Gann astro and mathematical edge. This disciplined approach ensures consistent results and builds the foundation for long-term trading success. 1. Gann's Principle: Time is More Important than Price. Understanding the timing of market movements is crucial, as time often dictates the outcome of trades more than price levels. 2. Everything in the Universe Vibrates on Specific Frequencies. Market trends and patterns are influenced by universal vibrations, making it essential to align trading strategies with these natural cycles.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDEducation
by GannAstroTrader