Harmonic Patterns
Bitcoin (BTC) Price Projection Based on Previous Halving CyclesHistorical Context:
After each previous halving, Bitcoin has entered a strong bull market, typically peaking 12 to 18 months later:
• 2012 halving → ATH in late 2013
• 2016 halving → ATH in late 2017
• 2020 halving → ATH in late 2021
Assuming the latest halving occurred around April 2024, BTC is now in the early phase of what could be the next major bull run.
Current Technicals:
• Current Price: $87,273.26
• Weekly Change: +2.46%
• The chart shows:
• A breakout above descending resistance (yellow trend lines)
• A potential bullish continuation pattern
• Support around $85,000 holding strong
Projection:
• If Bitcoin follows the same post-halving trajectory, a new all-time high (ATH) could be expected between $120,000 and $150,000 sometime in late 2025 or early 2026.
• The current range between $80,000 and $90,000 may represent a consolidation zone before a major breakout.
• The “Up” signal and positive momentum suggest an ongoing upward move.
NAS100 Buy Trade Analysis (4H Timeframe)Entered a buy position on NAS100 after price retraced to the 0.618 Fibonacci level, which also aligns perfectly with the ascending trendline support. This area has acted as a strong confluence zone, showing signs of a potential higher low (HL) formation on the 4H chart.
✅ Confluences supporting the trade:
Price bounced from the 0.618 Fib retracement.
Respecting the trendline support indicating bullish structure continuation.
Formation of Higher Low on both the 4H timeframe and also clearly visible on Daily and Weekly charts, indicating strong bullish momentum from a higher timeframe perspective.
RSI is near the oversold zone (~30), showing signs of a potential bullish reversal.
🎯 Targets:
First TP around the 18,863 zone (previous resistance area).
Final TP in the region of 19,161–19,250, aligning with the 200 EMA and psychological resistance levels.
🛡️ Stop Loss: Placed below the trendline and previous swing low for protection in case of invalidation.
WALMART 1W MA50 rebound makes a solid long-term investment.Walmart (WMT) ended its 2 month correction with an emphatic rebound on its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). This is the first time it touches the 1W MA50 since December 11 2023 but it's not uncommon at all within its 10-year Channel Up.
Every time the stock hi its 1W MA50 while the 1W RSI was this low, it was the most common long-term buy opportunity. Better than that was only the one time it hit the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) during the 2022 Inflation Crisis.
As a result, we expect at least a 2.0 Fibonacci extension rebound similar to the May 2018 Low, and our long-term Target is now $135.00.
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Bitcoin downtrend breakout?Bitcoin on the USDT market pair broke out of an 86-day downtrend from a descending broadening wedge, looking for +30% in price action from entry at retest levels around 81k - 79k with a final upside target at the apex of the wedge at 105k-110k
A 4-hour close below 78k - 77k will invalidate this setup.
XAUUSD sell signal In the near term, and according to the 4-hour chart, XAU/USD has room to extend its advance. Technical indicators eased modestly from their recent highs but lack any bearish momentum. Particularly, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator hovers at around 81 with no signs of giving back. Finally, the 20 SMA accelerated north above the longer ones, while offering dynamic support in the $3,320 region.
Support levels:3,400.00 3,386.40 3,375.50
Resistance levels: 3,430.40 3,445.00 3,460.0
XAUUSD sell signal 3414
Support 3387
Support 3345
Tesla Bounce Zone?Tesla has been trading in a sideways range between $220 - $290 for the last several weeks, a sign of what may either be a potential accumulation, or another distribution range which ultimately ends in lower prices.
At the moment, we are at an interesting zone, being the low of the range with earnings coming into effect tomorrow.
Although there is a lot of stipulation behind Elon's current credibility working for Trump, it is clear that the overall market sentiment is at extreme lows for Tesla.
Given this, the earnings tomorrow may be a liquidity catalyst event that may shoot this stock back up into a recovery. Perhaps Elon announces his resignation from Doge, or Tesla earnings surprise, or perhaps Tesla is not affected by tariffs as badly as people may think.
Technically, Tesla is sitting at a key zone being the POC (point of control) also known as the most traded zone of the last 4 years. Should a bounce materialize, it would make sense for it to take place around this price. We are also seeing what may be considered a bullish harmonic playing out during this recent volatility.
Either way, we cant predict, we can only manage our risk. The expected move for tomorrow is + or - 10%. Budget accordingly.
BTC Trade Plan 12/04/2025Dear Traders,
I believe BTC will be Try to retest 88-90 K Area before Another Free Fall,
after 4 Times Hit Top of Descending Channel , i expect price will be break Soon,
Strong Resistance : 88-90 K ,,
If you enjoyed this forecast, please show your support with a like and comment. Your feedback is what drives me to keep creating valuable content."
Regards,
Alireza
Nifty - Ready to ride to 30k?Alright guys, I’ve been getting this a lot — ‘What’s up with Nifty 50- Though am a pure crypto guy but onto the request i would analyse the index, and i feel its very bullish! And i searched some problem is there if someone analyse it - Its just a educational chart!! So the alleged doesnt disturb me lol.
This is a market profile
After a sharp correction earlier in April, the index formed a base with tightly packed POCs and balanced value areas between 22,400–23,400 levels. This region acted as a strong accumulation zone. Post that, a sharp breakout above the previous VAH (Value Area High) occurred, and price has now cleanly auctioned above 24,000. What’s impressive is the most recent structure: the POC, VAL, and VAH have all shifted higher in alignment, suggesting that acceptance at higher prices is taking place. The current POC at around 24,100 further validates that market participants are comfortable building volume at elevated levels. Unless we fall back below 23,800–23,900 (which is now a key demand zone), Nifty 50 is showing strength and could attempt the 24,400–24,600 range in the upcoming sessions.
Institutional Demand: USD/CHF longsHey,
Another beautiful pullback play is likely for many USDs this week.
NU, GU, EU etc are all in or near value.
Together with USD/CHF also moving towards a key area of value.
I'll patiently wait till price reaches it and then look for our 4-hour confirmation.
Kind regards,
Max Nieveld
BTC - Bulls Charging... However!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
As per our last analysis (attached on the chart), BTC rejected the blue trendline support and has been bullish in the medium term. 📈
However, the overall sentiment remains bearish, as BTC is still trading within the falling channel marked in red. 📉
For the bulls to take over long term and initiate the next impulsive wave, a break above the $91,000 major high in blue is needed. 🔵
Meanwhile, BTC may still retest the blue trendline — where we’ll be looking for new short-term longs. 🎯
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
NASDAQ Decision making becomes easy after seeing this chart.NASDAQ (NDX) is currently on the 3rd straight red month (1M candle), following the February High and subsequent sell-off due to the Trade War. This has been analyzed extensively in previous analyses and how the fundamental scene is only now starting to show some positive progress but still has a long way to go.
Technically though, the picture is very clear and favors long-term investing. The market has been trading within a Fibonacci Channel Up since the U.S. Housing Crisis in 2008 and along with the 2022 Inflation Crisis, those have been the only real Bear Cycle events in the past 18 years.
In between those there have been another 5 shorter term corrections, that offered great buying opportunities for the long-term and the recent 3-month one classifies as one.
There reasons are three. First it has come very close to the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line), which only broke during the Major Corrections. Second, the 1M RSI hit the 50.50 Symmetrical Support, which has held during all those 5 prior Minor Corrections. Third, those corrections only range between two Fibonacci levels.
The current correction fulfills all those conditions. And since the 'weakest' rally we've have on this 5 event sample has been +37.57% and the strongest +96.77%, we have a medium-term Target on Nasdaq at 22800 and a long-term one at 32500.
Do you still reserve doubts at investing long-term after seeing this macro chart?
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Is there a chance that gold will fall?Hello everyone. Let's discuss the trend of gold. Currently, the support of gold is around 3380. If the correction of gold is weak, it may continue to rise after testing 3380.
On the contrary, if it falls below 3380, then gold has a probability to continue to test the low support position near 3370.
Finally, there is the 4-hour support position of 3360-3350.
Therefore, try to pay attention to the support situation here at 3380 first. If there is a chance to reach this point and stabilize, gold will have the opportunity to continue to look at 3420 and 3435.
On the contrary, if it falls below 3380, then you need to continue to wait for the low point of 3370, or even the high point of Friday at 3360-3350 to buy.
Wait for the correction before going long on gold!This is what I've said last week in my outlook: next week we could see a correction and more upside for this pair.
And I drew an arrow for the target. Now check the chart.
This is the power of wave analysis in combination with liquidity sweeps and FVG's!
For next week we could see a little more upside (finish grey wave 3) and after that a bigger correction for (grey) wave 4.
Let's see what price does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a change in orderflow to bullish. After an impulse wave and a small correction down on a lower time frame you could trade (short term) longs.
Are you ready for a price drop?Hello, traders
There are two groups of people in the market right now. Those who believe that Bitcoin will go straight from its current price to $125,000, and those who believe that the price must first touch 65-72 to go up. I am in the second group, and I think we have a higher chance of winning if we are a member of the second group. There are a lot of buy orders hidden in the 65-72 areas, it seems that we cannot go up without attracting them.